Category

TMT/Internet

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: NCSOFT Corp, Cover Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Samsung Electronics, Micron Technology, Xiao I , Formfactor Inc, Celestica, Cargurus , Belden Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • NCSoft: Corporate Split-Off of Two Divisions
  • Cover Corp (TYO 5253) – High Growth Opportunity in the Expanding VTuber Sector
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Declines With Nvidia; Taiwan’s Vietnam Shift Continues; UMC’s Outlook Improves
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Jun-2024): Taiwan uses AI for medical advancements.
  • Micron Earnings – What to Expect
  • AIXI: Announces numerous real-world AI applications. The company’s financial condition remains a concern.
  • FormFactor Inc.: Revenue Diversification & Expansion In Enterprise & Consumer Markets! – Major Drivers
  • Celestica Inc.: How Will Their Expansion in Hyperscalers and Data Center Market Impact Future Growth? – Major Drivers
  • CarGurus Inc.: How Is Their International Market Expansion Progressing? – Major Drivers
  • Belden Inc.: How Are They Augmenting Their Offerings Through Strategic Acquisitions? – Major Drivers


NCSoft: Corporate Split-Off of Two Divisions

By Douglas Kim

  • On 24 June, NCSoft announced a corporate split-off of two divisions called named NC QA Company and NC IDS Company.
  • NCSoft plans to hold a shareholders meeting where to vote on the split off decision on 14 August. Effective date of the company split is scheduled for 1 October 2024.
  • The consensus estimates sales of 2.0 trillion won (up 19.2% YoY) and operating profit of 272 billion won (up 155.2% YoY) in 2025.

Cover Corp (TYO 5253) – High Growth Opportunity in the Expanding VTuber Sector

By Altay Capital

  • Cover Corp, a leading talent management company in the rapidly growing VTuber industry.
  • They’re considered the most prestigious agency and should attract the best talent.
  • Superior Underlying Performance Metrics: Cover boasts superior key performance indicators (KPIs) compared to their main competitor Anycolor, including higher engagement metrics like subscribers, hours watched, and viewership.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Declines With Nvidia; Taiwan’s Vietnam Shift Continues; UMC’s Outlook Improves

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Taiwan Shares Fall With Nvidia… SK Hynix HBM DRAM with Global Unichip? Taiwan’s Vietnam Shift Continues… Broadcom Developing an AI Chip with Bytedance
  • TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing 
  • UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Jun-2024): Taiwan uses AI for medical advancements.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Taiwan is utilizing AI supercomputers for medical and life science innovations, showcasing a commitment to technological advancement in those fields.
  • Wistron is making a significant investment of $24.5M for a new factory in Vietnam, indicating a desire to expand production capabilities in the region for potential economic growth.
  • Samsung is poised to overtake Apple in Taiwan’s mobile market by June, highlighting the company’s competitive edge and potential dominance in the industry.

Micron Earnings – What to Expect

By Jim Handy

  • Expect Micron to report strength in AI, highlight the company’s HBM efforts, and quote McKinsey’s trillion-dollar forecast in their earnings call tomorrow
  • Although Nvidia’s growth has really helped the DRAM market, along with 2023 CapEx cuts, there are important concerns of double-ordering which could lead to a collapse soon
  • Semiconductor market revenues have leveled off since December 2023, hinting a return to more normal growth for the rest of the year

AIXI: Announces numerous real-world AI applications. The company’s financial condition remains a concern.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Xiao-I (NASDAQ: AIXI) is leveraging its existing relationships and signing new clients at an impressive pace.
  • The company has announced nearly a dozen new products or relationships utilizing its AI platforms in the past two months.
  • Competition remains intense in the AI market and we think investors are questioning if Xiao-I has the financial capacity to remain competitive across multiple industries as private and public companies continue to invest heavily in its core markets.

