Daily Brief Consumer: Exedy Corp, BrainBees Solutions, Ola Electric, CyberAgent Inc, Budweiser Brewing APAC , DPC Dash, Luckin Coffee, Pandora A/S, DigiPlus Interactive and more

• In late May, Toyota Group member Aisin (7259 JP) announced it would sell its 37% stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP). The market dropped. But that was an opportunity. 
• There was an announcement, a ToSTNeT-3 buyback, the offering, and more buyback to come. On 30 May, I said “Buy the deal, buy in the market. It’s cheap and vulnerable.”
• Exedy is up 21% since. On 17 June, activist Murakami-san’s group went over 5%. Then they bought more. Now they have 15%. Or more. Still cheap. Still vulnerable. 

• BrainBees Solutions is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. 
• FirstCry is India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for Mothers’, Babies’ and Kids’ products in terms of GMV, for the year ending Dec 2022 (9M23), according to RedSeer.
• We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about its updated financials in the RHP.

• Ola Electric (1700674D IN) ‘s IPO appears attractive versus peers based on valuation analysis, supported by detailed sales and revenue projections.  
• Expect strong near-term revenue growth driven by its dominant market presence, e-mobility expansion, and potential entry into the e-motorcycle segment.
• With a significant head start in the rapidly growing e2W sector, Ola’s robust product lineup, competitive pricing, and strong brand make it a compelling EV play.

• BrainBees Solutions (0172540D IN), India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for mothers’, babies’ and kids’ products, will launch an IPO to raise up to US$500 million.
• We previously discussed the IPO in Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: The Bull Case and Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: The Bear Case. In this note, we examine the RHP update.
• The RHP shows that positives (KPIs heading in the right direction, margin improvement, lower cash burn) offset the negatives (declining organic growth and deteriorating balance sheet).    

• CyberAgent Inc (4751 JP)  reported 3QFY09/24 results yesterday. Both revenue and OP grew YoY, while revenue beat consensus marginally, OP beat consensus by a huge margin.
• All three business segments showed strong recovery with notable improvement in gaming business as newly released titles perform well including the newly released UMA MUSUME: Pretty Derby movie.
• Media business reported OP for the second consecutive quarter and the company has plans to further strengthen monetisation around AbemaTV.

• Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)‘s  performance could improve from 2H2024, driven by a likely recovery in China’s premium beer market and favourable commodity prices.
• Stock’s upside potential from current price levels seem to outweigh downside risk.
• With a high dividend payout and strong free cash flow generation, Budweiser trades at a 5% dividend yield and an 11% FCF yield.

• Company issued 1H24 profit alert after market yesterday which significantly beat even the high-end sell-side expectations. 
• Impressive SSSG and store-level unit economics imply sizable potential for operating leverage and earnings growth in the mid to long term.
• The profit alert, along with 2Q operating data released earlier, reinforced our confidence in earnings estimates of RMB130 million/RMB300 million for FY24/25 respectively. 

• Luckin’s SSSG declined 20.9%YoY in the peak season, indicating diseconomies of scale for Luckin and a deteriorated competitive environment. We do not expect a quick turnaround in the near term.
• We think Luckin has limited capability to further raise its prices in 3Q24, and expect its NPM to be 11.9%/7.1% in 3Q24/4Q24 as the new norm.
• We keep SELL rating and lower TP to US$16.5/ADS. The stock trading at 20x/16x PE in 2024/2025, and we expect the NI to increase 15%CAGR in the next 2 years.

• Danish jewelry company specializing in customizable charm bracelets
• Over 70% of business comes from charms, with prices ranging from £20 to £500
• Vertically integrated with production facilities in Thailand and Vietnam, shifting towards retail-heavy distribution and expanding into lab-grown diamonds market; primarily catering to women customers.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) is the Philippines platform for Bingo Plus and other e-casino games, trading at 7x in the midst of >100% growth in revenue/profitability in 2024. 
• The company is net cash with a >50% ROE and is in an industry forecast by PAGCOR (regulator) to grow at least 15% CAGR in the future years.
• We expect explosive Q2 revenue/profit growth of 226%/298% YoY which would act as a share price catalyst. We calculate a dividend of 0.80-1 peso/share (30-40% payout ratio), equating to a 4-5% yield.