Category

TMT/Internet

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Tencent, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, ASE Technology Holding , Cadence Design Sys, Acal PLC, Verizon Communications, Visa and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jul 2024); ETFs Get Bought, Banks Have Gone Missing
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premium Trading Range Blow-Outs During Recent Sell-Off
  • ASE Color Suggests Widening Performance Gap Between Leading-Edge and Mature Semiconductor Players
  • Cadence Design Systems: Increasing Demand for 3D-IC Technology & Recurring Revenue Growth Makes This A ‘Buy’? – Major Drivers
  • discoverIE Group – FY25 earnings expectations maintained
  • Verizon Communications: New Brand Strategy & Expansion of Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) Are The Highlights! – Major Drivers
  • Visa Inc.: Consistent Strong Performance in Value-Added Services (VAS) & Other Major Drivers


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jul 2024); ETFs Get Bought, Banks Have Gone Missing

By Travis Lundy

  • SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$7.8bn this week (now 25wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes. 
  • I’ve thought national team was buying banks for months. This week, 1 bank showed up in the top 20 net buys after only 1 in the top ten last week.
  • There were three ETFs in the top six SOUTHBOUND buys this past week. That was unusual. Some high div SOEs got sold. 

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premium Trading Range Blow-Outs During Recent Sell-Off

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: Crashed Then Rebounded to +15.1% Premium; Likely to Break Down Again
  • UMC: -0.2% Discount; Earnings Imminent; Notable Decrease in ADR Headroom
  • ASE: Rebounded to +9.2 Premium After Major Breakdown; Likely to Drop Again

ASE Color Suggests Widening Performance Gap Between Leading-Edge and Mature Semiconductor Players

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • A TALE OF TWO SEMI INDUSTRIES: ASE’s latest earnings commentary indicates that the performance gap between “leading-edge” technologies and “traditional/mature” semiconductor technologies may be widening.
  • CAPITAL REQUIREMENT TO KEEP PACE IS RISING: Capacity utilization is starkly different for traditional vs. leading-edge capacity; and capital requirements to keep up in terms of advanced capacity is rising.
  • ENTRY BARRIERS RISING: We suspect that smaller players could face significant challenges in keeping up with the investments necessary for leading-edge packaging and testing capacity. ASE needs to invest heavily.

Cadence Design Systems: Increasing Demand for 3D-IC Technology & Recurring Revenue Growth Makes This A ‘Buy’? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cadence Design Systems, Inc. reported strong results and exceeded expectations for their second quarter of 2024, with broad-based momentum seen across their product portfolio.
  • The company also posted stronger bookings than anticipated, leading to a strong backlog, demonstrating the robust demand for their innovative products.
  • Cadence updated its revenue guidance for the year to over 13% year-over-year growth, reflecting its strong performance.

discoverIE Group – FY25 earnings expectations maintained

By Edison Investment Research

discoverIE’s Q125 trading update confirmed that underlying earnings expectations for FY25 are unchanged. While the Q125 revenue decline reflects the lower bookings environment in previous quarters, book-to-bill was above one and bookings increased organically year-on-year despite ongoing destocking by customers in the industrial market. Robust gross margins and a well-controlled cost base support the company’s 13.5% target operating margin for FY25 and we maintain our forecasts.


Verizon Communications: New Brand Strategy & Expansion of Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) Are The Highlights! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Verizon Communications Inc. had a successful second quarter of 2024 as the company reports strong results, with wireless service revenue climbing 3.5% year-over-year, adjusted EBITDA rise by 2.8%, and free cash flow increasing by 3% compared to last year.
  • In addition, the company’s customer-centric measures such as myPlan and Verizon Business Complete are resonating with its consumers, leading to further growth and stronger customer relationships.
  • The company’s impressive results follow its commitment to innovation and the implementation of a brand refresh, signifying its evolution and future visions for connectivity.

Visa Inc.: Consistent Strong Performance in Value-Added Services (VAS) & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Visa Inc.’s fiscal third quarter of 2024 reveals a strong financial position, but also indicates room for improvement.
  • Net revenue was $8.9B, notching a 10% YoY increase and included a 12% YoY rise for EPS, indicating an increased level of profitability.
  • One of Visa’s strongest areas this past quarter has been its focus on global client engagement, resulting in a 3-pt increase in their global Net Promoter Score (NPS) to 76.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Zhihu, Tencent, Xiaomi Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Kanzhun , LG Display, ASML Holding NV, Snap , Sap Se Sponsored Adr, Nokia Oyj and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Zhihu (2390 HK/ZH US)’s Cheeky Buyback
  • Tencent/Netease: Zero for Major Names; Industry Revenue Growth Flattish in First Half
  • Consumer Tales #July21-26:Apple Falls from Top 5 in China, Xiaomi Tops India Smartphones
  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC): How Will They Deal With The Strained Production Capacity & Geopolitical Risks & Regulatory Pressures? – Major Drivers
  • [Kanzhun (BZ US, BUY, TP US$19) TP Change]: Impacted by Poor Macro but Still on Top of Competition
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Jul-2024): ST cuts 2024 outlook as demand slows.
  • ASML Holding N.V.: What Is The Impact Of Impact of the Chips Act and Global Expansion? – Major Drivers
  • Snap-on Incorporated: How They Are Grappling With Production Capacity and Product Availability! – Major Drivers
  • SAP SE: Strengthening Partnership with IBM for Generative AI and Cloud Solutions & Other Major Drivers
  • Nokia Corporation (NOK): The Story Of The Expansion Into The 5G Core Network Market! – Major Drivers