FormFactor Inc.: Revenue Diversification & Expansion In Enterprise & Consumer Markets! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • FormFactor delivered mixed first-quarter results for the fiscal year 2024, with its revenue closely aligning with the upper end of forecasts due to robust demand in the DRAM probe card sector, corroborated by significant advancements in setting standards for testing high-bandwidth memory (HBM).
  • However, the company encountered challenges as non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) dipped below the anticipated range primarily due to a less favorable product mix across its segments and heightened warranty costs in the Probe Cards segment.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Celestica Inc.: How Will Their Expansion in Hyperscalers and Data Center Market Impact Future Growth? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Celestica launched the first quarter of 2023 on a robust note, demonstrating a significant enhancement in its financial metrics and strategic position.
  • The firm reported revenues of $2.21 billion, surpassing their high-end guidance and representing a year-over-year increase of 20%.
  • Notably, the adjusted earnings per share (EPS) reached $0.86, exceeding expectations by $0.39 compared to the prior year period.

CarGurus Inc.: How Is Their International Market Expansion Progressing? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CarGurus Inc. recently disclosed its first-quarter 2024 financial results, presenting a mixed outcome with several highlights and areas of concern.
  • In terms of positives, the company reported an increase in non-GAAP consolidated adjusted EBITDA by 24% year-over-year, marking the highest first-quarter EBITDA margin in three years.
  • This growth was primarily fueled by a continued expansion in the subscription base and revenue generated from its Marketplace business, which witnessed an acceleration of 12% year-over-year growth in revenue.

Belden Inc.: How Are They Augmenting Their Offerings Through Strategic Acquisitions? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Belden Inc., a global leader in signal transmission solutions, reported their first quarter 2024 financial results, demonstrating a performance that exceeded expectations amidst a challenging market environment.
  • Revenue for the quarter stood at $536 million with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.24, surpassing the high end of their guidance.
  • This achievement was undergirded by a sequential increase in orders by 5%, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.03, suggesting a shift toward more stable conditions.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: NVIDIA Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Softbank Group, Torex Semiconductor, Aviat Networks and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Mega Caps Thrive But Other Tech Firms Are Punished for Lack of AI-Linked Earnings Potential
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jun-2024): Konrad Young pushes Taiwan-UK collab in quantum tech
  • Morning Views Asia: Softbank Group
  • 4Q Follow-Up – Torex Semiconductor (6616 JP)
  • Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) – Monday, Mar 25, 2024


Mega Caps Thrive But Other Tech Firms Are Punished for Lack of AI-Linked Earnings Potential

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Mega cap stocks like Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft surpass lofty market expectations, in the latest earnings season leading to continued rallies. 
  • Profits from AI innovations are accumulating predominantly at the bottom of the supply chain, benefiting large hardware and cloud service providers. 
  • Smaller tech companies, including Salesforce, MongoDB, and Dell, have experienced sharp corrections due to lofty expectations and their limited capacity to generate significant AI revenue.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jun-2024): Konrad Young pushes Taiwan-UK collab in quantum tech

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Former TSMC R&D director Konrad Young advocates for a partnership between Taiwan and the UK in quantum technology.
  • Chinese car brands attract young Thai consumers with innovative smart cockpit features, winning over the market.
  • Xiaomi implements strategic changes in India after a decade of entering the market, adapting to new trends and demands.

Morning Views Asia: Softbank Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


4Q Follow-Up – Torex Semiconductor (6616 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • While current underlying demand has yet to show signs of a strong recovery, progress has been made in inventory adjustments in the distribution supply chain, and TOREX expects a recovery in sales from the 2H of 2024, and the top priority for this term is strengthening sales expansion initiatives.
  • Regarding the initial FY25/3 consolidated OP forecast, in addition to a contribution of ¥1,150mn from the +8.7% YoY increase in net sales, the decrease of ¥2,370mn in inventory write-downs in manufacturing cost of sales will drive a strong recovery in OP.
  • Although capex is set to decline -31.9% YoY to ¥3,600mn (mainly for equipment being installed in the new Phenitec Kagoshima Fab clean room), having peaked out last term, depreciation will increase +27.7% YoY to ¥3,000mn as the new clean room has started operations. 

Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) – Monday, Mar 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Aviat Networks has successfully turned around its business in the telecom equipment sector despite challenges
  • The company has outperformed larger competitors by focusing on execution during the COVID boom-bust cycle
  • Despite investor caution due to competitive landscape and poor sector valuations, Aviat Networks’ fundamentals are strong and outpacing its stock performance, positioning it well for future growth

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Erajaya Swasembada and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount
  • Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – Less New Stores with Higher Volumes


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +16.1% Premium, After Sharp Drop, Will Be Interesting to See If Spread Will Remain Within the Recent ~15-25% Range
  • ASE: +7.4% Premium; Can Consider Going Long the Spread Given Recent Trading Range
  • ChipMOS: -2.4% Discount Repesents Extreme Low of End of Range; Can Consider Going Long the Spread

Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – Less New Stores with Higher Volumes

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) is back on track with its handset business, with stronger volume growth driven by more affordable models from Infinix and Techno brands.
  • The company’s buildout of its electrical retailer Erablue, a JV with Mobile World, is gaining momentum and should become a significant growth driver along with Grand Lucky supermarket.
  • Erajaya will slow its store buildout this year as it focuses on productivity ny it still expected to add 200 new stores over in Indonesia. Valuation is attractive.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Infocom Corp, Apple , Silergy Corp, United Microelectronics Corp, Novatek Microelectronics Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Infocom, Capitol Health, MMA Offshore, Mimasu, Tatsuta Elect., Great Eastern
  • Will Apple Intelligence Drive IPhone Maker past USD 4 Trillion in Market Cap?
  • Silergy (6147.TT): The Wafer Demand Is Projected to Increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 Onwards.
  • UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ.
  • Novatek (3034.TT): To Achieve a ~5% QoQ Growth in Revenue and Relatively Flat GM QoQ in 3Q24


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Infocom, Capitol Health, MMA Offshore, Mimasu, Tatsuta Elect., Great Eastern

By David Blennerhassett


Will Apple Intelligence Drive IPhone Maker past USD 4 Trillion in Market Cap?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Never a pioneer, instead a perfectionist in delivering mind bending experience. That’s what Apple has stood for traditionally. Can it repeat the act in the Gen AI era? 
  • Siri to have advanced language comprehension and Writing Tools to deliver useful features to drive convenience and productivity. 
  • Private Cloud Compute ensures user data remains encrypted and secure. Reflects Apple’s commitment to privacy amidst growing concerns surrounding data misuse.

Silergy (6147.TT): The Wafer Demand Is Projected to Increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 Onwards.

By Patrick Liao

  • We presume Silergy is likely to see demand recovery or inventory rebuilding starting from 2Q24.
  • Silergy’s wafer demand is projected to increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 onwards.  
  • Silergy’s primary focus remains on China, Taiwan, and Korea, but the US market is promising for potential growth.  

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ.

By Patrick Liao

  • United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) 3Q24 outlook could be showing a slightly upside quarter over quarter and the gross margin is approaching to ~30%.
  • We estimate that UMC’s overall utilization in 3Q24 will be around 65-70%, with 12” at 70-75% and 8” at 60%.
  • UMC is benefiting from Novatek shipping OLED DDIC to Apple (AAPL US) in 3Q24.

Novatek (3034.TT): To Achieve a ~5% QoQ Growth in Revenue and Relatively Flat GM QoQ in 3Q24

By Patrick Liao

  • We expect Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) to achieve approximately a 5% QoQ growth in revenue and relatively flat gross margin (GM) QoQ in 3Q24.
  • Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) and HLMC are capable of producing DDICs at 40nm and below.
  • Novatek is experiencing a decline in demand for 55nm Touch with Display Driver (TDDI) in 3Q24.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Crowdstrike Holdings , Tianju Dihe Technology, Baltic Classifieds Group , Foxconn Industrial Internet and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • CrowdStrike Joins S&P 500
  • Tianju Dihe Technology IPO: Limited Room For Multiple Expansion Despite Healthy Growth
  • Baltic Classifieds Group (BCG LN) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024
  • Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact


CrowdStrike Joins S&P 500

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • On June 24, Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US) will officially join the S&P 500, which follows strong financial results and guidance. Investors anticipated this inclusion, driven by improved profitability and operational efficiency.
  • The volume traded has so far been on average 2x the 3-month daily average prior to the news. The enduring effect will be on liquidity (hedging basket for index exposure).
  • CrowdStrike’s inclusion in the S&P 500 index increases the representation of pure cybersecurity stocks. Median IBES consensus PT is $400 (7.5% upside).

