Daily Brief China: Alibaba Group Holding , China Resources Beverage, Midea Group Co Ltd A, Shuangdeng Group Co Ltd, SUNeVision Holdings, Duality Biotherapeutics, China Vanke and more

• Back in August 2017, Xingxuan Technology, a privately held Cayman Islands company operating in the online food delivery space in China, was transferred by way of a statutory merger. 
• The buyer was Alibaba Group (9988 HK)-backed Rajax, the key seller, Baidu (9888 HK). The dissenter, having paid US$125mn for its shares, was offered cash/scrip worth an estimated US$42mn.
• The dissenter considered terms low-balled. The judge agreed. The uplift? 659%.

• China Resources Beverage (CRB HK), China’s largest purified drinking water company, has received HK listing approval for a US$1 billion IPO.
• In CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
• The bear case rests on core business’ pricing pressure, a slow pace of revenue diversification, a sizeable pre-IPO dividend, and margin and FCF generation below its key peer. 

• Media reports indicate that Midea Group (000333 CH) has priced its H-shares IPO at HK$54.8/share, the top of the range. That is a 19.85% discount to the A-shares.
• Reports also indicate that the IPO was oversubscribed multiple times with Hillhouse and GIC putting in large orders. That could result in the Offer Size Adjustment Option being exercised.
• The exercise of the Offer Size Adjustment Option will take the IPO raise to HK$31bn (US$3.98bn) and index inclusion in some of the larger indices will become a lot easier.

• Shuangdeng Group Co Ltd (JISHUZ CH) is looking to raise about US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by CICC, CCBI and Huatai.
• Shuangdeng Group Co Ltd is engaged in energy storage business for big-data and telecommunication industries with a focus on design, R&D, manufacturing and sales of energy storage batteries and systems.
• It was ranked first among global telecom base station and data-center energy storage battery providers in terms of shipment volume, achieving a 10.4% market share in 2023, according to F&S.

• Hong Kong market is range bound with conglomerates showing strength over the last few weeks.  As the CNY/HKD strengthens the A/H premium should narrow.
• SUNeVision Holdings (1686 HK) reported good results on the back of increased demand driven by the AI sector. 
• Yum China Holdings (9987 HK),Yum China Holdings (YUMC US) reported flat sales and an increase in operating profit in a difficult fast food retail environment in China.

• Duality Biotherapeutics, a China-based clinical-stage biotechnology company, plans to raise up to US$300m via a Hong Kong listing.
• In this note, we examine the company’s two core products, namely DB-1313 (HER2 ADC) and DB-1311 (B7-H3 ADC). We think the company’s products are not yet convincing.
• While the management has expertise as biotech investors, biotech-related operational experience seems to be lacking.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Adaro Energy
• China Vanke
• Greentown China