In today’s briefing:
- China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Revenue Slowing, Margins Growing
- Intermestic IPO: Forecasts and Valuation
- The Cerebras IPO Stucture Sucks
- China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – Updated Thoughts on Valuation
- Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention
China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Revenue Slowing, Margins Growing
- China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
- China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
- In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations. In this note, we will look at updates from its most recent filings.
Intermestic IPO: Forecasts and Valuation
- The Japanese eyewear company Intermestic (262A JP) has set the terms for its Tokyo IPO and plans to raise US$121m through the IPO.
- Our analysis shows that the company’s IPO is valued attractively compared to JINS Inc (3046 JP) , who offers eyewear at a similar price range to Intermestic.
- Japanese eyewear makers who have aggressively expanded into overseas markets seems to be suffering from falling sales and margins, particularly in China due to economic slowdown.
The Cerebras IPO Stucture Sucks
- I’m not going to write about the technical side at all, as I expect Dylan Patel’s team at SemiAnalysis to do a much better job than I can do alone.
- However, I want to note some of the funniest aspects because landmines are everywhere for this IPO. Of course, it’s driven by G42, but it’s much worse than you think. Here’s the prelim S-1.
- G42 is pretty much the only customer.
China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – Updated Thoughts on Valuation
- China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
- China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
- In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and provided our initial thoughts on valuations. In this note, we will relook at valuations post its PHIP updates.
Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention
- Nongfu Spring is able to take a price war to grab market share,but the strategy of CR Beverage forced to cut prices may not work,making its profit margin further decline.
- CR Beverage’s business model is “single business + scale expansion”, worse than “multi-category structure + new product incubation”.Future performance growth may inevitably slow down if without the second growth curve.
- Whether in terms of product/revenue structure, profitability, or sustainability of growth momentum, CR Beverage isn’t as good as Nongfu Spring. Valuation of CR Beverage should be lower than Nongfu Spring.