Tianju Dihe Technology IPO: Limited Room For Multiple Expansion Despite Healthy Growth

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Tianju Dihe Technology, a provider of integrated API-enabled data exchange services in China, set terms for an IPO and plans to raise ~HK$400M in June.
  • The initial public offering is expected to be priced at HK$83.33 per H share, valuing the technology company at ~HK$4.2B or $535M based on 50.1M outstanding shares.  
  • Cornerstone investors have agreed to acquire ~3.8M H shares, representing 80% of the offer shares or ~8% of the total outstanding shares.

Baltic Classifieds Group (BCG LN) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • BCG is the leading online classified group in the Baltics with 14 portals across three countries
  • Management team focused on improving monetization for high revenue growth
  • Expected significant value per share growth with exposure to high-growth Baltic markets and plans to increase take-rates, presenting an intriguing opportunity for investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

By Joe Jasper

  • Not much has changed since our latest Int’l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled “Buy the Pullback.” 
  • We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
  • Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Mimasu Semiconductor Industry, SenseTime Group , PC Partner, Elan Microelectronics, Mixi Inc, TYC Brother Industrial, Perfect and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Shin-Etsu Chem TOB for Rest of Mimasu Semi (8155) – Far Too Cheap, But No Squeaky Wheel No Grease
  • Sensetime Placement – Seems Highly Opportunistic
  • Mimasu Semiconductor (8155 JP): Shin-Etsu (4063 JP)’s Tender Offer Launches
  • PC Partners (1263 HK) Muses SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal
  • TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing
  • MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – At an Inflection Point to Generate Shareholder Value
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.
  • Perfect Corp.


Shin-Etsu Chem TOB for Rest of Mimasu Semi (8155) – Far Too Cheap, But No Squeaky Wheel No Grease

By Travis Lundy

  • Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP), owner of a 44% stake in Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), will launch the TOB to buy out Mimasu minority holders, as pre-announced 2mos ago.
  • Not surprising. They bought in 19yrs ago, raised to 40+% 18yrs ago, then waited. Finally, we have a deal. It’s too cheap but in 18yrs, I recall zero activism here.
  • Shin-Etsu starts with ~45%, and crossholders and the chairman get it to 53%. Then they need a bit to get them to 67% but it should be straightforward.

Sensetime Placement – Seems Highly Opportunistic

By Sumeet Singh

  • SenseTime Group (20 HK)  aims to raise up to US$263m via selling around 4.5% stake.
  • Sensetime hasn’t had the best of times since listing, however, the shares have rebounded recently on generative AI buzz around the stock.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Mimasu Semiconductor (8155 JP): Shin-Etsu (4063 JP)’s Tender Offer Launches

By Arun George

  • Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP) notes that the pre-condition for Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)’s JPY3,700 tender offer has been satisfied. The tender runs from 21 June to 5 August.
  • The share price has traded at or above the offer on 15 out of 38 trading days, partly due to expectations of a counteroffer. 
  • While the offer is below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range, it represents an all-time high. The lack of activists or competing offers suggests a done deal.

PC Partners (1263 HK) Muses SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 18th June, personal computer (PC) parts and accessories play PC Partner (1263 HK) announced a profit alert for 1H24. 
  • That’s positive. What is also interesting is that the board is considering an SGX listing, by way of introduction, and applying for the withdrawal of the HKEx listing.
  • Precedents are thin on the ground. And for good reason. The process is not straightforward.

TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • We hosted a conference call with Elan Microelectronics management; We view the company as a Structural Long position for the AI PC upgrade cycle.
  • From the company’s perspective, significant impact from AI PC demand will come but not until 4Q24E or 1H25E. However, supply chain excess inventory improved and prepping for upcycle.
  • An estimated 90% of AI PC models launched at CES 2024 use Elan’s products in their design; Elan well positioned for the upcycle and entrenching its position. Maintain Structural Long.

MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – At an Inflection Point to Generate Shareholder Value

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Approaching a transformational phase – MIXI Inc. is a digital content company generating earnings from its ‘MONSTER STRIKE’ mobile gaming franchise.
  • Operating in a mature domestic gaming market, the company has successfully diversified into lifestyle and sports, but to date has experienced limited earnings contribution.
  • We believe this is about to change, driven by the new monetization strategy for the ‘FamilyAlbum’ video and photo- sharing service app in FY3/25. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • TYC Brother Industrial is set to dominate the NEV market with a US plant scheduled to be operational by the first quarter of 2025.
  • Despite sanctions, a Russian company has introduced the MP21 SBC to rival the Raspberry Pi 5, showcasing the competitiveness of the technology market.
  • Cerebras and Dell have joined forces to challenge Nvidia in the AI market, highlighting the growth of AI accelerator technology for servers. Taiwan’s carbon market is advancing with new initiatives and regulations, while the UK collaborates with Taiwan to lead in semiconductors at Semi-Impact forum. India is ramping up cobalt supply efforts to meet growing demand.

Perfect Corp.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Perfect Corp. provides an AI and machine learning based B2B SaaS platform for virtual try on and marketing of beauty and fashion products as well as six mobile apps sold B2C for makeup suggestions, try-on, tutorials, photo and video editing and most recently, Gen AI creation and editing.
  • It is expanding its offering to new verticals and has strong IP as well as the largest database for AI training in the industry.
  • It has a dominant market share and serves almost all the major beauty brands worldwide.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Apple , Fujitsu Ltd, Money Forward , Black Sesame Technologies, Power Integrations and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Episode 72: Apple Intelligence and Closed Loop Private Computing
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.
  • Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2
  • Black Sesame Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Unable to Shake off Its Loss-Making Tendencies
  • Power Integrations Inc (POWI) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024


Episode 72: Apple Intelligence and Closed Loop Private Computing

By The Circuit

  • Apple announced Apple intelligence, integrating AI in a feature-centric way for on-device use
  • The approach focused on useful features rather than spotlighting AI technology
  • Apple’s implementation of AI on iPhone 15 Pro and newer devices showcases their focus on personal intelligence and user-centric design

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.
  • CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.
  • Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.

Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2

By Mark Chadwick

  • Money Forward’s share price has declined by around 16% since reporting Q1 results.
  • The company will report Q2 results in early July. We expect continued solid momentum
  • We believe the stock price has around 30% upside potential to our target price of ¥6,600

Black Sesame Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Unable to Shake off Its Loss-Making Tendencies

By Clarence Chu

  • Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
  • In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we discuss Black Sesame’s PHIP updates.

Power Integrations Inc (POWI) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Power Integrations (POWI) is facing persistently low earnings quality over the past five quarters due to a channel inventory adjustment, which they claim is almost complete
  • Revenues have dropped by 37% since 2021, casting doubt on whether the adjustment fully explains the decline
  • Financial performance in 2024 could lead to a shift in the investment narrative towards normalized revenues below recent peaks and increased competition from Chinese semiconductor vendors, potentially affecting earnings and forward multiples

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Infocom Corp, Novatek Microelectronics Corp, Webtoon Entertainment, Micron Technology, GLOBALFOUNDRIES , Coherent Inc, Qualys Inc, On Semiconductor and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Blackstone Does a BIG Deal for Infocom (4348) – Minorities Get ¥6,060/Share
  • Infocom (4348 JP): Blackstone’s Long-Awaited JPY6,060 Tender Offer
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jun-2024): Taiwan wafer industry in 2Q24
  • Webtoon Entertainment IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Memory Monitor: Computex Showed Micron Leapfrog SK Hynix and Samsung; ‘Boring’ DRAM Could Now Hot Up
  • Micron’s HBM. Multiple Billions Incoming..
  • Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024
  • Coherent Corp: Expansion and Diversification in Telecom and Datacom Optics & Other Major Drivers
  • Qualys Inc.: Will The Management Efforts Towards Expansion of Cloud Security Solutions Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • ON Semiconductor Corporation: Adoption in Low-Cost Electric Vehicles and Broad Technology Offering! – Major Drivers


Blackstone Does a BIG Deal for Infocom (4348) – Minorities Get ¥6,060/Share

By Travis Lundy

  • 15 weeks ago, a specialised media outlet suggested Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) was in process to sell its stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP)
  • I caught up later, after the stock had run up significantly, but writing bullishly here and here. Since then, the stock is up another 33-35%.
  • Today we finally got the announced deal. Blackstone will buy the stock at a valuation of ¥280bn, paying ¥6,060/share for the minority stake, and buying back Teijin’s stake at ¥4,340/share.

