In today’s briefing:
- HSTECH June 2024 Rebal – No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way
- Red Dragon Awakening
- Dentsu Group – FY24 prospects weighted to H2
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HSTECH June 2024 Rebal – No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way
- The Hang Seng Tech Index is more widely-followed than many think, and it is reasonably concentrated, so outperformance and underperformance by big names means capping and re-capping.
- This time, those flows are worth about 8% of the index in terms of one-way flows. Meituan, Xiaomi, JD.com, Tencent and Kuaishou Tech DOWN. Li Auto back up.
- Those who have pre-positioned on the big buy have recently gotten hurt. There are some FAF changes which are less predictable and may be interesting.
Red Dragon Awakening
- China momentum continues with KWEB breaking out above WEEKLY double-bottom base
- Stocks REPORTING this week that look technically sound include PDD BZ and EH
- In-Depth look at individual leaders in Tencent Holdings, Futu Holdings, and Sony Group
Dentsu Group – FY24 prospects weighted to H2
Dentsu’s Q1 results indicate a slow start to the year, with organic net revenue down by 3.7%. However, prospects are improving, buoyed by new business wins and weighted to H2, which leave full year expectations (and our forecasts) unchanged. The One dentsu initiative, bringing together skill sets in consulting, technology, media and creative, is supporting improved pitch win rates, and giving greater coherence and consistency to the group product and service offering. We expect this to be a central element of the new management medium-term strategy, set to be unveiled during H2. The rating remains at a substantial discount to global peers, which we anticipate will narrow as evidence of renewed growth builds.