Category

TMT/Internet

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: ASM Pacific Technology, Cerebras Systems , Apple , Arena Bilgisayar, Wise PLC, SBI Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • ASMPT (522 HK): Don’t Bet on a KKR Privatisation
  • ASMPT (ASM Pacific). 522 HK. M&A. Takeover Target Talk. Déjà Vu ?
  • ASMPT (522 HK): KKR’s Proposal Is A Non-Starter
  • The Cerebras IPO Stucture Sucks
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Shifting AR Strategy After Meta Orion Showcase; Apple Supply Chain Monitor
  • Arena Bilgisayar (ARENA TI) – Tuesday, Jul 2, 2024
  • Wise Plc (WPLCF) – Tuesday, Jul 2, 2024
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Oct-2024): Taiwan’s carbon fee faces challenges from local, EU regs.


ASMPT (522 HK): Don’t Bet on a KKR Privatisation

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reported that KKR has made a non-binding, preliminary approach to taking ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) private. ASMPT has been the subject of takeover rumours in the past.
  • The trading patterns of the substantial shareholders suggest a willingness to exit. However, past privatisation rumours suggest issues with the offeror matching key shareholders’ price expectations. 
  • A binding proposal is unlikely as the timing would be viewed as opportunistic, with the recent market rally eroding a potential takeover premium and ASMPT’s premium multiple compared to peers.

ASMPT (ASM Pacific). 522 HK. M&A. Takeover Target Talk. Déjà Vu ?

By Neil Campling

  • The second PE rumoured interest in ASMPT in 18 months, with KKR circling.
  • Semiconductor M&A has surged in 2024 YTD with a 33% increase in deal activity compared to 2023.
  • ASM’s leadership in TCB, potential growth within HBM, expansion at TSM and enabling the Nvidia Blackwell platform are all reasons for M&A interest.

ASMPT (522 HK): KKR’s Proposal Is A Non-Starter

By David Blennerhassett

  • Reportedly – Bloomberg – KKR has made a non-binding proposal for ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK), the world’s leading back-end semiconductor production equipment supplier. 
  • ASMPT’s largest shareholder, ASM International Nv (ASM NA), with 25%, has been the focus of activists for some time to sell its stake. 
  • This bid has all the hallmarks of the approach (also cited by Bloomberg) by PAG last year. Which came to nought. From a regulatory standpoint, I can’t see this happening.

The Cerebras IPO Stucture Sucks

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • I’m not going to write about the technical side at all, as I expect Dylan Patel’s team at SemiAnalysis to do a much better job than I can do alone.
  • However, I want to note some of the funniest aspects because landmines are everywhere for this IPO. Of course, it’s driven by G42, but it’s much worse than you think. Here’s the prelim S-1.
  • G42 is pretty much the only customer.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Shifting AR Strategy After Meta Orion Showcase; Apple Supply Chain Monitor

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Apple Set to Launch iPhone SE 4 and Updated iPad Air in Early 2025: Key Developments to Watch
  • META’s Orion AR Glasses: Next Major Computing Platform After the Smartphone?
  • Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Key IPhone Suppliers Didn’t Rally With Apple; Opportunity for Rebound?

Arena Bilgisayar (ARENA TI) – Tuesday, Jul 2, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Arena Bilgisayar is Turkey’s second-largest IT distributor led by CEO Serkan Celik, who has successfully turned around the core distribution business and created value from non-core ventures
  • Despite appearing undifferentiated, levered, and expensive on the surface, the company’s valuation is attractive at 1x tangible book value and 5-7x P/E ratio
  • With double-digit annual growth, pre-tax returns on capital exceeding 35%, and Turkey’s return to orthodox monetary policy, an investment in Arena could potentially return between 3-5x over the next 5 years, founded in 1991 by former Karma International employees, Arena has a strong history and promising future.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Wise Plc (WPLCF) – Tuesday, Jul 2, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Wise operates centers in different countries for faster and cost-effective cross-border transactions
  • Strong track record of organic growth in a growing market with high Total Addressable Market
  • Recent stock declines attributed to cyclical factors, but investors optimistic about Wise’s expanding product offerings and core FX payments supporting revenue growth

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Oct-2024): Taiwan’s carbon fee faces challenges from local, EU regs.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Taiwan’s carbon fee policy is being challenged by local and EU regulations, impacting their offshore wind goals.
  • Europe’s data center capacity shortage for the AI race is causing concerns in the region.
  • Samsung’s Galaxy Tab S10 series now includes MediaTek chips, bringing new capabilities to the familiar design.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Apple , International Business Machines, AAC Technologies Holdings, XLMedia PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Key IPhone Suppliers Didn’t Rally With Apple; Opportunity for Rebound?
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (02-Oct-2024): AI server liquid cooling status: efficient or not?
  • Asia Monthly – September 2024 In Review – Lucror Analytics
  • Xlmedia (XLM) – Tuesday, Jul 2, 2024


Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Key IPhone Suppliers Didn’t Rally With Apple; Opportunity for Rebound?