Infocom (4348 JP): Blackstone’s Long-Awaited JPY6,060 Tender Offer

By Arun George

  • Following months of press speculation, Infocom Corp (4348 JP) announced a Blackstone (BX US) tender offer at JPY6,060 per share, a 177.3% premium to the undisturbed price. 
  • After the share consolidation, Infocom will repurchase Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)’s stake at a share repurchase price of JPY4,231. The process is expected to be completed in early October.
  • The offer is a knockout bid helped by auction. This is a done deal with payment commencing from 7 August. At the last close, the gross spread was 0.5%.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jun-2024): Taiwan wafer industry in 2Q24

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Taiwan’s wafer foundry industry set to expand in Q2 2024 with potential government and financial support.
  • London Tech Week 2024 showcases AI, semiconductors, deep tech, startups, and global tech partnerships.
  • Quanta sees profits double despite workforce reduction, while Intel invests in Luxshare in China to boost market presence.

Webtoon Entertainment IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Webtoon announced that it is targeting a valuation of up to US$2.7 billion in the upcoming IPO. The IPO price range is from US$18 to US$21 per share. 
  • The company is aiming to raise as much as US$315 million in this IPO. Blackrock Asset Management has indicated interest of purchasing up to US$50 million in this IPO.
  • Our base case valuation of Webtoon is market cap of US$3.6 billion or target price of US$27.9 per share (33% higher than the high end of the IPO price range). 

Memory Monitor: Computex Showed Micron Leapfrog SK Hynix and Samsung; ‘Boring’ DRAM Could Now Hot Up

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Computex showed how Micron has successfully leap-frogged SK Hynix and Samsung in HBM DRAM for AI Servers.
  • Now, older ‘boring’ DRAM prices could surge as HBM DRAM production is voraciously consuming memory fab capacity.
  • Why Nanya Tech shares could surge higher — A DRAM memory trade for those who don’t want to chase steep 52-week highs in Micron and SK Hynix.

Micron’s HBM. Multiple Billions Incoming..

By William Keating

  • HBM revenue on track to jump from a few hundred million in 2024 to “multiple” billions in 2025
  • Micron expects to become FCF positive in the second half of their fiscal 2024 and to have a record revenue year in their fiscal 2025. 
  • Micron’s is doing custom work on their HBM solutions. Customers are signing LTAs with defined pricing. This could easily spread to Micron’s non-HBM products also. 

Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Globalfoundries Inc. is an American semiconductor foundry spun out of Advanced Micro Devices in 2009.
  • The company operates four fabs in the US, Germany, and Singapore, making it the only scaled pure-play outside of China and Taiwan.
  • In 2018, Globalfoundries shifted its focus to producing lagging-edge, feature-rich semiconductors after halting investment in leading-edge chip development.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Coherent Corp: Expansion and Diversification in Telecom and Datacom Optics & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Coherent Corp. reported a solid third-quarter performance for Fiscal Year 2024, signaling strong underlying business dynamics despite some operational hitches.
  • The company emphasized a noteworthy sequential revenue increase of almost 7% and an almost 50% rise in non-GAAP EPS which marked significant growth.
  • Operating cash flow stood robust at $117 million, with a substantial portion directed towards capital investments and debt repayment.

Qualys Inc.: Will The Management Efforts Towards Expansion of Cloud Security Solutions Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Based on the first quarter 2024 earnings of Qualys, the company has evidenced a progressive trajectory with significant developments in its strategic sectors, specifically cybersecurity asset management.
  • The introduction of enhanced enterprise solutions such as VMDR with TruRisk and TotalCloud CNAPP reflects Qualys’ adaptation to evolving market needs and emphasizes the ever growing complexity of cybersecurity threats.
  • These initiatives have notably increased product adoption across diverse verticals including healthcare, technology, retail, and financial services, suggesting robust demand and profitability potential.

