Category

United States

Daily Brief United States: Amer Sports , Cpi Card Group, EURO/US DOLLAR, Vera Bradley, Eventbrite Inc, Natural Gas, USD, Synaptics Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Amer Sports IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Cpi Card Group Inc (PMTS) – Tuesday, Oct 24, 2023
  • Global Rates: January ECB Meeting and Euro Rate Markets
  • VRA: Snapping the Store; Cleaning Up and Moving On; Reiterate Buy, $10 PT
  • EB: Preview of a Brite Spot
  • How Commodities Perform Around First Rate Cut
  • Global FX: Something’s Starting to Give
  • Synaptics Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionize Your Audio Experience! Discover How SYNA’s AI-Powered Headset is Changing the Game! – Major Drivers


Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Amer Sports IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Amer Sports announced it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion at $16 to $18 per share, targeting a valuation of up to $8.7 billion. 
  • We estimate the company to generate revenue of $5.6 billion (up 23.5% YoY) and operating profit of $285.7 million (down 13.7% YoY) in 2024. 
  • We would pass on this IPO due to lack of valuation merits, highly leveraged balance sheet, and inconsistent profit margins, despite its solid sales growth in the past several years. 

Cpi Card Group Inc (PMTS) – Tuesday, Oct 24, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • CPI Card Group’s debt-to-equity ratio is around 4.5x, higher than ideal but manageable with their cash flow generation.
  • The smallcap downturn has affected the stock negatively, but the current valuation of CPI Card Group is deemed attractive, with a 20% free cash flow yield and 4.6x EV/EBITDA.
  • With strong cash flow, reasonable debt management, and potential share buybacks, it is expected that the stock will increase in value when market sentiment improves.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Global Rates: January ECB Meeting and Euro Rate Markets

By At Any Rate

  • The market is pricing in a 25 basis point cut in the June meeting, with additional easing expected to reach a neutral level by the first half of 2025.
  • The ECB is expected to remain on hold at the upcoming meeting, with the focus on their updated views on growth, inflation, and any forward guidance.
  • The sell-off in recent weeks has been driven by the repricing of monetary easing expectations, but the strategic over duration stance remains comfortable, particularly in the medium term.

This podcast is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.


VRA: Snapping the Store; Cleaning Up and Moving On; Reiterate Buy, $10 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley after visiting stores in Long Island and Connecticut.
  • We believe, after a solid Holiday, Vera Bradley management has adopted two tracks: aggressively clearing older goods at both the full price and outlets stores, including material levels of goods from the back room and providing hints of the upcoming beach/Spring collection for February.
  • We believe Vera Bradley is continuing to evolve under CEO Jackie Ardrey and her team to a more relevant and wider customer base, and we reiterate our Buy rating and $10 price target for VRA.

EB: Preview of a Brite Spot

By Hamed Khorsand

  • EB is leveraging its balance sheet to solidify the top position as an event marketplace. 
  • The pricing plan at EB is not much different than its peers and we view it as more of EB catching up to the rest of the other event sites.
  • The pricing model should become a source of revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth. EB’s competitors have different pricing plans that can make it costly for event creators

How Commodities Perform Around First Rate Cut

By The Commodity Report

  • In a soft-landing economic environment, history suggests that commodity indexes stay stable around the first rate cut then trend higher six months after.
  • Historically, industrial metals tend to lag energy by several months.
  • By contrast, prices of precious metals, especially gold, generally rise six months after the first rate cut then hit a temporary plateau —something we saw even during the extremes of the 2008 financial crisis and the recent pandemic. 

Global FX: Something’s Starting to Give

By At Any Rate

  • The market is pricing in aggressive rate cuts by the Fed, but the data does not fully support this expectation.
  • The dollar has performed well this week, and further upside is plausible due to low-grade US exceptionalism and underwhelming global economic data.
  • The focus on the Fed and US rates is important, but the non-US side should not be overlooked, as there is a stark difference in initial conditions between the US and other G7 rate curves. The rate differentials could lead to a convergence with the US catching up to other rate curves, resulting in a volatile and high-impact dollar trend.

This podcast is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.


Synaptics Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionize Your Audio Experience! Discover How SYNA’s AI-Powered Headset is Changing the Game! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on intuitive human interface solutions provider, Synaptics Incorporated.
  • In its First Quarter 2024 Financial Results , the management addressed the current standing of the company and projected future expectations.
  • Despite the challenging market conditions, Synaptics remains optimistic about its business and expects to see improvements in 2024.

