ConsumerDaily Briefs

Daily Brief Consumer: Mitsubishi Motors, Bloks Group, PDD Holdings, Modine Manufacturing Co, Guess? Inc, Dixon Technologies India Ltd, Urban Outfitters, Global-e Online , Lowe’s Companies Inc, Skyline Champion and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2024: End-May 2024 Estimates
  • Bloks Group Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • PDD Holdings: Will The Focus On Agricultural Strategy Convert Into Positive Revenue Growth? – Major Drivers
  • Modine Manufacturing Company: Will The Recovery in Heating
  • GES: 1Q Review; Creating a Powerful Model; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT
  • Dixon Technologies- Forensic Analysis (Update)
  • Urban Outfitters: Impact Of New Facility On Their Logistics & Profitability & Other Major Drivers
  • Global-e Online Ltd.: Expanding Merchant Base and Launch Plans! – Major Drivers
  • Lowe’s Companies: Front-End Transformation and Investment in Technology! – Major Drivers
  • Skyline Champion Corporation: Can The Acquisition of Regional Homes Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers


Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2024: End-May 2024 Estimates

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
  • A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the rankings of the potential ADDs/DELs every month.
  • In this insight, we take a look at potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 index rebal event to come in August 2024 based on trading data as of end-May 2024.

Bloks Group Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Goldman Sachs, and Huatai International.
  • Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character toys. Its portfolio contains both self-developed and renowned licensed intellectual property (IPs).
  • According to F&S, Bloks was China’s largest player in the assembly character toy segment with an approximate gross merchandise value (GMV) of RMB1.8bn in 2023.

PDD Holdings: Will The Focus On Agricultural Strategy Convert Into Positive Revenue Growth? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PDD Holdings Inc., an innovative online retail company based in China, seems to show a strong future trajectory based on its first quarter 2024 earnings conference call.
  • The company surpassed its year-on-year growth with total revenue reaching RMB 86.8 billion, marking a 131% increase.
  • This impressive growth serves as a testament to PDD Holdings’s efforts to deepen its access and widely influence the consumer market.

Modine Manufacturing Company: Will The Recovery in Heating

By Baptista Research

  • Modine Manufacturing Company (Modine) reported upbeat performance for its fiscal 2024 with record sales and adjusted EBITDA being noted for the second consecutive year.
  • Sales increased by 5% to reach $2.4 billion while adjusted EBITDA surged by 48% to $314 million; a significant margin improvement indicating the company’s effective commitment to its 80/20 principle.
  • Modine successfully shifted its business to targeted markets with growth potential where its innovative solutions are well-regarded, leading to sustainable margins.

GES: 1Q Review; Creating a Powerful Model; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $37 price target for Guess?
  • and tweaking and further back-end loading our FY25 and FY26 projections after Guess?
  • announced 1QFY25 top and bottom line upside, driven by Europe and Domestic wholesale results, as the rag & bone acquisition proved to be a key positive and the company continues to take share in Europe.

Dixon Technologies- Forensic Analysis (Update)

By Nitin Mangal

  • Dixon Technologies India Ltd (DIXON IN) growth is driven by mobile and EMS segment; majority of other businesses are muted in the last two years.  
  • The company is able to convert earnings to cash quickly but cash yield is close to zero.
  • The company has reported significant amount of refund liability, but is silent on its accounting policy. Other forensics takeaways include non-reconciliation of asset disposals, high forex risk, etc.

Urban Outfitters: Impact Of New Facility On Their Logistics & Profitability & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Urban Outfitters, Inc. had an exceptional first quarter for fiscal 2025, performing better than expected with four out of five brands posting record revenues leading to an overall revenue of $1.2 billion.
  • Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, and Nuuly all experienced double-digit growth, with record operating incomes reported for 3 of their brands.
  • These strong results, however, were somewhat tempered by continuous weak performance at the Urban Outfitters brand.

Global-e Online Ltd.: Expanding Merchant Base and Launch Plans! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the Q1 2024 earnings, Global-E Online Ltd reaffirmed its strong growth trajectory and bullish outlook for the rest of the year.
  • For Q1, the company reported growth in gross merchandise volume (GMV), revenues, and adjusted EBITDA, surpassing the forecasted range for the quarter.
  • GMV grew 32% YoY, revenues grew 24%, and adjusted EBITDA grew 47%.

Lowe’s Companies: Front-End Transformation and Investment in Technology! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lowe’s Companies reported its recent earnings and maintained the company’s expectations for fiscal 2024.
  • Their first quarter sales were $21.4 billion, with comparable sales down 4.1% from the same period last year.
  • Despite the continued pressure in DIY big ticket discretionary spending, the company delivered better-than-expected spring seasonal sales.

Skyline Champion Corporation: Can The Acquisition of Regional Homes Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In Fiscal 2024, Skyline Champion Corporation prioritized investments to offer integrated turnkey solutions for retail, financial services, and home completion.
  • They experienced some decrease year over-year in their unit volume.
  • However, the company reported over $2 billion in top-line revenue, indicating a solid financial year nonetheless.

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