Daily BriefsECM

Daily Brief ECM: Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case
  • Rigaku Holdings IPO: Initial Thoughts
  • Rigaku IPO – The Positives – Catering to a Range of End Industries, and Track Record Has Been Strong
  • Japan Metropolitan Fund Placement – Relatively Small Deal to Digest
  • Tokyo Metro IPO – The Negatives – Hasn’t Recovered Fully but Div and Debt Have
  • Pre-IPO Eternal Beauty Holdings – The Perfume Business in China May Not Be as Good as Expected


Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Tokyo Metro (9023 JP), a mass transit operator, is seeking to raise up to US$2.3 billion. Pricing is on 15 October, and the listing is on 23 October.
  • In Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on mid-tier revenue growth, low revenue diversification, the highest leverage among peers and a sizeable post-IPO share overhang. 

Rigaku Holdings IPO: Initial Thoughts

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) provides cutting-edge analytical solutions centered on X-ray technology globally. The company is one of the largest players globally in X-ray diffraction instrument market.
  • The company has filed for an IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and plans to raise proceeds of around US$900m from the IPO at a potential valuation of US$2bn.
  • In this insight, we discuss Rigaku’s business model, key drivers, financials and outlook for the company.

Rigaku IPO – The Positives – Catering to a Range of End Industries, and Track Record Has Been Strong

By Clarence Chu

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is looking to raise US$762m in its Japan IPO.
  • Rigaku engages in developing, manufacturing, sales and servicing scientific instruments specializing in X-ray technologies. 
  • In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Placement – Relatively Small Deal to Digest

By Sumeet Singh

  • Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP) aims to raise around US$140m to partly fund the acquisition of four assets.
  • The deal will be relatively small, in terms of ADV and dilution.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Tokyo Metro IPO – The Negatives – Hasn’t Recovered Fully but Div and Debt Have

By Sumeet Singh

  • Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)‘s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.
  • Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Pre-IPO Eternal Beauty Holdings – The Perfume Business in China May Not Be as Good as Expected

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The essence of Eternal Beauty’s business model is to earn a “price difference” of the brand and product portfolios, but this business model is difficult to generate high profit margins.
  • The situation and prospects of China’s perfume market are facing major changes. It‘s uncertain whether the perfume sales in the China market can maintain double-digit growth in the long term.
  • Eternal Beauty’s financial performance would face challenges due to changes in consumer preferences, shifts in China’s domestic policies, international trade disputes, geopolitical conflicts, etc. Valuation could be lower than peers.

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