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Daily Brief United States: Micron Technology, Quadro Acquisition One and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Memory Monitor: Microsoft Copilot Will Supercharge Demand for DRAM; SK Hynix, Nanya Tech, Micron
  • The Big Blend


Memory Monitor: Microsoft Copilot Will Supercharge Demand for DRAM; SK Hynix, Nanya Tech, Micron

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • MSFT’s new AI features for Windows will need computers with at least 16GB of DRAM to run effectively. MSFT is asking manufacturers for this as a minimum for AI models.
  • MSFT announced Copilot Pro for individuals and small businesses last week. The desire to use generative AI and the minimum required DRAM will drive accelerated PC upgrades.
  • We note relative strength in 16GB DRAM prices; In Memory space, we continue to see relative value in SK Hynix, however, Nanya has the opportunity to Outperform in Taiwan.

The Big Blend

By subSPAC

  • The previous week was packed with deals, IPOs, and other SPAC-related events.
  • Four new deals were announced, including SPACs taking a conglomerate, an eVTOL company, and Korean and Chinese Biotech firms public.
  • Also, a new SPAC priced its IPO, and SPAC rules could come under the microscope in the week ahead when the SEC meets. 

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Daily Brief United States: Tenable Holdings Inc, Cambium Networks , Culp Inc, Iridium Communications, Kyndryl Holdings , Sensata Technologies Holding P, Teradata Corp, Varonis Systems, Braze Inc, Workiva Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Tenable Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – Unlock the Secrets Behind Tenable’s High Recurring Revenue and Sky-High Margins! – Major Drivers
  • Cambium Networks Corporation – CFO Departure and 4Q23 Miss Driven by Distributor Incentives
  • Culp, Inc. – Updating 3Q Estimate Following WTR Conference Comment
  • Iridium Communications: Initiation of Coverage – Can It Capitalize On The IoT Explosion? – Major Drivers
  • Kyndryl Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – How Kyndryl Consult Is Shaping a New Era of Revenue Generation – Major Drivers
  • Sensata Technologies: Initiation of Coverage – The 4 Biggest Drivers Taking The Company Forward! – Financial Forecasts
  • Teradata Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing Cloud Potential! Why Its Cloud-Based Platform Is the Talk of the Tech World – Major Drivers
  • Varonis Systems: Initiation of Coverage – Can It Come Out A Winner From The SaaS Transition? – Major Drivers
  • Braze Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Discover How Braze’s Innovative Approach Is Setting New Industry Standards – Major Drivers
  • Workiva Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Unveiling Their Winning Strategy in Turbulent Geopolitical and Economic Times – Major Drivers


Tenable Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – Unlock the Secrets Behind Tenable’s High Recurring Revenue and Sky-High Margins! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on cyber exposure solutions provider, Tenable Networks.
  • The company’ Q3 2023 earnings highlighted steady financial performance, strong contributions from its platform products like Tenable One, and overall business growth, particularly in the public sector.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Cambium Networks Corporation – CFO Departure and 4Q23 Miss Driven by Distributor Incentives

By Water Tower Research

  • On January 18, 2024, Cambium preannounced that 4Q23 revenue would likely come in at $40 million, below its guidance of $45.0-50.0 million provided on November 2, 2023.
  • This is the third revenue miss in a row.
  • Cambium stated that the revenue miss was driven by $11 million in distributor incentives in 4Q23.

Culp, Inc. – Updating 3Q Estimate Following WTR Conference Comment

By Water Tower Research

  • Following Culp’s presentation at the WTR Furniture/Furnishings Virtual Conference, we are updating our 3Q estimates.
  • CEO Robert Culp IV warned that 3Q operating income will fall short of previous expectations.
  • The 3Q operating loss will approach $2.2 million, in line with the 2Q operating loss.

Iridium Communications: Initiation of Coverage – Can It Capitalize On The IoT Explosion? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on mobile voice and data communications services provider, Iridium Communications.
  • The company’s Q3 2023 Earnings demonstrated both the company’s resilient growth and emerging challenges in an increasingly competitive environment.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Kyndryl Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – How Kyndryl Consult Is Shaping a New Era of Revenue Generation – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on IT services company, Kyndryl.
  • This increase has been attributed to successful execution of its operations, demonstrating their ability to drive substantial profit growth in the company.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Sensata Technologies: Initiation of Coverage – The 4 Biggest Drivers Taking The Company Forward! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on sensor-based technology solutions provider, Sensata Technologies.
  • The dip in revenue was cited due to factors like market outgrowth slowing over the last 12 months and unfavorable movements in foreign currency.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Teradata Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing Cloud Potential! Why Its Cloud-Based Platform Is the Talk of the Tech World – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on hybrid cloud analytics software provider, Teradata Corporation.
  • The company’s 2023 Q3 earnings were recently reported and the leading cloud analytics and data platform company had delivered another strong quarter and remained confident it would achieve its 2023 forecast.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Varonis Systems: Initiation of Coverage – Can It Come Out A Winner From The SaaS Transition? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Varonis Systems, a company specializing in data security and analytics.
  • The company is navigating a pivotal shift in its business model, transitioning from traditional software offerings to a Software as a Service (SaaS) model.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Braze Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Discover How Braze’s Innovative Approach Is Setting New Industry Standards – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on customer engagement platform operator, Braze Inc.
  • The company’s Q3 2024 earnings highlighted consistent YoY growth, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, with its operating efficiency throughout the business.
  • Non-GAAP gross margin improved by 170 basis points YoY, and non-GAAP operating margin exceeded last year’s third quarter by 1,100 basis points.

