ConsumerDaily Briefs

Consumer: Gree Electric Appliances, CP FOODS, Pan Pacific International Holdings, One Enterprise Public Co Ltd, Central Retail Corp Ltd, Genting Malaysia, Carvana Co, Yamaha Motor, Hero Motocorp, Britannia Industries and more

In today’s briefing:

  • FTSE China A50 Index Rebalance Preview: PetroChina, Gree Out Due to Ground Rule Change
  • CP Food (CPF TB): Vietnamese Ops To List On HCM Exchange
  • Pan Pacific International: A Reasonably Strong Third Quarter Warrants Further Upside
  • ONEE: Expect Earnings to Grow YoY and QoQ in 1Q22
  • CRC: Expect Strong Earnings Growth YoY in 1Q22
  • Genting Malaysia (GENM.KL) – Post Endemic Phase (1 Apr 2022) Observations
  • Solvency Risk Short Candidates: Carvana, Life Time Group, Bed Bath & Beyond, Surgery Partners
  • Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) | Staying the Course in Choppy Macro Waters
  • Hero MotoCorp – Attractive Valuation, 2W Upcycle & EV Transition to Drive Rerating
  • Britannia Industries: Volume Growth Encouraging; Maintaining Near-Term Profitability A Challenge

FTSE China A50 Index Rebalance Preview: PetroChina, Gree Out Due to Ground Rule Change

By Brian Freitas


CP Food (CPF TB): Vietnamese Ops To List On HCM Exchange

By David Blennerhassett

  • CP Vietnam (CPV), an 82%-held unlisted subsidiary of CP FOODS (CPF TB) (CPF), has applied for a listing on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange
  • CPV, an integrated agro-industrial and food business play in Vietnam, generated Bt111.1bn of sales in FY21, accounting for 21.7% of CPF’s revenue.
  • CPV forms part of Cp Pokphand (43 HK) which was privatised in January this year. 

Pan Pacific International: A Reasonably Strong Third Quarter Warrants Further Upside

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Although consensus looks a bit challenging, there could be a decent OP beat yet again in the third quarter.
  • Meanwhile Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP)’s valuation is still cheap and has decent potential for multiple expansion.
  • Thus, there could be more upside to PPIH if the company dismisses whatever the remaining concerns over profitability through a reasonably strong third-quarter performance.

ONEE: Expect Earnings to Grow YoY and QoQ in 1Q22

By Pi Research

  • We anticipate channel ONE average all day rating to climb back to top-5 tier channel by 2H22after fell down to no.7 in 1Q22.A recovery in rating will instantly benefit group 
  • We expect the company to report 1Q22 net profit at Bt219m (+13%YoY +7%QoQ), the highest level in the past three quarter.
  • NEE still hold strong position in the digital TV industry with high potential growth of contents distribution via online platforms, other businesses that started to contribute great portion of profit

CRC: Expect Strong Earnings Growth YoY in 1Q22

By Pi Research

  • We reiterate our BUY rating for CRC with a target price of Bt43.0, based on DCF (WACC of 8.2% and TG of 2%), implying 35xPE’23E, close to Thai commerce sector.
  • We expect CRC to report 1Q22 net profit at Bt1.2bn (+208%YoY, -48%QoQ).
  • YoY growth will be supported by a recovery in sales from fashion business both Thailand and Italy, a solid demand recovery from tourism related parties, and government stimulus 

Genting Malaysia (GENM.KL) – Post Endemic Phase (1 Apr 2022) Observations

By Maybank Research

  • Maintain BUY call with lower TP of MYR3.30 (-2%)
  • Cut FY22E EPS but FY23E/FY24E EPS little changed
  • RWG VIP market intact post borders reopening
  • RWG mass market to get a boost from Singaporeans

Solvency Risk Short Candidates: Carvana, Life Time Group, Bed Bath & Beyond, Surgery Partners

By Eric Fernandez, CFA

  • This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows.  It considers interest expense, capex and short term maturities for additional input. 
  • The companies may not be viable given cash flows and capital structures.  These shorts tend to have  higher betas  and can have strong down moves as the crisis is recognized. 
  • This week we flag: Carvana, Life Time Group, Bed Bath & Beyond, Surgery Partners

Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) | Staying the Course in Choppy Macro Waters

By Mark Chadwick

  • The share price of Yamaha Motors has sunk to a low of 1x book on concerns that the marine business has peaked 
  • Recent results and commentary from Brunswick suggest that the market remains as buoyant as ever 
  • We would be buying the stock ahead of earnings, expecting a similarly bullish outlook from Yamaha 

Hero MotoCorp – Attractive Valuation, 2W Upcycle & EV Transition to Drive Rerating

By Nirmal Bang

  • Operationally in-line results: Hero Moto reported revenue of Rs74.2bn, which was in line with our estimate. ASP stood at Rs62.4k/vehicle.
  • Attractive valuation amid 2W recovery and EV opportunity: We value Hero Moto at 15x FY24E EPS and assign Hero Fincorp/Ather Rs96/Rs200 per share value to arrive at a TP of Rs3,161.
  • We are baking in EPS AGR of 26% over FY22-24E, led by 14% CAGR growth in volume and 150bps margin expansion.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Britannia Industries: Volume Growth Encouraging; Maintaining Near-Term Profitability A Challenge

By Axis Direct

  • BRIT’s top line improved by 15.5% YoY in Q4FY22 but remained flattish QoQ. The company reported revenues of Rs 3,508 Cr, up 15.5% YoY, driven by mid-single digit volume growth of 4% on account of share gains from unorganized players
  • Gross Margin (GPM) of 37.3% in Q4FY22 was lower than 136bps YoY owing to a sharp QoQ and YoY rise in prices of RMs like palm oil and crude that impacted prices of packing material and transport costs
  • Retain HOLD with revised TP of Rs 3,650 (earlier Rs 3,700), valuing BRIT at 43x PE its FY24E EPS.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


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