ConsumerDaily Briefs

Daily Brief Consumer: Oriental Land, NVC Lighting and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Oriental Land: A Potential Beat Next Quarter, but Unrealistic Consensus for Long-Term
  • NVC International


Oriental Land: A Potential Beat Next Quarter, but Unrealistic Consensus for Long-Term

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • There is a possibility that Oriental Land (4661 JP)‘s revenue and OP in 1QFY24 could surpass the consensus estimates by 8% and 21%, respectively.
  • However, the outlook for the next three quarters may be different, as consensus appears inflated with annual OP expectations of ¥154.5bn compared to the company’s guidance of ¥122bn.
  • We find medium term consensus expectations unrealistic, leading to potential downside for Oriental Land. We expect FY+2 EV/OP to decline from 46x to 20-30x.

NVC International

By Turtles all the way down

  • Since my last order filled today, here is my write-up on a special situation in Hong Kong.
  • Stock is NVC International holdings (NVC ticker HKG:2222) .
  • A Hong Kong nano cap stock. And it is quite illiquid, so beware.  I first learned of it through a Tweet from Writser .

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