Category

TMT/Internet

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Tencent, China Mobile, Shinko Electric Industries, SK Hynix, Alibaba (ADR), Lightspeed Commerce and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jan 2024); ETFs and High Div SOEs Again BIG Buys, Tech Sold
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jan 2024):  AH Premia Still Near Multi-Yr Wides, SOEs May See New Action
  • Merger Arb Mondays (29 Jan) – Shinko, JSR, Payroll, T&K Toka, Weiqiao, Hollysys, Newmark, OreCorp
  • SK Hynix & The Dawn Of Custom Memory Solutions
  • China Consumption Weekly (29 Jan 2024): Great Wall Motor, Huawei, Alibaba, Mixue, Nayuki
  • Lightspeed Commerce: Big Wins with Big Merchants, How Their Strategy Is Changing the Game in Retail!


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jan 2024); ETFs and High Div SOEs Again BIG Buys, Tech Sold

By Travis Lundy

  • A better week for HK stocks as A-shares rebound on National Team buying, a PBOC RRR cut, and potentially other measures to boost the market. Foreigners stopped selling; that helped.
  • Southbound saw decent net buying on ETFs late in the week, but otherwise the week was pretty flat in single-stock land – net buying of SOEs, selling of tech.
  • Net SOUTHBOUND buying was HK$4.5bn on the week, mostly through Shanghai (interestingly, 90+% of the decent NORTHBOUND buy was also through Shanghai). 

A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jan 2024):  AH Premia Still Near Multi-Yr Wides, SOEs May See New Action

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc. 
  • SOUTHBOUND flows were small positive and NORTHBOUND flows a decent buy. AH premia stopped rising. Chinese shares bounced. SOEs being bought. Tech being sold. Tencent seeing SB outflows, still. 
  • New article in China Securities Journal hints at new measures on SOEs. Watch this space. Wouldn’t be short SOEs vs Privates on H/A basis. 

Merger Arb Mondays (29 Jan) – Shinko, JSR, Payroll, T&K Toka, Weiqiao, Hollysys, Newmark, OreCorp

By Arun George


SK Hynix & The Dawn Of Custom Memory Solutions

By William Keating

  • SK Hynix reported Q423 revenues of 11.31 trillion won, up 25% QoQ and up 47% YoY
  • Operating profit of 346 billion won, marking the first quarter of profit following four straight quarters of losses.
  • SK Hynix is investing heavily in custom memory solutions driven by AI-related demand. It’s a far better and more profitable business model than the mainstream commodity one.

China Consumption Weekly (29 Jan 2024): Great Wall Motor, Huawei, Alibaba, Mixue, Nayuki

By Ming Lu

  • Great Wall Motor’s revenue increased by 26%, but its profit increased by less than 5% in 2023.
  • Huawei’s shipments increased 36% YoY in 4Q23 and was the only company to witness an increase among the top five sellers.
  • Jack Ma, the founder, and Mr. Joe Tsai, the chairman, purchased Alibaba’s shares.

Lightspeed Commerce: Big Wins with Big Merchants, How Their Strategy Is Changing the Game in Retail!

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on SaaS solutions provider, Lightspeed POS Inc.
  • The focus of the company’s management during the previous earnings was on projected future growth, a steady performance in its fiscal Q2 2024, and its key goals for the year.
  • The company reported revenues of $230.3m, representing a 25% increase YoY, exceeding the projected revenue outlook of $210m-$215m.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Intel Corp, Shinko Electric Industries, Renesas Electronics, Yelp Inc, PowerSchool Holdings , Axcelis Technologies, Plexus Corp, US Cellular and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel Ruins The Rally With Its Gloomy Guide
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Newmark, Payroll, Orecorp, Weiqiao, Mandala Multi, Shinko
  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45
  • Yelp Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Unveiling Yelp’s High-ROI Ad Innovations That Are Changing the Game! – Major Drivers
  • PowerSchool Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – Find Out How Their Cutting-Edge AI Is Transforming Public Education! – Major Drivers
  • Axcelis Technologies Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – The Silicon Carbide Revolution – How They’re Leading the Charge in Power Technology! – Major Drivers
  • Axcelis Technologies Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – The Silicon Carbide Revolution – How They’re Leading the Charge in Power Technology! – Major Drivers
  • Plexus Corp: Initiation of Coverage – Discover Their Secret Strategy for Growth In 2024! – Major Drivers
  • ECM Weekly (28th Jan 2024) – Renesas, FCT, Genda, Amer, Guming, FirstCry, Thai Credit
  • United States Cellular Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Their Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers


Intel Ruins The Rally With Its Gloomy Guide

By William Keating

  • Q423 revenues of $15.4 billion, +8.5% QoQ, +10% YoY and $300 million above the guided midpoint
  • Q124 guided to $12.7 billion, -17.5% QoQ albeit still up 8% YoY.  
  • Intel’s share priced fell 12% on the guide. CEO says this was an overreaction. 