Zhihu (2390 HK/ZH US)’s Cheeky Buyback

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 19th July, online Q&A play Zhihu (2390 HK/ZH US) announced the buyback of 46.92mn ordinary A shares (15.9% of shares out) at HK$9.11/share (US$3.50/ADS). 
  • Assuming the buyback is fully taken up, chairman Yuan Zhou’s stake will increase to 44.4% from 42.9% currently (held via A shares and the weighted-voting B shares). 
  • The key condition is a simple majority vote from independent shareholders. Zhihu is sitting on  net cash of US$764mn. A significantly larger buyback, or higher price, could have been initiated. 

Tencent/Netease: Zero for Major Names; Industry Revenue Growth Flattish in First Half

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the June batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. Of companies that we are monitoring, none got any approval.
  • China’s CADPA published a semi-annual report pointing to flattish growth of gaming revenue in the first half. 

Consumer Tales #July21-26:Apple Falls from Top 5 in China, Xiaomi Tops India Smartphones

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Welcome to Consumer Tales & Trends, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.
  • An interesting comparison between China and India smart phone markets in 2Q 2024 – highlighting differences in market size and the dominance of leading players.
  • Xiaomi Corp(1810 HK)  made a strong come back in 2Q24 in terms of sales in both the markets. In China, it saw a 17% year-on-year increase, shipping 10 million units.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC): How Will They Deal With The Strained Production Capacity & Geopolitical Risks & Regulatory Pressures? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company’s (TSMC) second quarter 2024 results reveal a mixed picture of advances and challenges.
  • The revenue for the quarter was notably strong, increasing by 13.6% sequentially in NT or 10.3% in U.S. dollars.
  • This substantial growth was fueled by robust demand for the cutting-edge 3- and 5- nanometer technologies, although somewhat offset by smartphone seasonality.

[Kanzhun (BZ US, BUY, TP US$19) TP Change]: Impacted by Poor Macro but Still on Top of Competition

By Eric Wen

  • Due to weakening hiring demand from both manufacturing and service, we expect BZ’s cash billing to decline 5% QoQ in 2Q24, 9% below consensus. 
  • We believe BZ’s user matrices still growing and leading. The weakness is mainly attributable to the employer/hiring side;
  • We cut TP by US$3 to US$19/ADS while keep the BUY rating.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Jul-2024): ST cuts 2024 outlook as demand slows.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • ST reduces 2024 outlook amid industrial and automotive slowdown, impacting company’s future projections.
  • VCs discuss Taiwan startups in AI industry, highlighting challenge of staying competitive in fast-evolving sector.
  • Global regulators collaborate to address market dominance of AI giants, emphasizing need for fair competition and consumer protection.

ASML Holding N.V.: What Is The Impact Of Impact of the Chips Act and Global Expansion? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ASML announced its second quarter 2024 financial results, revealing data that both supports and raises concerns about its short-term performance and long-term strategy.
  • The company posted total net sales of EUR 6.2 billion, slightly ahead of its guided figures, with net system sales contributing EUR 4.8 billion.
  • The net system sales were driven by 54% Logic and 46% Memory, with Installed Base Management sales slightly higher than expected at EUR 1.48 billion.

Snap-on Incorporated: How They Are Grappling With Production Capacity and Product Availability! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Snap-on Inc., known for manufacturing tools and equipment for professional use, delivered mixed results for its second quarter of 2024.
  • The Company experienced a slight decline in gross sales of 1.1% organically, going from $1,191.3 million the previous year to $1,179.4 million.
  • The operating income (OI) margin, though, rose to 23.8% from last year’s figures.

SAP SE: Strengthening Partnership with IBM for Generative AI and Cloud Solutions & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • SAP SE’s Q2 2024 results show continued growth momentum despite the volatility in the software industry.
  • More customers are moving to the cloud, and the company’s portfolio is becoming increasingly attractive, owing to its Business AI capabilities.
  • Their Q2 performance was marked by substantial increases in profitability and the diligent execution of their transformation program.

