China

Brief China: Yincheng Intl (银城国际) IPO Quick Note: A Highly Levered Nanjing Developer Bet and more

In this briefing:

  1. Yincheng Intl (银城国际) IPO Quick Note: A Highly Levered Nanjing Developer Bet
  2. Another US LNG Project Goes Ahead: Positive for the Contractors; Negative for Others Looking to FID
  3. Last Week in GER Research: Best World, Graincorp, Myob and New Century IPO
  4. Trade Talks/Huawei/ Stock Surprise/Monetary Policy /Greater Bay Area

1. Yincheng Intl (银城国际) IPO Quick Note: A Highly Levered Nanjing Developer Bet

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Yincheng International, a China Yangtze delta focused property developer, is raising up to USD 110 million to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. In this note, we will cover the following topics:

  • The company’s property portfolio
  • Financial performance that concerns us
  • Shareholders and use of proceeds
  • Our view on the deal

2. Another US LNG Project Goes Ahead: Positive for the Contractors; Negative for Others Looking to FID

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US private LNG company Venture Global is starting construction on its 10 million ton per annum (mtpa) US LNG export facility in Louisiana after gaining approval from the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). This is positive for the LNG contractor market and we discuss the companies involved in the project. 

This follows final investment decision taken on Golden Pass (Exxon and Qatar Proceed with US$10bn Golden Pass LNG Terminal: Positive for Chiyoda and MDR US) and supports our thesis of a large wave of new projects that will be sanctioned in the coming months (A Huge Wave of New LNG Projects Coming in the Next 18 Months: Positive for The E&C Companies). This was viewed as a relatively speculative project and with aggressively low cost and timing estimates.

Source: Venture Global

3. Last Week in GER Research: Best World, Graincorp, Myob and New Century IPO

In this version of the GER weekly research wrap, we assess the controversy surrounding potentially inflated revenue concerns for Best World International (BEST SP) . Secondly, we dig into the latest M&A situation for Graincorp Ltd A (GNC AU) amidst a testy AGM and a slow resolution to a binding bid which may limit a bump. In addition, we update on the KKR bid for MYOB Group Ltd (MYO AU) which Arun contends is unlikely to receive a counter bid due to KKR’s blocking stake. Finally, we initiate on the IPO of hotelier Zhejiang New Century Hotel Management Group (ZHEKAIH HK).  A calendar of upcoming catalysts is also attached. 

More details can be found below. 

Best of luck for the new week – Rickin, Venkat and Arun

4. Trade Talks/Huawei/ Stock Surprise/Monetary Policy /Greater Bay Area

China News That Matters

  • Nearing an agreement?
  • Can´t live with ´em, can´t live without ´em.
  • Just a trillion greenbacks up since January.
  • Prudence please, no “flood-style” irrigation. 
  • Wear flowers in your hair.

In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.

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