ConsumerDaily Briefs

Daily Brief Consumer: Japan Tobacco, Tuhu Car and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Tobacco High Conviction Call: No Price Hikes This Year, But Profits Poised to Soar
  • Tuhu Car Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation – Will Likely Need a Markdown from Its Latest Funding Round


Japan Tobacco High Conviction Call: No Price Hikes This Year, But Profits Poised to Soar

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Combustible tobacco is declining globally, but Japan Tobacco (2914 JP) is defying the odds by outperforming the industry significantly through capturing market share from competitors.
  • Also in Heated Tobacco, Japan Tobacco is slowly but steadily capturing market share from IQOS and other heated tobacco makers.
  • There will be no price hikes this year, but we think that there’s enough spillover from the price hikes in the past 3-4 years to maintain JT’s OP growth momentum.

Tuhu Car Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation – Will Likely Need a Markdown from Its Latest Funding Round

By Clarence Chu

  • Tuhu Car (2007986D HK) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Tuhu is an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China.
  • We have looked at the firm’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in earlier notes. In this note, we will discuss our earnings assumptions and thoughts on valuation.

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