Category

TMT/Internet

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Crowdstrike Holdings , Tianju Dihe Technology, Baltic Classifieds Group , Foxconn Industrial Internet and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • CrowdStrike Joins S&P 500
  • Tianju Dihe Technology IPO: Limited Room For Multiple Expansion Despite Healthy Growth
  • Baltic Classifieds Group (BCG LN) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024
  • Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact


CrowdStrike Joins S&P 500

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • On June 24, Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US) will officially join the S&P 500, which follows strong financial results and guidance. Investors anticipated this inclusion, driven by improved profitability and operational efficiency.
  • The volume traded has so far been on average 2x the 3-month daily average prior to the news. The enduring effect will be on liquidity (hedging basket for index exposure).
  • CrowdStrike’s inclusion in the S&P 500 index increases the representation of pure cybersecurity stocks. Median IBES consensus PT is $400 (7.5% upside).

Tianju Dihe Technology IPO: Limited Room For Multiple Expansion Despite Healthy Growth

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Tianju Dihe Technology, a provider of integrated API-enabled data exchange services in China, set terms for an IPO and plans to raise ~HK$400M in June.
  • The initial public offering is expected to be priced at HK$83.33 per H share, valuing the technology company at ~HK$4.2B or $535M based on 50.1M outstanding shares.  
  • Cornerstone investors have agreed to acquire ~3.8M H shares, representing 80% of the offer shares or ~8% of the total outstanding shares.

Baltic Classifieds Group (BCG LN) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • BCG is the leading online classified group in the Baltics with 14 portals across three countries
  • Management team focused on improving monetization for high revenue growth
  • Expected significant value per share growth with exposure to high-growth Baltic markets and plans to increase take-rates, presenting an intriguing opportunity for investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

By Joe Jasper

  • Not much has changed since our latest Int’l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled “Buy the Pullback.” 
  • We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
  • Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Mimasu Semiconductor Industry, SenseTime Group , PC Partner, Elan Microelectronics, Mixi Inc, TYC Brother Industrial, Perfect and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Shin-Etsu Chem TOB for Rest of Mimasu Semi (8155) – Far Too Cheap, But No Squeaky Wheel No Grease
  • Sensetime Placement – Seems Highly Opportunistic
  • Mimasu Semiconductor (8155 JP): Shin-Etsu (4063 JP)’s Tender Offer Launches
  • PC Partners (1263 HK) Muses SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal
  • TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing
  • MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – At an Inflection Point to Generate Shareholder Value
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.
  • Perfect Corp.


Shin-Etsu Chem TOB for Rest of Mimasu Semi (8155) – Far Too Cheap, But No Squeaky Wheel No Grease

By Travis Lundy

  • Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP), owner of a 44% stake in Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), will launch the TOB to buy out Mimasu minority holders, as pre-announced 2mos ago.
  • Not surprising. They bought in 19yrs ago, raised to 40+% 18yrs ago, then waited. Finally, we have a deal. It’s too cheap but in 18yrs, I recall zero activism here.
  • Shin-Etsu starts with ~45%, and crossholders and the chairman get it to 53%. Then they need a bit to get them to 67% but it should be straightforward.

Sensetime Placement – Seems Highly Opportunistic

By Sumeet Singh

  • SenseTime Group (20 HK)  aims to raise up to US$263m via selling around 4.5% stake.
  • Sensetime hasn’t had the best of times since listing, however, the shares have rebounded recently on generative AI buzz around the stock.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Mimasu Semiconductor (8155 JP): Shin-Etsu (4063 JP)’s Tender Offer Launches

By Arun George

  • Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP) notes that the pre-condition for Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)’s JPY3,700 tender offer has been satisfied. The tender runs from 21 June to 5 August.
  • The share price has traded at or above the offer on 15 out of 38 trading days, partly due to expectations of a counteroffer. 
  • While the offer is below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range, it represents an all-time high. The lack of activists or competing offers suggests a done deal.

PC Partners (1263 HK) Muses SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 18th June, personal computer (PC) parts and accessories play PC Partner (1263 HK) announced a profit alert for 1H24. 
  • That’s positive. What is also interesting is that the board is considering an SGX listing, by way of introduction, and applying for the withdrawal of the HKEx listing.
  • Precedents are thin on the ground. And for good reason. The process is not straightforward.

TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • We hosted a conference call with Elan Microelectronics management; We view the company as a Structural Long position for the AI PC upgrade cycle.
  • From the company’s perspective, significant impact from AI PC demand will come but not until 4Q24E or 1H25E. However, supply chain excess inventory improved and prepping for upcycle.
  • An estimated 90% of AI PC models launched at CES 2024 use Elan’s products in their design; Elan well positioned for the upcycle and entrenching its position. Maintain Structural Long.

MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – At an Inflection Point to Generate Shareholder Value

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Approaching a transformational phase – MIXI Inc. is a digital content company generating earnings from its ‘MONSTER STRIKE’ mobile gaming franchise.
  • Operating in a mature domestic gaming market, the company has successfully diversified into lifestyle and sports, but to date has experienced limited earnings contribution.
  • We believe this is about to change, driven by the new monetization strategy for the ‘FamilyAlbum’ video and photo- sharing service app in FY3/25. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • TYC Brother Industrial is set to dominate the NEV market with a US plant scheduled to be operational by the first quarter of 2025.
  • Despite sanctions, a Russian company has introduced the MP21 SBC to rival the Raspberry Pi 5, showcasing the competitiveness of the technology market.
  • Cerebras and Dell have joined forces to challenge Nvidia in the AI market, highlighting the growth of AI accelerator technology for servers. Taiwan’s carbon market is advancing with new initiatives and regulations, while the UK collaborates with Taiwan to lead in semiconductors at Semi-Impact forum. India is ramping up cobalt supply efforts to meet growing demand.

Perfect Corp.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Perfect Corp. provides an AI and machine learning based B2B SaaS platform for virtual try on and marketing of beauty and fashion products as well as six mobile apps sold B2C for makeup suggestions, try-on, tutorials, photo and video editing and most recently, Gen AI creation and editing.
  • It is expanding its offering to new verticals and has strong IP as well as the largest database for AI training in the industry.
  • It has a dominant market share and serves almost all the major beauty brands worldwide.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Apple , Fujitsu Ltd, Money Forward , Black Sesame Technologies, Power Integrations and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Episode 72: Apple Intelligence and Closed Loop Private Computing
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.
  • Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2
  • Black Sesame Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Unable to Shake off Its Loss-Making Tendencies
  • Power Integrations Inc (POWI) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024


Episode 72: Apple Intelligence and Closed Loop Private Computing

By The Circuit

  • Apple announced Apple intelligence, integrating AI in a feature-centric way for on-device use
  • The approach focused on useful features rather than spotlighting AI technology
  • Apple’s implementation of AI on iPhone 15 Pro and newer devices showcases their focus on personal intelligence and user-centric design

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.
  • CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.
  • Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.

Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2

By Mark Chadwick

  • Money Forward’s share price has declined by around 16% since reporting Q1 results.
  • The company will report Q2 results in early July. We expect continued solid momentum
  • We believe the stock price has around 30% upside potential to our target price of ¥6,600

Black Sesame Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Unable to Shake off Its Loss-Making Tendencies

By Clarence Chu

  • Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
  • In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we discuss Black Sesame’s PHIP updates.

Power Integrations Inc (POWI) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Power Integrations (POWI) is facing persistently low earnings quality over the past five quarters due to a channel inventory adjustment, which they claim is almost complete
  • Revenues have dropped by 37% since 2021, casting doubt on whether the adjustment fully explains the decline
  • Financial performance in 2024 could lead to a shift in the investment narrative towards normalized revenues below recent peaks and increased competition from Chinese semiconductor vendors, potentially affecting earnings and forward multiples

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Infocom Corp, Novatek Microelectronics Corp, Webtoon Entertainment, Micron Technology, GLOBALFOUNDRIES , Coherent Inc, Qualys Inc, On Semiconductor and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Blackstone Does a BIG Deal for Infocom (4348) – Minorities Get ¥6,060/Share
  • Infocom (4348 JP): Blackstone’s Long-Awaited JPY6,060 Tender Offer
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jun-2024): Taiwan wafer industry in 2Q24
  • Webtoon Entertainment IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Memory Monitor: Computex Showed Micron Leapfrog SK Hynix and Samsung; ‘Boring’ DRAM Could Now Hot Up
  • Micron’s HBM. Multiple Billions Incoming..
  • Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024
  • Coherent Corp: Expansion and Diversification in Telecom and Datacom Optics & Other Major Drivers
  • Qualys Inc.: Will The Management Efforts Towards Expansion of Cloud Security Solutions Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • ON Semiconductor Corporation: Adoption in Low-Cost Electric Vehicles and Broad Technology Offering! – Major Drivers


Blackstone Does a BIG Deal for Infocom (4348) – Minorities Get ¥6,060/Share

By Travis Lundy

  • 15 weeks ago, a specialised media outlet suggested Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) was in process to sell its stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP)
  • I caught up later, after the stock had run up significantly, but writing bullishly here and here. Since then, the stock is up another 33-35%.
  • Today we finally got the announced deal. Blackstone will buy the stock at a valuation of ¥280bn, paying ¥6,060/share for the minority stake, and buying back Teijin’s stake at ¥4,340/share.