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Newmark, Payroll, Orecorp, Weiqiao, Mandala Multi, Shinko

By David Blennerhassett


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the NIFTY family of indices, Nikkei 225, STAR50, the KRX New Deal Index and a global index ends on 31 January.
  • The January rebalance of the IDX30 and LQ45 indices will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 January.
  • There have been huge inflows into the CSI 300 Index ETFs for another week. This will increase the impact on the index changes at the next rebalance.

Yelp Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Unveiling Yelp’s High-ROI Ad Innovations That Are Changing the Game! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Yelp Inc.
  • The management addressed strong performance across several key metrics.
  • They reported an impressive 10th consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth, achieving a record net revenue of $345 million which signifies a 12% YoY increase.

PowerSchool Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – Find Out How Their Cutting-Edge AI Is Transforming Public Education! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on PowerSchool Group Inc., an education technology company.
  • The company recorded promising results in its Third Quarter 2023 Earnings.
  • We have added reasonable forecasts of the annualized income statement and cash flows and carried out a DCF valuation of the company using its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine a forecasted share price.

Axcelis Technologies Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – The Silicon Carbide Revolution – How They’re Leading the Charge in Power Technology! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Axcelis Technologies.
  • As the power market continues to strengthen, Axcelis is guiding for Q4 2023 revenue with a gross margin of approximately 45% and an EPS of around 00.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Axcelis Technologies Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – The Silicon Carbide Revolution – How They’re Leading the Charge in Power Technology! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Axcelis Technologies.
  • As the power market continues to strengthen, Axcelis is guiding for Q4 2023 revenue with a gross margin of approximately 45% and an EPS of around 00.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Plexus Corp: Initiation of Coverage – Discover Their Secret Strategy for Growth In 2024! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report electronic manufacturing services provider, Plexus Corporation.
  • The company’s Q4 2023 earnings, a significant takeaway includes the company’s impressive performance throughout the fiscal year.
  • Plexus’ VP of Communications and Investor Relations, Shawn Harrison, emphasized the company’s focus on operational and customer service excellence, which ultimately led to strong financial results.

ECM Weekly (28th Jan 2024) – Renesas, FCT, Genda, Amer, Guming, FirstCry, Thai Credit

By Sumeet Singh


United States Cellular Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Their Biggest Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on UScellular, a leading regional wireless network operator in the US.
  • The company has been focusing on improving its fiscal outcomes while concurrently innovating in its network capabilities and service offerings.
  • We have added reasonable forecasts of the annualized income statement and cash flows and carried out a DCF valuation of the company using its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine a forecasted share price.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Tencent, Hollysys Automation Technologies, United Microelectronics Corp, SK Hynix, Tinybuild and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Accelerates, but Not for Big Names
  • Hollysys (HOLI US): Glass Lewis Says to Vote NO. Should You Listen?
  • Are You Confused About What Intel and UMC Are Working Together?
  • Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, SK Hynix
  • Tinybuild (TBLD) – Friday, Oct 27, 2023


Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Accelerates, but Not for Big Names

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the Jan batch. The number of games approved has increased compared to recent months.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to be accelerating, to the same level as pre-tightening.
  • Tencent gets one game approved but we don’t see that the acceleration of game approval benefits big names proportionally.

Hollysys (HOLI US): Glass Lewis Says to Vote NO. Should You Listen?

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that Glass Lewis has recommended Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) shareholders vote against Ascendent Capital’s US$26.50 offer on 8 February.
  • Glass Lewis notes that Hollysys could fetch “potentially materially greater value” from other bidders. Glass Lewis seems to ignore that Dazheng failed to demonstrate that it could complete its offer.
  • Despite Glass Lewis’s recommendation, the vote will likely get up. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread for an end-March close is 4.5%/28.0%.

Are You Confused About What Intel and UMC Are Working Together?

By Andrew Lu

  • What production fabs and capacity? Intel’s Arizona 10nm Fab 12, 22, 32, which are mostly depreciated. Intel will provide nearly 30k/m 12″ capacity for UMC at the first stage.
  • Who’s 12nm node and design rule? UMC’s tsmc-like 12nm design rule for customers to produce WiFi 7, TV controller, and other products.
  • Other discussions include: “Who will operate the fabs?”, “How to share sales/profits?”, “Mass production time?”, “Why benefits to Intel?”, “Why benefits to UMC?”, “Will TSMC get hurt?”

Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, SK Hynix

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Tinybuild (TBLD) – Friday, Oct 27, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Expanding into emerging markets like mobile gaming presents potential for growth.
  • The founder’s strong understanding of the industry and long-term approach align with the company’s growth potential.
  • Untapped value in the game pipeline and potential expansion into mobile gaming could drive further growth for tinyBuild.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Renesas Electronics, Alibaba Group Holding , Tesla Motors, ASML Holding NV, SK Hynix, Huawei Technology, Microstrategy Inc Cl A, Vanguard Intl Semiconductor and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Renesas (6723 JP) ANOTHER Clean-Up Block Trade as Hitachi/NEC Exit
  • Renesas Electronics (6723 JP): Passives Will Need to Buy a LOT This Year
  • Renesas Electronics Placement – Another US$2bn Deal, Momentum and Index Weights Should Help
  • Alibaba’s Share Prices Are Lacking Further Catalysts After Jack Ma and Joe Tsai’s Stock Acquisition
  • Good Entry Point as Tesla Stabilizes Its 4Q23 Asp and Profits Per EV
  • ASML Guides Q124 Down 27% QoQ, Shares Surge >8%. What Gives?
  • What SK Hynix’s Latest Results Indicate for PC & Mobile Makers into 2025E, Including Apple
  • Huawei’s Latest Operating System Completely Breaks with Android
  • MicroStrategy: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionary AI and Cloud Surge! Why MicroStrategy Could Be Your Next Goldmine in Tech Investment! – Major Drivers
  • Vanguard (5347.TT): 1Q24F Revenue Outlook Is Down QoQ; 2024F Demand to Grow by Around 10% YoY.


Renesas (6723 JP) ANOTHER Clean-Up Block Trade as Hitachi/NEC Exit

By Travis Lundy

  • Last November saw the clean-up trade of INCJ getting out of Renesas Electronics (6723 JP). That was 180+mm shares, well over-subscribed.  
  • Today we have news Hitachi and NEC are getting out of their stakes. That’s 123mm shares in an Accelerated Block Offering of about US$2bn. I expect it will go well.
  • Recent gains in semiconductor stocks globally make this larger discount attractive. I expect a little heaviness but not much. There are index repercussions for international indices.

Renesas Electronics (6723 JP): Passives Will Need to Buy a LOT This Year

By Brian Freitas


Renesas Electronics Placement – Another US$2bn Deal, Momentum and Index Weights Should Help

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP) and NEC Corp (6701 JP) aim to raise around US$2.1bn via a sell-down of  their stake in Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)
  • The stock has seen a number of deals over the past few years with the most recent one being a cleanup in Nov 2023, which did well.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Alibaba’s Share Prices Are Lacking Further Catalysts After Jack Ma and Joe Tsai’s Stock Acquisition

By Fern Wang

  • Investor confidence toward the Chinese tech sector remains fragile after the government crackdown, and Alibaba Group was particularly hard hit due to Jack Ma’s previous conflicts with Chinese regulators.
  • Growth of its main eCommerce business is in question given the softening Chinese economy and intense competitions. Additionally, the growth of its cloud computing unit is also slowing down. 
  • China’s stock market stabilization fund is not likely to benefit Alibaba directly as it will be used to buy onshore stocks only. 

Good Entry Point as Tesla Stabilizes Its 4Q23 Asp and Profits Per EV

By Andrew Lu

  • Blended ASP of decline of 1% q/q in the past two quarters in 2H23, better than 3-10% q/q decline during 3Q22-2Q23, resulting in Tesla’s blended ASP decline to decelerate.
  • Due to Tesla’s cost cutting efforts with nice inventory control, we calculates profits/EV rebounded nicely by 21% q/q to US$3,490 per EV in 4Q23, much nicer than no profits.
  • Good improvement on its FSD Beta version 12.1.2 lately might become a pure profits/EV boost by incremental subscription of US$10,000-15,000 per EV or monthly fee by existing Tesla owners.

ASML Guides Q124 Down 27% QoQ, Shares Surge >8%. What Gives?

By William Keating

  • ASML reported Q423 revenues of €7.2 billion, up 7.5% QoQ and ~€100 million above the guided midpoint for the quarter.
  • ASML guided Q124 at €5.25 billion, down a very significant 27% sequentially. Also reiterated their previous forecast for 2024 revenues to be remain flat with 2023
  • ASML shares surged >8% in overnight trading. What’s going on here?

What SK Hynix’s Latest Results Indicate for PC & Mobile Makers into 2025E, Including Apple

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • SK Hynix results surpised consensus with a swing to positive operating profit; The company expects industry demand growth to exceed supply growth by a wide margin in 2024E.
  • Management suggests optimism not just for 2024E, but also for 2025E. 2025E is when a much larger positive demand impact from AI is expected as AI products will expand substantially.
  • SK Hynix comments regarding AI phones imply that consumers will most likely need to upgrade their phones, including iPhones, to take full advantage of AI capabilities

Huawei’s Latest Operating System Completely Breaks with Android

By Caixin Global

  • Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd. on Thursday launched the latest version of its own operating system — HarmonyOS NEXT, which will no longer support Android apps and can only accommodate apps specifically developed for it.
  • The Chinese telecom equipment giant said the Beta version for developers will be released in the second quarter, and the general version for consumers in the fourth quarter.
  • Insiders from Huawei expect the new Mate smartphones to be released in the second half with the HarmonyOS NEXT installed.

