In today’s briefing:
- Lalatech IPO: The Bear Case
- Hysan Dev. 14 HK: Lack of Visible Catalyst with Low Trading Liquidity, Limited Re-Rating Potential
- Yibin City Commercial Bank Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- [iQIYI (IQ US, BUY, TP US$6.25) Rating Change]: Competitive Advantage Is Established, Raise to BUY
- Rookie International Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- Morning Views Asia: Greenland Holdings Corp, Sunny Optical Technology Group
Lalatech IPO: The Bear Case
- Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd (LALA HK), a leading logistics transaction platform, has filed for an HKEx IPO to raise US$1 billion, according to press reports.
- In Lalatech IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
- The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, KPIs declining growth, declining revenue visibility, maiden profitability built on a shaky foundation and barely positive underlying FCF.
Hysan Dev. 14 HK: Lack of Visible Catalyst with Low Trading Liquidity, Limited Re-Rating Potential
- In this insight, we conducted fundamental analysis and look at major share price drivers for Hysan Development, who is a major landlord in Hong Kong
- Hysan Development has a simple business model and owns a retail/office portfolio in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Its retail properties are largely tourist-centric
- Despite trading at attractive valuation, the stock has low trading liquidity. Also there is no visible catalyst which means there is little chance for re-rating for the stock
Yibin City Commercial Bank Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- Yibin City Commercial Bank Co Ltd (1315463D CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are CCBI and ICBC.
- Yibin City Commercial Bank (YCCB) is a city commercial bank in Yibin, Sichuan Province of China.
- As per CBIRC Yibin Office, it was the largest bank in Yibin in terms of total assets as of Dec 22.
[iQIYI (IQ US, BUY, TP US$6.25) Rating Change]: Competitive Advantage Is Established, Raise to BUY
- We raise iQIYI’s membership/ads growth in 2Q23 from 12.9%/10.6% to 15.7%/22.4% YoY because of high quality content and recovery of major advertisers.
- We upgrade iQIYI’s rating to BUY because:1) iQIYI exhibits advantages in content quality and production capabilities. 2) Major advertisers are expected to increase their advertising budgets continuously.
- Emergency of mini drama is another variable for the Chinese online video industry. However, we anticipate the impact on iQIYI is relatively limited currently.
Rookie International Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- Rookie International (1962144D CH) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by Citic Securities and CMBI.
- Rookie International is a fully-integrated operator of childrenswear brands in Greater China. It operates a portfolio of childrenswear brands, by designing, manufacturing and distributing branded products in Greater China.
- It generates revenue primarily by selling licensed products which it has self-designed or curated under the brands (for which it has access to licenses) in Greater China.
Morning Views Asia: Greenland Holdings Corp, Sunny Optical Technology Group
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.