China

Brief China: China Housing: Early Indicators For Sales Volumes In 2019 and more

In this briefing:

  1. China Housing: Early Indicators For Sales Volumes In 2019
  2. Memory Chips and the Elasticity Myth
  3. Dexin China (德信中国) Post IPO – Poor Trading Liquidity, Top Ten Placees Hold 76% of IPO Shares

1. China Housing: Early Indicators For Sales Volumes In 2019

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China housing markets start 2019 off a record high base in 2018 in terms of new home sales volumes. With the official NBS January-February data at the national level only expected to be published mid-March, we take a brief look at the early indicators for January-February in the weekly data to February 24 and January data for some major cities and average contract sales for select developers.

2. Memory Chips and the Elasticity Myth

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During recent earnings calls memory chip makers have postulated that the market will return to higher margins once price elasticity causes demand to increase.  This popular myth needs to be treated with great skepticism since, as this Insight will reveal, short-term price elasticity has a negligible impact upon memory chip sales if it has any impact at all.

3. Dexin China (德信中国) Post IPO – Poor Trading Liquidity, Top Ten Placees Hold 76% of IPO Shares

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Dexin China Holdings (2019 HK) raised US$189m in at HK$2.80 per share, at the mid-point of its IPO price range. We have previously covered the IPO in:

In this insight, we will update on the deal dynamics, implied valuation, and include a valuation sensitivity table.

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