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Daily Brief United States: Uber, Lyft Inc, Trimble Navigation, Coca Cola Co, Etsy Inc, Iridium Communications, Coeptis Therapeutics Holdings, Soluna Holdings, Inter Parfums and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Uber Technologies Inc.: Major Drivers
  • Lyft Inc.: A New Bid To Attract Eco-Conscious Customers – Major Drivers
  • Trimble Inc.: Major Drivers
  • Coca-Cola Q1 Earnings Preview: Factors To Consider
  • Etsy Inc.: Major Drivers
  • IRDM: Compounding Free Cash Flow
  • Coeptistx (COEP) Deverra Deal Flash Note 20042023
  • Soluna Holdings, Inc – Project Dorothy Energized at Last!
  • IPAR: Demand Outpacing Expectations

Uber Technologies Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Uber Technologies Inc. has delivered good results during this quarter and managed an all-around beat with a positive bottom-line.
  • The overall situation is in favor of the company as the competitive environment is getting better.
  • We give Uber Technologies Inc. a ‘Hold’ rating with a revised target price.

Lyft Inc.: A New Bid To Attract Eco-Conscious Customers – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lyft’s Q4 financial performance was mixed as it reported wider-than-expected losses despite surpassing the revenue expectations of Wall Street.
  • The company saw a mix of high demand for ride-sharing services, an improving supply, and promising early results from its cost-cutting initiatives.
  • Its overall revenue for 2022 increased by 28% compared to 2021 and the company added $375 million to its insurance reserves.

Trimble Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Trimble Inc had a disappointing result and failed to meet Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.
  • The challenges in terms of the supply chain remained the same in the business environment, which has also affected the operations of the company.
  • Trimble delivered over 20% organic growth in ARR in addition to high levels of ACV software bookings and cross-sell bookings.

Coca-Cola Q1 Earnings Preview: Factors To Consider

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Inflationary headwinds in Latin America might have had a material effect in Q1.
  • However, Coca-Cola’s EMEA and North American results will probably blossom once more.
  • Most are non-core and unlikely to influence the stock’s valuation, KO stock is fairly valued.

Etsy Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Etsy Inc delivered a mixed set of results during the quarter and managed to surpass the revenue expectations of analysts but its profitability was below par.
  • The company’s management claims that its overall reach and consumer demand have increased and the services offered by the company are differentiated.
  • The company’s marketing programs, including the Star Seller program, continued to benefit the company.

IRDM: Compounding Free Cash Flow

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IRDM reported first quarter results continuing its recent trend of adding more billable subscribers to its network. 
  • The first quarter is seasonally a period when there are fewer maritime customers, but Internet of Things (“IOT”) data subscribers grew sequentially
  • Equipment revenue has grown over the past year. IRDM’s partners do not stock inventory. Therefore, any planned installs should result in higher subscriber revenue as these units are activated

Coeptistx (COEP) Deverra Deal Flash Note 20042023

By ACF Equity Research

  • Binding exclusivity to acquire or license Deverra Therapeutics’ platform asset 
  • CAR-T + GEAR COEP platforms could plug into Deverra platform
  • Other key assets – 2x FDA approved PI INDs for CD34+ NK Cells.

Soluna Holdings, Inc – Project Dorothy Energized at Last!

By Water Tower Research

  • Project Dorothy now energized. ERCOT (grid operator) has given final approval to energize the first 50 MW of Soluna’s game-changing Project Dorothy.
  • The long-delayed project had been held up by ERCOT while it implemented its new Interim Large Load Interconnection Process to ensure grid reliability.
  • Energization sets the stage for signing hosting contracts at Project Dorothy. Soluna can now finalize and begin receiving revenues from hosting contracts at Project Dorothy.

