Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Fosun International, Prima Marine PCL, Synthomer PLC and more

Fosun International’s H1/22 results appear to be reasonable, with higher revenue but lower earnings. The reported credit metrics are not very representative of the credit profile in our view, given the company’s investment holding nature. Thus, it is difficult to assess Fosun’s credit health. However, we take some comfort from the rate of divestments, which is outpacing the rate of investments. Reported liquidity on a consolidated basis seems adequate. That said, we have no visibility on liquidity at the holdco.

Still, we highlight that Fosun has major assets to be sold, especially those without ample synergies. The company has accelerated its asset sale process since 2021. However, it cannot name the assets currently, as details of the transactions are still confidential. Moreover, Fosun does not wish to affect the morale of employees at these assets. The asset disposals are focused on non-core assets, which are typically not listed.

• Maintain HOLD recommendation for PRM but raised target price to Bt6.60 (Previous TP: Bt6.30) after revised earnings up by 16-25% in 2022-23E. We are positive toward 2H22 fleet expansion plan
• 2Q22 core profit dropped QoQ and YoY Report 2Q22 net profit at Bt199m. Excluding FX item,core earnings would be at Bt262m (-38%YoY -2%QoQ) YoY drop was due to high base 
• Core revenue hit all-time high at Bt1.7bn along with fleet expansion(59 vessels as of 2Q22)and an increase in transportation volume for domestic trading business (45% of total revenue in 2Q22)

• Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.
• So I thought I would write some anti-doom porn. And in doing so I actually became a bit more pessimistic LOL. At least for the next year or two.
• Since there is no denying that the EU is in a bad spot as it imported 150 billion m3 of gas from Russia.