ConsumerDaily Briefs

Daily Brief Consumer: Evolution Gaming Group Ab, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix, Porsche Automobil Holding Se, Campbell Soup Co, Capri Holdings, Ulta Beauty, Inc., Upstart Holdings Inc and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Evolution Gaming: The World’s Largest Casino, Which You Probably Never Heard Of
  • Investment Managers Should Seek Ways to Reflect ESG Investing in Their Investment Performance
  • Intention to Float Porsche AG: A Good Deal for Porsche Automobile Holding SE
  • Campbell Soup Inc: Online Sales As A Key Driver & Other Factors Driving Growth
  • Capri Holdings: Digital Momentum & Other Drivers
  • Ulta Beauty: The Beauty& Campaign
  • Breaking Estimate Short Candidates: Upstart, Cerence, Zillow, Trex

Evolution Gaming: The World’s Largest Casino, Which You Probably Never Heard Of

By Steven Chen

  • Although lesser-known, this Swedish company dominates one of the most lucrative segments of the global casino industry.
  • In our view, it is probably the only investable casino company, and despite its size, still has a massive growth runway ahead.
  • Our DCF model implies a 15%-20% total return for the company’s long-term shareholders.

Investment Managers Should Seek Ways to Reflect ESG Investing in Their Investment Performance

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The lackluster ESG investing trust performance is the main reason for the sharp decline in new setups, as retail investors tend to trade short term.
  • The fact that Japanese companies aren’t leading the world in green practices and are reluctant to disclose their activities are the factors that prevent wash from occurring and being detected.
  • While it’s difficult to evaluate ESG investing in short-term-performance, it’s important to pay attention to how management is taking measures to increase corporate value in ESG perspective in particular G.

Intention to Float Porsche AG: A Good Deal for Porsche Automobile Holding SE

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Volkswagen aims for an IPO of Porsche AG (operating company). 25% of preferreds will be placed and 25% of ords sold to Porsche Automobile Holding SE (combined, 25% equity capital).
  • Thought a holding chain, the Pïech and Porsche families will directly control 25% of the votes of Porsche AG and 39.975% indirectly (total of 64.975%), with just a 24.275% economic interest.
  • Porsche Automobile Holding SE will cover c.30% of the cost of its stake through the extraordinary dividend that Volkswagen will pay. It also gets the ords at a friendly price.

Campbell Soup Inc: Online Sales As A Key Driver & Other Factors Driving Growth

By Baptista Research

  • The demand for Campbell’s portfolio of brands continued to be strong in the last quarter and it was able to match the market’s revenue expectations through its result.
  • The company was able to deliver an earnings beat as it enhanced supply chain performance and put into place efficient revenue management to combat inflation.
  • Their Win in Soup approach will remain strong in fiscal 2023 largely due to innovation.

Capri Holdings: Digital Momentum & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Capri has seen a decent performance across all three of its luxury residences and 2022 has been delivering better results than the management had anticipated.
  • The company delivered an all-around beat with a revenue of $1.36 billion, which exceeded management and market expectations.
  • Fendace combined unique features with classic silhouettes from two renowned Italian luxury brands, Fendi and Versace.

Ulta Beauty: The Beauty& Campaign

By Baptista Research

  • Ulta Beauty performed well in this quarter and delivered an all-around beat.
  • Based on point-of-sale statistics from the NPD Group, all key categories for the quarter exceeded its expectations, and they grew their market share in prestige beauty compared to the previous year.
  • Haircare, their second-largest category, experienced double-digit growth for another quarter due to newness and excellent participation in their semi-annual Gorgeous Hair Event.

Breaking Estimate Short Candidates: Upstart, Cerence, Zillow, Trex

By Eric Fernandez, CFA

  • This model finds companies facing recent sharp cuts in estimates. These shorts can have very disparate characteristics.
  • The key judgement involves whether the negative revisions are temporary or if they are indications of ongoing weakness in the business. 
  • Breaking Estimates stocks often continue to decline after the cuts.  This week we flag:  Upstart, Cerence, Zillow, Trex

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