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Key iPhone components suppliers’ share prices have substantially underperformed Apple, particularly Largan Precision, Genius Electronic Optical, and Zhen Ding.
  • There are reasons for iPhone 16 upgrade optimism. We also note that key suppliers failed to rally with Apple shares post-Fed rate cut.
  • Apple suppliers’ 2025E forecasts haven’t fallen much so far, despite the negative stock market reaction. If negative iPhone 16 reports prove exaggerated, Largan, Genius, and Zhen Ding could rebound.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (02-Oct-2024): AI server liquid cooling status: efficient or not?

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Liquid cooling solutions for AI servers are evolving rapidly to provide more efficient and effective cooling for high-performance computing needs.
  • L&T Semicon in India plans to mass produce its first chip within the next two years, showing growth and innovation in the semiconductor industry.
  • Taiwan is focusing on modular, intelligent, and collaborative robotics solutions for niche markets, with a shift away from humanoids in its approach to robotics.

Asia Monthly – September 2024 In Review – Lucror Analytics

By Felix Fischer

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in September 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan.

In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on developments in the Asian corporate USD bond market.


Xlmedia (XLM) – Tuesday, Jul 2, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • XLMedia (XLM) has historically disappointed investors on AIM as a value trap
  • Potential catalyst for over 100% upside in next 12 months
  • Key factors in place for a turnaround, including cornerstone investor and focus on US gambling market

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Leeno Industrial, Softbank Group, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Telecom Italia SpA/Milano, CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia), Tencent, Samsara, GLOBALFOUNDRIES , Premier Technology, Nano Dimension and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • NPS Cash Inflow Projections for KRX Value-Up Index & Surging Interest in KOSDAQ Stocks
  • Softbank (9984 JP) – Despite the High NAV Discount, We See Greater Headwinds; Downgrading to Neutral
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Back Below 15%; ASE Short Interest Surging
  • Italian Savings Shares
  • C.E. Info Systems (Mapmyindia)- Forensic Analysis
  • Tencent/Netease: One Approval for Tencent in September
  • Samsara Inc (IOT) – Sunday, Jun 30, 2024
  • GlobalFoundries. Share Price Down 17% Below IPO Price & Down 30% Since July. But Why?
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Oct-2024): Intel’s EUR10B plant stalls in Germany.
  • Nano Dimension – Scaling up


NPS Cash Inflow Projections for KRX Value-Up Index & Surging Interest in KOSDAQ Stocks

By Sanghyun Park

  • NPS will likely use the KRX Value-Up Index as its benchmark, with Long-Term Growth and Value categories likely to adopt it.
  • When NPS shifts to the Value-Up Index, KOSDAQ stocks will likely drive significant flow impacts due to their lower overlap.
  • These non-overlapping KOSDAQ stocks, attracting over 1 trillion won, could see significant price impacts as funds gradually flow in.

Softbank (9984 JP) – Despite the High NAV Discount, We See Greater Headwinds; Downgrading to Neutral

By Victor Galliano

  • The SoftBank NAV discount is historically high, which makes it appear optically attractive; despite this, we turn neutral on SoftBank group from our previous positive recommendation, due to its headwinds
  • JPY strength is a key challenge, especially since the new Japanese prime minister supports the BoJ normalising monetary policy; this means BoJ tightening whilst many other central banks are easing
  • Arm Holdings’ super premium valuation versus its peers is another potential headwind for SoftBank group shares and NAV, combined with the high correlation between Arm Holdings and SoftBank group shares

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Back Below 15%; ASE Short Interest Surging

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +14.2% Premium; Can Consider Going Long at Current Level
  • UMC: +1.8% Premium; The ADR Headroom Has Decreased Yet Again
  • ASE: +5.4% Premium; Short Interest Surging for The Local Shares

Italian Savings Shares

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Italian savings shares (azioni di risparmio) are non-voting stocks offering higher dividend yields. They prioritize income over governance influence, appealing to investors who prefer steady returns over company decision-making power.
  • Ordinary shares command higher prices due to voting rights and control, while preference shares are valued lower. In Italy, control is highly valued, thus a significant premium for ordinary shares.
  • Following mandatory conversions, the two remaining  tradable situations are Danieli (whose mandatory October 2020 conversion seems postponed) and Telecom Italia, trading at a premium awaiting dividends in arrears.

C.E. Info Systems (Mapmyindia)- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (1052633Z IN) is one of the leading Indian players engaged in advanced digital maps, geospatial software and location-based IoT technologies. It launched its IPO in 2021
  • Since its IPO, MAPPLS has embarked on a growth journey since then. It also boasts high margins & ROCE due to its asset light model.
  • While the balance sheet looks good, one might have to check on the speedy receivables and trend of commission expenses.

Tencent/Netease: One Approval for Tencent in September

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the September batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
  • Of the companies that we are monitoring, Tencent and Kingsoft got one approval each.

Samsara Inc (IOT) – Sunday, Jun 30, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Samsara is focused on monitoring and optimizing operations through its technology
  • Strong revenue growth and market potential attract investors
  • Becoming the “system of record” for operational intelligence could lead to increased customer retention and expansion opportunities

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


GlobalFoundries. Share Price Down 17% Below IPO Price & Down 30% Since July. But Why?

