Category

Technical Analysis

Brief Technical Analysis: U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Tech Leading and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Tech Leading
  2. Resona Holding Faces Further Pressure After Corrective Bounce Terminates
  3. U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Cyclicals Leading; Opportunities in Tech Sector
  4. WTI 59.50 Top and Turn Target
  5. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector

1. U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Tech Leading

Untitled

The S&P 500 is working through 2,817 resistance and our technical work continues to support an overall positive outlook. As markets improve in Europe and in EM countries, U.S. markets in turn should get a tailwind of improved global equity market conditions.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology: Large- and Mid-Cap Semiconductors Large/Mid-Cap Semi Equip. (TE-04), Software, Enterprise Applications (TE-42), and Software, Design Solutions (TE-46). List of charts included: Intel Corp (INTC US) $TSM, Texas Instruments (TXN US), Analog Devices (ADI US)  Xilinx Inc (XLNX US)  Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)  Microchip Technology (MCHP US)  Skyworks Solutions (SWKS US)  Marvell Technology Group Ltd (MRVL US)  On Semiconductor (ON US)  Monolithic Power Systems, Inc (MPWR US)  ASML Holding NV (ASML NA) , Applied Materials (AMAT US)Lam Research (LRCX US)  Teradyne Inc (TER US)Mks Instruments (MKSI US)Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)Oracle Corp (ORCL US)Sap Se Sponsored Adr (SAP US)Now Inc (DNOW US)Workday Inc Class A (WDAY US) .

2. Resona Holding Faces Further Pressure After Corrective Bounce Terminates

Resona Holdings (8308 JP) key tactical resistance lies at 503.86, a level that if broken could spur a counter trend tactical bounce back to outlined trendline and physical resistance.

The daily cycle does show some underlying tactical support given the RSI has not confirmed recent lows. Any rally would be a counter trend move within the larger degree decline cycle. Buy volumes are not supportive in this rise (deteriorating) underscore the macro bear posture.

If the weekly cycle head and shoulders is true to course, Resona Holdings would face significant downside pressure looking ahead 2 quarters.

3. U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Cyclicals Leading; Opportunities in Tech Sector

Untitled

The market’s bounce off of the December, 2018 low was a swift “V” reversal. While we often see a retest of such events, our outlook since that time has repeatedly suggested that a retest may not occur. We continue to believe the market remains healthy with overall and leadership remaining centered in the cyclical Sectors, mainly Technology.  In this publication we provide an overview of our U.S. equity strategy, and examine attractive opportunities in each of our 12 Sectors, beginning with Technology – our favorite.

4. WTI 59.50 Top and Turn Target

Wti%20for%20sk

WTI’s bullish counter trend rally cycle from the touted low at 45 is maturing and we are hunting for a fresh high to turn from long to short WTI. A peak in oil would align with a softer economic cycle in the next quarter.

Price triangulation is touted as a tactical bullish breakout pattern that will induce a fresh high near targeted dual projection/retracement. This rise is viewed as a more exhaustive rally that will begin to run out of steam with risk of a fade near 58-59. This is a tradable upside move.

RSI dual tops have show high confidence in market peaks from early 2018 and a final push higher out of the triangle bull flag would get us back to the 70 top resistance to nail down a double top. It is this dual top and MACD resistance that worn of an intermediate peak for oil into strength.

Energy shares are underperform oil and a frequent cycle leader to an oil peak.

5. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector

Untitled

Technology is our favorite Sector within the U.S. equity landscape, and remains leadership – 73% of our Tech Groups are in the top 33% in terms of our Relative Strength Rankings (RSRs). Internally, semis and semi-suppliers continue to outperform and many names have pulled back to offer attractive entry points. In this report we highlight our favorite setups within the U.S. Technology Sector. 

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Technical Analysis: Resona Holding Faces Further Pressure After Corrective Bounce Terminates and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. Resona Holding Faces Further Pressure After Corrective Bounce Terminates
  2. U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Cyclicals Leading; Opportunities in Tech Sector
  3. WTI 59.50 Top and Turn Target
  4. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector
  5. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support

1. Resona Holding Faces Further Pressure After Corrective Bounce Terminates

Resona Holdings (8308 JP) key tactical resistance lies at 503.86, a level that if broken could spur a counter trend tactical bounce back to outlined trendline and physical resistance.