Nokia Corporation (NOK): The Story Of The Expansion Into The 5G Core Network Market! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Nokia Corporation’s engagement in the second quarter of 2024 revolved around significant developments amid a transitory, challenging market environment.
  • The company announced two crucial transactions: the proposed acquisition of Infinera, a North American optical networking entity, and Nokia’s plan to divest its submarine networks business to the French State.
  • The acquisition of Infinera is expected to boost Nokia’s Optical Networks business by quickening innovation for customers and strengthening Nokia’s position in North America.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Alphabet, Argo Graphics, Plover Bay Technologies, SUMCO Corp, Ono Sokki, Perfect , Caci International, ASE Technology Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Alphabet 2Q’24 Update
  • Argo Graphics (7595) – Thursday, Apr 25, 2024
  • Alphabet Surges Past Q2 Expectations, Boosted by Digital Ads and Cloud Growth
  • Plover Bay (1523 HK): Solid H1 FY24, Inflection Point In Earnings
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Jul-2024): NCKU in Taiwan achieves semiconductor precision breakthrough.
  • Ono Sokki (6858 JP): 1H FY12/24 flash update
  • Perfect Corp – July 25, 2024
  • PERF: New AI Assistant Could Revolutionize In-Store and Online Sales Just as AI did to Customer Service
  • Caci Intl Inc -Cl A (CACI) – Wednesday, Apr 24, 2024
  • ASEH (3017.TT; ASX.US): ​Selective Products Have Hit Bottom While General Products Lag Behind.


Alphabet 2Q’24 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • Yesterday’s Google’s earnings may have been bit of “meh” at first glance, but there were nuggets in the call that may have important implications for the broader market.
  • Network segment continues to struggle, but the rest of the businesses continue to grow at healthy double digit rate.
  • Search revenue growth surpassed YouTube ads revenue growth last quarter. For the first time, Cloud posted >$10 Bn quarter while maintaining high 20s growth YoY.

Argo Graphics (7595) – Thursday, Apr 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Arco Graphics is a strategic reseller of industrial CAD and semiconductor fab ERP software in Japan, representing Dassault Systems and IBM
  • Despite consistent EBIT growth over the past 7 years, the company’s valuation remains attractive for investors
  • Expected to announce better-than-guided results for Fiscal 2023 in May, along with an improved shareholder returns strategy

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Alphabet Surges Past Q2 Expectations, Boosted by Digital Ads and Cloud Growth

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Alphabet’s revenue jumped 14% YoY to $84.74B, exceeding the $84.19B forecast, fueled by strong digital ad sales and cloud services demand.
  • Net income rose 28.6% to $23.6B, surpassing the $22.9B estimate, reflecting effective cost management and revenue growth despite margin concerns.
  • YouTube’s ad revenue fell short of expectations, growing slower than Q1 due to increased competition and tougher year-on-year comparisons, impacting overall share performance.

Plover Bay (1523 HK): Solid H1 FY24, Inflection Point In Earnings

By Sameer Taneja

  • Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK) reported 28.4%/55 % YoY revenue/net profit growth, led by growth from new customers in the US, Australia, and Europe. 
  • The company reiterated its long-term guidance of reaching 300 mn USD revenue (FY23: 94 mn USD) in less than ten years. There was no clear guidance for FY24. 
  • The stock trades at 14.8x PE FY24e, with a 5.4% dividend yield (assuming an 80% payout), and is at the cusp of an inflection in its growth. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Jul-2024): NCKU in Taiwan achieves semiconductor precision breakthrough.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • NCKU in Taiwan achieves breakthrough in angstrom-scale semiconductor precision, potentially revolutionizing the industry.
  • Uncertainty surrounds impact of Trump win on green energy, with transition likely to be slower but not impossible.
  • Apple introduces new open-source AI models, Kyushu attracts record investments from TSMC, while SK Hynix experiences sales/profit growth. Vietnam partners with Qorvo, Cadence to train 50,000 engineers by 2030.

Ono Sokki (6858 JP): 1H FY12/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Orders for 1H FY12/24 totaled JPY7.1bn (+27.0% YoY), with Measuring Equipment at JPY2.3bn (+14.9% YoY) and Custom Order Test Equipment and Services at JPY4.8bn (+33.7% YoY).
  • Operating loss expanded to JPY478mn, recurring loss to JPY457mn, and net profit attributable to owners of the parent was JPY884mn due to a JPY1.9bn gain from the sale of fixed assets.
  • Full-year FY12/24 forecast: Sales JPY12.5bn (+8.3% YoY), Operating profit JPY300mn (+115.8% YoY), Recurring profit JPY330mn (+61.8% YoY), Net income JPY1.6bn (+253.9% YoY).

Perfect Corp – July 25, 2024

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Perfect Corp. provides an AI and machine learning based B2B SaaS platform for virtual try on and marketing of beauty and fashion products as well as six mobile apps sold B2C for makeup suggestions, try-on, tutorials, photo and video editing and most recently, Gen AI creation and editing.
  • It is expanding its offering to new verticals and has strong IP as well as the largest database for AI training in the industry.
  • It has a dominant market share and serves almost all the major beauty brands worldwide.

PERF: New AI Assistant Could Revolutionize In-Store and Online Sales Just as AI did to Customer Service

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Perfect Corp. provides an AI and machine learning based B2B SaaS platform for virtual try on and marketing of beauty and fashion products as well as six mobile apps sold B2C for makeup suggestions, try-on, tutorials, photo and video editing and most recently, Gen AI creation and editing.
  • It is expanding its offering to new verticals and has strong IP as well as the largest database for AI training in the industry.
  • It has a dominant market share and serves almost all the major beauty brands worldwide.