ON Semiconductor Corporation: Adoption in Low-Cost Electric Vehicles and Broad Technology Offering! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In Q1 2024, ON Semiconductor Corporation reported revenue of $1.86 billion, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 45.9% and non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.08, exceeding the midpoint of the guidance.
  • These figures demonstrate the company’s adeptness at navigating market dynamics, supported by a 30% increase in new design wins and growth in silicon and silicon carbide market share due to its innovative power and sensing technologies.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Miroku Jyoho Service, Unisplendour Corporation Limited, Avant Corp, Xero Ltd, Pci Holdings Inc/Jp, Commvault Systems, Comscore Inc, JFrog, Plexus Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s 3nm Shortage & Upcoming Price Hikes; Samsung Unveils AI Catch-Up Plan
  • Miroku Jyoho Service (TSE:9928)
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.
  • Avant Group Corporation (TSE:3836)
  • Xero’s Price Hikes
  • Quick Look – PCI Holdings (3918 JP)
  • Commvault Systems Inc.: What Will Be The Overall Revenue Impact Of The Enhancement of Cyber Resilience Solutions? – Major Drivers
  • Comscore Inc (SCOR) – Saturday, Mar 16, 2024
  • JFrog Ltd.: How Are They Successfully Expanding Cloud Services Revenue? – Major Drivers
  • Plexus Corp: Expanding Market Presence in Industrial Sector – Major Drivers


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s 3nm Shortage & Upcoming Price Hikes; Samsung Unveils AI Catch-Up Plan

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC’s 3nm Shortage: Capacity Filled Until 2026 Amid Surging Demand; Strategic Price Hikes Coming Soon
  • Top Gainers/Losers: Taiwan Tech Rallies Alongside TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, ARM Strength
  • Samsung Unveils Pathway to Catch Up With TSMC in the AI Foundry Race

Miroku Jyoho Service (TSE:9928)

By Hurdle Rate

  • Miroku Jyoho Service (TSE:9928) , which offers on-premises, hybrid (IaaS) and cloud accounting software to Japanese enterprises of various sizes.
  • Our purchase is centred around the business achieving further transition to the cloud, allowing for substantial margin improvement through the accumulation of high gross margin SaaS revenue.
  • This transition has impacted firm profitability in the short term due to the shift in revenue recognition as quoted below by the company

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • H3C and Foxconn partner in Malaysia for data center investment; Tsinghua Unigroup continues acquisitions in the tech industry.
  • Chinese automakers urged to invest in cleaner technologies, form strategic partnerships, and comply with EU regulations under new EV tariffs.
  • Microsoft & Qualcomm exceed pre-orders with AI-powered Copilot+ PC; Hyundai plans to list Indian arm; SEMICON India to showcase advancements in semiconductor industry.

Avant Group Corporation (TSE:3836)

By Hurdle Rate

  • Avant was founded in 1997 by the current CEO Tetsuji Morikawa and is a Japanese holding company of financial and non-financial software which have the collective goal of assisting its clientele to increase corporate value.
  • This includes ‘Diva’ as Japan’s foremost (43% market share) consolidated accounting software and board meetings platform in addition to ‘Avant’, a management system for corporate value enhancement through consolidation of information (Avant Cruise) , charting (Avant Chart) , and corporate value enhancement (Avant Compass).
  • Lastly, there is ‘Zeal’ which includes several non-financial platforms that help organise and integrate (with Avant Cruise) from external sources. And interestingly, Avant also owns and operates Internet Disclosure Co, which runs Kaijinet, a site I have frequently visited over the years.

Xero’s Price Hikes

By Hurdle Rate

  • This is the first blog post on the Hurdle Rate website, a series of blog posts which I intend to cover specific topics rather than unit trust investments.
  • From time to time I may consider company deep dives, but predominately I want to make these posts more specific in nature around the global landscape in professional and financial services.
  • Today’s post is going to talk about the recent bombshell that is Xero’s price hikes, a controversial topic here in Australia for the accounting industry, and a perfect start to the blogroll given my background and focus.

Quick Look – PCI Holdings (3918 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • PCI Holdings, Inc. (hereafter, the Company) is an IT provider of IT-related services and hardware, mainly focusing on embedded system technology such as embedded software, embedded computers, and the like.
  • Though it is a relatively young company, born in 2005, it has grown up to be large enough to have net sales of ¥28,500 mn for FY2023/9 with approximately 1,600 employees along with organic growth and acquisition of many companies.
  • Going forward, it will change the corporate structure and make it more profitable by investing its cashflow from its core businesses, the Engineering Business and the Product/Device Business, into the ICT Solutions Business, which has considerable potential growth fields such as solution development using AI, IoT platform and the like.

