In today’s briefing:
- HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September
- ENM Holdings (128 HK): Privatisation Bid at HK$0.58 Per Share
- Merger Arb Mondays (05 Jun) – Golden Eagle Retail, ENM, AAG, Yashili, Golden Energy, Challenger Tech
- Morning Views Asia: NagaCorp Ltd
HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September
- Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK) was added to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the close Friday and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect from open of trading today.
- We see 22 potential adds, 19 potential deletes, couple of close deletes, 5 deletes on prolonged suspension and 4 close liquidity deletes for the HSCI in September.
- There are 11 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.
ENM Holdings (128 HK): Privatisation Bid at HK$0.58 Per Share
- Enm Holdings (128 HK) announced a privatisation offer from Chime Corporation at HK$0.58 per scheme share, a 54.7% premium to the undisturbed price of HK$0.375 per share (24 May).
- The key condition is the scheme be approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (<10% disinterested shareholders rejection). No shareholder holds a blocking stake. The offer price is final.
- Detractors will argue the offer is low due to ENM’s net cash (75% of the market cap). However, the offer is reasonable compared to historical multiples and share prices.
Merger Arb Mondays (05 Jun) – Golden Eagle Retail, ENM, AAG, Yashili, Golden Energy, Challenger Tech
- We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
- Highest spreads – 111 Inc (YI US), Enm Holdings (128 HK), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), Estia Health (EHE AU), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Hailan Holdings (2278 HK).
- Lowest spreads – Healius (HLS AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP), Lian Beng (LBG SP), SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Newcrest Mining (NCM AU).
Morning Views Asia: NagaCorp Ltd
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.
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