ConsumerDaily Briefs

Consumer: LG Energy Solution, KOMEDA Holdings Co Ltd, La Opala Rg Ltd, Torikizoku and more

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSPI200 Lockup Release Events: LG Energy Solution, HYBE, Lotte Chilsung, & Krafton
  • Komeda Holdings (3543): Solid Wholesale Sales in May; Accelerating Overseas Expansion
  • La Opala RG – Positive Demand Outlook; Bright Prospects for Borosilicate
  • Torikizoku Holdings (3193): Izakaya Earnings No Longer Tricky but Predictable

KOSPI200 Lockup Release Events: LG Energy Solution, HYBE, Lotte Chilsung, & Krafton

By Sanghyun Park

  • HYBE and LG Energy have overhang risks. 2% of SO for HYBE and 3% for LG Energy will potentially hit the market. These are 4.46x and 19.89x ADTVs, respectively.
  • LG Energy is awaiting FTSE inclusion (June 17) and Solactive ETF inclusion (end-October). Still, from a timing perspective, these passive inflows are unlikely to offset the July 27 lockup release.
  • Their short interest is 1.63% (HYBE) and 0.46% (LG Energy), respectively. So, we need to consider a position buildup when their short interest shows significant upside movements.

Komeda Holdings (3543): Solid Wholesale Sales in May; Accelerating Overseas Expansion

By Mita Securities

  • Wholesale sales to franchisees (same-store basis) in May were 109.0% vs. May 2021 (103.7% for April), 146.1% vs. May 2020 (195.1% for April), and 104.3% vs. May 2019 (103.6% for April)
  • The number of stores at the end of May was 966 (flat MoM). Komeda opened one new store in Japan.
  • Menu prices were raised on April 1 for company-owned stores and on April 28 for franchise stores. Wholesale price hikes are scheduled in 2H.

La Opala RG – Positive Demand Outlook; Bright Prospects for Borosilicate

By Nirmal Bang

  • Strong underlying demand, shift towards premium range and rising salience of e- commerce:

    4QFY22 revenue was well above pre-covid level and similar momentum has continued in 1QFY23, led by growth across channels

  • LOG has an edge in Borosilicate despite being a late entrant: Borosilicate capacity is expected to be commissioned in 2HFY24 and should start contributing to revenue meaningfully from FY25 (peak revenue potential of Rs1.25bn).
  • Revamping distribution strategy: Appointment of dedicated persons to lead the channels has led to improvement overall total distribution reach (19,000 outlets compared to 14,000 a couple of years ago) as well as its quality.

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Torikizoku Holdings (3193): Izakaya Earnings No Longer Tricky but Predictable

By Mita Securities

  • Sales were 13.260bn yen (-6.9% YoY), OP was -2.583bn yen (vs. -2.588bn yen in 1-3Q FY7/21), and RP was 1.817bn yen (vs. -2.027bn yen in 1-3Q FY7/21)
  • RP includes subsidy income of 4.404bn yen (vs. 389m yen in 1-3Q FY7/21). Same-store sales growth for company-owned stores was -6.6% YoY.
  • On April 28, the company raised the price of all dishes from 327 yen (298 yen without tax) to 350 yen (319 yen without tax) at all Torikizoku stores

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