The daily cycle does show some underlying tactical support given the RSI has not confirmed recent lows. Any rally would be a counter trend move within the larger degree decline cycle. Buy volumes are not supportive in this rise (deteriorating) underscore the macro bear posture.

If the weekly cycle head and shoulders is true to course, Resona Holdings would face significant downside pressure looking ahead 2 quarters.

2. U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Cyclicals Leading; Opportunities in Tech Sector

Untitled

The market’s bounce off of the December, 2018 low was a swift “V” reversal. While we often see a retest of such events, our outlook since that time has repeatedly suggested that a retest may not occur. We continue to believe the market remains healthy with overall and leadership remaining centered in the cyclical Sectors, mainly Technology.  In this publication we provide an overview of our U.S. equity strategy, and examine attractive opportunities in each of our 12 Sectors, beginning with Technology – our favorite.

3. WTI 59.50 Top and Turn Target

Wti%20for%20sk

WTI’s bullish counter trend rally cycle from the touted low at 45 is maturing and we are hunting for a fresh high to turn from long to short WTI. A peak in oil would align with a softer economic cycle in the next quarter.

Price triangulation is touted as a tactical bullish breakout pattern that will induce a fresh high near targeted dual projection/retracement. This rise is viewed as a more exhaustive rally that will begin to run out of steam with risk of a fade near 58-59. This is a tradable upside move.

RSI dual tops have show high confidence in market peaks from early 2018 and a final push higher out of the triangle bull flag would get us back to the 70 top resistance to nail down a double top. It is this dual top and MACD resistance that worn of an intermediate peak for oil into strength.

Energy shares are underperform oil and a frequent cycle leader to an oil peak.

4. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector

Untitled

Technology is our favorite Sector within the U.S. equity landscape, and remains leadership – 73% of our Tech Groups are in the top 33% in terms of our Relative Strength Rankings (RSRs). Internally, semis and semi-suppliers continue to outperform and many names have pulled back to offer attractive entry points. In this report we highlight our favorite setups within the U.S. Technology Sector. 

5. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support

Lg%20corp%20for%20sk

LG Corp (003550 KS) is resting on critical daily cycle pivot support; if broken would see momentum spill over into the weekly cycle with a bias to re test base line support.

Daily RSI has already broken the wedge support equivalent in price and very often a good leading indicator. LGC is currently resting just above key pivot support, that once broken would induce a slide back to more attractive and a better risk to reward zone.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Technical Analysis: U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Cyclicals Leading; Opportunities in Tech Sector and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Cyclicals Leading; Opportunities in Tech Sector
  2. WTI 59.50 Top and Turn Target
  3. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector
  4. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support
  5. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still

1. U.S. Equity Strategy: Positive Outlook Intact; Cyclicals Leading; Opportunities in Tech Sector

Untitled

The market’s bounce off of the December, 2018 low was a swift “V” reversal. While we often see a retest of such events, our outlook since that time has repeatedly suggested that a retest may not occur. We continue to believe the market remains healthy with overall and leadership remaining centered in the cyclical Sectors, mainly Technology.  In this publication we provide an overview of our U.S. equity strategy, and examine attractive opportunities in each of our 12 Sectors, beginning with Technology – our favorite.

2. WTI 59.50 Top and Turn Target

Wti%20for%20sk

WTI’s bullish counter trend rally cycle from the touted low at 45 is maturing and we are hunting for a fresh high to turn from long to short WTI. A peak in oil would align with a softer economic cycle in the next quarter.

Price triangulation is touted as a tactical bullish breakout pattern that will induce a fresh high near targeted dual projection/retracement. This rise is viewed as a more exhaustive rally that will begin to run out of steam with risk of a fade near 58-59. This is a tradable upside move.

RSI dual tops have show high confidence in market peaks from early 2018 and a final push higher out of the triangle bull flag would get us back to the 70 top resistance to nail down a double top. It is this dual top and MACD resistance that worn of an intermediate peak for oil into strength.

Energy shares are underperform oil and a frequent cycle leader to an oil peak.

3. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector

Untitled

Technology is our favorite Sector within the U.S. equity landscape, and remains leadership – 73% of our Tech Groups are in the top 33% in terms of our Relative Strength Rankings (RSRs). Internally, semis and semi-suppliers continue to outperform and many names have pulled back to offer attractive entry points. In this report we highlight our favorite setups within the U.S. Technology Sector. 

4. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support

Lg%20corp%20for%20sk

LG Corp (003550 KS) is resting on critical daily cycle pivot support; if broken would see momentum spill over into the weekly cycle with a bias to re test base line support.

Daily RSI has already broken the wedge support equivalent in price and very often a good leading indicator. LGC is currently resting just above key pivot support, that once broken would induce a slide back to more attractive and a better risk to reward zone.

5. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still

Untitled

The S&P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the 200-day moving average. This level is roughly 2,817 on the S&P 500 and roughly 1,000 on the S&P 600 Small Cap index. Some consolidation or a mild pullback is possible in the near-term, which we believe would help alleviate current overbought readings and allow for a more orderly and meaningful move higher.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Services Sectors.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Technical Analysis: WTI 59.50 Top and Turn Target and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. WTI 59.50 Top and Turn Target
  2. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector
  3. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support
  4. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still
  5. S&P Directional Break Points

1. WTI 59.50 Top and Turn Target

Wti%20for%20sk

WTI’s bullish counter trend rally cycle from the touted low at 45 is maturing and we are hunting for a fresh high to turn from long to short WTI. A peak in oil would align with a softer economic cycle in the next quarter.

Price triangulation is touted as a tactical bullish breakout pattern that will induce a fresh high near targeted dual projection/retracement. This rise is viewed as a more exhaustive rally that will begin to run out of steam with risk of a fade near 58-59. This is a tradable upside move.

RSI dual tops have show high confidence in market peaks from early 2018 and a final push higher out of the triangle bull flag would get us back to the 70 top resistance to nail down a double top. It is this dual top and MACD resistance that worn of an intermediate peak for oil into strength.

Energy shares are underperform oil and a frequent cycle leader to an oil peak.

2. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector

Untitled

Technology is our favorite Sector within the U.S. equity landscape, and remains leadership – 73% of our Tech Groups are in the top 33% in terms of our Relative Strength Rankings (RSRs). Internally, semis and semi-suppliers continue to outperform and many names have pulled back to offer attractive entry points. In this report we highlight our favorite setups within the U.S. Technology Sector. 

3. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support

Lg%20corp%20for%20sk

LG Corp (003550 KS) is resting on critical daily cycle pivot support; if broken would see momentum spill over into the weekly cycle with a bias to re test base line support.

Daily RSI has already broken the wedge support equivalent in price and very often a good leading indicator. LGC is currently resting just above key pivot support, that once broken would induce a slide back to more attractive and a better risk to reward zone.

4. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still

Untitled

The S&P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the 200-day moving average. This level is roughly 2,817 on the S&P 500 and roughly 1,000 on the S&P 600 Small Cap index. Some consolidation or a mild pullback is possible in the near-term, which we believe would help alleviate current overbought readings and allow for a more orderly and meaningful move higher.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Services Sectors.

5. S&P Directional Break Points

S&P key outside day reversal sets the tone for a correction as the RSI is now breaking below trend support and a key downside trigger. This is the second reversal registered in the key 2,815-20 macro pivot zone.

Uptick resistance points below 2,820 are laid out as well as downsize pivot levels that once broken would induce a higher momentum decline.

Any break above SPX 2,820 would induce a short squeeze and we outlined a sector pair that would reward in such an event.

From now until the end of March it will be hard for bull momentum to remain intact given the bulk of good news is now priced in.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Technical Analysis: Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector
  2. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support
  3. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still
  4. S&P Directional Break Points
  5. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support

1. Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector

Untitled

Technology is our favorite Sector within the U.S. equity landscape, and remains leadership – 73% of our Tech Groups are in the top 33% in terms of our Relative Strength Rankings (RSRs). Internally, semis and semi-suppliers continue to outperform and many names have pulled back to offer attractive entry points. In this report we highlight our favorite setups within the U.S. Technology Sector. 

2. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support

Lg%20corp%20for%20sk

LG Corp (003550 KS) is resting on critical daily cycle pivot support; if broken would see momentum spill over into the weekly cycle with a bias to re test base line support.

Daily RSI has already broken the wedge support equivalent in price and very often a good leading indicator. LGC is currently resting just above key pivot support, that once broken would induce a slide back to more attractive and a better risk to reward zone.

3. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still

Untitled

The S&P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the 200-day moving average. This level is roughly 2,817 on the S&P 500 and roughly 1,000 on the S&P 600 Small Cap index. Some consolidation or a mild pullback is possible in the near-term, which we believe would help alleviate current overbought readings and allow for a more orderly and meaningful move higher.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Services Sectors.