By William Keating

  • Tier 2 foundry revenue recovery is taking far longer than most expected. 
  • Globalfoundries 2024 CapEx is less than one tenth of what SMIC is spending. Even Hua Hong is spending more. This makes investors nervous.
  • Globalfoundries CapEx strategy is a pragmatic one and will pay dividends in the years to come

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Oct-2024): Intel’s EUR10B plant stalls in Germany.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Intel’s EUR10 billion semiconductor plant in Germany faces delays due to budget battles over chips and batteries, impacting the nation’s technology sector and economic growth.
  • Taiwan’s luxury car market growth reflects its prosperous economy, while the country continues to prioritize a nuclear-free energy agenda despite increasing energy needs.
  • AI is revolutionizing nuclear energy production, enhancing efficiency and safety, leading to innovative developments in the industry and heightened global interest. StarLux Airlines is boosting Taiwan’s role as a transit hub in Asia amidst evolving global dynamics.

Nano Dimension – Scaling up

By Edison Investment Research

Nano Dimension has agreed to acquire Markforged, a specialist in additive manufacturing (AM) for metal and advanced composites, for cash of $115m. The deal requires regulatory and Markforged shareholder approval, which, if granted, should allow the deal to close by the end of Q125. The combination of Nano Dimension, Desktop Metal (acquisition process underway) and Markforged had pro forma revenue of $340m in FY23. This deal further broadens the product portfolio with the addition of a new printing technology, strengthens Nano Dimension’s position in metal AM and provides greater scale, which should support the path to profitability for the combined group.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Fuji Soft Inc, Wonik Ips, Silergy Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • FujiSoft (9749) – Somewhat Inexplicable Renewed Opinion of Fairness on KKR Tender
  • FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Wonik IPS to Replace ISC
  • Silergy (6415.TT): Positive Optimistic Future Outlook


FujiSoft (9749) – Somewhat Inexplicable Renewed Opinion of Fairness on KKR Tender

By Travis Lundy

  • On the 19th of September, KKR amended the terms and Scheme/Structure of its Tender Offer for Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP). I thought the new terms coercive. 
  • On the 26th, FujiSoft decided there had been no change detrimental to general shareholders. On the 27th, KKR amended the Tender Offer Registration Statement to reflect FSI’s revised Opinion.
  • That means Bain needs to change FSI’s mind or come out with a big number before the end of the First Tender, leaving lots of stock for Round Two.

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Wonik IPS to Replace ISC

By Brian Freitas


Silergy (6415.TT): Positive Optimistic Future Outlook

By Patrick Liao

  • China’s central bank cuts rates and unveils new measures to combat economic slowdown, creating a more relaxed monetary policy environment to stimulate consumption and investment.
  • Silergy’s Automotive segment remains a driving force, especially with the addition of the Electric Vehicle ( EV) market.
  • While Silergy faced demand insufficiency previously, it has indicated that the end demand is expected to revive by the end of 2024 from the 4th quarter.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Fuji Soft Inc, Esds Software Solution, Formosa Sumco Technology, Appian Corp, BlackBerry Ltd, PowerSchool Holdings , Warner Bros Discovery and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Dyna Mac, Platinum Asset, Fuji Soft, JTower, Arvida, Korea Zinc, Sun Art
  • ESDS Software Solution- Forensic Analysis
  • Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 24: An Alternate Possibility for Formosa Sumco TDIV Deletion
  • Appian Corporation: Dealing With Geographic Expansion Challenges & Other Roadblocks! – Major Drivers
  • BlackBerry Limited: Strategic Business Growth & Focus on IoT and Cybersecurity Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • PowerSchool Holdings: AI Integration and PowerBuddy Platform Can Really Catalyze Growth? – Major Drivers
  • Warner Bros. Discovery Inc.: Focus on Direct-To-Consumer (DTC) Initiatives & Leveraging Content Across Platforms To Drive Growth! – Major Drivers


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Dyna Mac, Platinum Asset, Fuji Soft, JTower, Arvida, Korea Zinc, Sun Art

By David Blennerhassett


ESDS Software Solution- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • In this insight, we briefly study forensics of Esds Software Solution (1603279D IN) , currently unlisted, had tried to float an IPO back in 2021 but it was later withdrawn.
  • The company offers managed cloud service and end to end multi-cloud requirements provider. Revenue growth has been moderate while margin erosion has been a concerning issue for the company.
  • Key forensic takeaways include nature of contingent liabilities, inability to generate cash and liquidity woes, quality of receivables, etc. 

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 24: An Alternate Possibility for Formosa Sumco TDIV Deletion

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • Currently, we see one change for T50 and one change for T100 but there are two more months to the base date and our expectations can change until then.

Appian Corporation: Dealing With Geographic Expansion Challenges & Other Roadblocks! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Analyzing Appian Corporation’s Second Quarter 2024 financial results reveals a company actively balancing growth ambitions with operational efficiencies.
  • The financial performance of Appian Corporation this quarter exhibits significant adherence to its core growth strategies while maintaining a prudent eye towards profitability.
  • For the quarter, Appian reported a robust year-over-year revenue increase, with total revenue rising 15% to $146.5 million.

