In today’s briefing:
- Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): COFCO Offer?
- Lao Feng Xiang (900905) – Friday, Jun 28, 2024
- Morning Views Asia: China Hongqiao, Continuum Green Energy
- Weekly Wrap – 27 Sep 2024
- Weekly Wrap – 27 Sep 2024
- Asia Trade Book – September 2024 – Lucror Analytics
- Chinese Animal Spirits
- The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 27)
- Asia Monthly – August 2024 In Review – Lucror Analytics
- New World Development – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics
Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): COFCO Offer?
- Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)-backed hypermarket play Sun Art Retail (6808) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code.
- Reportedly, SASAC-backed COFCO Group may acquire Alibaba’s 78.7% stake. Sun Art’s shares are up 45% since the middle of the month.
- Alibaba exiting – if true – follows JD.com (9618 HK) (and DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP)) selling their respective stakes in Yonghui Superstores Co., (601933 CH) earlier this week.
Lao Feng Xiang (900905) – Friday, Jun 28, 2024
- LFX is a heritage jewelry retailer with almost 180 years of history, traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange
- A shares trade at around 14-15x TTM earnings with a 3% yield, while B shares trade at a significant discount of 5x TTM earnings and a 7% yield
- Opportunity for investors to own stake in a growing business with strong returns on capital and conservative management at a discounted price, due to lack of attention to the B share class.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.
Morning Views Asia: China Hongqiao, Continuum Green Energy
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.
Weekly Wrap – 27 Sep 2024
Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.
In this Insight:
and more…
Weekly Wrap – 27 Sep 2024
Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.
In this Insight:
and more…
Asia Trade Book – September 2024 – Lucror Analytics
The Asia Trade Book for September 2024 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits.
Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.
Chinese Animal Spirits
- I am quite sick so I will keep it short.
- I am closing Lufax (LU) here and would at least take something off the table for JD holdings (JD)
- Honestly Lufax business is too much of a black box, and the forward PE multiple isn’t low enough anymore for my taste.
The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 27)
- Hong Kong is now the top-performing major world market this year. With a large valuation disparity, both Hong Kong’s and China’s markets have more upside potential.
- Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) and Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) are benefiting from the improvement in consumer sentiment with government stimulus targeting housing payments and consumption.
- Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK) surged in anticipation of increased market trading and IPOs. Industry consolidation is also part of the improved sentiment.
Asia Monthly – August 2024 In Review – Lucror Analytics
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in August 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan.
In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on developments in the Asian corporate USD bond market.
New World Development – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics
New World Development’s (NWD) FY 2023-24 results were weak, but in line with expectations as flagged by the company’s profit warning earlier in September. We expect the company’s revenue and EBITDA to improve in FY 2024-25, supported by new project launches in Hong Kong as well as contributions from new K11 commercial assets in Hong Kong and Mainland China.
While NWD has continued to reduce net debt, leverage weakened on account of the weaker earnings and smaller asset base (due to disposals). Cash/ST Debt is inadequate, though we believe the company’s liquidity is manageable due to its continued access to financing. In particular, we note positively NWD’s receipt of a HKD 1 bn unsecured loan, as well as its ability to tap the USD bond market in August 2024.
The resignation of Adrian Cheng as NWD’s CEO (as well as from the Boards of NWD’s sister companies) is surprising in our view, though we believe the impact is credit neutral.
We move to “Buy” from “Hold” on the NWDEVL notes, as we view the yields as attractive.