Equity Bottom-Up

Brief Equities Bottom-Up: GOLD:  Expect FY1Q19 Earnings to Be Bottom Out and more

In this briefing:

  1. GOLD:  Expect FY1Q19 Earnings to Be Bottom Out

1. GOLD:  Expect FY1Q19 Earnings to Be Bottom Out

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GOLD reported FY1Q19 net profit of Bt459m (-26%YoY, -13%QoQ), the lowest in past six quarters. The FY1Q19 result was 21% of our full-year forecast and 10% lower than our forecast.

  •  The disappointed FY1Q19 result (ending Dec 18) was mainly due to flat sales from real estate at Bt3.76bn which contribute 89% of total sales. Meanwhile, gross margin also fell to 30.4% compared to 32.3% in FY1Q18 due to higher marketing cost. We expect FY1Q19 earnings to be the bottom out as the company adjusted down unit selling price in order to boost sales during the last quarter last year.
  • We maintain our positive outlook toward its FY2019-20 performance and beyond driven by new projects and upside from sale of FYI CENTER to GVREIT and operate the Sam Yan Mitrtown large mixed-use complex.

We maintain our forecast and BUY rating with a target price of Bt15 based on 13xPE’19E.

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