Workiva Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Unveiling Their Winning Strategy in Turbulent Geopolitical and Economic Times – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Workiva Inc., a leading provider of solutions for enterprise productivity.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

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Daily Brief United States: Limbach Holdings , FirstCash Holdings , VAALCO Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Limbach Holdings Inc (LMB) – Friday, Oct 20, 2023
  • Firstcash Holdings Inc (FCFS) – Friday, Oct 20, 2023
  • VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Good operational performance in 4Q23


Limbach Holdings Inc (LMB) – Friday, Oct 20, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • IBP is a leading roll-up strategist in the building industry, having executed over 100 acquisitions in a short period of time.
  • The company leverages its national platform, supplier relationships, and operational expertise to enhance value while keeping the acquired companies’ local brands, talent, and customer relationships intact.
  • IBP’s successful acquisition strategy, along with its strong commitment to timely delivery and solid financial position, has helped the company become a key player in the insulation industry.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Firstcash Holdings Inc (FCFS) – Friday, Oct 20, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • FCFS has a strong growth potential with an estimated 6% to 12% growth.
  • The company has a well-diversified business model, with pawn shops in both the US and Mexico, indicating a strong cash flow generation.
  • FCFS benefits from serving the underbanked population, providing a stable customer base and making it a solid investment option with a track record of outperformance and potential for future growth.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Good operational performance in 4Q23

By Auctus Advisors

  • • 4Q23 WI production of 23.1-23.5 mboe/d was comfortably within the management guidance of 22.9-24.6 mboe/d. • VAALCO held >US$120 mm in cash and cash equivalents at the end of December, up from US$103 mm at the end of September.
  • The YE23 cash position was impacted by the fact the Egyptian sales during 4Q23 were for the domestic market rather than exported (domestic sales carry a lower value than exported cargoes).

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Daily Brief United States: Blackstone Real Estate Income, Amer Sports , Schlumberger Ltd, Bitcoin Pro, Ma Com Technology Solutions, Monday.com , Kbr Inc, Coherent Inc, Dolby Laboratories Inc Cl A, Duolingo and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust (BREIT ) – Wednesday, Oct 18, 2023
  • Amer Sports IPO Preview
  • [Earnings Preview] Intl. & Offshoring Markets to Drive Stunning Earnings for Schlumberger in Q423
  • Crypto Moves #11 – One Week Into the ETFs
  • MACOM Technology Solutions: Initiation of Coverage – Market Share Takeover! Inside Their Strategy to Conquer Industrial and Defense Sectors – Major Drivers
  • monday.com Ltd.: Initiation of Coverage – Corporate Strategy
  • KBR Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy
  • Coherent Corp: Initiation of Coverage – Silicon Carbide Success! Inside Their Strategy to Conquer Supply Chain Challenges – Major Drivers
  • Dolby Laboratories Inc: Initiation of Coverage – What Are The 4 Biggest Factors Shaping Their Future? – Financial Forecasts
  • Duolingo Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy Major Drivers


Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust (BREIT ) – Wednesday, Oct 18, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • The implied cap rate of less than 4% for “cats and dogs” in the real estate market seems unusually low, given the risks and uncertainties involved.
  • Redeeming from BREIT and utilizing their liquidity provisions would allow investors to sell at prices higher than the year-end 2021 valuation, suggesting a potential opportunity for profit.
  • Taking advantage of this opportunity could be a wise move considering the potential risks associated with the real estate market.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Amer Sports IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • The biggest risk for Amer Sports is its excessive leverage. It had net debt of $5.9 billion and equity of only $8.8 million at the end of 3Q 2023.
  • Many investors are likely to emphasize the negatives more (especially the excessive leverage and inconsistent operating margins), rather than the positives such as China representing increasing percentage of total sales. 
  • Amer Sports is trying to raise nearly $1 billion in this IPO which could value the company at about $10 billion. 