BlackBerry Limited: Strategic Business Growth & Focus on IoT and Cybersecurity Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • BlackBerry, a software company specializing in security software and services, recently discussed its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025.
  • The company remains committed to its strategy, focusing on enhancing its Internet of Things (IoT) and cybersecurity divisions and driving cost efficiencies.
  • Despite facing industry headwinds and the challenge of elongated sales cycles, BlackBerry’s performance this quarter reflects a robust operational momentum and strategic execution.

PowerSchool Holdings: AI Integration and PowerBuddy Platform Can Really Catalyze Growth? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PowerSchool has reported its first quarter 2024 earnings with positive results, continuing its momentum with a strong performance across key financial metrics.
  • The company reported a total revenue of $185 million, marking a 16% year-over-year increase.
  • This was driven predominantly by subscription and support revenues, which grew 18% year-over-year to $167 million and constituted 90% of the total revenue.

Warner Bros. Discovery Inc.: Focus on Direct-To-Consumer (DTC) Initiatives & Leveraging Content Across Platforms To Drive Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Warner Bros. Discovery recently held its Q2 earnings call for 2024, an event of crucial importance for investors and industry observers alike.
  • The call encapsulated various dimensions of the business’s performance and strategic direction, touching on both high-performing areas and ongoing challenges.
  • A primary highlight from the call was the robust performance of Warner Bros. Discovery’s direct-to-consumer (DTC) segment, notably in the streaming realm.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Micron Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, AAC Technologies Holdings, ams AG, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Arlo Technologies Inc, Pagseguro Digital Ltd, AsiaFIN Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Micron. Zoom, Zoom, Zoom, We’re Going To The Moon…
  • Micron and WFE
  • This Is How Industrial Policy Can Go Bad
  • Asia Trade Book – September 2024 – Lucror Analytics
  • Europe HY Trade Book – September 2024 – Lucror Analytics
  • Asia Monthly – August 2024 In Review – Lucror Analytics
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Sep-2024): Security Summit covers TSMC, gov cyber sec
  • ARLO: Subscriber Adds to Drive ARPU Up
  • PagSeguro Digital Ltd – Initiation Of Coverage – September 25, 2024
  • AsiaFIN Holdings Corp (ASFH) – Fintech Growth in Southeast Asia and Beyond


Micron. Zoom, Zoom, Zoom, We’re Going To The Moon…

By William Keating

  • Q424 revenue $7.8 billion which was $200 million above the guided midpoint, up 14% QoQ and up 93% YoY.
  • Q125 revenue of $8.7 billion with gross margin 39.5%. This will be the company’s highest ever quarterly revenue
  • On track for ~20% share of a $25 billion HBM market in 2025

Micron and WFE

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • Just two weeks ago, I wrote about how I thought this was a mid-memory cycle.
  • I mainly supported the memory companies if you didn’t read between the lines (ChatGPT o1 (Strawberry) and Memory)
  • Fast-forward a week, and it seems that the calls for the end of memory were a bit premature.

This Is How Industrial Policy Can Go Bad

By Odd Lots

  • American Express Business Gold Card offers flexible spending capacity and annual statement credits
  • Good news on chip production in the US with TSMC’s new fab in Arizona
  • Discussion on the design, success, and failure of industrial policy with guest Vivek Chibber

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Asia Trade Book – September 2024 – Lucror Analytics

By Felix Fischer

The Asia Trade Book for September 2024 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits.

Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.


Europe HY Trade Book – September 2024 – Lucror Analytics

By Felix Fischer

The Europe HY Trade Book for September 2024 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.


Asia Monthly – August 2024 In Review – Lucror Analytics

By Felix Fischer

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in August 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan.

In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on developments in the Asian corporate USD bond market.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Sep-2024): Security Summit covers TSMC, gov cyber sec

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • TSMC and government cyber security measures are discussed at Security Summit, highlighting the importance of protecting sensitive data.
  • Experts advise diligence and patience for Taiwan’s B5G satellite program as it encounters obstacles, emphasizing the need for strategic planning.
  • Japan’s diamond semiconductor technology expected to be applied practically by 2025-2030, showing promising advancements in semiconductor industry.

ARLO: Subscriber Adds to Drive ARPU Up

By Hamed Khorsand

  • ARLO continues to operate within an industry that is highly price sensitive and dependent on the consumer signing up for paid service. 
  • We are lowering our third quarter hardware revenue to reflect the lower pricing environment. ARLO is not a hardware story. The Company placing hardware units leads to paid service subscribers.
  • ARLO’s stock has been under pressure since reporting second quarter results most likely to do with concerns over actual number of quarterly retail subscriber adds

PagSeguro Digital Ltd – Initiation Of Coverage – September 25, 2024

By Baptista Research

  • PagSeguro Digital, in its Q2 2024 earnings report, presented a robust financial and operational performance, marking significant growth across various metrics.
  • The company reported a substantial 19% year-over-year increase in total revenue, achieving BRL 4.6 billion, supported by strong Total Payment Volume (TPV) growth across all client segments.
  • Notably, net income on both GAAP and non-GAAP bases achieved new highs, with a 31% year-on-year increase, reaching BRL 542 million.