Infocom (4348 JP): Blackstone’s Long-Awaited JPY6,060 Tender Offer

By Arun George

  • Following months of press speculation, Infocom Corp (4348 JP) announced a Blackstone (BX US) tender offer at JPY6,060 per share, a 177.3% premium to the undisturbed price. 
  • After the share consolidation, Infocom will repurchase Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)’s stake at a share repurchase price of JPY4,231. The process is expected to be completed in early October.
  • The offer is a knockout bid helped by auction. This is a done deal with payment commencing from 7 August. At the last close, the gross spread was 0.5%.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jun-2024): Taiwan wafer industry in 2Q24

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Taiwan’s wafer foundry industry set to expand in Q2 2024 with potential government and financial support.
  • London Tech Week 2024 showcases AI, semiconductors, deep tech, startups, and global tech partnerships.
  • Quanta sees profits double despite workforce reduction, while Intel invests in Luxshare in China to boost market presence.

Webtoon Entertainment IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Webtoon announced that it is targeting a valuation of up to US$2.7 billion in the upcoming IPO. The IPO price range is from US$18 to US$21 per share. 
  • The company is aiming to raise as much as US$315 million in this IPO. Blackrock Asset Management has indicated interest of purchasing up to US$50 million in this IPO.
  • Our base case valuation of Webtoon is market cap of US$3.6 billion or target price of US$27.9 per share (33% higher than the high end of the IPO price range). 

Memory Monitor: Computex Showed Micron Leapfrog SK Hynix and Samsung; ‘Boring’ DRAM Could Now Hot Up

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Computex showed how Micron has successfully leap-frogged SK Hynix and Samsung in HBM DRAM for AI Servers.
  • Now, older ‘boring’ DRAM prices could surge as HBM DRAM production is voraciously consuming memory fab capacity.
  • Why Nanya Tech shares could surge higher — A DRAM memory trade for those who don’t want to chase steep 52-week highs in Micron and SK Hynix.

Micron’s HBM. Multiple Billions Incoming..

By William Keating

  • HBM revenue on track to jump from a few hundred million in 2024 to “multiple” billions in 2025
  • Micron expects to become FCF positive in the second half of their fiscal 2024 and to have a record revenue year in their fiscal 2025. 
  • Micron’s is doing custom work on their HBM solutions. Customers are signing LTAs with defined pricing. This could easily spread to Micron’s non-HBM products also. 

Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Globalfoundries Inc. is an American semiconductor foundry spun out of Advanced Micro Devices in 2009.
  • The company operates four fabs in the US, Germany, and Singapore, making it the only scaled pure-play outside of China and Taiwan.
  • In 2018, Globalfoundries shifted its focus to producing lagging-edge, feature-rich semiconductors after halting investment in leading-edge chip development.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Coherent Corp: Expansion and Diversification in Telecom and Datacom Optics & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Coherent Corp. reported a solid third-quarter performance for Fiscal Year 2024, signaling strong underlying business dynamics despite some operational hitches.
  • The company emphasized a noteworthy sequential revenue increase of almost 7% and an almost 50% rise in non-GAAP EPS which marked significant growth.
  • Operating cash flow stood robust at $117 million, with a substantial portion directed towards capital investments and debt repayment.

Qualys Inc.: Will The Management Efforts Towards Expansion of Cloud Security Solutions Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Based on the first quarter 2024 earnings of Qualys, the company has evidenced a progressive trajectory with significant developments in its strategic sectors, specifically cybersecurity asset management.
  • The introduction of enhanced enterprise solutions such as VMDR with TruRisk and TotalCloud CNAPP reflects Qualys’ adaptation to evolving market needs and emphasizes the ever growing complexity of cybersecurity threats.
  • These initiatives have notably increased product adoption across diverse verticals including healthcare, technology, retail, and financial services, suggesting robust demand and profitability potential.

ON Semiconductor Corporation: Adoption in Low-Cost Electric Vehicles and Broad Technology Offering! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In Q1 2024, ON Semiconductor Corporation reported revenue of $1.86 billion, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 45.9% and non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.08, exceeding the midpoint of the guidance.
  • These figures demonstrate the company’s adeptness at navigating market dynamics, supported by a 30% increase in new design wins and growth in silicon and silicon carbide market share due to its innovative power and sensing technologies.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Miroku Jyoho Service, Unisplendour Corporation Limited, Avant Corp, Xero Ltd, Pci Holdings Inc/Jp, Commvault Systems, Comscore Inc, JFrog, Plexus Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s 3nm Shortage & Upcoming Price Hikes; Samsung Unveils AI Catch-Up Plan
  • Miroku Jyoho Service (TSE:9928)
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.
  • Avant Group Corporation (TSE:3836)
  • Xero’s Price Hikes
  • Quick Look – PCI Holdings (3918 JP)
  • Commvault Systems Inc.: What Will Be The Overall Revenue Impact Of The Enhancement of Cyber Resilience Solutions? – Major Drivers
  • Comscore Inc (SCOR) – Saturday, Mar 16, 2024
  • JFrog Ltd.: How Are They Successfully Expanding Cloud Services Revenue? – Major Drivers
  • Plexus Corp: Expanding Market Presence in Industrial Sector – Major Drivers


