In this briefing:
- 58.com (WUBA): Weak Membership Growth Suggests More Volatile Performance, 17% Downside
- Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?
- Trade Talks/Huawei/National People’s Congress/Deleveraging/Stocks
1. 58.com (WUBA): Weak Membership Growth Suggests More Volatile Performance, 17% Downside
* We believe that the stagnancy in membership was due to the new competitor Ke.com and will make total revenues more volatile in the future.
* We assume total revenues will slow down, but the operating margin will be stable in 2019.
* We compare WUBA’s expected P/E for 2019 with other vertical platforms in China and conclude 17% downside.
2. Sea Ltd: Follow-On Public Offering an Opportunistic Fundraising?
- We evaluate the attractiveness of Sea Ltd’s (SE US) US$1 bn follow-on public offering announced last Fri.
- This offering is a typical opportunistic fundraising as its ADR price has recently surged.
- At assumed deal price of US$21, SE post deal would trade at 4.6x 2019E P/adjusted sales (excl. 1P e-commerce sales), vs. peers average of 5.2x.
- We would recommend investors to go for the deal if it is priced at US$20 or lower.
3. Trade Talks/Huawei/National People’s Congress/Deleveraging/Stocks
China News That Matters
- Getting closer… though Trump might just walk away
- The most beautiful phones in the world?
- Rubber stamps and reading between lines
- Mission accomplished for deleveraging?
- Sitting on a volcano
In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.
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