IPAR: Demand Outpacing Expectations

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IPAR announced its first quarter sales highlighting the continued momentum in demand the Company has been seeing in recent quarters. 
  • IPAR’s major brands each grew by more than 20 percent compared to the year ago period. 
  • IPAR raised full year sales and EPS outlook as the business continues to run with brisk demand

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Daily Brief United States: Adtran Inc, S&P 500 INDEX, Bitcoin, MillerKnoll and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Jun 23: SMA Solar, Hochtief, Adtran, Aroundtown
  • Favor Defensives as S&P 500 Tests 4165-4200; Buys in Consumer Staples & Europe/UK Telecomm
  • The Binance Effect
  • Setting the Record Straight: Tweet Twists Truth About CEO Compensation

Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Jun 23: SMA Solar, Hochtief, Adtran, Aroundtown

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity’s estimates for the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices.
  • At present, I do not see any movements between the DAX and MDAX indices.
  • However, there could be two changes between the MDAX and SDAX index and there could be one more ADD/DEL for the SDAX index.

Favor Defensives as S&P 500 Tests 4165-4200; Buys in Consumer Staples & Europe/UK Telecomm

By Joe Jasper

  • The S&P 500 is approaching the 4165-4200 area; we continue to believe this will cap upside in 2023, but we also acknowledge that a move to 4300-4325 is possible
  • Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives, particularly Health Care (XLV), Utilities (RYU, XLU), Consumer Staples (XLP), and precious metals miners (GDX)
  • 10-Year and 30-Year Treasury yields testing short-term resistance while the US dollar (DXY) tests support at $101-101.50.

The Binance Effect

By Kaiko

  • The events of the last few months, namely the relentless regulatory enforcement and the banking crisis have upended crypto exchange market structure.
  • During a bear market, consolidation among exchanges is expected.
  • However, as the SEC targets specific exchanges and leave some cutoff from USD payment rails, many exchanges have been left at a competitive disadvantage.

Setting the Record Straight: Tweet Twists Truth About CEO Compensation

By Water Tower Research

  • As sensitive as this may be, we feel an obligation to correct misinformation on social media and put some context on a related news report about an internal MillerKnoll video town hall that leaked.
  • MLKN was down ~2.5% on Tuesday, more than its peers and competitors. Misinformation may have contributed to the stock action.
  • First, the misinformation: A tweet Tuesday shows CEO Andrea “Andi” Owen rallying employees.

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Daily Brief United States: RCI Hospitality Holdings, Acadia Pharmaceuticals, Context Therapeutics, Darden Restaurants, Datadog Inc, Lear Corp, Monster Beverage, Roku, Square Inc, Verizon Communications and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Sales Accelerate in March Resulting in a Revenue Beat; Multiple Growth Catalysts in Place
  • Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD US): No Hallucination; Clear Path of Accelerated Growth Ahead
  • Context Therapeutics – R&D webinar highlights CTIM-76’s potential
  • Darden Restaurants Inc.: Digital Growth
  • Datadog Inc: Expansion Through New AI Capabilities & Cloud Security – Key Drivers
  • Lear Corporation: Benefits From Kongsberg Acquisition – Key Drivers
  • Monster Beverages Corp: Continued Supply Chain Challenges – Key Drivers
  • Roku Inc.: The SVB Nightmare & Other Developments
  • Block Inc: The Hindenburg Impact & Other Developments
  • Verizon: Key Considerations For Dividend Investors And The Upcoming Quarterly Results

Sales Accelerate in March Resulting in a Revenue Beat; Multiple Growth Catalysts in Place

By Water Tower Research

  • Following the company’s fiscal 2Q sales release, our thesis remains intact.
  • We are encouraged by the improving sales trends RCI experienced in March and early April.
  • Further, we see several catalysts on the horizon to provide for accelerating growth over the next 12-18 months.

Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD US): No Hallucination; Clear Path of Accelerated Growth Ahead

By Tina Banerjee

  • Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD US) markets CNS drug Nuplazid, which is cash flow positive with increasing profitability since 2019. Acadia has guided for Nuplazid revenue of $520M–550M for 2023.
  • On April 17, Acadia has launched in-licensed drug Daybue in the U.S. for the treatment of Rett syndrome in adult and pediatric patients two years of age and older.
  • Nuplazid is being evaluated for negative symptoms of schizophrenia with top-line results expected in early 2024. In-house drug candidate ACP-204 is in Phase 1 trial for Alzheimer’s disease psychosis.

Context Therapeutics – R&D webinar highlights CTIM-76’s potential

By Edison Investment Research

Context Therapeutics’ April R&D webinar included takeaways from its poster presentation on CTIM-76 preclinical data at the AACR Annual Meeting in April 2023. The presentation highlighted the development of Context’s CLDN6 program and rationale for selecting CTIM-76 (a CLDN6xCD3 targeting bispecific antibody) as its new lead candidate (following the recent discontinuation of the ONA-XR program). We remind readers that while the therapeutic benefits of targeting CLDN6 (expressed on a variety of malignant tumor cells but rarely in healthy tissue) are well recognized, development hitherto has been hampered by a lack of selectivity and off target toxicities. Preclinical data presented by Context suggest that CTIM-76 selectively binds to CLDN6 with a potentially beneficial safety profile. The latest Phase I data in solid tumors from BioNTech’s CLDN6 CAR-T asset BNT211 (33% overall response rate, ORR; n=21) highlight the potential of a CLDN6-targeting therapy and are an encouraging read-across for this asset class, including CTIM-76.


Darden Restaurants Inc.: Digital Growth

By Baptista Research

  • Darden Restaurants had a strong quarter and exceeded the market expectations with respect to the top and bottom lines.
  • Despite an 8% increase in hourly wages, restaurant labor was 120 basis points better than the previous year due to sales leverage.
  • Since Darden used higher revenues to leverage higher inflation on utilities and higher repairs and maintenance costs, restaurant expenses were 40 basis points better than the previous year.

Datadog Inc: Expansion Through New AI Capabilities & Cloud Security – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Datadog had a successful Q4, with a 44% year-on-year increase in revenue, bringing it to $469 million.
  • While user growth with existing customers was slower, Datadog made up for it with new logo acquisition and new product cross-sales, having their strongest new logo quarter to date.
  • Datadog released their latest product, universal service monitoring, to general availability during the quarter, which greatly expanded their capabilities, bringing their total number of generally available products to 17.

Lear Corporation: Benefits From Kongsberg Acquisition – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lear had a strong quarterly performance and managed an all-around beat.
  • Its sales increased by 10% to $5.4 billion, and core operating profitability rose by 67% to $265 million.
  • The Lear Forward initiative also improved the company’s cash flow performance.

Monster Beverages Corp: Continued Supply Chain Challenges – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Monster Beverages’ last result was a colossal disappointment as the company faced challenges meeting the increased demand for its products due to the rampant supply chain issues.
  • Despite these issues, the company reported a 3.1% increase in operating income, driven by increased input costs and selling expenses.
  • The company saw positive results from its Java Monster line, with increased sales and increased share in its coffee plus energy category.

Roku Inc.: The SVB Nightmare & Other Developments

By Baptista Research

  • Roku struggled amidst the controversy associated with its huge exposure to SVB (nearly 26% of its total cash reserves).
  • The collapse of the bank resulted in a significant level of panic among the company’s investors.
  • While Q4 platform revenue exceeded its estimates and platform revenue was up 5% year over year to $731 million, inflation and macroeconomic uncertainties continue to put pressure on consumers and advertisers.

Block Inc: The Hindenburg Impact & Other Developments

By Baptista Research

  • Block’s stock has been in the news and faced a strong correction after becoming the latest target of Hindenburg.
  • The report alleges that Block has overstated its genuine user counts and has understated its customer acquisition costs.
  • It was damaging enough to result in a sharp correction in the company’s share price.

