ConsumerDaily Briefs

Consumer: Rakuten Inc, Emperador Inc, New Oriental Education & Technology Group, DoorDash Inc, Allied Blenders & Distillers, Kura Sushi Inc, Marico Ltd and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Rakuten’s Fortunes Could Change With The Rakuten Bank IPO
  • Emperador SGX Secondary Listing: Scotch, Not so Neat
  • A New New Oriental?
  • Amazon’s Grubhub Deal Worse for DoorDash than Uber
  • Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO Tear Sheet
  • Kura Sushi (2695): Dominates Sushi Market with Sanrio Power
  • Marico Ltd – Weak Consumption Trends Weigh on 1QFY23 Volume

Rakuten’s Fortunes Could Change With The Rakuten Bank IPO

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • One of Japan’s largest internet companies, Rakuten Inc (4755 JP) applied to list its consolidated subsidiary, Rakuten Bank (EBANKZ JP) on the Tokyo Stock Exchange on the 4th of July.
  • With steady customer account growth mostly assured through leveraging Rakuten’s eco-system with more than 36.0m monthly active users, Rakuten Bank is likely to be valued at over ¥500bn.
  • Thus, we think the Rakuten Bank IPO could change Rakuten’s fortunes and help the share price bounce back from a 10-year low level.

Emperador SGX Secondary Listing: Scotch, Not so Neat

By Arun George

  • Emperador Inc (EMP PM) is pre-marketing a secondary listing on the SGX IPO by raising US$300-500 million, according to press reports. 
  • Emperador has established a track record of decent revenue growth, profitability and cash generation over the years. 
  • While the fundamentals are solid the valuation looks full in comparison to peers and historical trading ranges. 

A New New Oriental?

By Evelyn Zhang

  • Oriental Selection achieves high-speed user growth through bilingual livestreaming, thanks to Douyin’s  algorithmic recommendation mechanism before 6/18 ecommerce, after 6/18 the increase in the follower numbers & GMV dropped sharply.
  • The unit price of the product is below average, due to the focus on produce and books, Agricultural livestreaming has always been a difficult to grow category
  • 10%-15% Commission  is lower than industry average, and subsequent supply chain control and 1st party products have lower margins.

Amazon’s Grubhub Deal Worse for DoorDash than Uber

By Aaron Gabin

  • Amazon announced a partnership with TKWY’s Grubhub where Amazon Prime members will get one year free of Grubhub+ membership.
  • Amazon has the option to take a 2% stake in Grubhub which could grow to 15% depending on performance conditions.
  • Deal is a direct shot at DoorDash’s Dashpass subscription program, which is 30% of DASH’s customers and accounts for ~50%? of GOV… expect a price cut to stave off churn.

Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO Tear Sheet

By Sumeet Singh

  • Allied Blenders and Distillers (ABD) is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ISec, Axis, JM Fin, Kotak and Equirus.
  • ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY21.
  • It had a market share of 8.2% in the IMFL market by sales volumes in FY21. Its products are retailed at over 64,000 outlets in India.

Kura Sushi (2695): Dominates Sushi Market with Sanrio Power

By Mita Securities

  • Same-store sales were 108.6% vs. June 2021 (113.6% for May), 101.5% vs. June 2020 (128.0% for May), and 98.9% vs. June 2019 (102.4% for May)
  • The company ran a Sanrio Characters campaign in June. The prizes featuring popular characters such as “Cinnamoroll” seem to have been well received by the customers
  • The number of stores at the end of June was 516 in Japan (+2 MoM), 37 in the U.S. (flat MoM), and 46 in Taiwan (+1 MoM). The total number of stores was 599 (+3 MoM)

Marico Ltd – Weak Consumption Trends Weigh on 1QFY23 Volume

By Nirmal Bang

  • Tepid demand leads to mid-single-digit volume decline in India business: MRCO’s domestic business (~77% of revenue) saw mid-single-digit volume decline in 1QFY23, largely dragged by a sharp drop in Saffola Oils, which had high in-home consumption in the base quarter and also witnessed significant downtrading from super premium to mass segment in Edible Oils.
  • Gross margins to stay flat sequentially: Trends seen in certain key raw materials for MRCO in 1QFY23: (i) Copra prices remained soft, (ii) Edible and crude oil prices cooled off to some extent towards the end of the quarter.

  • View & Valuation: Barring the recent quarters (affected by overall deceleration in market demand), MRCO’s core portfolio has delivered a strong performance and the company continues to make efforts towards meeting its medium-term growth aspirations.

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