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s 3nm Shortage & Upcoming Price Hikes; Samsung Unveils AI Catch-Up Plan

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC’s 3nm Shortage: Capacity Filled Until 2026 Amid Surging Demand; Strategic Price Hikes Coming Soon
  • Top Gainers/Losers: Taiwan Tech Rallies Alongside TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, ARM Strength
  • Samsung Unveils Pathway to Catch Up With TSMC in the AI Foundry Race

Miroku Jyoho Service (TSE:9928)

By Hurdle Rate

  • Miroku Jyoho Service (TSE:9928) , which offers on-premises, hybrid (IaaS) and cloud accounting software to Japanese enterprises of various sizes.
  • Our purchase is centred around the business achieving further transition to the cloud, allowing for substantial margin improvement through the accumulation of high gross margin SaaS revenue.
  • This transition has impacted firm profitability in the short term due to the shift in revenue recognition as quoted below by the company

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • H3C and Foxconn partner in Malaysia for data center investment; Tsinghua Unigroup continues acquisitions in the tech industry.
  • Chinese automakers urged to invest in cleaner technologies, form strategic partnerships, and comply with EU regulations under new EV tariffs.
  • Microsoft & Qualcomm exceed pre-orders with AI-powered Copilot+ PC; Hyundai plans to list Indian arm; SEMICON India to showcase advancements in semiconductor industry.

Avant Group Corporation (TSE:3836)

By Hurdle Rate

  • Avant was founded in 1997 by the current CEO Tetsuji Morikawa and is a Japanese holding company of financial and non-financial software which have the collective goal of assisting its clientele to increase corporate value.
  • This includes ‘Diva’ as Japan’s foremost (43% market share) consolidated accounting software and board meetings platform in addition to ‘Avant’, a management system for corporate value enhancement through consolidation of information (Avant Cruise) , charting (Avant Chart) , and corporate value enhancement (Avant Compass).
  • Lastly, there is ‘Zeal’ which includes several non-financial platforms that help organise and integrate (with Avant Cruise) from external sources. And interestingly, Avant also owns and operates Internet Disclosure Co, which runs Kaijinet, a site I have frequently visited over the years.

Xero’s Price Hikes

By Hurdle Rate

  • This is the first blog post on the Hurdle Rate website, a series of blog posts which I intend to cover specific topics rather than unit trust investments.
  • From time to time I may consider company deep dives, but predominately I want to make these posts more specific in nature around the global landscape in professional and financial services.
  • Today’s post is going to talk about the recent bombshell that is Xero’s price hikes, a controversial topic here in Australia for the accounting industry, and a perfect start to the blogroll given my background and focus.

Quick Look – PCI Holdings (3918 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • PCI Holdings, Inc. (hereafter, the Company) is an IT provider of IT-related services and hardware, mainly focusing on embedded system technology such as embedded software, embedded computers, and the like.
  • Though it is a relatively young company, born in 2005, it has grown up to be large enough to have net sales of ¥28,500 mn for FY2023/9 with approximately 1,600 employees along with organic growth and acquisition of many companies.
  • Going forward, it will change the corporate structure and make it more profitable by investing its cashflow from its core businesses, the Engineering Business and the Product/Device Business, into the ICT Solutions Business, which has considerable potential growth fields such as solution development using AI, IoT platform and the like.

Commvault Systems Inc.: What Will Be The Overall Revenue Impact Of The Enhancement of Cyber Resilience Solutions? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Commvault recently wrapped up an impressive Fiscal Year 2024, demonstrating robust financial health and strategic progress.
  • Their fourth-quarter earnings highlighted a 10% increase in total revenue, reaching $223 million.
  • This growth was significantly propelled by a 27% rise in subscription revenue, which now constitutes over half of the total revenue stream.

Comscore Inc (SCOR) – Saturday, Mar 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Comscore underwent recapitalization in 2021, issuing $204M in convertible preferred stock
  • Decline in equity capitalization led to removal from major market indexes, but recent improvements in fundamentals have created significant equity value
  • Preferred holders may convert stock into common stock at a discount, and have the option to request a one-time special dividend valued at $45M, declining annually if specific borrowing conditions are met.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


JFrog Ltd.: How Are They Successfully Expanding Cloud Services Revenue? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • JFrog’s First Quarter 2024 financial report showcases a strong financial position with notable overall growth and a positive outlook, marked by significant developments and strategic initiatives across the company.
  • Total revenue reached $100.3 million, reflecting a 26% year-over-year increase, driven by robust cloud revenue and growing enterprise subscriptions.
  • Cloud revenue notably increased to $36.9 million, marking a 47% growth from the previous year.

