In today’s briefing:
- PICC’s (1339 HK) Lifetime Low Implied Stub
- Xinyi Glass (868 HK): More Resilient Than Perceived
- Tian Tu Capital IPO Trading – Subscription Rates Were Lukewarm
- China Power International (2380 HK): Continuing the Turnaround Trend
- Morning Views Asia: AAC Technologies Holdings, Tata Motors ADR
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PICC’s (1339 HK) Lifetime Low Implied Stub
- People’s Insurance (PICC) (1339 HK) is currently trading at an all-time low implied stub.
- Stripping out PICC’s 68.98% stake in PICC Property & Casualty H (2328 HK), the market is assigning HK$35.6bn less for its steady and profitable life/health insurance stub ops, year-to-date.
- PICC is outperforming the HSI. It’s just that PICC P&C is on a hot streak, possibly driven (pun intended) by EV insurance.
Xinyi Glass (868 HK): More Resilient Than Perceived
- Xinyi Glass Holdings (868 HK)‘s stable auto glass business is often overlooked, making up 39% of the company’s gross profit in 1H23.
- Given the current valuation of 7x 2023E PE and 1.3x 2023E PB, the risk reward is skewed to the upside, and downside is protected with the stable auto glass business.
- The company’s management has been aggressively increasing stake in the company in the last 2 months, gobbling up 11 million shares.
Tian Tu Capital IPO Trading – Subscription Rates Were Lukewarm
- Tian Tu Capital (1390587D CH) raised around US$144m in its Hong Kong IPO.
- Tian Tu Capital (TTC) is a private equity/venture capital investor and fund manager with a focus on Chinese consumer brands and companies.
- We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.
China Power International (2380 HK): Continuing the Turnaround Trend
- Power output for China Power International (2380 HK) is healthy in Jul-Aug, following the solid trend in 1H23. The drop in hydropower has moderated and wind and solar stayed decent.
- Capacity growth will reach 43% in FY23. With just 7.8% YoY in 1H23, most of the new capacity will be added in 4Q23, accelerating both output and profitability.
- The parent SPIC’s massive clean energy assets are candidates for potential injection. CPI’s high EPS CAGR of 28.8% means that it well deserves premium valuation multiples.
Morning Views Asia: AAC Technologies Holdings, Tata Motors ADR
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.