AsiaFIN Holdings Corp (ASFH) – Fintech Growth in Southeast Asia and Beyond

By ACF Equity Research

  • AsiaFIN Holdings Corp. (OTCQB : ASFH) – aggressive growth inflection point.
  • ASFH provides IP protected fintech solutions to ASEAN based financial institutions / corporates – ASFH delivers Robotic Process Automation (RPA) using Intelligent Character Recognition (ICR); Regulatory Technology (RegTech); AI driven cheque processing and; ESG reporting services.
  • ASFH has an organic and aggressive acquisition growth plan to expand both within ASEAN and in new westward territories.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Fuji Soft Inc, Monolithic Power Systems, Inc, Intel Corp, CAR Group , NCC Group PLC, LG Display, Western Union Co, Badger Meter, Advanced Energy Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Fuji Soft (9749) – Possible Issues with New KKR Amended Terms
  • Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR on the Home Stretch as Bain Dithers
  • Nasdaq-100 December 2024 Forecasts: Monolithic Power & AppLovin It; Dollar Tree Needs Watering
  • Episode 86: Intel’s Inflection Point? Analyzing the Intel Plan.
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Three Changes Possible; New Long-Short Ideas
  • Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec 24: Intra-Review Changes Galore; High-Impact Replacement Names
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Sep-2024): iPhone 16 sales lag, LGD struggles.
  • The Western Union Company: Initiation Of Coverage – A Deep Insight Into Its Core Strategy & Its Competitive Advantage! – Major Drivers
  • Badger Meter Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Dealing With Financial Performance Stability and Margin Pressure! – Major Drivers
  • Advanced Energy Industries: Initiation Of Coverage – An Anticipated Market and Economic Recovery In 2025 & Its Impact On Growth! – Major Drivers


Fuji Soft (9749) – Possible Issues with New KKR Amended Terms

By Travis Lundy

  • On 8 August, KKR and Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) announced a Tender Offer for the company. It was, at the time, an intention to do so. KKR needed approvals.
  • Fuji Soft had KKR terms, and timing, and approved them. KKR then changed the terms and timing. Now on the 19th, they changed the terms again. 
  • This puts Fuji Soft in a kind of quandary. It’s important to think about why and what that leads to.

Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR on the Home Stretch as Bain Dithers

By Arun George

  • The Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) Board has recommended KKR’s first tender offer (JPY8,800). The Board will announce its view on the second tender offer on launch. 
  • The Board sounded out Bain’s progress on a binding proposal and 3D and Farallon’s on their irrevocable. The absence of a Bain binding proposal immensely helped the Board’s decision.
  • Bain has likely left it too late. With a higher offer, Bain could force a recommendation change and hope KKR is shamed into cancelling 3D and Farallon’s irrevocable. 

Nasdaq-100 December 2024 Forecasts: Monolithic Power & AppLovin It; Dollar Tree Needs Watering

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Episode 86: Intel’s Inflection Point? Analyzing the Intel Plan.

By The Circuit

  • Intel is spinning off their foundry division into its own entity within the company, with financial independence and guardrails in place.
  • The company is not selling off assets as a whole but is making strategic deals, such as a partnership with Amazon.
  • A letter from Intel’s CEO to the team hints at potential activist investor issues and the company’s legal obligations in response to potential acquisition offers.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Three Changes Possible; New Long-Short Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We currently do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.
  • We see one change for ASX 100 and two changes for ASX 200 but the final result could depend on relative share price movements for the next two months.

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec 24: Intra-Review Changes Galore; High-Impact Replacement Names

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the F100 and F250 indices during the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We see up to seven M&A-related intra-review changes in the run up to the December 2024 review.
  • Our latest estimates suggest there could be one change for the F250 index during the December 2024 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Sep-2024): iPhone 16 sales lag, LGD struggles.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • iPhone 16 sales disappoint, LGD faces market obstacles, while Huawei enhances AI quality control in smart medicine.
  • Reduce defense emissions to combat climate change, safeguarding national security amid declining EV demand and weakening investments in European battery makers.
  • Thailand to establish first SiC facility by 2027, Taiwan introduces closed-loop lithium battery recycling system, boosts semiconductor innovation with US$9.3 billion initiative to stay competitive in the industry. US bans Chinese automotive tech.

The Western Union Company: Initiation Of Coverage – A Deep Insight Into Its Core Strategy & Its Competitive Advantage! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Western Union Company demonstrated progress in its second quarter of 2024 financial results, echoing its commitment to its Evolve 2025 strategy aimed at propelling the company towards competitive market positioning.
  • Led by CEO, Devin McGranahan and CFO, Matt Cagwin, the earnings presentation outlined key financial metrics and strategic initiatives that mark both strengths and areas of concern.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Badger Meter Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Dealing With Financial Performance Stability and Margin Pressure! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Badger Meter Inc.’s second quarter earnings of 2024 reflected a robust performance.
  • The company exceeded expectations, reporting quarterly revenues of $217 million, which marks a 23% year-over-year increase.
  • This milestone was primarily driven by strong market demand and the efficient conversion of backlogs, which was slightly above anticipated levels.