Plexus Corp: Expanding Market Presence in Industrial Sector – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Plexus Corp recently reported fiscal second quarter 2024 results which showcased the company’s capacity to maintain a robust growth trajectory and strong operational performance amidst a mixed business environment.
  • Plexus announced fiscal second quarter revenue of $967 million, which sat at the top end of the company’s guidance, with a non-GAAP EPS of $0.94.
  • The non-GAAP operating margin was reported at 4.2%.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), ARM Holdings, Mediatek Inc, 4Paradigm, NVIDIA Corp, Rumble and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.
  • NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Arm Holdings Replaces Sirius XM
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): 2Q24 Guidance Is Achievable; to Take Advantage of the AI PC Replacement Trend.
  • 4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100
  • Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments
  • Rumble Inc (RUM) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.

By Patrick Liao

  • The yearly growth target could approach 25% YoY in 2024.
  • TSMC’s CoWoS demand continues to rise, with capacity expected to increase by approximately another 5% in 2024.
  • TSMC’s stock price has risen by 55% in Taiwan and by 66.3% in US markets this year. We believe it has the potential to continue increasing further.

NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Arm Holdings Replaces Sirius XM

By Brian Freitas


MediaTek (2454.TT): 2Q24 Guidance Is Achievable; to Take Advantage of the AI PC Replacement Trend.

By Patrick Liao

  • Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)’s 3Q24 is expected to experience a quarter-on-quarter increase of about 5%.  
  • MediaTek is currently developing new processors based on Arm architecture and natively supporting the Microsoft Windows operating system.
  • It is believed that MediaTek will tape out with TSMC 3nm technology, targeting the 1H25 market.

4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100

By Andrei Zakharov

  • 4Paradigm, China’s AI software company with focus on enterprise-level solutions, performed well and achieved solid growth in 2023 and Q1 2024. 
  • In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and set a new 12-month PT for 4Paradigm.
  • The company’s management has set a clear goal of profitability. I like 4Paradigm’s leadership position and hyper-growth in revenue from the Sage AI Platform.

Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments

By Srinidhi Raghavendra

  • NVIDIA deploys a three-pronged strategy to support the rapidly growing AI ecosystem. First, Corporate Investments. Second, NVentures. Third, NVIDIA Inception.
  • NVentures supports innovators who are deeply relevant to NVIDIA. NVentures aims to produce solid financial returns while growing the ecosystem.
  • NVIDIA participated in 35 deals in 2023 (6x more than in 2022). It has been more active than firm like Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia.

Rumble Inc (RUM) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Short Rumble with a price target of $0.90 per share, representing an 88% downside
  • Despite recent partnerships and market cap boost, company faces challenges like negative cash flow, declining user numbers, and inexperienced management
  • Investment is risky due to technical factors like limited available shares and high borrowing costs, advises monitoring stock performance and adjusting position sizes based on upcoming election结果

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: NVIDIA Corp, Avnet Inc, Guidewire Software, Littelfuse Inc, Ma Com Technology Solutions, Smartsheet Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA
  • Avnet Inc.: New Launches
  • Guidewire Software Inc.: A Tale Of Strategic Focus on Modernization and Generative AI! – Major Drivers
  • Littelfuse Inc.: Will Its Increased Design Win Momentum Last? – Major Drivers
  • MACOM Technology Solutions: How They Are Strengthening Market Presence in Data Centers and Telecom! – Major Drivers
  • Smartsheet Inc.: Focus on Artificial Intelligence (AI) and User Engagement! – Major Drivers


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA

By Brian Freitas


Avnet Inc.: New Launches

By Baptista Research

  • Avnet delivered mixed financial results in its third quarter of fiscal year 2024.
  • While the company met the strategic objectives and forecasts laid out for the period, several nuances within the report reveal the complex environment in which the company is currently operating.
  • Avnet reported a revenue of $5.7 billion for the quarter, a figure that aligns with company projections but represents a significant decline compared to the previous year’s figures.

Guidewire Software Inc.: A Tale Of Strategic Focus on Modernization and Generative AI! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Guidewire recently disclosed its results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024, which exhibited a strong operational performance and positive strategic developments.
  • The company, which provides insurance software, expressed confidence in its cloud-based offerings and reported significant progress in both customer traction and financial metrics.
  • During this quarter, Guidewire saw substantial customer adoption, evidenced by the closure of eight InsuranceSuite Cloud deals, bringing the year-to-date tally to 24—an increase of 33% year-over-year.