MicroStrategy: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionary AI and Cloud Surge! Why MicroStrategy Could Be Your Next Goldmine in Tech Investment! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on MicroStrategy, a company at the forefront of enterprise analytics software.
  • In the third quarter of 2023, the company revealed notable developments in both its primary software ventures and its strategic Bitcoin investments.
  • The overall revenue for this period reached $129.5 million, marking a 3% year-over year increase, with a significant 16% rise in software license revenues, totaling $45 million.

Vanguard (5347.TT): 1Q24F Revenue Outlook Is Down QoQ; 2024F Demand to Grow by Around 10% YoY.

By Patrick Liao

  • The current market outlook is expected to improve, although the demand is still down in 1Q24F.
  • The 2Q24F revenue could potentially increase by a high single digits QoQ at least.
  • The demand is expected to grow by around 10% YoY in 2024F. This indicates a rebound, although not a strong one.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Payroll, Jiangsu Hoperun Software, Posco DX, ASE Technology Holding , Tencent, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), SurgePays and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Payroll (4489 JP) MBO (¥1,380/Share) By New Japan PE Deal Entrant TA Associates
  • Payroll (4489 JP): TA Associates’ Tender Offer at the IPO Price (JPY1,380)
  • ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Names Increases Flow
  • Posco DX Included in KOSPI 200 IT Sector Index: Exploring Flow Trading Implications
  • ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): 1Q24F Revenue Outlook Could Be Down Slightly QoQ; 2024F Should Grow ~10% YoY
  • [Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: SK Hynix Boosts Optimism for Memory; Intel, Mediatek, Microsoft, UMC Key Events
  • SurgePays, Inc. – Wireless Provider Turns Emerging Fintech Platform


Payroll (4489 JP) MBO (¥1,380/Share) By New Japan PE Deal Entrant TA Associates

By Travis Lundy

  • Payroll (4489 JP) today announced that it would go private in a deal led by US PE Firm TA Associates (Japan office led by a former Carlyle person it appears).
  • Payroll IPOed in June 2021 at ¥1,380. Then it fell. Now this takeout is at ¥1,380/share. Not a great look but not egregiously unfair by the looks of it. 
  • This deal is going to get done easily as agreed participants and probable-friendlies get them past the minimum without retail or foreign holders participating.

Payroll (4489 JP): TA Associates’ Tender Offer at the IPO Price (JPY1,380)

By Arun George

  • Payroll (4489 JP) has recommended TA Associates’ sponsored MBO tender offer of JPY1,380 per share, a 42.4% premium to the undisturbed (23 January). 
  • The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 61.28% ownership ratio. 
  • Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 30.5% minority acceptance rate, which is achievable as the offer is marginally short of the all-time high. 

ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Names Increases Flow

By Brian Freitas

  • Nearly halfway through the review period, we forecast 7 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.
  • Some of the potential changes will also have passive flows from the CSI 500 Index trackers at the same time as the ChiNext Index rebalance.
  • The potential inclusions and deletions have slipped over the last couple of months along with the ChiNext Index, but the potential inclusions have outperformed as the deletions have dropped more.

Posco DX Included in KOSPI 200 IT Sector Index: Exploring Flow Trading Implications

By Sanghyun Park

  • I confirmed that Posco DX will be incorporated into the KOSPI 200 IT Sector Index. The implementation date for this is also scheduled for March 15th.
  • The direct flow size from the KOSPI 200 IT into Posco DX is approximately 0.3x ADTV, implying a noteworthy price impact on March 14th, concentrated from 2:00 PM to close. 
  • When designing Posco DX’s March 14 KOSPI 200 inclusion flow setup, we must also proactively design strategies to capture flows from the KOSPI 200 IT within a narrow time window.

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): 1Q24F Revenue Outlook Could Be Down Slightly QoQ; 2024F Should Grow ~10% YoY

By Patrick Liao


[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

By Eric Wen

  • US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;
  • We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.
  • Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: SK Hynix Boosts Optimism for Memory; Intel, Mediatek, Microsoft, UMC Key Events

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Taiwan Tech Plays Have Soared Since TSMC’s Strong Outlook, and SK Hynix Reported a Return to Op Profit
  • Memory Monitor: Microsoft Copilot Will Supercharge Demand for DRAM; SK Hynix, Nanya Tech, Micron
  • Key Upcoming Events — Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, UMC Results Ahead

