In today’s briefing:
- Perfect Medical 1830 HK: The Perfect HK Recovery Play
- Giordano’s Retail Recovery Will Force the Cheng Family into a Rethink
- Deewin Tianxia IPO – Losing Market Share in a Fragmented Market, Coupled with Pricey Valuation
- Weilong Delicious IPO: Not Very Delicious
- Giordano (709 HK): Cheng Family’s Offer (Even) Less Viable After Positive Profit Alert
- Morning Views Asia: CIFI Holdings, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, Times China
Perfect Medical 1830 HK: The Perfect HK Recovery Play
- Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK) is a recovery play for HK/China beauty trading at 11.8x PE FY23, with a dividend yield of 8.5% (assuming a 100% payout).
- With net cash (including investments) of 565 mn HKD ( > 10% of market cap ), the company is primed for M&A in an environment where restrictions have weakened competitors.
- The chairman’s recent buying of shares ( representing a 0.41% stake ) and the company share repurchase ( representing 0.08%) indicate the company’s confidence in its prospects.
Giordano’s Retail Recovery Will Force the Cheng Family into a Rethink
- Giordano International (709 HK)’s 1H22 net profit is expected to be in the range of HK$91-101 million, which represents YoY growth of 52-68%. Interims will be out in early August.
- The clear sign of a retail recovery diminishes the prospect of the Cheng family’s low-ball offer of HK$1.88 per share hitting the 50%+ minimum acceptance threshold.
- The offer price has not been declared final suggesting that the Cheng family retains some room to test shareholder appetite with an improved offer.
Deewin Tianxia IPO – Losing Market Share in a Fragmented Market, Coupled with Pricey Valuation
- Deewin Tianxia (2418 HK) is looking to raise up to US$147m in its Hong Kong IPO.
- Deewin Tianxia (DT) is a service provider in the commercial automobile service industry in China.
- Listing sentiment hasn’t been the greatest as of late and the tepid cornerstone list doesn’t help.
Weilong Delicious IPO: Not Very Delicious
- Weilong Delicious is a is a leading spicy snack food company in China with a market share of 6.2% and ranked first among all spicy snack food enterprises in China.
- The company’s application for a HKEx IPO has been approved and plans to raise proceeds of about US$500m.
- Our analysis on the company’s financials reveal that its top line growth is slowing down while margins have come under pressure. We discuss the details below.
Giordano (709 HK): Cheng Family’s Offer (Even) Less Viable After Positive Profit Alert
- After the close of trading yesterday, Giordano International (709 HK) announced a positive profit alert
- Giordano expects an interim net profit of HK$91mn-HK$101mn, a 52%-68% increase over the corresponding period.
- The Cheng family’s HK$1.88/share Offer was low-balled from the onset. Substantial shareholder David Webb agrees. This deal is dead without a bump.
Morning Views Asia: CIFI Holdings, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, Times China
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.
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