Littelfuse Inc.: Will Its Increased Design Win Momentum Last? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Littelfuse, a global leader in circuit protection, reported its first quarter 2024 results which reflect a balanced narrative of progressing through challenges while capitalizing on long-term growth opportunities.
  • The company continues to execute its strategies amid an evolving macroeconomic context, emphasizing diversification and operational efficiency which has been pivotal in navigating high inflation and uncertain market conditions.
  • Littelfuse reported a drop in revenue by 12% year-over-year, attributing much of this decline to ongoing inventory adjustments across its channels and weaker end-market demands particularly noted in the Electronics and Industrial segments.

MACOM Technology Solutions: How They Are Strengthening Market Presence in Data Centers and Telecom! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MACOM’s financial results for the second fiscal quarter of 2024 reflect a healthy and profitable business environment, with continuing investments aimed at future growth opportunities.
  • The company reported a revenue of $181.2 million, a 15.3% sequential increase, and adjusted EPS of $0.59 per diluted share.
  • These figures are indicative of MACOM’s robust performance, particularly in the Industrial and Defense (I&D) and telecom sectors, demonstrating strong existing operations and the added financial benefits from the recent acquisition of an RF business.

Smartsheet Inc.: Focus on Artificial Intelligence (AI) and User Engagement! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Smartsheet has reported a strong start to the fiscal year 2025 with a number of positive developments, though there are areas that warrant close observation as the company moves forward with its new initiatives.
  • Smartsheet’s growth narrative continues to strengthen with a reported annualized recurring revenue (ARR) of $1.056 billion, marking an increase of 19% year-over-year.
  • This growth has been buoyed by a significant increase in the number of customers contributing more than $100,000 to Smartsheet’s ARR, indicating robust customer expansion and deeper penetration within existing accounts.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Shift Up, Plover Bay Technologies, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Intel Corp, GA Technologies, ADTRAN Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Shift Up IPO – Refiling and Other Updates, Not Ranked at the Top Anymore
  • Plover Bay 1523 HK Earnings Preview: Strong H1 FY24, Rerating to Continue
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Jun-2024): 5G products made by Nokia and Foxconn in northern Vietnam.
  • Intel Warns That Its Foundry Strategy Is “Highly Risky” & Its Success Is “Highly Uncertain”
  • GA Technologies (3491 JP): 1H FY10/24 flash update
  • Adtran Holdings Inc (ADTN) – Friday, Mar 15, 2024


Shift Up IPO – Refiling and Other Updates, Not Ranked at the Top Anymore

By Sumeet Singh

  • Shift Up (462870 KS) plans to raise up to US$320m in its South Korean IPO.
  • Shift Up is a South Korean games developer, which as released three games so far for the global markets.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance, undertaken a peer comparison and talked about valuations in our past notes. In this note, we talk about the refiling and other updates.

Plover Bay 1523 HK Earnings Preview: Strong H1 FY24, Rerating to Continue

By Sameer Taneja

  • We expect strong 30-35% YoY earnings growth in Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK) for its earnings to be released in July for H1 FY24. 
  • We expect the company to continue its 80% dividend payout ratio, which will result in a 4% semi-annual yield (8% annualized). 
  • Trading at 12.2x with >50% ROEs and net cash of >30 mn USD, we expect the strong results to catalyze a further multiple rerate.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Jun-2024): 5G products made by Nokia and Foxconn in northern Vietnam.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Nokia and Foxconn are collaborating to manufacture 5G products in northern Vietnam, potentially boosting the country’s tech industry.
  • Huawei’s entry into the automotive tier-1 market raises questions about its impact on traditional car manufacturers.
  • The UK semiconductor industry and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) are highlighted at London Tech Week, showcasing their importance in the tech world.

Intel Warns That Its Foundry Strategy Is “Highly Risky” & Its Success Is “Highly Uncertain”

By William Keating

  • Intel’s 2023 10K includes two new risk sections relating to its foundry plans and Smart Capital approach to funding them. 
  • It labels its foundry plan as “Highly Risky” and rates its chances of success as “highly uncertain”
  • They also helpfully warn that they have “limited experience” with the third party foundry business, just FYI

GA Technologies (3491 JP): 1H FY10/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue for 1H FY10/24 was JPY85.9bn, up 35.5% YoY, with a business profit of JPY2.2bn, up 146.1% YoY.
  • RENOSY Marketplace business revenue was JPY83.6bn, up 35.3% YoY, and ITANDI business revenue was JPY2.1bn, up 34.1% YoY.
  • FY10/24 company forecast revised to JPY185.0bn in revenue and JPY3.7bn in business profit, with EPS unchanged at JPY45.90.