SurgePays, Inc. – Wireless Provider Turns Emerging Fintech Platform

By Water Tower Research

  • We are initiating coverage of SurgePays (SURG), a forward- looking financial technology and telecommunications firm dedicated to serving the underbanked.
  • Its wireless subsidiaries provide mobile broadband, voice, and SMS services to subsidized and direct retail prepaid customers primarily through the US Federal Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP).
  • SURG has built a profitable business in the ACP segment of the wireless market.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Shinko Electric Industries, L&F Co Ltd, Zee Entertainment Enterprises, S&P 500 INDEX, nCino, Kuaishou Technology, Marathon Digital Holdings, Silicon Laboratories, Vontier Corp, Power Integrations and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): Fast Entry for PoscoDX; Will L&F Make It Too?
  • Zee Entertainment- What Lies Ahead?
  • Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- And Mid-Caps to Lead?
  • nCino Inc: Initiation of Coverage – How nCino’s Digital Solutions are Capturing the Financial Market! – Major Drivers
  • [Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$79) TP Change]: Robust Organic Traffic Supports Robust Growth
  • Marathon Digital Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – The Power of Smart Cash Management! How Its Financial Strategy is Winning in the Crypto World! – Major Drivers
  • Silicon Labs: Initiation of Coverage – What Is The Core Business Strategy Driving Growth?
  • Vontier Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Its 6 Biggest Growth Catalysts! – Financial Forecasts
  • Power Integrations: Initiation of Coverage – Design Wins Defying Odds! How Power Integrations Is Capturing the Tech Market Amidst Challenges! – Major Drivers


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

By Arun George

  • Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)‘s pre-conditional tender offer from the JIC alliance is JPY5,920 per share. Since the deal announcement, the gross spread has averaged 8.3%.
  • The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly China and shareholder approval, due to Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)’s re-rating.
  • Ibiden’s re-rating is not necessarily an issue. JIC’s confidence in securing SAMR approval for the JSR Corp (4185 JP) transaction by March is a positive for Shinko’s SAMR approval. 

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): Fast Entry for PoscoDX; Will L&F Make It Too?

By Brian Freitas


Zee Entertainment- What Lies Ahead?

By Nitin Mangal

  • We have been covering Zee Entertainment Enterprises (Z IN) during the entire merger saga and had already highlighted several financial and governance issues with the entire group.
  • The $10 bn merger deal with Sony has now been terminated but it is not a surprise to us, considering the events that were unraveled in the last two years.
  • But where does ZEEL go from here is a question that lacks some clarity. There are uncertainties looming around and ZEEL can face further brunt. 

Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- And Mid-Caps to Lead?

By Joe Jasper

  • The SPX, Nasdaq 100, and DJI breaking out to new all-time highs following 3-week consolidations. Russell 2000 (IWM), S&P 400 (IJH), Vanguard ExtendedMarket (VXF), countless other Sectors/industries breaking out also.
  • This is classic bull market behavior. Considering market dynamics remain healthy, this is all evidence that supports our ongoing bullish outlook.
  • Software, Data Storage buys: NTAP, NTNX, DBX, VRNS, and CVLT. Investment Banking & Brokerage, Mid-Cap buys: JEF, SF, EVR, MC, and LAZ

nCino Inc: Initiation of Coverage – How nCino’s Digital Solutions are Capturing the Financial Market! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on SaaS player, nCino Inc.
  • The company’s third quarter fiscal 2024 performance presented both opportunities and challenges in the midst of a complex economic environment.
  • The company announced a significant product win in relation to a consumer lending deal with an enterprise bank in the United States of over $200 billion.

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$79) TP Change]: Robust Organic Traffic Supports Robust Growth

By Ying Pan

  • We expect Kuaishou to report C4Q23 revenue, IFRS op. profit and IFRS net income in-line, 34% and 29% vs. consensus, thanks to margin improvements;
  • Playlet continued to generate significant organic traffic, leading to decreasing sales marketing cost and growth in advertising inventories. We further expect AI to drive playlet market expansions;
  • E-Commerce GMV growth was robust. Kuaishou will likely increase take rate in the future. We maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$79, implying an 17x PE.

Marathon Digital Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – The Power of Smart Cash Management! How Its Financial Strategy is Winning in the Crypto World! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Marathon Digital Holdings, a renowned cryptocurrency technology company.
  • Improved operational efficiency also resulted in a lower cost per bitcoin mined and a drop in all-in cost per coin.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Silicon Labs: Initiation of Coverage – What Is The Core Business Strategy Driving Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on fabless semiconductors player, Silicon Labs.
  • The third quarter of 2023 has been a difficult period for Silicon Labs amidst a backdrop of weak demand and heightened inventory levels.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Vontier Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Its 6 Biggest Growth Catalysts! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on critical technical equipment, components, software, and services provider, Vontier Corporation.
  • The company, in its latest earnings, exhibited noteworthy progress in its strategies and performance for the third quarter.
  • The top-line performance recorded for the quarter outperformed expectations with baseline core revenue growth of 10%, reflecting gains from the company’s connected mobility strategy.