Caci Intl Inc -Cl A (CACI) – Wednesday, Apr 24, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • CACI’s stock price has decreased by approximately 4%
  • The company has a strong presence in government services and defense sectors
  • CACI is considered an undervalued investment opportunity with potential for significant growth in the future

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


ASEH (3017.TT; ASX.US): ​Selective Products Have Hit Bottom While General Products Lag Behind.

By Patrick Liao

  • General products did not show an immediate recovery, but selective products have reached the bottom.    
  • The 3Q24 sales will grow in the mid to high teens QoQ in EMS, and IC-ATM sales will grow in the mid to high single digits QoQ.  
  • AI remains strong across all sectors. Despite AI SP driving the replacement cycle, other general demands still show muted recovery in 3Q24.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Meta Platforms (Facebook), Won Ik Corp, Iridium Communications, Pca Corp, Tower Semiconductor and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • [Q2 Earnings Preview] Meta’s Ad Revenues Expected to Surge, But Rising Spend Remains a Concern
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jul-2024): BOE boosts S. Korean suppliers, Wonik gets more orders
  • IRDM: IOT Driven Quarter
  • Pca Corp (9629 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update
  • TSEM: Tower is Expected to Return to Growth in Q3 in Part From Silicon Photonics Usage in Data Centers Driven By AI


[Q2 Earnings Preview] Meta’s Ad Revenues Expected to Surge, But Rising Spend Remains a Concern

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Meta is expected to report a 58% YoY increase in EPS to $4.71, with revenue climbing 20% YoY to $38.29B, driven by robust ad performance.
  • Meta plans a 20% cut in Reality Labs’ budget through 2026, aiming to save $3B while shifting focus to upcoming hardware production.
  • In Q1, increased daily active users and a 6% rise in average ad prices have boosted Meta’s ad revenue, despite heightened competition and regulatory pressures. Likely to continue.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jul-2024): BOE boosts S. Korean suppliers, Wonik gets more orders

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • BOE’s B16 OLED commitment boosts Korean suppliers, Wonik to see surge in orders
  • Offshore wind delays in Taiwan lead to focus on Japan and Korea for opportunities
  • Onsemi chosen to power VW EV, Elon Musk supports Trump’s EV policies, tariff war on chips impacts consumers and companies

IRDM: IOT Driven Quarter

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IRDM reported second quarter results where an increase in IOT subscribers was paired with the Company buying back more stock.  
  • IOT has been a core underpinning for IRDM’s growth with the number of subscribers ramping this past quarter. IOT subscribers grew by 71 thousand in the quarter from Q1.
  • IRDM reported second quarter revenue of $201.1 million compared to our estimate of $205.3 million. We had been expecting a higher engineering revenue estimate than IRDM generated.

Pca Corp (9629 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Q1 FY03/25 revenue was JPY3.9bn (+14.5% YoY), operating profit JPY700mn (+63.6% YoY), and net income JPY455mn (+71.1% YoY).
  • Revenue by product category: conventional software JPY156mn (-55.3% YoY), cloud services JPY2.2bn (+36.4% YoY), maintenance services JPY957mn (+14.1% YoY).
  • The company revised PCA software prices in July 2023 and will end packaged software sales by March 2024.

TSEM: Tower is Expected to Return to Growth in Q3 in Part From Silicon Photonics Usage in Data Centers Driven By AI

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Tower is a pure-play analog semiconductor wafer foundry that manufactures SiGe, Silicon Photonics, MEMS, RF, embedded flash-based memory, analog/mixed-signal, and CMOS image-sensor devices in the US, Israel, Japan and Italy.
  • It is serving markets in mobile such as RF High Position analog, as well as in CMOS image sensors, and power management.
  • Its new fab in Italy in partnership with STMicro that has started shipping product and whose capacity will continue to ramp over the next two years.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Kakao Corp, China Tower , NVIDIA Corp, Acer Inc, Travelzoo Inc, Smartsheet Inc, Solera Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Kakao Group Founder Kim Beom-Su Gets Arrested – What’s Next?
  • FXI Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One More Possible
  • Inside NVIDIA’s China Play: Going Beyond U.S. Export Controls To Win Big In China!
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Jul-2024): Biden out, Harris leads amid AI, semiconductor debates.
  • Travelzoo (TZOO) – Monday, Apr 22, 2024
  • Smartsheet Fielding Buyout Interest! What Value Can It Extract From Potential Buyer? – Financial Forecasts
  • Solera IPO Preview: Low Single-Digit Growth and $8B+ of Variable Rate Indebtedness


Kakao Group Founder Kim Beom-Su Gets Arrested – What’s Next?

By Douglas Kim

  • As a result of the arrest of Kim Beom-Su, the near term impact on the Kakao companies (including Kakao Corp, Kakao Bank, Kakao Pay, and Kakao Games) is clearly negative.
  • Given that this is a highly publicized event, it is likely that this legal case will be PROLONGED and finally decided by the Supreme Court which could take several years.
  • Some of the scenarios include Kakao Group selling partial stakes in Kakao Bank and SM Entertainment but this is likely to get dragged on, resulting in further uncertainty.

