Equity Bottom-Up

Brief Equities Bottom-Up: Celltrion Healthcare: Well, We Were Warned and more

In this briefing:

  1. Celltrion Healthcare: Well, We Were Warned

1. Celltrion Healthcare: Well, We Were Warned

Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS) reported preliminary 2018 results that were dramatically short of expectations as the company cut shipments to reduce distributors’ inventories. Management had announced plans to shift to a direct sales model to get better control over pricing decisions, but the magnitude of Q4’s shortfall (94% decline in revenue) raises questions about the role of “channel stuffing” in boosting prior periods’ results. In addition, we expect some spillover effect on Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)‘s Q4’s results. This Insight discusses the results in brief and contrasts Celltrion Healthcare’s results with those of Samsung Bioepis. 

We continue to avoid these stocks.

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