In this briefing:
- China Blood Products: Deals Highlight Values
- CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Attractive, Lilly Asia Doubling Up (Part 4)
- NVIDIA’s $6.9 Billion Mellanox Band-Aid Is A Strategic Misstep
- HK Connect Discovery Weekly: Eligibility Adjustment (2019-03-15)
- China Risun (中国旭阳) – Quick Post-IPO Trading Update
1. China Blood Products: Deals Highlight Values
Grifols SA (GRF SM) and Shanghai RAAS Blood Products Co Ltd (002252.SZ) recently announced an asset exchange that effectively combines the companies’ blood products operations in China. This transaction marks the third investment (two are cross-border) into the industry in the last two years. Despite some challenges arising from recent healthcare reforms, the industry has favorable supply/demand dynamics and high barriers to entry. US-listed China Biologic Products (CBPO US) trades at a significant discount to the implied private market values, but requires patience as management adjusts to the new operating environment.
2. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Attractive, Lilly Asia Doubling Up (Part 4)
CanSino Biologics started its book building today to raise up to USD 160 million to list in Hong Kong. In our previous insights (links provided below), we provided a detailed analysis of the company’s core drug candidates, its shareholders and our thoughts on valuation. In this insight, we will cover the following topics:
- Recap of our valuation
- Highlight of cornerstone investors
- Our thoughts on the deal
Our coverage on Cansino IPO
- CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Promising Pre-Clinical Results but Vaccine Scandal Weighs (Part 1)
- CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Thoughts on Valuation (Part 2)
- CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Update (Part 3)
3. NVIDIA’s $6.9 Billion Mellanox Band-Aid Is A Strategic Misstep
On March 11’th 2019, Nvidia announced the acquisition of market leading high-speed interconnect company Mellanox for $6.9 billion in an all-cash deal. At first blush, the benefits touted by both companies and accepted by most commentators make sense and the deal will be immediately accretive to both EPS and revenues upon closing according to NVIDIA.
However, the clear and present threat to NVIDIA’s future success has little to do with interconnect technologies. Rather, it is the competitive challenge to their GPU solutions for data center acceleration from a broad spectrum of alternatives from the likes of Alphabet, Baidu, Intel, Xilinx, Advanced Micro Devices etc, not to mention the host of custom-ASIC accelerator startups poised to launch their products this year. The acquisition of Mellanox will do nothing to address this situation and we see it as being a distraction from where the company really needs to be focusing.
It will serve one purpose though, as a BandAid to mask the otherwise inevitable decline in its data center revenue growth in the face of ever-increasing competition.
4. HK Connect Discovery Weekly: Eligibility Adjustment (2019-03-15)
In our Discover HK Connect series, we aim to help our investors understand the flow of southbound trades via the Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine. We will discuss the stocks that experienced the most inflow and outflow by mainland investors in the past seven days.
We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: component stocks in the HSCEI index, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.
In this insight, we will provide an analysis of the performance of selected stocks that just joined the Stock Connect last week.
5. China Risun (中国旭阳) – Quick Post-IPO Trading Update
China Risun (1907 HK) raised USD 202 million at HKD 2.80 per share, near the low end of its IPO price range. We have previously covered the IPO in:
In this insight, we will update on the deal dynamics, implied valuation, and include a valuation sensitivity table.
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