FXI Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One More Possible

By Brian Freitas


Inside NVIDIA’s China Play: Going Beyond U.S. Export Controls To Win Big In China!

By Baptista Research

  • NVIDIA Corporation, a titan in the semiconductor industry, has been at the forefront of artificial intelligence (AI) innovation, primarily due to its cutting-edge GPUs that power everything from deep learning algorithms to complex simulations.
  • As the company approaches its earnings report, investors are keenly observing the performance of its AI-driven products amidst a backdrop of global market dynamics and regulatory challenges.
  • The company’s recent advancements, such as the “Blackwell” chip series, promise significant improvements in processing speed and efficiency.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Jul-2024): Biden out, Harris leads amid AI, semiconductor debates.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Kamala Harris assumes presidency after Joe Biden steps down amidst discussions on AI regulations and semiconductor debates.
  • India’s iVP Semi focuses on domestic market with locally developed strategy, aiming to penetrate the fabless startup industry.
  • Composite materials boast superior performance but come with higher costs due to advanced properties and manufacturing processes; South Korean experts urge government to protect OLED panel market against Chinese competition.

Travelzoo (TZOO) – Monday, Apr 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Travelzoo (TZOO) is an online club for travel enthusiasts, featuring travel deals from airlines, hotels, cruiselines, vacations, and vouchers for offers from local businesses.

  • TZOO has 223 employees, TZOO boasts 30 million members, 8 million mobile app users and 5 million social media followers, and publishes deals from over 5,000 travel, entertainment and local providers.

  • In 2020, due to the pandemic, which decimated travel generally, TZOO’s revenues declined ~50% and the company lost $1/sh. 

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Smartsheet Fielding Buyout Interest! What Value Can It Extract From Potential Buyer? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Smartsheet has recently been in the news for fielding buyout interest.
  • The company reported its First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2025 earnings with positive developments, demonstrating steady improvements.
  • The company showcased an expansion, notably reaching a total of 72 customers with annualized recurring revenue (ARR) over $1 million, marking a 50% increase from the previous year.

Solera IPO Preview: Low Single-Digit Growth and $8B+ of Variable Rate Indebtedness

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Solera Corp, the global leader in vehicle lifecycle management and automotive software solution provider, filed to list IPO on New York Stock Exchange.  
  • The software company plans to raise capital and repay a portion of massive debt obligations, which exceeded $8B as of Jun-24. Goldman Sachs is leading the offering.  
  • With $8B+ of variable rate indebtedness and low single-digit growth, the risk-reward profile of Solera IPO looks increasingly skewed to the downside.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Microsoft Corp, Nuvoton Technology, Silicon Motion Technology, Temairazu, Inc. and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • [Q2 Earnings Preview] Microsoft Flying High on Tailwinds from Azure Surge, AI Leap & Gaming Boost
  • Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Sep 24: Nuvoton Tech TDIV Deletion Is the Talking Point
  • Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: One Deletion Possible; US$289mn One-Way Capping Flows
  • TechChain Insights: Call with Silicon Motion; QLC NAND Emerging as Key Enabler for AI Devices
  • Temairazu (2477 JP) – Monday, Apr 22, 2024


[Q2 Earnings Preview] Microsoft Flying High on Tailwinds from Azure Surge, AI Leap & Gaming Boost

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Azure Revenue Growth: Microsoft’s Azure revenue soared 21% YoY to $26.7B in Q3 2024, driven by advanced AI capabilities and increased enterprise adoption.
  • AI & Personal Computing: AI-driven Copilot+ PCs and hybrid AI solutions are reshaping the market, with AI-capable PC shipments projected to rise from 19% in 2024 to 60% by 2027.
  • Gaming + Activision: The $68.7B Activision acquisition boosted gaming revenue by 51% YoY, with Game Pass subscribers exceeding 30M and expanding Microsoft’s position in cloud gaming.

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Sep 24: Nuvoton Tech TDIV Deletion Is the Talking Point

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
  • These indices are rebalanced quarterly. In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the September 2024 index rebal event.
  • T50/100 index changes can also trigger TDIV index changes. Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT) could be involved in such a move in September 2024.

Quiddity TDIV Sep 24 Flow Expectations: One Deletion Possible; US$289mn One-Way Capping Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
  • In this insight, we take look at Quiddity’s expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the September 2024 index rebal event.
  • We expect one deletion and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be US$289mn.

TechChain Insights: Call with Silicon Motion; QLC NAND Emerging as Key Enabler for AI Devices

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • We had a conference call with Silicon Motion; the leading global provider of NAND flash controllers and solid-state storage solutions for the consumer, enterprise, and industrial markets.
  • We focus on how Silicon Motion is leveraging advantages of QLC NAND flash memory, which is becoming a critical memory solution for new AI servers, AI PCs, and AI mobiles
  • Maintain Structural Long rating for Silicon Motion and $102 valuation. The company is in a leading position to benefit from the rising importance of advanced memory controllers for AI applications.

