In this briefing:
- Trade Talks/Huawei/National People’s Congress/Deleveraging/Stocks
- China Auto: Rate of Decline Moderating but Too Early to Call a Recovery
1. Trade Talks/Huawei/National People’s Congress/Deleveraging/Stocks
China News That Matters
- Getting closer… though Trump might just walk away
- The most beautiful phones in the world?
- Rubber stamps and reading between lines
- Mission accomplished for deleveraging?
- Sitting on a volcano
In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.
2. China Auto: Rate of Decline Moderating but Too Early to Call a Recovery
The uptrend in China’s PV retail sales yoy rates has spilled over into the Chinese auto stocks. However we think it’s too early to conclude that China’s auto demand is recovering. yoy rate of retail sales in Dec 2018 was extremely low partly due to the distortion of China APT rate change. In Jan 2019, China’s PV retail sales remained weak with a 4% yoy decrease. Weekly data in Feb rebounded strongly because of distortion of Chinese New Year holidays. Industry experts estimate a 15% yoy decline on China’s PV retail sales in Feb, which indicates a 8% yoy decline in 2M2019. While the rate of decline has moderated it is too early to conclude China’s PV demand is recovering.
Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma
Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.