Adtran Holdings Inc (ADTN) – Friday, Mar 15, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Severe cyclical downturn impacting broadband/optical telecom equipment vendors
  • Author believes ADTN has significant upside potential of 2.5x-5x from current price
  • Expectation for ADTN to reach $1-$1.50 EPS power over next two years, confident in company’s ability to manage tight liquidity situation without diluting shareholders

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Apple , Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Tesla , AEM, Aptiv PLC, Cyber Security Cloud Inc, OpenAI, Broadleaf, Ai Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Technology Select Sector Index (XLK US): NVIDIA Could Flip Places with Apple; HUGE Flows
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again
  • Elon Set to Lose $56B Incentive? If So, Will Tesla’s AI Shift to XAI?
  • AEM Holdings: New CEO = One Final Kitchen Sink in 2Q24?
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jun-2024): India limits Chinese participation, woos Taiwanese investments.
  • Cyber Security Cloud Inc (4493 JP): Q1 FY12/24 flash update
  • Chat GPT Makes as Foolhardy a Bet as Apple does a Genius One
  • Broadleaf (3673 JP): Q1 FY12/24 flash update
  • Cyber Security Cloud Inc (4493 JP): Q1 FY12/24 report update
  • Ai Holdings (3076 JP): Q3 FY06/24 flash update


Technology Select Sector Index (XLK US): NVIDIA Could Flip Places with Apple; HUGE Flows

By Brian Freitas


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +21.3% Premium; Trading at New +15-25% Range This Year
  • ASE: +12.7% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Fresh Short Level
  • CHT: +1.2% Premium; Good Level to Short Relative to History

Elon Set to Lose $56B Incentive? If So, Will Tesla’s AI Shift to XAI?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Crucial Vote: Shareholders are voting on Musk’s $56 billion compensation deal and Tesla’s reincorporation in Texas, pivotal decisions for the company’s direction.
  • High Stakes: The outcome will determine Musk’s commitment to Tesla, potentially shifting his focus to other ventures and impacting Tesla’s operations.
  • Institutional Opposition: Significant resistance from institutional investors and logistical issues for global shareholders create uncertainty. Abstaining from voting counts as a vote against, hindering Elon-supporting retail investors.

AEM Holdings: New CEO = One Final Kitchen Sink in 2Q24?

By Nicolas Van Broekhoven

  • AEM (AEM SP) announced a new CEO as of 30th of May 2024. The new CEO officially starts 1st of July 2024.
  • Amy Leong will take over from Chandran Nair as she leaves her Chief Commercial Officer role at Formfactor Inc (FORM US)
  • Given the weak business results and inventory management issues it should be expected that Mrs Leong would want to clean the proverbial house before she starts in her new role.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jun-2024): India limits Chinese participation, woos Taiwanese investments.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • India is limiting Chinese participation in Indian subsidiaries while seeking investments from Taiwan, diversifying its economic ties.
  • AWS is committing significant funds to establish data centers in Taiwan, anticipating obstacles in securing renewable energy sources.
  • Elephantech is seeking collaborators to scale up their eco-friendly PCB manufacturing operations to meet the escalating demand. Join the sustainable production movement.

Cyber Security Cloud Inc (4493 JP): Q1 FY12/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue was JPY954mn (+32.5% YoY), with subscription-based recurring revenue at JPY837mn (+23.6% YoY), accounting for 87.8% of total revenue.
  • Operating profit was JPY315mn (+94.2% YoY), with operating expenses at JPY638mn (+14.5% YoY), and OPM at 33.1% (+10.5pp YoY).
  • Companywide ARR totaled JPY3.4bn (+22.7% YoY), with user count at 1,292 companies (+6.2% YoY) and churn rate at 1.05% (+0.01pp YoY).

Chat GPT Makes as Foolhardy a Bet as Apple does a Genius One

By White Brook Capital

  • Last night Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman reported that in exchange for OpenAI’s position in MacOS, IOS, and iPadOS, Apple would pay OpenAI nothing. 
  • To level set, earlier this week, Apple unveiled their implementation of artificial intelligence, branded “Apple Intelligence”.
  • Apple Intelligence separates itself from Google’s Gemini and OpenAI’s ChatGPT by identifying and addressing user queries that contain personal information, but for capabilities it isn’t capable of performing, asking for user permission, and outsourcing the request to OpenAI’s ChatGPT, anonymously. 

Broadleaf (3673 JP): Q1 FY12/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 10.6% YoY to JPY4.0bn, with cloud services revenue up 79.3% YoY due to subscription growth.
  • Operating loss was JPY109mn, pre-tax loss JPY42mn, and loss attributable to owners JPY35mn, all improved from Q1 FY12/23.
  • Revised 1H FY12/24 forecast: revenue JPY8.2bn, operating loss JPY500mn, pre-tax loss JPY500mn, and loss attributable to owners JPY400mn.