Temairazu (2477 JP) – Monday, Apr 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Temairazu is a high-quality vertical SaaS company in Japan with impressive EBIT growth rates, presenting as an undervalued investment opportunity
  • Japan’s software sector is flourishing with a higher number of listed companies compared to Western markets, offering fertile ground for small-cap opportunities like Temairazu
  • With upcoming improvements in shareholder returns and a competitive landscape in sectors like accounting software, Temairazu has the potential to be a Japanese hidden gem for prospective investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Kokusai Electric , Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), ASML Holding NV, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, SoftwareONE Holding, Cambricon Technologies Lt, Xiaomi Corp, Com2us Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Placement Price Could Be Determined Today; Index Impact Could Be Delayed
  • TSMC. Take The Pullback Gift
  • ASML Readthrough: Are There Signs of an Industry Slow Down?
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 19 Jul 2024): SB Bought, NB Sold, HK Crushed Vs A-Shares
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Strong TSMC & ASML Data Fails to Rally the Semiconductor Sector
  • Private Equity Interest Is Back
  • Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week
  • Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Tops India Smartphone Market; Samsung Falls to Third
  • Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24 Shipments – High Growth and High Market Share
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #29: Com2Us


Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Placement Price Could Be Determined Today; Index Impact Could Be Delayed

By Brian Freitas


TSMC. Take The Pullback Gift

By William Keating

  • TSMC guided Q324 revenues of $22.8 billion at the midpoint, up 9.5% QoQ and up 32% YoY
  • Increased full year guidance to be above mid-20% YoY growth in US dollar terms
  • Share price has declined ~14% from its 52 week high but still up >2x from its 52 week low. Many will view this pullback as a gift, we certainly do…

ASML Readthrough: Are There Signs of an Industry Slow Down?

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • ASML’s results last week indicated continued strength in the semiconductor industry. We analyze the results to identify any potential signs of weakening or pauses in global industry momentum for Taiwan.
  • Net system bookings surged 54% QoQ and ASML reported rising utilization levels of its clients’ equipment. Inventory days rose significantly, but this is due to upcoming 2025 orderbook deliveries.
  • New US, Europe, and Japan fabs bolster strong revenue outlook into 2026E. Overall, robust industry demand persists according to ASML’s latest data, with no major signs of softness.

A/H Premium Tracker (To 19 Jul 2024): SB Bought, NB Sold, HK Crushed Vs A-Shares

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND inflow strong but SOEs not leading and Hang Seng down hard. Bank buying minimal. NORTHBOUND saw significant selling, but A-share indices generally strong on the week. Window-dressing?
  • AH Premia rose 3.3% on average. Really bad week for H vs A as Liquid Hs underperformed their As by 4%. Stunning week really. Relative performance a sea of red.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Strong TSMC & ASML Data Fails to Rally the Semiconductor Sector

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Taiwan Stocks Fall On Potential New U.S. Tech Restrictions for China & Potential Policy Shift from a Trump White House… Strong TSMC & ASML Results Fail to Rally the Sector
  • Even Tighter Technology Restrictions for China?  — US Could Use Special Rule to Restrict Selling of Products Made by Foreign Companies
  • We See TSMC’s Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up 

Private Equity Interest Is Back

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • SoftwareONE is currently considered a special situation case by the market, with its new Board of Directors being more receptive to a potential transaction, possibly above CHF 20/share.
  • Compelling stock narrative: strong balance sheet (10.3% of market cap in net cash&equivalents), low valuation (8.7x EV/NTM EBITDA, 17.5x Fwd P/E), shareholder return policy (buyback and dividend), and ongoing recovery.
  • My fair value estimate is CHF 20.04/share, which implies an undemanding 9.8x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA. SoftwareONE releases Q2 and H1 results on 21 August. Long.

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

By Travis Lundy

  • The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
  • Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB +19.3bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Consumer, Finance, and Energy hit hardest.
  • Net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly “short gamma”, but the net buys this week were of stocks previously a net sell. 

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Tops India Smartphone Market; Samsung Falls to Third

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)‘s smartphone shipments to India surged in Q2 2024, reclaiming the top spot, while Samsung slipped to third.
  • Consumer discretionary sales, including smartphones, were weak during the quarter due to elections, subdued demand, and extreme weather.
  • The upcoming festive season is crucial for sales, with customers anticipating new launches and better bargains. 5G device upgrades continue to drive growth in 2024.

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24 Shipments – High Growth and High Market Share

By Ming Lu

  • Xiaomi (XM)’s shipments increased by 29% YoY in 2Q24, which is the most rapid growth among the global top five.
  • Xiaomi is the only clear gainer of market share among the global top five.
  • We believe the stock has an upside of 35% and the target price is HK$22.30 for the end of 2024.

Korea Small Cap Gem #29: Com2Us

By Douglas Kim

  • Com2Us’s net cash (including long-term financial investments) is 151% of its market cap. It is trading at P/B ratio of only 0.45x. 
  • The company paid out 2,600 won in DPS in FY23. If we assume the same DPS, this would suggest a dividend yield of 6.7% at current price of 38,900 won. 
  • Com2Us is a turnaround story. It had an operating profit of 1.2 billion won in 1Q 2024, improving from an operating loss of 13.3 billion won in 1Q 2023. 