Advanced Energy Industries: Initiation Of Coverage – An Anticipated Market and Economic Recovery In 2025 & Its Impact On Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Advanced Energy’s second quarter of 2024 earnings report depicted a complex but progressive landscape for the company.
  • The earnings call, led by key executives including President and CEO Steve Kelley and Executive Vice President and CFO Paul Oldham, detailed aspects of financial performance, strategic initiatives, market- specific dynamics, and forward-looking expectations with a clear resonance on the ongoing and future strategies meant to streamline operations and leverage market opportunities.
  • Revenue for the quarter stood at $365 million, an 11% increase sequentially, exceeding the company’s guidance.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Micron Technology, United Microelectron Sp Adr, Dell Technologies , Esker SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Memory Monitor: Upcoming Micron Results & Outlook Key Amid Reports of Inventory Liquidation
  • Memory Monitor: Micron Results Show Clear Signs of Memory Market Upswing; DRAM Growth Upgraded
  • United Microelectronics: Intel Foundry Should Take a Stake; Latest News Makes This More Likely
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Sep-2024): Aug 2024 notebook shipment update
  • Esker – Proposed bid for the company confirmed


Memory Monitor: Upcoming Micron Results & Outlook Key Amid Reports of Inventory Liquidation

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Memory stocks underperformed the market, falling sharply with the recent overall market rout and failing to rebound sufficiently with the latest market rally.
  • Leading Memory names Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung are all substantially below their 52-week highs after market reports of slowing memory demand from PC and mobile industries and inventory liquidation.
  • Taiwan names Nanya Tech, Silicon Motion, Phison are all we below their highs. Micron results on September 25th MT will provide a major outlook update for the market.

Memory Monitor: Micron Results Show Clear Signs of Memory Market Upswing; DRAM Growth Upgraded

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Micron’s latest results show a clear improvement in the Memory cycle. The company’s gross margin increased and guided for a further strong margin increase next quarter.
  • Micron increased its overall DRAM industry growth forecast while maintaining its NAND flash forecast. Micron reiterated expectations for FY2025E to deliver record revenue for the company, with improving profitability.
  • Positive news for fallen Memory industry shares — Within our Memory universe we have Structural Long ratings for Micron Technology (MU US), SK Hynix (000660 KS), and Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO US).

United Microelectronics: Intel Foundry Should Take a Stake; Latest News Makes This More Likely

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Given UMC’s partnership with Intel to produce chips using Intel’s 12nm fab capacity, we believe latest Intel developments increase the opportunity for Intel Foundry to take a stake in UMC.
  • Intel’s Foundry business makes a strong partner for UMC who has deep foundry experience and talent, but doesn’t have leading edge fabs nor the balance sheet to build them.
  • If Intel Foundry Services spins out or Intel strengthens its balance sheet through a deal with Qualcomm/Apollo, the potential for a deeper UMC-Intel Foundry partnership becomes even more compelling.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Sep-2024): Aug 2024 notebook shipment update

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Aug 2024 Notebook shipments on track for delivery with tracking information soon. Apple MR device facing possible upgrade to 1,500 PPI OLED display.
  • Automotive CIS tech set to advance by 2024. Taiwan offers permanent residence to address talent shortage in AI industry.
  • UK showcases compound semiconductor strength and collaboration with Taiwan. Henkel expands semiconductor focus in India for market growth.

Esker – Proposed bid for the company confirmed

By Edison Investment Research

Alongside its H124 results, Esker confirmed that Bridgepoint, in association with General Atlantic and management shareholders, is proposing a cash public tender offer for the company at €262 per share. This represents a 30% premium to the unaffected share price on 8 August. The supervisory board has welcomed the principle of the offer. If the tender offer is successful (ie 60% or more of shares are tendered), the deal is expected to complete in late Q424 or early Q125.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Samsung Electronics, Kioxia Holdings , Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Silverlake Axis , Via Technologies, yutori , Enfusion, Compal Electronics, Boku Inc, Genpact Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea Exchange Announces The Korea Value Up Index
  • Tech: Japan’s Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason
  • TSMC:  Caution as GEM Funds Switch to Underweight
  • Silverlake Axis (SILV SP): Circular Now Out. IFA Says Fair
  • Via Technologies GDR Offering – US$212m GDR Offering Will Be Easily Digested
  • Yutori Expands Through M&A Too
  • Is Enfusion About to Be Snapped Up? Here’s Why Acquirers Could Be Lining Up!
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Sep-2024): Lenovo invests US$1 billion in AI over 3 years.
  • Boku – H124 revenue growth supports FY24 outlook
  • Genpact Limited: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts


Korea Exchange Announces The Korea Value Up Index

By Douglas Kim

  • Korea Exchange announced the long awaited Korea Value Up Index (“K Value Up Index”) (composed of 100 stocks) today. 
  • Korea Exchange used a 5-step screening process to select the 100 companies in this index including market cap, profitability, shareholder returns, market evaluation, and capital efficiency. 
  • This Value Up index is part of the bigger “Corporate Value Up ” program in Korea. These efforts to improve Korea’s corporate governance policies is a marathon, not a sprint. 