Power Integrations: Initiation of Coverage – Design Wins Defying Odds! How Power Integrations Is Capturing the Tech Market Amidst Challenges! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits manufacturer, Power Integrations.
  • The company’ Q3 2021 Financial Results depict a mixed picture with modest sequential growth but a contraction in sales year-over-year.
  • For Q4, Power Integrations expects a sequential decrease to $90 million at the midpoint of the range, largely reflecting broad-based weakness echoed by industry peers amid challenging macroeconomic conditions.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: L&F Co Ltd, Kunlun Tech , SiteMinder, Travelsky Technology Ltd H, GDS Holdings , Cpi Card Group, Kinatico , Eventbrite Inc, Synaptics Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Seronics to Replace L&F
  • CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 24: Exp ADDs Vs DELs Trade Successful; More to Come?
  • Travelsky (696): Stay Away for Now
  • China: Sliding Market Leads to Passive Selling
  • Cpi Card Group Inc (PMTS) – Tuesday, Oct 24, 2023
  • Kinatico Ltd – Q2 SaaS Revenue Increases 145% on the Pcp
  • EB: Preview of a Brite Spot
  • Synaptics Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionize Your Audio Experience! Discover How SYNA’s AI-Powered Headset is Changing the Game! – Major Drivers


KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Seronics to Replace L&F

By Brian Freitas

  • L&F Co Ltd (066970 KS) will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market on 29 January. That means KOSDAQ 150 Index deletion at the close on 26 January.
  • As the highest ranked non-constituent from the Information Technology sector at the December rebalance, Seronics Co Ltd (042600 KS) will be added to the index.
  • Short interest on L&F Co (066970 KS) is 1.8m shares (KRW 364bn; 4.98% of shares outstanding; 7.24% of float; 2.4x ADV). There could be recalls from passives and forced covering.

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

By Brian Freitas

  • With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI 500 Index at the close on 14 June.
  • There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.
  • The potential adds and deletes and the CSI 500 Index have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 24: Exp ADDs Vs DELs Trade Successful; More to Come?

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2024 index review.
  • The conclusion of the Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) M&A deal could trigger an index change in February 2024.
  • Separately, there could be a “surprise” index change in March 2024 caused by a long-term trading suspension. 

Travelsky (696): Stay Away for Now

By Henry Soediarko

  • Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) has been the predictable play for a rebound in domestic tourism in China.
  • 1H23 result did not show anything that should alert investors to the changes in business practices.
  • The recent profit warning disclosure has alerted investors that there is something else beyond the usual.

China: Sliding Market Leads to Passive Selling

By Brian Freitas

  • The China equity markets have continued to slide and the lower market caps and free float market caps will see a lot of stocks deleted from passive portfolios in February.
  • We currently estimate selling of around US$1.66bn across 74 stocks listed on the mainland, in HK and the U.S., and that number could increase as markets continue to underperform.
  • The potential deletes have dropped a lot over the last 4 months and there has been a marked underperformance versus the headline indices over the last month.

Cpi Card Group Inc (PMTS) – Tuesday, Oct 24, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • CPI Card Group’s debt-to-equity ratio is around 4.5x, higher than ideal but manageable with their cash flow generation.
  • The smallcap downturn has affected the stock negatively, but the current valuation of CPI Card Group is deemed attractive, with a 20% free cash flow yield and 4.6x EV/EBITDA.
  • With strong cash flow, reasonable debt management, and potential share buybacks, it is expected that the stock will increase in value when market sentiment improves.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Kinatico Ltd – Q2 SaaS Revenue Increases 145% on the Pcp

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Kinatico Ltd (ASX:KYP) is a ‘Know Your People’ regtech company providing workforce compliance monitoring and management technology and services.
  • KYP has reported a 6% year-on-year increase in Q2 FY24 revenue to $7.1m, and a 145% year-on-year increase in SaaS revenue to $2.4m.
  • SaaS revenue accounted for 33% of total revenue for the quarter, compared to 14% in Q2 FY23. 

EB: Preview of a Brite Spot

By Hamed Khorsand

  • EB is leveraging its balance sheet to solidify the top position as an event marketplace. 
  • The pricing plan at EB is not much different than its peers and we view it as more of EB catching up to the rest of the other event sites.
  • The pricing model should become a source of revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth. EB’s competitors have different pricing plans that can make it costly for event creators

Synaptics Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Revolutionize Your Audio Experience! Discover How SYNA’s AI-Powered Headset is Changing the Game! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on intuitive human interface solutions provider, Synaptics Incorporated.
  • In its First Quarter 2024 Financial Results , the management addressed the current standing of the company and projected future expectations.
  • Despite the challenging market conditions, Synaptics remains optimistic about its business and expects to see improvements in 2024.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Shinko Electric Industries, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Micron Technology and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover:  Changing Break/Gap Risk as Comps Gain
  • KRX Introduces Market Orders for Single Stock Futures: Potential Trading Impacts
  • Memory Monitor: Microsoft Copilot Will Supercharge Demand for DRAM; SK Hynix, Nanya Tech, Micron


Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover:  Changing Break/Gap Risk as Comps Gain

By Travis Lundy

  • The JIC Deal for Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) started trading wide when announced five weeks ago. It is still at 9% for perhaps 9 months.
  • There is FUD. There are Flows. Just like JSR (4185). Some of that FUD can be explained by “gap risk” on deal break…. or can it? We look at risks.
  • 5 weeks ago, there was more positioning risk than fundamental risk. But now main comp Ibiden has outperformed Shinko by 17%. Gap risk is fundamentally lower now. Bump risk exists.