Verizon: Key Considerations For Dividend Investors And The Upcoming Quarterly Results

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • Verizon is scheduled to report its quarterly results next week.
  • Verizon’s share price has become oversold, according to analysts.
  • The company is set to report quarterly results for the first time in two years next week, and investors should know what to expect.

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Daily Brief United States: First Solar Inc, Bristol Myers Squibb Co, Colgate Palmolive Co, Factset Research Systems Inc, LianBio, Paychex Inc, Biomarin Pharmaceutical, XWELL and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • First Solar Inc: A Strong Start To 2023 – Key Drivers
  • Bristol-Myers Squibb.: Pipeline Progress & Cancer Breakthroughs – Key Drivers
  • Colgate-Palmolive Co: Improved Focus On Pet Nutrition & Whitening – Key Drivers
  • FactSet Research Systems Inc.: Collaboration On Continuus Technologies & Other Developments
  • LianBio (LIAN US): 2023 Is Going to Be Data Heavy; Current Cash Runway Raises Commercialization Hope
  • Paychex Inc.: Strong Margin Expansion & Other Drivers
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: A Story Of Two Possible Game Changers & Generics Competition – Key Drivers
  • 4Q22 Results Slightly Better than Expected; Business Transformation Continues in 2023

First Solar Inc: A Strong Start To 2023 – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • First Solar entered 2023 with an improved financial, operational, and commercial position with increased R&D, new international and domestic capacity coming online as well as a new Series 7 product.
  • The company commenced initial production at its next-generation Series 7 factory in Ohio will continue to ramp this year.
  • Furthering its manufacturing program, First Solar recently announced an innovative 3.5-gigawatt Series 7 factory in Alabama and also a 0.9-gigawatt rise to nameplate capacity at its Ohio factories.

Bristol-Myers Squibb.: Pipeline Progress & Cancer Breakthroughs – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Bristol-Myers Squibb reported another strong quarter which happened to be an all-around beat.
  • The sales of Global Opdivo reflect robust demand for its newly launched and also a core indication of double-digit growth.
  • Moreover, Bristol-Myers launched all nine new medicines, which include three first-in-class products.

Colgate-Palmolive Co: Improved Focus On Pet Nutrition & Whitening – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Colgate entered 2023 on a positive note with decent top-line momentum and delivered an all-around beat in the last result.
  • The company saw good growth in organic sales in four categories which include double-digit growth in organic sales in Pet Nutrition.
  • Colgate, is launching the Optic White Pro Series and its new MPS whitening technology all over the world.

FactSet Research Systems Inc.: Collaboration On Continuus Technologies & Other Developments

By Baptista Research

  • FactSet Research Systems delivered a mixed set of results for the last quarter.
  • The company’s organic ASV plus professional services growth increased by 9.1% year over year, driven by solid client growth and its sales team’s effective implementation of its pricing increase in the Americas.
  • We give FactSet Research Systems a ‘Hold’ rating with a revised target price.

LianBio (LIAN US): 2023 Is Going to Be Data Heavy; Current Cash Runway Raises Commercialization Hope

By Tina Banerjee

  • LianBio (LIAN US) is expected to report pivotal data from late-stage trials of its drug candidates as well as file for marketing approval for mavacamten in China in 2023.
  • Lead candidate mavacamten has potential blockbuster opportunity in China. LianBio has entered into commercialization agreement with Pfizer for sisunatovir in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Singapore.
  • With current cash position sufficient to fund operations through the end of 2024, LianBio is well positioned to become a commercial-stage company.

Paychex Inc.: Strong Margin Expansion & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Paychex produced strong financial results, with third-quarter total revenue growth of 8% and adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of 12%.
  • It managed to deliver an all-around beat Revenue for Management Solutions climbed 7% to $1 billion because of new product attachments and auxiliary HR services.
  • The continued high demand for their ERTC service accounted for about 1% of the quarter’s revenue growth.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: A Story Of Two Possible Game Changers & Generics Competition – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • BioMarin gave a mixed performance in the quarter and failed to meet the revenue expectations of Wall Street despite delivering a double-digit top-line growth.
  • Its total revenues for the quarter showed an increase despite the continued erosion of the KUVAN market in the US.
  • Moreover, lower KUVAN product revenues are mostly because of generic competition due to the loss of market individuality in the US.

