Equity Bottom-Up

Brief Equities Bottom-Up: Sing Holdings – Surge in Full-Year Earnings with a Surprise Hike in Dividend. 67% Upside. BUY. and more

In this briefing:

  1. Sing Holdings – Surge in Full-Year Earnings with a Surprise Hike in Dividend. 67% Upside. BUY.
  2. Naspers: Softbank Buyback a Guide for Naspers?

1. Sing Holdings – Surge in Full-Year Earnings with a Surprise Hike in Dividend. 67% Upside. BUY.

Sing Holdings (SING SP) announced its FY18 full-year results this evening.

Results were largely in line with expectations.

Take-up rate at Parc Botannia improved from 62% in 3Q FY19 to 66% in 4Q FY19. With the biggest agency in Singapore marketing the project, sales at Parc Botannia is expected to pick up in 2019.

A key surprise in Sing Holdings’ FY18 results was the 20% hike in its dividend to 1.2 S-cents per share in FY18.

My fair value for SHL is pegged at S$0.66 per share, implying an upside potential of 67%. I maintain my BUY recommendation on Sing Holdings Ltd.

2. Naspers: Softbank Buyback a Guide for Naspers?

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Recently, Softbank’s (9984 JP) shares jumped +18% after announcing a $5.5bn share buyback. Using Smartkarma’s holdco monitor, the discount to NAV had widened to around 55% prior to the announcement but is now sitting around 40-45%. There were a few key reasons for the buyback: (1) the Softbank Corp (9434 JP) (KK) IPO netted $20bn, giving the company the flexibility to do the buyback, and (2) Softbank is taking a more disciplined approach to further platform investments.

Both these arguments are also available to Naspers (NPN SJ) management and a move to buy back 5% of market cap is feasible and we believe would narrow the discount. The question is whether management are listening. They have been dismissive of buybacks in the past but this could change.

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