KRX Introduces Market Orders for Single Stock Futures: Potential Trading Impacts

By Sanghyun Park

  • KRX notified local brokerages last week about allowing market orders for single stock futures (SSF) from April. Currently, 192 SSFs are listed.
  • Anticipating short-term effects, heightened frequency and impact of erroneous orders may cause spot market confusion. KRX plans real-time bid disclosure for SSFs to prevent price distortions.
  • Nonetheless, we will likely observe SSF price volatility surges. Real-time bid exposure could exacerbate volatility due to premature information revelation. Preemptive position setups considering these factors are advised.

Memory Monitor: Microsoft Copilot Will Supercharge Demand for DRAM; SK Hynix, Nanya Tech, Micron

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • MSFT’s new AI features for Windows will need computers with at least 16GB of DRAM to run effectively. MSFT is asking manufacturers for this as a minimum for AI models.
  • MSFT announced Copilot Pro for individuals and small businesses last week. The desire to use generative AI and the minimum required DRAM will drive accelerated PC upgrades.
  • We note relative strength in 16GB DRAM prices; In Memory space, we continue to see relative value in SK Hynix, however, Nanya has the opportunity to Outperform in Taiwan.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Tenable Holdings Inc, Allegro MicroSystems , Cambium Networks , Iridium Communications, Kyndryl Holdings , Teradata Corp, Varonis Systems, Alibaba (ADR), Workiva Inc, Braze Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Tenable Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – Unlock the Secrets Behind Tenable’s High Recurring Revenue and Sky-High Margins! – Major Drivers
  • Allegro MicroSystems: Initiation of Coverage – How Its Strategic Focus is Electrifying the Future of Transportation – Major Drivers
  • Cambium Networks Corporation – CFO Departure and 4Q23 Miss Driven by Distributor Incentives
  • Iridium Communications: Initiation of Coverage – Can It Capitalize On The IoT Explosion? – Major Drivers
  • Kyndryl Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – How Kyndryl Consult Is Shaping a New Era of Revenue Generation – Major Drivers
  • Teradata Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing Cloud Potential! Why Its Cloud-Based Platform Is the Talk of the Tech World – Major Drivers
  • Varonis Systems: Initiation of Coverage – Can It Come Out A Winner From The SaaS Transition? – Major Drivers
  • ECM Weekly (21st Jan 2024) – Mixue, Amer, Medi Assist, IPO Pipeline, Yamae, Alchip, NHPC, ASMedia
  • Workiva Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Unveiling Their Winning Strategy in Turbulent Geopolitical and Economic Times – Major Drivers
  • Braze Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Discover How Braze’s Innovative Approach Is Setting New Industry Standards – Major Drivers


Tenable Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – Unlock the Secrets Behind Tenable’s High Recurring Revenue and Sky-High Margins! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on cyber exposure solutions provider, Tenable Networks.
  • The company’ Q3 2023 earnings highlighted steady financial performance, strong contributions from its platform products like Tenable One, and overall business growth, particularly in the public sector.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Allegro MicroSystems: Initiation of Coverage – How Its Strategic Focus is Electrifying the Future of Transportation – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on sensor technology player, Allegro MicroSystems.
  • Sales in these strategic growth areas made up 56% of total sales, indicating a successful strategy execution focused on these specific sectors.
  • The company’s automotive revenues grew 31% year-over-year, with the electrification of vehicles and Advanced Driver Assistance Systems adoption being the main growth drivers.

Cambium Networks Corporation – CFO Departure and 4Q23 Miss Driven by Distributor Incentives

By Water Tower Research

  • On January 18, 2024, Cambium preannounced that 4Q23 revenue would likely come in at $40 million, below its guidance of $45.0-50.0 million provided on November 2, 2023.
  • This is the third revenue miss in a row.
  • Cambium stated that the revenue miss was driven by $11 million in distributor incentives in 4Q23.

Iridium Communications: Initiation of Coverage – Can It Capitalize On The IoT Explosion? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on mobile voice and data communications services provider, Iridium Communications.
  • The company’s Q3 2023 Earnings demonstrated both the company’s resilient growth and emerging challenges in an increasingly competitive environment.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Kyndryl Holdings: Initiation of Coverage – How Kyndryl Consult Is Shaping a New Era of Revenue Generation – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on IT services company, Kyndryl.
  • This increase has been attributed to successful execution of its operations, demonstrating their ability to drive substantial profit growth in the company.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Teradata Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing Cloud Potential! Why Its Cloud-Based Platform Is the Talk of the Tech World – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on hybrid cloud analytics software provider, Teradata Corporation.
  • The company’s 2023 Q3 earnings were recently reported and the leading cloud analytics and data platform company had delivered another strong quarter and remained confident it would achieve its 2023 forecast.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Varonis Systems: Initiation of Coverage – Can It Come Out A Winner From The SaaS Transition? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Varonis Systems, a company specializing in data security and analytics.
  • The company is navigating a pivotal shift in its business model, transitioning from traditional software offerings to a Software as a Service (SaaS) model.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

ECM Weekly (21st Jan 2024) – Mixue, Amer, Medi Assist, IPO Pipeline, Yamae, Alchip, NHPC, ASMedia

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, we continued our coverage of Amer Sports (AS US) and looked at Mixue Group Hong Kong filings.
  • Placements continued to trickle in throught the week, across the region, apart from Hong Kong.