[Earnings Preview] Intl. & Offshoring Markets to Drive Stunning Earnings for Schlumberger in Q423

By Suhas Reddy

  • Growth is expected to be fueled by robust performance in international markets. Management expects revenue growth for 2023 to cross 15% YoY.
  • Pretax operating margins in Q42023 to get a boost from higher year-end digital sales and seasonal product and equipment sales.
  • The analyst consensus on the stock’s growth is overwhelmingly bullish given the expectation of strong growth in international and offshore segments.

Crypto Moves #11 – One Week Into the ETFs

By Mads Eberhardt

  • The cryptocurrency industry is still buzzing with excitement after the recent approval of 11 Bitcoin spot ETFs last week.
  • As these ETFs have been trading for a week now, their current performance and net inflows are now available for our consumption.
  • This analysis will focus more on visual charts and less on text, a departure from my usual style, as the market seems to have had its fill of lengthy discussions on ETFs, which now feels akin to listening to a repetitive story from a friend or, even more tiresome, your mother-in-law.

MACOM Technology Solutions: Initiation of Coverage – Market Share Takeover! Inside Their Strategy to Conquer Industrial and Defense Sectors – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on MACOM, a renowned semiconductors manufacturer in the U.S.
  • The management of the company is focused on the firm’s performance over the fourth quarter and the full fiscal year of 2023, as well as on prospects for the first fiscal quarter of 2024.
  • MACOM reported $150.4 million in revenue for the fourth quarter, with an adjusted EPS of $0.56 per diluted share along with $648 million in revenue and an adjusted EPS of $2.70 for the full fiscal 2023.

monday.com Ltd.: Initiation of Coverage – Corporate Strategy

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Monday.com, a well-known team management platform for organizations and businesses.
  • In the third-quarter fiscal year 2023 earnings, Monday.com reported robust growth, considerable margin improvement, and substantial cash generation.
  • The company shares that they achieved a record non GAAP operating margin of 13% and free cash flow margin of 34%.

KBR Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on KBR Inc, a renowned provider of scientific, technology, and engineering solutions to governments and commercial customers.
  • The company’s third Quarter 2023 earnings conference call shared interesting highlights about the company’s progress and future prospects.
  • KBR’s President and CEO, Stuart Bradie, emphasized on the company’s Zero Harm moment, highlighting KBR’s commitment to space sustainability and security.

Coherent Corp: Initiation of Coverage – Silicon Carbide Success! Inside Their Strategy to Conquer Supply Chain Challenges – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on major manufacurer of engineered materials and optoelectronic components, Coherent Corp.
  • Its recent earnings call, several key topics of discussion included the firm’s financial performance, market trends, and future outlook.
  • In terms of financial performance, Coherent reported revenue of $1.053 billion in Q1 FY ’24, slightly above the midpoint of their guidance, with an operating cash flow of $199 million marking an improvement over both the sequential and year-over-year figures.

Dolby Laboratories Inc: Initiation of Coverage – What Are The 4 Biggest Factors Shaping Their Future? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Dolby Laboratories had an intriguing fourth quarter for the 2023 fiscal year, highlighted with both positive and negative factors that play into its future investment potential.
  • The company saw solid growth in its Dolby Atmos, Dolby Vision, and imaging patents, building a strong foundation for them to leverage long-term growth.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Duolingo Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Duolingo, a leading language learning app inventor, recorded a spectacular Q3.
  • The company’s revenue growth has caused it to revise earnings predictions upward, forecasting a 40% year-over-year growth.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

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Daily Brief United States: S&P 500 INDEX, LuxUrban Hotels , Freshworks, Couchbase , Veralto , Geopark Ltd, Sps Commerce, CCC Intelligent Solutions Hold and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • EQD | SPX DAILY LONG Reversal Probability Increasing
  • LuxUrban Hotels (LUXH) : The Bed Sheets Should Be Made Out Of Red Flags
  • Freshworks Inc: Initiation of Coverage – 4 Reasons Responsible For Their Future Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Couchbase Inc (BASE) – Wednesday, Oct 18, 2023
  • Veralto Corp -Spn (VLTO) – Wednesday, Oct 18, 2023
  • GeoPark Limited (NYSE: GPRK): Further exploration success in Colombia
  • SPS Commerce Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Its Bold Moves for Unstoppable Organic and Inorganic Growth! – Major Drivers
  • CCC Intelligent Solutions: Initiation of Coverage – Tech Takeover: How CCC Is Leading the Digital Transformation in Insurance! – Major Drivers


EQD | SPX DAILY LONG Reversal Probability Increasing

By Nico Rosti

  • The S&P 500 INDEX at the moment has lost its momentum and is pulling back towards the Q2 (4751) and Q3 (4713) support levels, where it would be DAILY OVERSOLD.
  • A DAILY reversal could happen today or tomorrow from prices between 4750 and 4700.
  • This trade is a quick scalp, the goal is to profit from a 1-bar reversal, after that we cannot predict the market direction, so caution is advised.

LuxUrban Hotels (LUXH) : The Bed Sheets Should Be Made Out Of Red Flags

By Bleecker Street Research

  • LuxUrban Hotels (NASDAQ: LUXH) is a Miami-based hotel lessee and operator.
  • Founded in 2017, LuxUrban (then called CorpHousing Inc) initially focused on the short-term corporate housing market, leasing and then re-leasing houses to business travelers.
  • The pandemic severely impacted demand in that market and in 2021 LuxUrban exited the corporate rentals space.

Freshworks Inc: Initiation of Coverage – 4 Reasons Responsible For Their Future Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Freshworks Inc, a renowned customer service software player.
  • Increased free cash flow along with a rise in the free cash flow margin to 14% likewise surpassed estimates.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Couchbase Inc (BASE) – Wednesday, Oct 18, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Couchbase offers a distributed, NoSQL database as an alternative to traditional relational databases, with three main products: Couchbase Server, Couchbase Mobile, and Capella.
  • The company is transitioning to a hosted model, similar to successful companies like MongoDB, ElasticSearch, and Hashicorp, which is expected to accelerate growth and improve efficiency.
  • If the transition is successful, Couchbase could see a potential upside of over 25% IRR and benefit from the advantages of NoSQL databases in managing unstructured data, dynamic schemas, and scaling efficiently.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Veralto Corp -Spn (VLTO) – Wednesday, Oct 18, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Veralto, a recent spin-off from Danaher, is focused on providing water and product quality solutions.
  • The company can now concentrate on its core business and leverage its advanced technology and strong global brands.
  • With a solid financial profile and a presence in attractive end markets, Veralto is well-positioned to meet the growing demand for water analytics and treatment solutions.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


GeoPark Limited (NYSE: GPRK): Further exploration success in Colombia

By Auctus Advisors

  • The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation.
  • The well is currently producing 650 bbl/d of 14 deg API oil with 8% water cut.
  • This is an important well that confirms the extension of the Llanos-34 Guadalupe play into CPO-5 and is probably derisking further prospects.

SPS Commerce Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Its Bold Moves for Unstoppable Organic and Inorganic Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on SPS Commerce, the provider of on-demand supply chain management solutions.
  • The company’s total revenue increment by 18% in the quarter was notable, and the recurring revenue showed a promising 20% increase.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

CCC Intelligent Solutions: Initiation of Coverage – Tech Takeover: How CCC Is Leading the Digital Transformation in Insurance! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings, Inc., an automobile claims solution provider.
  • The company delivered a strong performance in the third quarter of 2023, marked by a significant increase in revenues and robust customer growth.
  • For the third quarter, CCC generated a total revenue of $221 million, noting an increase of about 11% year-over-year, above the guidance range.

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Daily Brief United States: Amer Sports , Gold, Citigroup Inc, Mohawk Industries, Tyson Foods Inc Cl A, Advisorshares Pure Us Cann, ASP Isotopes , International General Insura, Flexsteel Inds and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look
  • Rising on Geopolitical Tides, Gold Braces for Pressure in 2024
  • Citigroup – Impairment Costs Far Higher than Any Recent Quarter & Net Interest Income near Halting
  • Mohawk (MHK) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023
  • Tyson Foods Inc -Cl A (TSN) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023
  • Dope or Nope?
  • ASP Isotopes: New Alliance With PET Labs
  • International Gen Ins Hl Ltd (IGIC) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – FLXS Announces Positive Surprise Ahead of Conference


Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look

By Arun George


Rising on Geopolitical Tides, Gold Braces for Pressure in 2024

By Pranay Yadav

  • Geopolitical risk has driven a resurgence in gold with price 1.5% higher following heightened tensions in the middle-east. 
  • In a soft-landing scenario in 2024, gold faces downside risk from investor rotation to other assets.  
  • Options metrics point to bullish positioning in gold, central bank demand remains a strong driver in H2 2023.

Citigroup – Impairment Costs Far Higher than Any Recent Quarter & Net Interest Income near Halting

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Total impairment costs are soaring now at Citigroup up to USD3.5bn in 4Q23 compared with an average charge of USD1.8-1.9bn in the recent preceding quarters.
  • Net interest income appears to be topping out now, as there is generally a lagged impact on funding in a rising rate environment.
  • The implications of the Citi results, steeped in geopolitical risk, are not positive for large global banks, major US banks in particular and HSBC Holdings (5 HK) specifically.