Tech: Japan’s Biggest IPO in 6 Years, Kioxia, Is Off. Here Is the Likely Reason

By Neil Campling

  • Significant peer price performance declines leaves IPO valuation stretched, the desired discount multiple to attract interest has suddenly become a premium
  • Investor interest in memory semiconductors, AI derivative stocks has cooled
  • Peer price sell-offs are extreme but could quickly change, reflecting the highly cyclical nature of the sector

TSMC:  Caution as GEM Funds Switch to Underweight

By Steven Holden

  • Average EM fund weights and active fund ownership hits record highs in TSMC
  • However, investor caution is starting to surface, with 13.4% of funds shifting to underweight  in the last six months, driving the net underweight to a 15-year low of -1.21%.
  • Net outflows of $3 billion over the past six months, led by Invesco, JP Morgan, and MFS, and with four times more sellers than buyers.

Silverlake Axis (SILV SP): Circular Now Out. IFA Says Fair

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 26 August, Goh Peng Ooi, founder and executive chair, made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 25.9% in Silverlake Axis (SILV SP) not held.
  • The Offer Doc for this S$0.36/share cash Offer was dispatched on the 26th August.  The Circular is also now out, which incorporates the IFA opinion.
  • Trading through terms. The first close is the 7th October. I don’t expect a bump, and the share price gradually retraces back to cash terms.

Via Technologies GDR Offering – US$212m GDR Offering Will Be Easily Digested

By Clarence Chu

  • Via Technologies (2388 TT) is looking to raise US$212m in its global depository receipts (GDRs) offering. Proceeds will be used to purchase overseas raw materials, and to replenish working capital.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal has had a long drawn out approval process. Thus, the deal is a very well flagged one.
  • The deal is a relatively small one to digest at 5.8 days of the stock’s three month ADV.

Yutori Expands Through M&A Too

By Michael Causton

  • Zozo-Owned Yutori has just acquired a womenswear brand and plans a series of acquisitions, with ambitions to become the Zozo of the younger generation.
  • So far, it has grown very fast on the back of strong support from Japan’s youth looking for street fashion but this latest move will reach into new segments.
  • Unlike Zozo, Yutori is investing in a chain of stores which have helped push awareness and sales and is the right strategy for Japan’s store-addicted consumers.

Is Enfusion About to Be Snapped Up? Here’s Why Acquirers Could Be Lining Up!

By Baptista Research

  • Enfusion reported its second quarter 2024 earnings with results aligning closely with the company’s prior guidance and consistent performance expectations in the medium term.
  • The company posted $49.5 million in revenue, marking a 16% year-over-year growth.
  • The adjusted EBITDA came in at $10.1 million, translating to a 20.5% margin.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Sep-2024): Lenovo invests US$1 billion in AI over 3 years.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Lenovo commits $1B to AI advancements, strengthens F1 collaboration, showcasing innovation in technology sector.
  • Garmin experiences growth in SEA sales for smart wearables, indicating a maturing market and strong consumer demand.
  • Taiwan’s Transcom gains from global surge in military spending, develops world’s first open-source 6G core network, while Stellantis partners Maserati with China’s Chery amidst struggles in German automotive industry.

Boku – H124 revenue growth supports FY24 outlook

By Edison Investment Research

Boku reported 24% y-o-y revenue growth in H124, with both digital wallet/account-to-account (A2A) payments and direct carrier billing (DCB) payments growing at double-digit rates. Adjusted EBITDA grew 18% y-o-y with a margin of 30.1%. With ambitions to become the best localised payment partner for global commerce, Boku continues to invest in enhancing its product portfolio and strengthening its compliance and treasury functions. A pipeline of new digital wallet/A2A launches for major merchants and seasonal factors support continued strong growth in H224 and 2025. With FY24 outlook maintained, our revenue and adjusted EBITDA forecasts are unchanged.


Genpact Limited: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Genpact Limited’s Q2 2024 earnings report and conference call, led by CEO BK Kalra and CFO Michael Weiner, offered insights into the company’s performance and strategy, presenting a mixed outlook with both notable strengths and areas for improvement.
  • Genpact reported Q2 revenue of $1.18 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase, surpassing their guidance.
  • This growth was driven by strong performance across Data-Tech-AI and digital operations.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Advantest Corp, Rightmove PLC, SK Inc, Sino American Silicon Products, Weibo , Intel Corp, Jabil Circuit, Maximus Inc, Exlservice Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • The Biggish Sep 2024 “Thursday-Friday Trade”
  • REA’s Improved Terms For Rightmove
  • Why MBK’s Move into Local Hostile Takeover Scene Matters: Focus on SK Inc and Lotte Corp
  • Sino-American Silicon GDR Offering – Relatively Large One to Digest, Although Discount Is Attractive
  • BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 21)
  • REA/Rightmove: Third Proposal Seems Close to Fair Value
  • Qualcomm’s Game-Changing Play: What Intel’s Acquisition Could Mean for the Future of Tech!
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Sep-2024): Taiwan’s energy policy faces EU pressure on localization.
  • Maximus Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Transition to Medicaid Enterprise Systems As A Critical Pivot & Other Major Drivers
  • ExlService Holdings: Initiation Of Coverage – Expansion of Analytics and Healthcare Services & Other Major Drivers