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Zhihu Technology, Intouch Holdings, Crowdstrike Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Zhihu (ZH US/2390 HK): Negative EV Play Launches a Share Buyback at HK$9.11/US$3.50
  • Weekly Deals Digest (21 Jul) – Intouch/Gulf, China TCM, Huafa, Samson, Zhihu, Asics, Kokusai, Timee
  • CrowdStrike: A Once-Promising Cybersecurity Titan’s Fall From Grace


Zhihu (ZH US/2390 HK): Negative EV Play Launches a Share Buyback at HK$9.11/US$3.50

By Arun George

  • Zhihu Technology (ZH US) has launched a conditional share buyback offer to acquire a maximum of 46.9m Class A ordinary shares (15.93% of outstanding shares) at HK$9.11 (US$3.50 per ADS).
  • The offer is conditional on shareholder approval by a majority of votes cast at the EGM. There is no minimum acceptance condition. The EGM vote is done due to irrevocables. 
  • Zhihu’s share buyback returns 19% of cash not subject to government controls, below Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US)’s comparable 34%. The minimum pro-ration is expected to be around 34%. 

Weekly Deals Digest (21 Jul) – Intouch/Gulf, China TCM, Huafa, Samson, Zhihu, Asics, Kokusai, Timee

By Arun George


CrowdStrike: A Once-Promising Cybersecurity Titan’s Fall From Grace

By Baptista Research

  • CrowdStrike, once hailed as a beacon of innovation in the cybersecurity sector, now finds itself at a precarious crossroads.
  • Despite boasting a robust platform, impressive revenue growth, and high-profile clients, recent events have cast a long shadow over its future prospects.
  • The global IT outage linked to CrowdStrike’s software has brought its skyrocketing valuation down but is there a rock-bottom in sight?

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Kokusai Electric , Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Hyundai Motor, Zuora Inc, Five9 Inc, MoneyHero , Esker SA, Boku Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The Current Playbook
  • TSMC Shatters Q2 Expectations Bolstered by Strong AI Chip Demand
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jul-2024): Micron samples MRDIMMs for AI, HPC.
  • Zuora Inc (ZUO) – Thursday, Apr 18, 2024
  • Five9 Under Pressure From Anson Funds To Explore A Potential Sale! 4 Reasons Why It Could Be An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts
  • MoneyHero Group: A Promising Q1 2024 Result With Lots To Look Forward To!!
  • Esker – Record Q2 bookings; FY24 outlook maintained
  • Boku – Strong underlying revenue growth in H124


Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$2.0 billion secondary placement announcement, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)’s shares are down 5.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,520 per share (8 July).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Kokusai’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 22 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

TSMC Shatters Q2 Expectations Bolstered by Strong AI Chip Demand

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • TSMC’s Q2 revenue hits NT$673.51 billion, exceeding expectations amid strong demand for advanced chips.
  • TSMC to grapple with tight supply through 2025, striving to meet soaring global demand across various sectors.
  • TSMC on track for 2025 mass production of 2nm chips, enhancing capabilities for more powerful and efficient technologies.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jul-2024): Micron samples MRDIMMs for AI, HPC.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Micron is sampling MRDIMMs for AI and HPC applications, exploring innovative solutions for data processing needs.
  • Hyundai Motors plans to add 300 new charging stations to support the expansion of their hydrogen bus fleet, promoting eco-friendly transportation options.
  • German electrification struggle worsens with supplier bankruptcy up 60%, hindering the widespread adoption of electric vehicles and renewable energy technologies.

Zuora Inc (ZUO) – Thursday, Apr 18, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Zuora is considering a potential sale after receiving acquisition interest, with Qatalyst Partners hired to facilitate the process
  • Founder and CEO Tien Tzuo and other large shareholders may participate in the transaction
  • Potential deal price of $13-15 per share, offering 40-60% upside from current levels, with downside protection due to low valuation and improving cash flow outlook

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Five9 Under Pressure From Anson Funds To Explore A Potential Sale! 4 Reasons Why It Could Be An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Five9, a noted leader in cloud contact center solutions, has been facing activist pressure in order to explore a potential sale of the company after a decent quarterly result.
  • Positively, Five9 reported a solid increase in subscription revenue, growing 20% year-over-year, which underscores its successful transition and dominance in the cloud-based contact center market.
  • This growth trajectory is supported by three key trends: the ongoing shift to cloud-based platforms, heightened focus on customer experience enhancement, and revolutionary impacts of AI on customer services.

MoneyHero Group: A Promising Q1 2024 Result With Lots To Look Forward To!!

By Baptista Research

  • This is a follow-up research note on MoneyHero Group, a leading personal finance aggregation and comparison entity in Greater Southeast Asia.
  • In its most recent Q1 2024 result, the company continues to demonstrate exceptional growth and strategic agility.
  • MoneyHero Group has seen a significant uptick in revenues and improved margins and was also in the news for an important strategic sale of CompareHero in Malaysia that could prove to be another game changer.