Commvault Systems Inc.: What Will Be The Overall Revenue Impact Of The Enhancement of Cyber Resilience Solutions? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Commvault recently wrapped up an impressive Fiscal Year 2024, demonstrating robust financial health and strategic progress.
  • Their fourth-quarter earnings highlighted a 10% increase in total revenue, reaching $223 million.
  • This growth was significantly propelled by a 27% rise in subscription revenue, which now constitutes over half of the total revenue stream.

Comscore Inc (SCOR) – Saturday, Mar 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Comscore underwent recapitalization in 2021, issuing $204M in convertible preferred stock
  • Decline in equity capitalization led to removal from major market indexes, but recent improvements in fundamentals have created significant equity value
  • Preferred holders may convert stock into common stock at a discount, and have the option to request a one-time special dividend valued at $45M, declining annually if specific borrowing conditions are met.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


JFrog Ltd.: How Are They Successfully Expanding Cloud Services Revenue? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • JFrog’s First Quarter 2024 financial report showcases a strong financial position with notable overall growth and a positive outlook, marked by significant developments and strategic initiatives across the company.
  • Total revenue reached $100.3 million, reflecting a 26% year-over-year increase, driven by robust cloud revenue and growing enterprise subscriptions.
  • Cloud revenue notably increased to $36.9 million, marking a 47% growth from the previous year.

Plexus Corp: Expanding Market Presence in Industrial Sector – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Plexus Corp recently reported fiscal second quarter 2024 results which showcased the company’s capacity to maintain a robust growth trajectory and strong operational performance amidst a mixed business environment.
  • Plexus announced fiscal second quarter revenue of $967 million, which sat at the top end of the company’s guidance, with a non-GAAP EPS of $0.94.
  • The non-GAAP operating margin was reported at 4.2%.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), ARM Holdings, Mediatek Inc, 4Paradigm, NVIDIA Corp, Rumble and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.
  • NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Arm Holdings Replaces Sirius XM
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): 2Q24 Guidance Is Achievable; to Take Advantage of the AI PC Replacement Trend.
  • 4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100
  • Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments
  • Rumble Inc (RUM) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.

By Patrick Liao

  • The yearly growth target could approach 25% YoY in 2024.
  • TSMC’s CoWoS demand continues to rise, with capacity expected to increase by approximately another 5% in 2024.
  • TSMC’s stock price has risen by 55% in Taiwan and by 66.3% in US markets this year. We believe it has the potential to continue increasing further.

NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Arm Holdings Replaces Sirius XM

By Brian Freitas


MediaTek (2454.TT): 2Q24 Guidance Is Achievable; to Take Advantage of the AI PC Replacement Trend.

By Patrick Liao

  • Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)’s 3Q24 is expected to experience a quarter-on-quarter increase of about 5%.  
  • MediaTek is currently developing new processors based on Arm architecture and natively supporting the Microsoft Windows operating system.
  • It is believed that MediaTek will tape out with TSMC 3nm technology, targeting the 1H25 market.

4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100

By Andrei Zakharov

  • 4Paradigm, China’s AI software company with focus on enterprise-level solutions, performed well and achieved solid growth in 2023 and Q1 2024. 
  • In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and set a new 12-month PT for 4Paradigm.
  • The company’s management has set a clear goal of profitability. I like 4Paradigm’s leadership position and hyper-growth in revenue from the Sage AI Platform.

Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments

By Srinidhi Raghavendra

  • NVIDIA deploys a three-pronged strategy to support the rapidly growing AI ecosystem. First, Corporate Investments. Second, NVentures. Third, NVIDIA Inception.
  • NVentures supports innovators who are deeply relevant to NVIDIA. NVentures aims to produce solid financial returns while growing the ecosystem.
  • NVIDIA participated in 35 deals in 2023 (6x more than in 2022). It has been more active than firm like Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia.

Rumble Inc (RUM) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Short Rumble with a price target of $0.90 per share, representing an 88% downside
  • Despite recent partnerships and market cap boost, company faces challenges like negative cash flow, declining user numbers, and inexperienced management
  • Investment is risky due to technical factors like limited available shares and high borrowing costs, advises monitoring stock performance and adjusting position sizes based on upcoming election结果

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars