ConsumerDaily Briefs

Daily Brief Consumer: Xpeng, Vipshop Holdings, Golden Eagle Retail, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix and more

In today’s briefing:

  • [XPeng Inc. (XPEV US, BUY, TP US$10) TP Change]: BUY on Recovery Starting from 2Q23
  • [Vipshop (VIPS US) Earnings Review]: Demand for Apparel Rising on Increased Social Activity
  • Morning Views Asia: Golden Eagle Retail
  • Behind the Issue of Population Decline Is Also the Issue of Human Rights

[XPeng Inc. (XPEV US, BUY, TP US$10) TP Change]: BUY on Recovery Starting from 2Q23

By Shawn Yang

  • XPeng reported soft 1Q23 results, with topline of RMB 4.03bn, missing cons by (4.4%); GPM of 1.7% missing cons. and our est. by (4.5ppt)/(4.8ppt. 
  • The 2Q23 guidance implies a QoQ recovery of 15.2%-20.7%, thanks to increasing order intake of the all-new P7i and recent channel transformation. 
  • We maintain BUY. We cut TP to US$ 10 due to pressure amid intensified competition.

[Vipshop (VIPS US) Earnings Review]: Demand for Apparel Rising on Increased Social Activity

By Shawn Yang

  • VIPS reported C1Q23 top-line, GAAP operating profit, and non-GAAP net income 6.6%, 27%, and 31% vs. our est., and 5.6%, 20%, and 36% vs. cons.; 
  • We expect VIPS profitability to remain steady given its relative immunity to competitor price competition, mainly due to its high apparel exposure, high member loyalty, and differentiated product sourcing strategy; 
  • Given improving apparel demand and EPADS on share buy-backs, we maintain BUY and US$ 16.3 TP, implying 8.1x 2023 non-GAAP P/E.  

Morning Views Asia: Golden Eagle Retail

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Behind the Issue of Population Decline Is Also the Issue of Human Rights

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The decline in the working-age population is not merely a decrease in the number of workers; it causes a loss of dynamism in society as a whole.
  • The “5-year rotational use of foreign workers without the assumption of permanent residency,” not immigration, is overshadowed by human rights issues.
  • Besides the high cost of education, an increasing number of people are choosing not to marry, and it is necessary to create a society that respects diverse lifestyles.

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