Mohawk (MHK) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Mohawk Industries has a stock price of $80 per share, and despite a decline in the global construction market, the company has a strong market position and is considered a medium+ quality business.
  • The current valuation at 8 times EBIT is seen as an attractive entry point, with expectations for EBIT in 2024 already lowered but still indicating a promising earnings power of $10-14 net income per share in the medium term.
  • Mohawk Industries is seen as a cheap investment opportunity with significant growth potential in the future, and previous VIC notes have highlighted its potential. Readers are recommended to review the analyses provided by dsteiner84, Value1929, and Glory_Warriors.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tyson Foods Inc -Cl A (TSN) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Tyson denies any involvement in illegal activities and believes the allegations made against it are baseless.
  • The company is committed to defending itself and operating in compliance with all laws and regulations.
  • The investigation into alleged collusion and price-fixing in the chicken industry is ongoing and the outcome is uncertain.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Dope or Nope?

By Fallacy Alarm

  • Investing into cannabis stocks has been a soul-crushing experience for investors over the past 10 years.
  • Check out the performance of the Global Cannabis Stock Index below.
  • It’s effectively a complete wipe-out.

ASP Isotopes: New Alliance With PET Labs

By Baptista Research

  • In the evolving landscape of isotope production, ASP Isotopes stands poised for significant growth.
  • With production scalability and a substantial interest backlog, ASP Isotopes is on the cusp of substantial free cash flow realization in 2024.
  • Currently undervalued, the stock presents a rare opportunity for early investors to capitalize on ASP Isotopes’ anticipated market ascendancy and potential to redefine secure isotope supply chains globally.

International Gen Ins Hl Ltd (IGIC) – Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Significant investment in insurance companies, particularly niche providers, has been seen since the Covid pandemic.
  • The S&P Insurance ETF has outperformed the SPY by 25% over the past 3 years, indicating the success of these investments.
  • Despite their growth in intrinsic value, the share prices of many insurance companies are not reflecting this, possibly due to overlooking the potential impact of higher interest rates on future profitability. However, some companies have managed their investment portfolios prudently and are in a favorable position.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – FLXS Announces Positive Surprise Ahead of Conference

By Water Tower Research

  • Flexsteel led the news in the furniture and furnishings industry last week with a positive preannouncement.
  • The company said 2QFY24 EPS will be $0.57 versus preannouncement consensus of $0.27.
  • Sales are expected to hit $100 million in the quarter, ahead of the preannouncement consensus of $96 million.

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Daily Brief United States: Newmont , Amer Sports , Zoetis Inc, Crude Palm Oil Active Contract, Herbalife Ltd, E2open Parent Holdings Inc, ClimateRock, Callon Petroleum and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont
  • Amer Sports Pre-IPO – The Negatives – COVID Rebound, Weak Margins
  • Under The Lens of Disruption: Zoetis – VetKiosk
  • Another Textbook Buy the Rumor Sell the Fact Trade Incoming?
  • Herbalife (HLF) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023
  • E2Open Parent Holdings Inc (ETWO) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023
  • Scripting the Future
  • Callon Petroleum’s Sale Saga: A Golden Opportunity for Investors or a Risky Gamble? – Major Drivers


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont

By Brian Freitas

  • With over 80% of the review period complete, there could be 26 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March.
  • The largest flow will be on Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
  • There will be 1.2-38 days of ADV to buy in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 1-21 days of ADV.

Amer Sports Pre-IPO – The Negatives – COVID Rebound, Weak Margins

By Sumeet Singh

  • Amer Sports (AS US) plans to raise more than US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) led consortium.
  • Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Under The Lens of Disruption: Zoetis – VetKiosk

By From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

  • Honestly, I’m stunned I’m writing this. I did my research on Zoetis during June, July and August, and my conclusion seemed, funnily, conclusive.
  • My suspicion was that Zoetis was as close to being a truly durable company as possible.
  • Even though the object of this article does not claim otherwise, it does indeed reveal something I completely overlooked. My conclusion was ultimately drawn from the following:

Another Textbook Buy the Rumor Sell the Fact Trade Incoming?