The Biggish Sep 2024 “Thursday-Friday Trade”

By Travis Lundy

  • Every year it’s the same trade. This year it is Thursday and Friday. There is some funkiness to Monday too.
  • There is meaningful directional buying on one day, which then kind of gets stretched a bit. This year, circumstances suggest high confidence buying should be at the top end.
  • This year, because circumstances, I expect the trade is a lot larger than last year. I’d say ¥1.6trln. 

REA’s Improved Terms For Rightmove

By David Blennerhassett

  • Rightmove PLC (RMV LN), UK’s largest real estate portal, has twice rejected REA Group Ltd (REA AU) cash/scrip non-binding Offers this month.
  • REA has upped terms to 341 pence + 0.0422 new REA shares per Rightmove share, or 770p/share, a 39% premium. If completed, Rightmove’s shareholders would own ~20.1% of the MergeCo.
  • Thrice rejected? I think Rightmove should engage. REA also has until the 30th September to make a formal Offer. Or walk away.

Why MBK’s Move into Local Hostile Takeover Scene Matters: Focus on SK Inc and Lotte Corp

By Sanghyun Park

  • The new 100% mandatory tender offer rule could push buyers to lower premiums for major shareholders, potentially increasing hostile takeover attempts as costs get shared with minority shareholders.
  • It looks like MBK is eyeing this situation as a chance to redefine their strategy. This really shows how serious MBK is about the Korea Zinc deal.
  • Watch for top-tier assets available via hostile takeovers, particularly companies like SK Inc and Lotte Corp, where low shareholder stakes may lead to management conflicts.

Sino-American Silicon GDR Offering – Relatively Large One to Digest, Although Discount Is Attractive

By Clarence Chu

  • Sino American Silicon Products (5483 TT) is looking to raise US$287m in its GDRs offering. Proceeds will be used to purchase overseas raw materials, repay bank loans and purchase machinery.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal has had a long drawn out approval process. Thus, the deal is a very well flagged one.
  • The deal is a relatively large one to digest at 15.7 days of the stock’s three month ADV.

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 21)

By David Mudd


REA/Rightmove: Third Proposal Seems Close to Fair Value

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The Board of Rightmove PLC (RMV LN) will consider REA Group Ltd (REA AU)‘s third proposal (implied value of 770p/share, 39% premium, 20.4x EV/NTM EBITDA, 28x Fwd P/E).
  • Using 21.3x NTM EBITDA (comps) would indicate fair value of 805p, 4.5% increase to  current offer, implying 29.3x P/E, although proforma leverage would increase to 3.6x.
  • REA has not stated that the offer is final. Rightmove investors and Board may require further persuasion, as the implied probability of deal success is just 58%.

Qualcomm’s Game-Changing Play: What Intel’s Acquisition Could Mean for the Future of Tech!

By Baptista Research

  • The semiconductor industry is buzzing with news that Qualcomm, the world leader in smartphone chipsets and wireless technology patents, has approached Intel about a potential acquisition.
  • The Wall Street Journal recently reported on this development, signaling Qualcomm’s ambition to expand beyond its mobile chipset dominance and deepen its reach into the PC and server markets.
  • While the deal remains uncertain and could face significant regulatory hurdles, this move could be transformative for Qualcomm.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Sep-2024): Taiwan’s energy policy faces EU pressure on localization.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Taiwan’s energy policy is challenged by EU pressure on localizing offshore wind, hindering progress in renewable energy development.
  • Recycling technology is repurposing electronic waste components like substrates and circuit boards, reducing environmental impact and promoting sustainability.
  • Google implements DataGemma to improve accuracy in their hallucination-proofing LLM system, using Data Commons for enhanced performance.

Maximus Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Transition to Medicaid Enterprise Systems As A Critical Pivot & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Maximus, a global leader known for managing government programs, recently delivered robust financial results for its fiscal 2024 third quarter.
  • The company showed notable organic growth and revenue expansion across its diversified segments, with total revenue reaching $1.31 billion, marking a 10.6% year-over-year increase.
  • This growth was driven mainly by the U.S. Federal Services segment, which achieved a significant 17.0% revenue increase primarily through expanded clinical programs.

ExlService Holdings: Initiation Of Coverage – Expansion of Analytics and Healthcare Services & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ExlService Holdings, Inc. has delivered a robust performance in the second quarter of 2024, continuing its upward trajectory in the data and artificial intelligence (AI) sectors, an area where the company has been increasingly focusing its resources.
  • The company reported a revenue of $448 million, marking an 11% increase year-over-year, and an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rise of 11% to $0.40.
  • This growth was predominantly propelled by high demand in its Analytics and Digital Operations & Solutions segments.

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