Cyber Security Cloud Inc (4493 JP): Q1 FY12/24 report update

By Shared Research

  • In FY12/23, CSC reported revenue of JPY3.1bn (+34.5% YoY), operating profit of JPY550mn (+42.5% YoY), recurring profit of JPY560mn (+41.5% YoY), and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY427mn (+39.4% YoY).
  • Revenue expanded on improved annual recurring revenue (ARR) and user count of Shadankun, WafCharm, and SIDfm products.
  • The company released its new product, CloudFastener, in October 2023.

Ai Holdings (3076 JP): Q3 FY06/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales rose by JPY1.9bn (+5.3% YoY) due to growth in Security Equipment, Peripheral Computer Equipment, and Others segments.
  • Recurring profit increased by JPY6.1bn (+76.2% YoY) due to equity method investment gain from Iwatsu Electric Co., Ltd.
  • Ai Holdings revised full-year earnings forecast for FY06/24: Recurring profit JPY18.6bn, net income JPY15.6bn, sales JPY53.0bn.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: A8 New Media, SK Telecom, Shenzhen Transsion Holdings , Sony Corp, i-mobile Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • A8 New Media (800 HK): A Scheme with a 162% Takeover Premium
  • Proposed Merger Between Rebellions and Sapeon – To Challenge Nvidia
  • Transsion (688036 CH): Global No. 4 Smartphone Producer, Revenue Up by 88% YoY in 1Q24
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Jun-2024): Sony aims for profit in car camera biz by 2026.
  • A8 Media (800 HK): A 163% Premium to Undisturbed? Yes Please.
  • i-mobile Co Ltd (6535 JP): Q3 FY07/24 flash update


A8 New Media (800 HK): A Scheme with a 162% Takeover Premium

By Arun George

  • A8 New Media (800 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Liu Xiaosong (Founder, Chairman, CEO) at HK$0.36 per share, a 162.8% premium to the last close price. 
  • The massive premium is unsurprising, as A8’s EV has been negative since April 2023 due to headwinds from the weak Chinese leasing sector and uncertainty about cash use.  
  • The high takeover premium, no shareholder holding a blocking stake, and low AGM minority participation rate point to a done deal. However, this is a small-cap illiquid stock.  

Proposed Merger Between Rebellions and Sapeon – To Challenge Nvidia

By Douglas Kim

  • On 12 June, SK Telecom (017670 KS) confirmed that its affiliate Sapeon plans to merge with its competitor Rebellions by end of this year.
  • Sapeon and Rebellions’ largest global competitor is Nvidia. A key aim of the merger is to challenge Nvidia and try to take away its global dominance in AI chips.
  • If the combined Sapeon and Rebellion can take away just 1% market share resulting in 1% of Nvidia’s market cap, this would suggest valuation of US$31 billion.

Transsion (688036 CH): Global No. 4 Smartphone Producer, Revenue Up by 88% YoY in 1Q24

By Ming Lu

  • Transsion is the global No. 4 largest smartphone producer according to IDC.
  • In 1Q24, shipments increased by 34% YoY and revenue increased by 88% YoY.
  • We see the stock’s upside at 17% and the price target at RMB100.00.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Jun-2024): Sony aims for profit in car camera biz by 2026.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Sony plans to achieve profitability in car camera business by 2026, aiming for 6x growth in the sector.
  • Samsung cancels anniversary events to focus on new management plan in response to crisis within the company.
  • Taiwan’s passive component makers like Yageo and Ample flourish in AI boom, indicating growth potential in semiconductor industry.

A8 Media (800 HK): A 163% Premium to Undisturbed? Yes Please.

By David Blennerhassett

  • Following a suspension on the 28th May, property rental play A8 New Media (800 HK) has now announced an Offer by way of a Scheme from chairman/founder/major shareholder Liu Xiaosong.
  • The Cancellation price is $0.36, a whopping 162.77% to last close. The price is final.
  • This is a done deal. But A8 is an illiquid micro cap. 

i-mobile Co Ltd (6535 JP): Q3 FY07/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • i-mobile reported cumulative Q3 FY07/24 revenue of JPY16.3bn (+14.3% YoY), operating profit of JPY3.7bn (+9.2% YoY).
  • Consumer Service business cumulative Q3 revenue was JPY14.2bn (+19.4% YoY), with segment profit of JPY3.5bn (+18.9% YoY).
  • Online Advertising business cumulative Q3 revenue was JPY2.1bn (-11.8% YoY), with segment profit of JPY316mn (-39.3% YoY).

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