In today’s briefing:
- HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September
- Hailan Holdings (2278 HK): Conditional Offer Open but Success Is Daunting
- JD Property IPO: The Bull Case
- Mobvoi IPO Preview
- JD Property Pre-IPO Peer Comparison – Small Amongst Giants, and Sentiment Isn’t the Greatest
- Morning Views Asia: NagaCorp Ltd, Sino-Ocean Service, Tata Motors ADR
- Weilong Delicious Global IPO Lock-Up – Now for the Re-IPO with 10x Increase in Free Float
HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September
- Trip.com (9961 HK) and Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) could replace Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) and Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) at the upcoming rebalance in September.
- Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.2% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$744m. The official capping will be done based on closing prices from 29 August.
- Short interest has been rising on the potential adds and short covering could take the stocks higher, especially Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK).
Hailan Holdings (2278 HK): Conditional Offer Open but Success Is Daunting
- Hailan Holdings (2278 HK)‘s voluntary conditional offer from its controlling shareholder at HK$3.36 per share is open. The IFA opines that the offer is fair and reasonable.
- The offer is subject to a 90% minimum acceptance condition – the offeror holds at least 90% of the offer shares and the disinterested shares.
- The acceptance condition is daunting due to the high hurdle rate and the lack of a bump. The current gross spread of 5.0% equals the premium to the undisturbed price.
JD Property IPO: The Bull Case
- JD Property (JDP HK)/JDP, a leading modern infrastructure provider in Asia, has filed for a US$1 billion HKEx IPO. JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) owns a 74.96% stake.
- JDP is the third and second largest modern infrastructure provider in Asia and China, respectively, in terms of GFA, according to JLL.
- The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, market share gains, reducing dependence on JD Group, core business’ accelerating organic growth and improving margin.
Mobvoi IPO Preview
- Mobvoi is getting ready to complete its IPO in Hong Kong in the coming weeks. Mobvoi is aiming to raise US$200 million to US$300 million in this IPO.
- Given the exceptional interest in AI related companies such as ChatGPT and NVIDIA, the current environment should be an opportune time for Mobvoi to complete its IPO.
- Furthermore, Mobvoi has achieved a strong growth in sales and operating profits in 2022 which is also likely to drive higher interest in this IPO.
JD Property Pre-IPO Peer Comparison – Small Amongst Giants, and Sentiment Isn’t the Greatest
- JD Property (JDP HK) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
- JD Property (JDP) develops and manages modern infrastructure, consisting primarily of logistics parks, as well as business parks and other assets in China and in Asia.
- We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes, in this note we will undertake a peer comparison.
Morning Views Asia: NagaCorp Ltd, Sino-Ocean Service, Tata Motors ADR
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.
Weilong Delicious Global IPO Lock-Up – Now for the Re-IPO with 10x Increase in Free Float
- Weilong Delicious Global (9985 HK), a spicy snack food company in China, raised around US$130m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 2022.
- According to F&S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 6.2%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories
- In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.