ConsumerDaily Briefs

Consumer: Giordano International, Tesla Motors, Kirin Holdings, Crown Resorts, Haier Smart Home Co Ltd, Ryohin Keikaku, Monogatari Corp, PTG Energy PCL, Bharat Forge and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Giordano’s Possible Privatisation Price
  • Tesla Slips From #1 to #3 in Korea
  • Kirin: Holdco Trade Has More Room to Run, Also Outright Attractive
  • Crown Resorts: Regulatory Approvals Falling Into Place
  • Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Still Looking for a Decent Year
  • Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP) | No Time to Bargain Hunt
  • Monogatari Corporation (3097): Extremely Strong May Sales; Small Meeting for Sell-Side Analysts
  • PTG : Improving Sales & Marketing Margin
  • Bharat Forge – CY22 Outlook Strong; Moderate Growth Expectations in CY23

Giordano’s Possible Privatisation Price

By Arun George

  • Giordano International (709 HK) entered a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers on 8 June.  
  • It is likely that the family of Cheng Yu Tung (the largest shareholder with a 24.4% stake) could either agree to sell into the offer or roll over its shares.
  • The median trailing EV/EBITDA multiple of the precedent transactions is 5.1x, implying a privatisation price of at least HK$2.46 per share.

Tesla Slips From #1 to #3 in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • Hyundai’s IONIQ 5 surpassed Tesla’s Model 3 within a year of its launch. Hyundai’s IONIQ 5 was the best selling EV in Korea in January to May 2022.
  • Tesla EV sales in the first five months in Korea slipped to number three from its number one position in the same period last year. 
  • Hyundai Motor is expected to introduce IONIQ 6 later this year. However, Elon Musk mentioned that Tesla will not launch any new models until 2023 at the earliest

Kirin: Holdco Trade Has More Room to Run, Also Outright Attractive

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • The Holdco trade involving Kirin Holdings (2503 JP), which we suggested last year has generated over 33% during the last 12 months against Topix’s 3.8% and Nikkei’s 2.6%.
  • We expect additional gains from this Holdco trade mostly alongside improvements in the core-business EBITDA expectations.
  • In addition, Kirin is looking outright positive with multiple catalysts assisting Kirin to turn around price performance.

Crown Resorts: Regulatory Approvals Falling Into Place

By David Blennerhassett

  • Into the final straight. Victora and NSW have signed off on Blackstone’s proposed acquisition of Crown Resorts (CWN AU).
  • Gaming regulatory approval from Western Australia remains outstanding, but this is done. Crown’s conduct in WA was no better – or worse – than it was in Victoria and NSW.
  • Trading super tight with potentially another month or so until payment.

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Still Looking for a Decent Year

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) sees mid-to-high single digit revenue growth for 5M22; and with many cities out of lockdown now, the re-acceleration trend is gathering pace. 
  • China market experienced lesser cost pressure than overseas, with its gross margin expanded on a YoY basis. Cost containment measures should help to preserve flat YoY overseas margin.  
  • Reliance on property market has reduced, with growth mainly comes from upgrade demand. Its high-end brand Casarte stays as a growth engine with 5M22 revenue recording double-digit increase. 

Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP) | No Time to Bargain Hunt

By Mark Chadwick

  • Muji’s historically low valuations are no reason to get excited. We think normalisation is still several quarters out
  • China growth was the key valuation driver, but Muji faces continued headwinds from sporadic lockdowns and weak foot traffic
  • Rising costs are new problem for Muji in the domestic market. The company will remain behind the curve on price hikes, leading to weaker margins

Monogatari Corporation (3097): Extremely Strong May Sales; Small Meeting for Sell-Side Analysts

By Mita Securities

  • Same-store sales for company-owned stores were 141.7% vs. May 2021 (123.9% for April), 227.3% vs. May 2020 (743.9% for April), and 110.5% vs. May 2019 (102.7% for April).
  • May sales were extremely strong, and the impression is positive.

  • The company does not plan to revise prices for Yakiniku King. The company believes that it can control the cost of sales ratio by optimizing the menu mix, adjusting the portion volume per dish, improving the handling of ingredients, and enhancing the side menu

PTG : Improving Sales & Marketing Margin

By Pi Research

  • The 2Q-2H22 outlook looks promising, thanks to solid oil sales volume growth owing to economic recovery from COVID grip and revamping tourism activities. The improving oil marketing margin 
  • Recovering MM should drive 2Q22 earnings : We expect the 2Q22 earnings to improve QoQ on the back of better sales volume and marketing margin.
  • The oil marketing margin should pick up to Bt1.7/liter in 2Q22(+3% QoQ)and remain at 1.7-to-1.8/Liter range in 2H22.From management guidance, the oil sales volume inched up 5% MoM and YoY

Bharat Forge – CY22 Outlook Strong; Moderate Growth Expectations in CY23

By Emkay

  • HCV volume growth outlook intact in CY22; moderation in expectations for CY23
  • CY22 PV demand outlook positive, but supply issues persist: Volkswagen and Mercedes expect up to 10% growth in CY22 in their global businesses, led by pending order books and low channel inventories.
  • Robust CY22 outlook for industrials: Volvo and John Deere expect the construction equipment (CE) and tractor segments to grow by 5-20% in the North America and Europe regions in CY22, driven by higher commodity prices and infra spends.

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