In today’s briefing:
- Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case
- Rigaku Holdings IPO: Initial Thoughts
- Rigaku IPO – The Positives – Catering to a Range of End Industries, and Track Record Has Been Strong
- Japan Metropolitan Fund Placement – Relatively Small Deal to Digest
- Tokyo Metro IPO – The Negatives – Hasn’t Recovered Fully but Div and Debt Have
- Pre-IPO Eternal Beauty Holdings – The Perfume Business in China May Not Be as Good as Expected
Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case
- Tokyo Metro (9023 JP), a mass transit operator, is seeking to raise up to US$2.3 billion. Pricing is on 15 October, and the listing is on 23 October.
- In Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
- The bear case rests on mid-tier revenue growth, low revenue diversification, the highest leverage among peers and a sizeable post-IPO share overhang.
Rigaku Holdings IPO: Initial Thoughts
- Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) provides cutting-edge analytical solutions centered on X-ray technology globally. The company is one of the largest players globally in X-ray diffraction instrument market.
- The company has filed for an IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and plans to raise proceeds of around US$900m from the IPO at a potential valuation of US$2bn.
- In this insight, we discuss Rigaku’s business model, key drivers, financials and outlook for the company.
Rigaku IPO – The Positives – Catering to a Range of End Industries, and Track Record Has Been Strong
- Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is looking to raise US$762m in its Japan IPO.
- Rigaku engages in developing, manufacturing, sales and servicing scientific instruments specializing in X-ray technologies.
- In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.
Japan Metropolitan Fund Placement – Relatively Small Deal to Digest
- Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP) aims to raise around US$140m to partly fund the acquisition of four assets.
- The deal will be relatively small, in terms of ADV and dilution.
- In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.
Tokyo Metro IPO – The Negatives – Hasn’t Recovered Fully but Div and Debt Have
- Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)‘s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.
- Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
- In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.
Pre-IPO Eternal Beauty Holdings – The Perfume Business in China May Not Be as Good as Expected
- The essence of Eternal Beauty’s business model is to earn a “price difference” of the brand and product portfolios, but this business model is difficult to generate high profit margins.
- The situation and prospects of China’s perfume market are facing major changes. It‘s uncertain whether the perfume sales in the China market can maintain double-digit growth in the long term.
- Eternal Beauty’s financial performance would face challenges due to changes in consumer preferences, shifts in China’s domestic policies, international trade disputes, geopolitical conflicts, etc. Valuation could be lower than peers.