By The Commodity Report

  • Conditions in the Energy Industry Continue To Worsen The quarterly Dallas Fed Energy Survey highlighted that business uncertainty is worsening again.
  • It seems like the past two quarterly reports were only outliers – the trend remains worsening business conditions for gas and oil companies.
  • The conflict in the Red Sea started to impact shipping rates. But as we wrote over the past couple of weeks, it is not substantially higher

Herbalife (HLF) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Herbalife’s international business is seeing an increase in volume trends, which is expected to result in a return to top-line growth in the current quarter.
  • Investors are mainly focused on the 20% of revenue generated from the US market, but there is significant growth potential in the other 80% of the company’s international operations.
  • Despite the performance of the US market, Herbalife is projected to earn more than $3.00 per share this year and $4.00 per share next year.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


E2Open Parent Holdings Inc (ETWO) – Monday, Oct 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • E2open provides a comprehensive supply chain management platform, offering solutions for planning, execution, and procurement, making it a major player in the industry.
  • E2open has a large customer base and long average tenure, indicating the trust and reliability of their services.
  • The vast amount of data gathered from partners enhances E2open’s AI/ML capabilities, allowing for more accurate analysis and forecasting, positioning the company well to meet ongoing demand for efficient supply chain management solutions.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Scripting the Future

By subSPAC

  • The last week was packed with activity from SPACs ranging from Deals to LOIs and Lawsuits.
  • A SPAC will take a holding company public while a blank-cheque firm signs a letter of intent to take an AI-focused company public.
  • Also, a SPAC filed a suit against an investment firm and fintech De-SPACs outperformed their IPO peers in Q4. Read on to find out the latest about all things SPACs.

Callon Petroleum’s Sale Saga: A Golden Opportunity for Investors or a Risky Gamble? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is a special, one-time report Callon Petroleum, currently exploring a sale, which presents a nuanced investment opportunity with several critical factors to consider.
  • The company has demonstrated consistent financial performance, notably its 14th consecutive quarter of adjusted free cash flow generation, which is being strategically used for debt reduction and share repurchases.
  • This fiscal prudence, coupled with a clear focus on cost reduction and operational efficiency, positions Callon well in the competitive energy sector.

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Daily Brief United States: Amer Sports , Steven Madden, Vanda Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Amer Sports IPO: The Fundamentals, and How We See It?
  • Steve Madden (SHOO) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023
  • Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023


Amer Sports IPO: The Fundamentals, and How We See It?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • We consider the fundamentals of Amer Sports (AS US) attractive and are positive towards its business outlook. Profitability has surged with solid growth rates in revenue and margin.
  • Amer’s investment case lies in its multi-brand portfolio, niche, functional, and professional products, margin expansion/profitability improvement, and China growth prospects.
  • Since the proceeds will be used to repay shareholder loans, this will lower its interest burden and strengthen its financial position. Hence, the IPO should further boost its profitability.

Steve Madden (SHOO) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Steve Madden is considered a good investment opportunity due to its strong management team and attractive price.
  • The shoe industry has faced challenges, but Steve Madden is seen to have minimal downside risk due to its solid balance sheet and reasonable valuation.
  • Steve Madden’s focus on branded shoes also makes it an attractive acquisition target, and if it achieves estimated 2025 earnings of $3 per share, its stock price could potentially increase by 40%.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) – Sunday, Oct 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Vanda Pharmaceuticals has established revenue-generating drugs and a pipeline of potential candidates in development.
  • The company has a strong balance sheet with ample cash reserves, offering potential for investments or acquisitions.
  • Despite these positive traits, the market values Vanda as if its core business is worthless, presenting a potential investment opportunity with significant upside potential.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief United States: Amazon.com Inc, Micron Technology, Nutanix Inc, Arcosa , PSQ Holdings , Fidelity National Info Serv, Western Digital, Ball , Adobe Systems, IAC and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • [S7 Chronicles 1] Super Sevens Will Continue to Dominate Markets in 2024
  • Micron Technology Inc.: The Future Of DRAM & NAND – How Micron is Leading the Charge! – Major Drivers
  • Nutanix Inc.: Redefining the Cloud Amidst Global Uncertainty! – Major Drivers
  • Arcosa Inc (ACA) – Friday, Oct 13, 2023
  • Public Square Holding (PSQH) – Wednesday, Oct 11, 2023
  • Fidelity National Information Services Inc.: Catering Beyond Financial Giants – What’s Their Secret? – Major Drivers
  • Peloton Interactive Inc.: Tread+ & Other Major Factors Pushing Up Their Market Share! – Financial Forecasts
  • Ball Corporation: Forecasting Growth Amid Dynamic Consumer Demands!
  • Adobe Inc.: The Creative Cloud Revolution Helping Them Lead The Way! – Major Drivers
  • IAC Inc.: Strong Performance in Marketing Despite Uncertainty – A Promising Future? – Major Drivers


[S7 Chronicles 1] Super Sevens Will Continue to Dominate Markets in 2024

By Amrutha Raj

  • Like them or despise them. But one thing you can’t do is ignore them. The Super Sevens have become a force to reckon with.
  • Super Sevens appear homogenous but exhibit heterogeneity and diversity. They have growth stock like features while at the same time provide value stock like defensiveness.
  • Super Sevens aggregate market cap is a staggering USD 12.14 trillion. They comprise 27% of S&P 500 and 55% of the Nasdaq 100 index collectively.