4. S&P Directional Break Points

S&P key outside day reversal sets the tone for a correction as the RSI is now breaking below trend support and a key downside trigger. This is the second reversal registered in the key 2,815-20 macro pivot zone.

Uptick resistance points below 2,820 are laid out as well as downsize pivot levels that once broken would induce a higher momentum decline.

Any break above SPX 2,820 would induce a short squeeze and we outlined a sector pair that would reward in such an event.

From now until the end of March it will be hard for bull momentum to remain intact given the bulk of good news is now priced in.

5. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support

Bharti%20airtel%20for%20sk

Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) corrective cycle does not appear complete with risk of a final spike lower  below key pivot support. It is this crack lower that we want to take advantage of.

Sell volume spike implies the flat range will break lower. 

Daily cycle triangulation sides with a press below pivot support. An upside break of this triangle would trigger a tactical long but would lack needed gas for a sustainable drive.

Weekly MACD is seeking a bottoming/basing cycle that will turn the cycle higher once we see a final capitulation spike below pivot support as we did back in 2008, 2010 and 2012.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Technical Analysis: LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support
  2. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still
  3. S&P Directional Break Points
  4. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support
  5. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

1. LG Corp Daily Cycle Pivot and Re Test of Base Line Support

Lg%20corp%20for%20sk

LG Corp (003550 KS) is resting on critical daily cycle pivot support; if broken would see momentum spill over into the weekly cycle with a bias to re test base line support.

Daily RSI has already broken the wedge support equivalent in price and very often a good leading indicator. LGC is currently resting just above key pivot support, that once broken would induce a slide back to more attractive and a better risk to reward zone.

2. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still

Untitled

The S&P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the 200-day moving average. This level is roughly 2,817 on the S&P 500 and roughly 1,000 on the S&P 600 Small Cap index. Some consolidation or a mild pullback is possible in the near-term, which we believe would help alleviate current overbought readings and allow for a more orderly and meaningful move higher.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Services Sectors.

3. S&P Directional Break Points

S&P key outside day reversal sets the tone for a correction as the RSI is now breaking below trend support and a key downside trigger. This is the second reversal registered in the key 2,815-20 macro pivot zone.

Uptick resistance points below 2,820 are laid out as well as downsize pivot levels that once broken would induce a higher momentum decline.

Any break above SPX 2,820 would induce a short squeeze and we outlined a sector pair that would reward in such an event.

From now until the end of March it will be hard for bull momentum to remain intact given the bulk of good news is now priced in.

4. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support

Bharti%20airtel%20for%20sk

Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) corrective cycle does not appear complete with risk of a final spike lower  below key pivot support. It is this crack lower that we want to take advantage of.

Sell volume spike implies the flat range will break lower. 

Daily cycle triangulation sides with a press below pivot support. An upside break of this triangle would trigger a tactical long but would lack needed gas for a sustainable drive.

Weekly MACD is seeking a bottoming/basing cycle that will turn the cycle higher once we see a final capitulation spike below pivot support as we did back in 2008, 2010 and 2012.

5. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

Untitled

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective.  In today’s report we offer a technical appraisal of major EM markets, and offer a host of technically attractivec bottoms-up stock ideas across the EM universe.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Technical Analysis: S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still
  2. S&P Directional Break Points
  3. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support
  4. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging
  5. Global Bottoming Process Continues; Remain Overweight China

1. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still

Untitled

The S&P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the 200-day moving average. This level is roughly 2,817 on the S&P 500 and roughly 1,000 on the S&P 600 Small Cap index. Some consolidation or a mild pullback is possible in the near-term, which we believe would help alleviate current overbought readings and allow for a more orderly and meaningful move higher.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Services Sectors.

2. S&P Directional Break Points

S&P key outside day reversal sets the tone for a correction as the RSI is now breaking below trend support and a key downside trigger. This is the second reversal registered in the key 2,815-20 macro pivot zone.

Uptick resistance points below 2,820 are laid out as well as downsize pivot levels that once broken would induce a higher momentum decline.

Any break above SPX 2,820 would induce a short squeeze and we outlined a sector pair that would reward in such an event.

From now until the end of March it will be hard for bull momentum to remain intact given the bulk of good news is now priced in.

3. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support

Bharti%20airtel%20for%20sk

Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) corrective cycle does not appear complete with risk of a final spike lower  below key pivot support. It is this crack lower that we want to take advantage of.

