In today’s briefing:
- Alibaba (9988 HK): 1Q24, Brilliant Result After Reorganization, 90% Upside
- Alibaba: A Quick Take on 1QFY24
- Hongkong Land: Exchange Square Sale Would Be BIG News. (If True)
- [Huitongda (9878 HK, SELL, TP HK$20.5) TP Change]: Downsizing Minority Interest Drive up Earnings
- Taste Gourmet : Strong Q1 FY24 In The Bag, H1 FY24 and Future Looking Solid
- Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Sino-Ocean Service, Wynn Macau Ltd
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Alibaba (9988 HK): 1Q24, Brilliant Result After Reorganization, 90% Upside
- The revenue growth rate rose to 14% in 1Q24, compared to the past four stagnant quarters.
- All businesses continued to improve their margins, so that the general operating margin rose to 19% in 1Q24 versus 12% in 1Q23.
- We believe the re-organization is successful and the stock price is overly impacted. Buy.
Alibaba: A Quick Take on 1QFY24
- Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)‘s 1QFY24 revenue and OP beat consensus by RMB 9.2bn and RMB 14.4bn respectively, possibly on the back of a successful 6.18 shopping festival.
- It looks like Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) has decided to abandon its New Retail Strategy and instead, put more effort into e-commerce, especially on popular platforms like Taobao and Tmall.
- Although this is a good-sign and could rally the stock short-term, we would still steer clear of Alibaba as we remain skeptical about the overall health of the Chinese economy.
Hongkong Land: Exchange Square Sale Would Be BIG News. (If True)
- According to Sing Tao, two PRC firms and a mainland bank have formed a consortium to acquire Hongkong Land (HKL SP)‘s 33-storey Three Exchange Square.
- This “news” is straight out of left field. For its part, HKL said the market rumour is pure speculation.
- HKL’s P/B of 0.24x is closing in on its all-time low of 0.21x during the depths of Covid.
[Huitongda (9878 HK, SELL, TP HK$20.5) TP Change]: Downsizing Minority Interest Drive up Earnings
- We expect Huitongda (HTD) 1H23 revenue in-line with consensus, and non-IFRS NI 15.6% lower than consensus.
- The lower bottom-line is due to 1) product mix change result in lower gross margin; 2) higher impairment loss from account receivables due to its SME focused model.
- We maintain the stock as SELL. We raise TP by HK$2.5 to HK$20.5 to factor in the upward revision of NI from downsizing of minority interest.
Taste Gourmet : Strong Q1 FY24 In The Bag, H1 FY24 and Future Looking Solid
- Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) reported its Q1 FY24 with revenues up 47% YoY and core profits up 349% YoY. We believe that the company will report stronger revenues in Q2.
- The restaurant count increased from 39 to 42 by the end of Q1 FY24 for HK. As of the latest date, the company has 46 restaurants in HK.
- The company also had 126.5 mn HKD of net cash at the end of Q1 FY24 (vs 118 mn HKD in FY23), almost 20% of the current market capitalization.
Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Sino-Ocean Service, Wynn Macau Ltd
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.