Daily BriefsECM

Daily Brief ECM: Postage Fraud Case Update: Guilty Plea and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Postage Fraud Case Update: Guilty Plea, Asset Forfeiture, & Restitution Set at a Whopping US$158 Mn!
  • Pre-IPO Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention
  • ECM Weekly (15th Apr 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Bharti, Kayou, Zeekr, ChaPanda, Samsung, WT Micr, Sompo
  • Vodafone Idea Placement – Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues


Postage Fraud Case Update: Guilty Plea, Asset Forfeiture, & Restitution Set at a Whopping US$158 Mn!

By Daniel Hellberg

  • A week ahead of trial, a defendant in massive fraud case copped a plea
  • Terms of deal include guilty plea, asset forfeiture, restitution of US$158 mn
  • US investigation continues; are other Chinese companies involved in case?

Pre-IPO Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baicha Baidao’s profit model doesn’t rely on tea drink sales, but on continuous expansion of store size.However, rapid expansion brought by the franchise model has led to significant management challenges.
  • The profitability/market attractiveness of ChaPanda stores are declining, which not only reflects franchisees’ concerns about future profit prospects,but also reflects the market’s re-evaluation of the attractiveness of Baicha Baidao brand.
  • Although current financial performance of Baicha Baidao seems acceptable, after IPO, its performance could decline year by year, leading to a collapse in stock price/valuation if this is the case.

ECM Weekly (15th Apr 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Bharti, Kayou, Zeekr, ChaPanda, Samsung, WT Micr, Sompo

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, the focus remained on HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), even as Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is gearing up to launch its IPO. 
  • On the placement front, there were deals across India, South Korea and Australia.

Vodafone Idea Placement – Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues

By Sumeet Singh

  • Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering.
  • The deal has been in the works for years and proceeds will be used for capex and short-term debt repayment.
  • In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.

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