In today’s briefing:
- ECM Weekly (3rd Apr 2022)- JD, Tencent, Prosus, One Store, SK Shieldus, FWD, Ferretti, Recbio, Belle
- Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: MSCI, KOSDAQ150, HSCEI, KT Corp, JD.com, Tabcorp
- Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877 HK): Uncertainties Prevailing Ahead of First U.S. Drug Approval
- Jin Jiang Capital’s H Share Class Meeting on 26 April, IFA Opinion
- SMIC (981.HK): Local Demand Is Very Strong, but EUV Embargo Is Constrained Technical Growth Still.
ECM Weekly (3rd Apr 2022)- JD, Tencent, Prosus, One Store, SK Shieldus, FWD, Ferretti, Recbio, Belle
- Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
- Placements continued to flow in, at a slower pace than last week, with Malaysia and ANZ chipping in.
- While the HK IPO scene failed to produce anything noteworthy with its two listing, South Korea appears to be leading the charge, once again.
Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: MSCI, KOSDAQ150, HSCEI, KT Corp, JD.com, Tabcorp
- There are two weeks to the start of the review period for the MSCI May SAIR. There are expected to be many changes to the stocks and their FIFs.
- There will be passive buying in JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) from Hang Seng trackers in June, while KT Corp (030200 KS) is a high probability MSCI inclusion in May.
- There were big inflows to the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM US) ETF and iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG US) during the week.
Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877 HK): Uncertainties Prevailing Ahead of First U.S. Drug Approval
- Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)’s oncology drug candidate toripalimab marketing application is currently under priority review by the FDA, with a target action date of April 30, 2022.
- However, FDA may reject toripalimab application, as it is predominantly based on China clinical trial data. Toripalimab may also face delay in FDA decision due to delayed regulatory inspection.
- PD-1 drug market in the U.S. is intensely competitive, making the commercialization prospect of a new drug quite difficult. Toripalimab reported muted performance in China due to pricing headwind.
Jin Jiang Capital’s H Share Class Meeting on 26 April, IFA Opinion
- Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK)‘s H Shareholders’ class meeting is scheduled for 26 April. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable.
- The 10% blocking stake is 2.50% of outstanding shares (10.00% of H Shares). The two H Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive. There is no minimum acceptance condition.
- At last close and for a 17 May payment date, the gross and annualised spread to the total offer is 1.6% and 15.7%, respectively.
SMIC (981.HK): Local Demand Is Very Strong, but EUV Embargo Is Constrained Technical Growth Still.
- SMIC will spend ~US$5bn in Capex in 2022, of which only the Beijing Fab is 12”, and Shenzhen and Tianjin are 8” Fabs.
- SMIC has three major trends: 1) the local demand is booming rapidly, 2) Auto, industry and others have developed actively, and 3) Huawei’s event had made a great impact.
- We note SMIC’s capacity of each Fab is an estimation because 1) the local governments’ subsidies are somewhat complicated, and 2) it is involved with three local governments in 2022.
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