Esker – Record Q2 bookings; FY24 outlook maintained

By Edison Investment Research

Esker reported Q224 year-on-year constant currency (cc) revenue growth of 14% and bookings annual recurring revenue (ARR) cc growth of 65%. Bookings more than doubled in the Americas, helped by a large upsell to an existing customer, and had double-digit growth in every other region. On the back of the strong order intake year-to-date, management confirmed that its expectations for FY24 were unchanged. We have made small upgrades to our forecasts to reflect the strong Q2 performance.


Boku – Strong underlying revenue growth in H124

By Edison Investment Research

In H124, digital wallets/account-to-account (A2A) adoption continued, with revenue growth of more than 50% y-o-y. Carrier billing revenues were robust with double-digit growth. The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be broadly flat versus FY23 as Boku invests to support core back-end infrastructure. We have raised our revenue forecasts while trimming our EBITDA forecasts to reflect this investment, which should support stronger growth in the medium term. The company has appointed a new CFO, Rob Whittick, with immediate effect.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: KT Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Mediatek Inc, Dell Technologies , SilverSun Technologies , Singtel, Kinatico and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Reasons Why KT’s Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level
  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Outlook of 3Q24 Is Pretty Much In-Line, and GM Could Be Better.
  • We See TSMC’s Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q24 Might Grow Slightly QoQ, While AI PCs Could Be Delivered in 2H25.
  • S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?
  • Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jul-2024): China’s auto exports, 2023.
  • Kinatico Ltd – FY24 NPAT up 225% and 60% ahead of RaaS forecasts
  • Kinatico (ASX:KYP) Georg Chmiel Interview


Reasons Why KT’s Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level

By Sanghyun Park

  • KT’s foreign room has been exhausted due to value-up trading inflows, NPS selling shares, and KT canceling treasury stocks.
  • Hyundai Motor may sell 0.5% of its KT stake, likely to overseas investors. KT’s 700,000 share cancellation will lower foreign ownership to the low-4% range, possibly below 3.75% by November.
  • Focus on the stock price surge from ETF recall requests around the effective date, and note that passive outflow corrections typically occur afterward.

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Outlook of 3Q24 Is Pretty Much In-Line, and GM Could Be Better.

By Patrick Liao

  • TSMC expects sales to grow by mid-20% YoY in USD in 2024, compared to low to mid-20% previously.
  • The N3/N5 capacity is very tight, and they are even working with customers for 2026 capacity requirements, while N2 is on track to enter MP in 4Q25.
  • A16 will enter MP in 2H26, and it’s first process starts adopting backside power.

We See TSMC’s Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Significant revenue guidance hike — TSMC reported 2Q24 results, increasing 2024E revenue growth guidance to exceed ‘mid-20’s’ percent, a significant hike from previous guidance.
  • Management is low-balling LT margins — Latest figures and long-term margin color makes us believe that TSMC will be able to increase GM much higher than current official LT guidance.
  • Signs of Apple expecting strong iPhone 16 sales — TSMC reported strength in smartphone end-applications and we believe this is reflective of Apple ramping up re: stronger iPhone volume expectations.

MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q24 Might Grow Slightly QoQ, While AI PCs Could Be Delivered in 2H25.

By Patrick Liao

  • Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) is forecasted to experience slight growth in 3Q24 compared to 2Q24.  
  • Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) is expected to introduce AI PCs in 2024, while Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) scheduled for this product is anticipated to delivered in 2H25.  
  • The shipment forecast for the Dimensity 9400 is approximately 5 million sets in 2H24.

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the ‘Multiple Share Classes’ criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.
  • Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations’ inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.
  • American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.

Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author admires Brad Jacobs’ entrepreneurial success but questions high valuation of SilverSun Technologies
  • Conversion of SSNT into stake in QXO implies optimistic market capitalization of $46 billion
  • Author remains skeptical of QXO valuation despite Jacobs’ successful track record

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jul-2024): China’s auto exports, 2023.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • XPeng and Baidu leading China’s autonomous driving technology advancements in 2023
  • Malaysia’s semiconductor sector set for growth in 3Q24 with talent recruitment and AI integration
  • Singtel partners with SK Telecom for 6G and AI innovation, while automakers persist in V2X development efforts

Kinatico Ltd – FY24 NPAT up 225% and 60% ahead of RaaS forecasts

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published an update report on ‘Know Your People’ regtech company, Kinatico (ASX:KYP) following its Q4 FY24 result which confirmed the company delivered NPAT of $0.8m for FY24, up 225% on FY23 and 60% ahead of our forecast.
  • Q4 SaaS revenue jumped 40% on the pcp to $2.8m and was 12% ahead of Q3 and was ahead of our expectations.
  • Transactional revenue of $4.5m for the quarter was flat on Q3 and down 12% on the pcp.

Kinatico (ASX:KYP) Georg Chmiel Interview

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group recently interviewed Kinatico Non Executive Director Georg Chmiel on what attracted him to join the KYP board in September 2023.
  • We discussed the merits of platform businesses and his experiences with technology platform companies.
  • Mr Chmiel noted the merits of recurring revenues, including higher margins than one-time or transactional revenue, and lower costs as the platform becomes more scalable.

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