4Q22 Results Slightly Better than Expected; Business Transformation Continues in 2023

By Water Tower Research

  • XWELL reported 2022 results that were slightly better than preliminary results issued on March 30.
  • Revenues for the quarter were $7.5 million, with $4.5 million coming from the spa business (XpresSpa and Treat), $2.6 million from the CDC program and the one remaining XpresCheck location, and $.5 million from HyperPointe.
  • While 1Q is usually a slower quarter for the travel industry, we expect the company to continue to focus on improving the profitability of its spa business primarily through the closure of a few stores that don’t contribute to profitability.

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Daily Brief United States: Gold, Micron Technology, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Nike, Ethereum, Chevron Corp, Incyte Corp, Carnival Corp, Carmax Inc, Otis Worldwide Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Soft commodities dominate 2023 – US orange crop falls to 86-year low
  • Micron Technology: How This DRAM & NAND Leader Is Surviving In A Challenging Market – Key Drivers
  • Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.: Advancements In Healthcare & Key Drivers
  • Nike Inc.: Continued Franchise Expansion
  • ETH’s Big Post-Shapella Rally
  • Chevron Corporation: U.S. Production Growth & Other Developments
  • Incyte Corporation: Continued Diversification In Derma & Oncology – Key Drivers
  • Carnival Corporation: Improving Liquidity For The Cruise Leader – Key Drivers
  • CarMax Inc.: A Mixed Bag Auto Retail Player – Key Drivers
  • Otis Worldwide: Equipment Growth & Acceleration Of Service Portfolio – Key Drivers

Soft commodities dominate 2023 – US orange crop falls to 86-year low

By The Commodity Report

  • USDA on Tuesday pegged the 2022-2023 U.S. orange crop at 62.25 million boxes (2.57 million tonnes), an 86-year low and down 23% on the year.
  • That is less than 20% of U.S. output in the record 1997-1998 season.
  • Florida, which has previously accounted for more than 80% of the annual U.S. orange crop, is seen producing an 87-year low of 16.1 million boxes, down 61% on the year.

Micron Technology: How This DRAM & NAND Leader Is Surviving In A Challenging Market – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Micron Technology’s results in the quarter were disastrous as the company failed to meet the revenue expectations of Wall Street and reported wider-than-expected losses.
  • Total fiscal revenue was down, whereas DRAM revenue represented 74% of the total revenue.
  • Revenue from the Mobile Business Unit was up and Embedded Business Unit revenue was down.

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.: Advancements In Healthcare & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Walgreens Boots Alliance produced a strong second quarter which happened to be an all-around beat.
  • Also, this quarter served as a turning point in their transition to the healthcare industry.
  • Besides that, Boots had a fantastic quarter in the international segment, achieving retail comp growth of 16% over the same period last year.

Nike Inc.: Continued Franchise Expansion

By Baptista Research

  • Nike delivered another strong quarter with revenue growth across all geographies, channels, and brands.
  • It had strong digital growth, fueled by increased traffic on its apps and mobile.
  • In APLA, the brand momentum of Nike continues to fuel strong growth.

ETH’s Big Post-Shapella Rally

By Kaiko

  • Last week, the Shapella upgrade went live without a hitch, enabling millions of staked ETH to be withdrawn.
  • While Ethereum’s Merge upgrade last September was more of a “buy the rumor sell the news” type of event, Shapella appears to have had the opposite impact on price.
  • ETH spot prices dropped by nearly 18% post-Merge while they are up 11% since Shapella, despite fears of mass selling. 