Workiva Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Unveiling Their Winning Strategy in Turbulent Geopolitical and Economic Times – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Workiva Inc., a leading provider of solutions for enterprise productivity.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Braze Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Discover How Braze’s Innovative Approach Is Setting New Industry Standards – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on customer engagement platform operator, Braze Inc.
  • The company’s Q3 2024 earnings highlighted consistent YoY growth, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, with its operating efficiency throughout the business.
  • Non-GAAP gross margin improved by 170 basis points YoY, and non-GAAP operating margin exceeded last year’s third quarter by 1,100 basis points.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Asmedia Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Travelsky Technology Ltd H, IndiaMart, iShares MSCI ACWI ETF, Softbank Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC. Roaring Into Year Of The Dragon
  • ASMedia Placement – Momentum Has Been Strong, but an Overhang Exists
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADRs Outpace Local, Extreme Spread; ChipMOS Good Long Level
  • Travelsky (696 HK | BUY | TP:HKD9.92): Forget 2023, Think of 2024-25 Which Will Be Much Better
  • Indiamart Intermesh (INDIAMART) – Friday, Oct 20, 2023
  • Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare
  • Softbank (9984 JP): Big Fat NAV Discount, but Headwinds Outweigh Tailwinds Going Forward


TSMC. Roaring Into Year Of The Dragon

By William Keating

  • Q423 revenues of $19.62 billion, at the high end of guidance, up 13.8% QoQ and down 1.5% YoY. Net profit margin of 38.2% results in net income of ~$7.5 billion.
  • FY23 revenues of $69.3 billion, down 8.7% YoY, only the second such down year since 2005
  • Bullish FY24 forecast for >20% YoY growth sends share price soaring in overnight trading. 

ASMedia Placement – Momentum Has Been Strong, but an Overhang Exists

By Clarence Chu

  • WT Microelectronics (3036 TT) is looking to raise US$256m from selling half of its stake in Asmedia Technology (5269 TT).
  • The deal wouldn’t be a very large one to process at just 3.4 days of ASMedia’s ADV.
  • Although, the selldown doesn’t appear to be particularly well flagged. The remaining WT Microelectronics’ stake will also create an overhang on ASMedia’s share price as well.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADRs Outpace Local, Extreme Spread; ChipMOS Good Long Level

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: Stock Prices Soared After Reporting Earnings, But ADR Rose Higher… Now +12.4% Premium, Shortable Level
  • ASE: ADR Spread Has Rebounded Substantially, Now +8.6%. Not Yet at Short Levels.
  • ChipMOS: ADR Spread Drops to -2.2%, Good Level to Go Long.

Travelsky (696 HK | BUY | TP:HKD9.92): Forget 2023, Think of 2024-25 Which Will Be Much Better

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) (TravelSky) issued its 2023 operating statistics and a profit warning that is far below market expectations, the share price has plunged by 36% 
  • Our analysis suggests that staff cost, commission, and systems costs have soared. This will be contained when traffic accelerates and absorbs these fixed cost items 
  • Our target price of HKD9.92 (+21% UPSIDE) is based on 2024 PE 14.8x (1SD below mean). Keep an eye, worthwhile trade, due for a bounce    

Indiamart Intermesh (INDIAMART) – Friday, Oct 20, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • IndiaMart is India’s largest online B2B marketplace with a market cap of $2 billion.
  • The company has a 60% market share of B2B e-commerce in India, indicating a large potential for growth.
  • IndiaMart benefits from a negative working capital business model, upfront supplier subscription payments, and a net cash balance sheet. It also has the option to invest in new business lines to expand its monetization opportunities. Despite limited advertising spend, the platform attracts over 1 billion in traffic.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

By Joe Jasper

  • We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.
  • A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.
  • With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is above $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.

Softbank (9984 JP): Big Fat NAV Discount, but Headwinds Outweigh Tailwinds Going Forward

By Victor Galliano

  • SoftBank group’s headline NAV discount is over 50%, factoring in the T-Mobile shares windfall at December-end
  • SoftBank Corp is looking to IPO digital payments company PayPay, which should also be a positive driver for SoftBank Group shares going forward, but only a marginal one
  • Arm shares have been defying gravity, but we see downside risk going forward, as well as questions over SVF1 and SVF2 private company valuations; and the threat of JPY appreciation

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