Micron Technology Inc.: The Future Of DRAM & NAND – How Micron is Leading the Charge! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Micron Technology, Inc. exceeded analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.
  • Although the expectation for 2024 remains relatively consistent, there has been an adjustment in the perspective on DRAM demand growth for 2023.
  • In summary, Micron’s management emphasizes a positive trajectory for pricing and financial performance in 2024, attributing it to oversubscription in cutting-edge technologies.

Nutanix Inc.: Redefining the Cloud Amidst Global Uncertainty! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Nutanix, Inc. exceeded Wall Street’s revenue and earnings expectations, surpassing anticipated results despite a persistent uncertain macro backdrop.
  • Exceeding guided metrics, Nutanix achieved significant quarterly revenue of $511 million, marking an annualized run rate surpassing $2 billion for the first time and an impressive 30% year-over-year growth in ARR to $1.7 billion.
  • Nutanix announced crucial enhancements to the Cloud platform, fortifying its capabilities against ransomware attacks on unstructured data.

Arcosa Inc (ACA) – Friday, Oct 13, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Arcosa is a high-quality equity investment benefiting from secular trends and government spending, with underappreciated secondary businesses experiencing rapid growth.
  • The IRA tax credits are expected to act as a significant catalyst for Arcosa, pushing its numbers higher than anticipated.
  • Despite its strong balance sheet, excellent management, and successful capital allocation history, Arcosa has zero hedge fund ownership, making it an attractive opportunity.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Public Square Holding (PSQH) – Wednesday, Oct 11, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • The company, referred to as “pumped up,” is seen as a patriotic SPAC, appealing to retail investors who support its mission.
  • However, the memo claims that the company’s growth figures are exaggerated and may even be fabricated, questioning the reliability of the stock.
  • According to researchers, the stock has a high likelihood of being worthless in the long term, with a projected downside of 65%. Nevertheless, they acknowledge the potential for a short squeeze due to the limited number of shares available for trading.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Fidelity National Information Services Inc.: Catering Beyond Financial Giants – What’s Their Secret? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. delivered a disappointing set of results as they were unable to meet Wall Street’s revenue and earnings expectations.
  • Their success is attributed to a 4% organic revenue surge, primarily driven by a remarkable 7% growth in recurring revenue within the Banking and Capital Markets segments.
  • The company maintains a strong free cash flow trajectory, achieving an impressive 94% conversion year-to-date and poised to surpass the 2023 target of over 80%.

Peloton Interactive Inc.: Tread+ & Other Major Factors Pushing Up Their Market Share! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Peloton Interactive, Inc. delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent results, with revenues above Wall Street expectations but below-par earnings.
  • Peloton’s management anticipates a noteworthy upturn in Connected Fitness’s gross margin for the upcoming quarter.
  • This positive shift is attributed to the expected leverage of fixed costs resulting from increased unit sales in Connected Fitness.

Ball Corporation: Forecasting Growth Amid Dynamic Consumer Demands!

By Baptista Research

  • Ball Corporation delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues below market expectations but surpassed the analyst consensus regarding earnings.
  • In the third quarter, they improved operational efficiencies and successful measures to counter inflationary costs.
  • Notably, they navigated through a $14 million operating earnings headwind from the Russian sale and $43 million higher interest expense.

Adobe Inc.: The Creative Cloud Revolution Helping Them Lead The Way! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Adobe Inc. delivered an all-around beat in the fourth quarter.
  • The success can be attributed to pioneering innovations in Creative Cloud and Document businesses, positioning Creative Cloud as the preferred platform for content creation globally.
  • Creative Cloud had a stellar quarter, generating a significant $3 billion in revenue.

IAC Inc.: Strong Performance in Marketing Despite Uncertainty – A Promising Future? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • IAC had a mixed quarter with on-par revenues and below-par earnings given the impact of the recent market downturn.
  • Changes implemented by the company have impacted its position, with an active real estate market proving beneficial for business demand.
  • We have further incorporated a sensitivity analysis/ scenario analysis to understand how changes in key assumptions could impact the valuation under 3 scenarios – a base case, a bull case, and a bear case.

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