Chevron Corporation: U.S. Production Growth & Other Developments

By Baptista Research

  • Chevron had a decent year in 2022, with improved financial performance, increased production of traditional energy, and progress in developing lower carbon businesses.
  • The company had a mixed result in the last quarter as it surpassed the revenue expectations of Wall Street but delivered lower-than-expected earnings.
  • The company generated decent free cash flows, surpassing its previous high in 2021 by over $15 billion, resulting in a strong dividend increase and a buyback of almost 4% of its shares.

Incyte Corporation: Continued Diversification In Derma & Oncology – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Incyte Corporation generated strong financial performance in the last quarter and managed an all-around beat.
  • Revenues from the commercialized items in the company’s current portfolio increased by 18% year over year.
  • We give Incyte Corporation a ‘Hold’ rating with a revised target price.

Carnival Corporation: Improving Liquidity For The Cruise Leader – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Carnival Corporation had a decent quarter with revenues above expectations and narrower-than-expected losses.
  • The company’s onboard and other revenue continued at a high pace consistent with the second half of 2022, reflecting ongoing consumer strength and the quality of its onboard product.
  • It is intended to give amazing facts personalized to Carnival Cruise Line guests in order to increase revenue yields and margins.

CarMax Inc.: A Mixed Bag Auto Retail Player – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CarMax delivered a mixed result in the fourth quarter as it failed to meet revenue expectations of Wall Street but managed an earnings beat.
  • CarMax Auto Finance generated $1.9 billion, resulting in a penetration of 44.7% net of 3-day payoffs.
  • The weighted average contract rate paid to new clients was 10.9%, an increase of 110 basis points from the third quarter and 270 basis points from the same time the previous year.

Otis Worldwide: Equipment Growth & Acceleration Of Service Portfolio – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Otis entered the year with good momentum and delivered an all-around beat with improved organic growth in its last result as it continues to execute its four strategic pillars – advancing digitization, accelerating service portfolio growth, and sustaining new equipment growth while focusing on and empowering the organization.
  • Strong service performance, particularly on price and volume, was partially offset by commodities in new equipment, mixed headwinds, and higher corporate costs.
  • The pricing on new equipment orders in the quarter rose, led by the Americas, with a solid performance in APAC and EMEA.

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Daily Brief United States: Ethereum and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • The New Frontier

The New Frontier

By Etherbridge

  • The true emerging market of our time is the digital economy.
  • As technology advances, we witness rapid online business growth and an increasing reliance on digital solutions.
  • This burgeoning sector knows no borders, with its educated, innovative citizens distributed worldwide.

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Daily Brief United States: Tesla Motors and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Market Share Loss for Tesla Korea Accelerating in 1Q 2023

Market Share Loss for Tesla Korea Accelerating in 1Q 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • The fact that Tesla Korea is losing its market share significantly in Korea portends increased challenges for Tesla Motors on a global basis. 
  • The number of new Tesla vehicles registered in Korea was 1,303 units in 1Q 2023, down 52% YoY. 
  • In this insight, we provide three major reasons for Tesla’s market share losses in Korea. We also provide Tesla Korea’s 2022 results analysis.

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Daily Brief United States: Amazon.com Inc, Prudential Financial, International Business Machines, Old Dominion Freight Line, Schwab (Charles), West Pharmaceutical Services Inc, Dover Corp, EURO/US DOLLAR and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Amazon: Having A Long-Term View Doesn’t Mean You Should Disregard Immediate Risks
  • Prudential PLC: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion In Emerging Markets & Other Drivers
  • IBM: Don’t Be Fooled By Recent Share Price Performance
  • Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
  • Charles Schwab Q1 Earnings Preview: Volatility En Route
  • West Pharmaceutical Services Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
  • Dover Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Developments
  • EURO-USD Cross Rate

Amazon: Having A Long-Term View Doesn’t Mean You Should Disregard Immediate Risks

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • After losing nearly a third of its value, Amazon looks more attractive than a year ago.
  • Investors should be mindful of recency bias when evaluating Amazon’s share price attractiveness.
  • The unique business model also poses some risks that should be considered regardless of one’s investment horizon.

