In today’s briefing:
- OZ Minerals (OZL) – Copper and Comps Have Caught Up
- Origin Energy’s (ORG AU) Indicative Offer of A$9.00 from Brookfield/EIG
OZ Minerals (OZL) – Copper and Comps Have Caught Up
- In August, BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) launched a $25/share bid – a price it saw as attractive and what target OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU) saw as opportunistic.
- Copper had fallen, and peer stock prices had fallen too. Since then, copper has rebounded and peers have too so what was a 25-30% premium no longer exists.
- This means the price of OZL should “enjoy” different dynamics going forward.
Origin Energy’s (ORG AU) Indicative Offer of A$9.00 from Brookfield/EIG
- Origin Energy (ORG AU) received a conditional, non-binding indicative proposal from Brookfield and EIG at A$9.00 per share, a 54.9% premium to the undisturbed price (9 November).
- The Board will grant eight weeks of due diligence access and intends to unanimously recommend a binding offer at A$9.00 per share. The offer is attractive.
- Regulatory approvals are an overhang and would likely require price concessions. At the last close, the gross spread to the offer is 14.9%.
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