Prudential PLC: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion In Emerging Markets & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Prudential, a major provider of life and health insurance.
  • Prudential had a very strong quarter with 19% sales growth.
  • Despite slower revenue recognition in the life insurance market, the company has been witnessing strong cash flows and returned over $800 million to shareholders in the latest quarter.

IBM: Don’t Be Fooled By Recent Share Price Performance

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • IBM has delivered a positive return of nearly 20% over the past two years, but that has little to do with actual business performance.
  • In addition to sluggish growth, IBM’s declining profitability remains a problem.Issues related to the company’s high debt load, low dividend coverage and an addiction to acquisitions have not gone away.
  • Being an IBM (NYSE:IBM) shareholder hasn’t been easy over the years as the market continues to make new highs, while IBM still trades at levels from 2010.


Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on a major LTL shipping company, Old Dominion Freight Line.
  • As a result, the company delivered double-digit growth in earnings per diluted share in the fourth quarter.
  • Besides that, the productive labor expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased by 170 basis points within their direct operating costs, while their purchase transportation costs decreased by 200 basis points.

Charles Schwab Q1 Earnings Preview: Volatility En Route

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Charles Schwab is due to release its first-quarter 2023 earnings report on Monday.
  • The firm’s sell-side trading activities remain in decline.
  • The company’s elevated price-to-book multiple is a severe concern as slowing growth, a goodwill build-up, and recent impairment losses provide structural problems.

West Pharmaceutical Services Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on West Pharmaceutical Services, a major manufacturer of injectable medication delivery and packaging systems.
  • West Pharmaceutical reported an all-around beat in its last result and generated about 8% growth in organic sales overall.
  • With COVID-19 excluded, West anticipates that its base organic sales growth was in the low double digits, with proprietary product growth in the mid-teens.

Dover Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Developments

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Dover Corporation, a multifaceted international manufacturer offering cutting-edge machinery and parts, consumables, aftermarket components, software and digital solutions, and support services.
  • The company’s last result was an all-around beat resulting from a good execution by the management and better price dynamics.
  • Demand for services, consumables, and pricing decisions helped the quarter be profitable.

EURO-USD Cross Rate

By Untying The Gordian Knot

  • While the market has aggressively moved the US rates and the rate expectations lower, the European rates are pricing in higher for longer, with a rate hike possibility still on the cards.
  • In the current market environment, the Dollar crosses are driven by rate differential and sentiment rather than growth differential and geopolitical risk of the Ukraine war.
  • The Cross rate and the 13-day RSI are overlaid with two standard deviations Bollinger Bands to plot the mean reversion boundaries.

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Daily Brief United States: Ethereum, Soluna Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Lifting the Veil on Centralized Exchanges
  • More Milestones Reached on the Path of the Company’s Evolution

Lifting the Veil on Centralized Exchanges

By Kaiko

  • It’s a truism within the industry that crypto is not an effective tool for crime.
  • Yes, it’s possible to send value without an intermediary, but all transactions leave a permanent trace that can become more visible over time as tracking tools improve.
  • It’s even possible to track funds that move through Tornado Cash – a protocol built specifically to enhance privacy by obfuscating token flows. 

More Milestones Reached on the Path of the Company’s Evolution

By Water Tower Research

  • Project Dorothy interconnection now complete and ready for energization.
  • Soluna announced that it has completed the final interconnection construction, setting up for the energization of the first 25 MW phase of the project, which will soon be followed by the 25 MW phase (Dorothy 1B).
  • The final energization requests have been submitted to ERCOT (the grid operator) and we expect the project to be energized in the coming weeks.

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Daily Brief United States: S&P 500 INDEX, VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF, KKR & Co Inc, Perpetua Resources Corp, Unitedhealth Group, Netgear Inc, Blackrock Inc, Verisign Inc, American Express Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • SPX Rally Failure Below 4,200
  • Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%
  • KKR & Co. Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Other Drivers
  • Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) Post-Results FYE22 ACF Equity Research 12042023
  • UnitedHealth’s Q1 Earnings: Don’t Get Too Excited
  • NTGR: Promotion Stability a Positive
  • BlackRock Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
  • VeriSign Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report
  • VeriSign Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Management Focus & Key Drivers
  • American Express Company: Initiation of Coverage – B2b Expansion & Other Drivers

SPX Rally Failure Below 4,200

By Thomas Schroeder

  • Compelling intraday reversal that kissed 4,177. Concern over an early fade below 4,200 was justified and formed a dual top. Fade below 4,165 was negative and used to sell.
  • Growth concerns overshadowing lower inflation (transitioning) and this is a theme that we expect will expand over the summer along with the next round of bank failures/ripples and systemic risk. 
  • Cycle: May/June a more negative cycle. Second half of April is when bull energy dissipates and starts the turning process.

Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%

By Joe Jasper

  • Since late-January/early-February we’ve recommended shifting to defensives considering our belief that 4165-4200 will cap upside on the $SPX in 2023, while also conceding that a reach to 4300-4325 is possible.
  • Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives and believe that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives
  • Defensive Sectors including Health Care (XLV), Utilities (XLU), and Staples (XLP) are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX). 

KKR & Co. Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on a global investment behemoth, KKR & Co.
  • Inc.
  • The company delivered strong set of quarterly results surpassing Wall Street expectations on all fronts.

Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) Post-Results FYE22 ACF Equity Research 12042023

By ACF Equity Research

  • EBIT beat – loss came in lower by 2.43%, Δ $(0.73)m vs. ACF est.;
  • EBITDA beat – loss came in lower by 2.43%, vs. ACF est.;
  • EPS beat (+ fully diluted) loss 4.22% lower vs. ACF est.

UnitedHealth’s Q1 Earnings: Don’t Get Too Excited

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • UnitedHealth Group Inc.’s first-quarter earnings report might settle lower than anticipated as prices on long-term solutions have softened.
  • The company has a rich history of beating earnings estimates, and its cash-based earnings exceeded its accrual-based income in 2022.
  • UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH) is set to release its first-quarter earnings results before trading opens on Friday, the 14th.

NTGR: Promotion Stability a Positive

By Hamed Khorsand

  • NTGR has been going through a product transition cycle in a soft demand environment for more than a year, but recent promotion activity suggests an end could be near
  • The scale of promotions seems to have abated in the first quarter of 2023 even though demand has yet to return.
  • NTGR had been projecting the first quarter would be the low point of the year with sequential revenue growth in the second quarter. 

BlackRock Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on one of the largest asset managers, BlackRock.
  • While the market situation in 2022 was among the most difficult years, BlackRock delivered decent organic growth and ended the year with an all-around beat.
  • The company generated $300 billion in total net inflows in 2022, which led the industry, and experienced positive organic base fee growth.

VeriSign Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

By Baptista Research

  • VeriSign is one of the largest domain name registry services and internet infrastructure providers in the world.
  • It produced solid financial results throughout 2022 while bolstering its vital Internet infrastructure.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different credit strengths and credit risks of the company as well as a line-by-line analysis of the financial statements of the company for the past four years.

VeriSign Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Management Focus & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on the renowned domain name registry services and internet infrastructure provider, VeriSign.
  • It produced solid financial results throughout 2022 while bolstering its vital Internet infrastructure.
  • This was made achievable by conservative expense management, restricted pricing flexibility, and minimal domain name base expansion.

American Express Company: Initiation of Coverage – B2b Expansion & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on American Express, one of the world’s largest integrated payment companies.
  • The company continued the upward trend in Card Member spending, engagement, and retention in the fourth quarter.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of the American Express Company with a ‘Hold’ rating.

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