Sell volume spike implies the flat range will break lower. 

Daily cycle triangulation sides with a press below pivot support. An upside break of this triangle would trigger a tactical long but would lack needed gas for a sustainable drive.

Weekly MACD is seeking a bottoming/basing cycle that will turn the cycle higher once we see a final capitulation spike below pivot support as we did back in 2008, 2010 and 2012.

4. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

Untitled

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective.  In today’s report we offer a technical appraisal of major EM markets, and offer a host of technically attractivec bottoms-up stock ideas across the EM universe.

5. Global Bottoming Process Continues; Remain Overweight China

Untitled

The MSCI ACWI and ACWI ex-US have managed to break above their respective 200-day moving averages, and are now bumping up against overhead resistance.  Supportive of a bottoming global market, cyclical Sectors are emerging as leadership. We examine the technical state of major developed and EM markets and highlight in today’s report and highlight attractive and actionable stocks within the Materials, Manufacturing, and Technology sectors.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Technical Analysis: S&P Directional Break Points and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. S&P Directional Break Points
  2. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support
  3. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging
  4. Global Bottoming Process Continues; Remain Overweight China
  5. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance

1. S&P Directional Break Points

S&P key outside day reversal sets the tone for a correction as the RSI is now breaking below trend support and a key downside trigger. This is the second reversal registered in the key 2,815-20 macro pivot zone.

Uptick resistance points below 2,820 are laid out as well as downsize pivot levels that once broken would induce a higher momentum decline.

Any break above SPX 2,820 would induce a short squeeze and we outlined a sector pair that would reward in such an event.

From now until the end of March it will be hard for bull momentum to remain intact given the bulk of good news is now priced in.

2. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support

Bharti%20airtel%20for%20sk

Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) corrective cycle does not appear complete with risk of a final spike lower  below key pivot support. It is this crack lower that we want to take advantage of.

Sell volume spike implies the flat range will break lower. 

Daily cycle triangulation sides with a press below pivot support. An upside break of this triangle would trigger a tactical long but would lack needed gas for a sustainable drive.

Weekly MACD is seeking a bottoming/basing cycle that will turn the cycle higher once we see a final capitulation spike below pivot support as we did back in 2008, 2010 and 2012.

3. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

Untitled

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective.  In today’s report we offer a technical appraisal of major EM markets, and offer a host of technically attractivec bottoms-up stock ideas across the EM universe.

4. Global Bottoming Process Continues; Remain Overweight China

Untitled

The MSCI ACWI and ACWI ex-US have managed to break above their respective 200-day moving averages, and are now bumping up against overhead resistance.  Supportive of a bottoming global market, cyclical Sectors are emerging as leadership. We examine the technical state of major developed and EM markets and highlight in today’s report and highlight attractive and actionable stocks within the Materials, Manufacturing, and Technology sectors.

5. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance

Untitled

We believe the market is at short-term overbought extremes and is contending with resistance. Resistance levels we are monitoring include 2,810-2,817 on the S&P 500 and the 200-day moving average on the S&P 600 Small Cap index… see charts below. We would welcome some consolidation or a mild pullback which would be a healthy correction of the current extended market conditions.

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Manufacturing and Technology: Construction Equipment, Industrial Rental Equipment, Data Storage Solutions & Devices, Small-Cap, and Software, Financial Mgmt. Solutions.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Technical Analysis: Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support
  2. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging
  3. Global Bottoming Process Continues; Remain Overweight China
  4. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance
  5. LG Electronics Resistance Rejection

1. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support

Bharti%20airtel%20for%20sk

Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) corrective cycle does not appear complete with risk of a final spike lower  below key pivot support. It is this crack lower that we want to take advantage of.

Sell volume spike implies the flat range will break lower. 

Daily cycle triangulation sides with a press below pivot support. An upside break of this triangle would trigger a tactical long but would lack needed gas for a sustainable drive.

Weekly MACD is seeking a bottoming/basing cycle that will turn the cycle higher once we see a final capitulation spike below pivot support as we did back in 2008, 2010 and 2012.

2. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

Untitled

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective.  In today’s report we offer a technical appraisal of major EM markets, and offer a host of technically attractivec bottoms-up stock ideas across the EM universe.

3. Global Bottoming Process Continues; Remain Overweight China

Untitled

The MSCI ACWI and ACWI ex-US have managed to break above their respective 200-day moving averages, and are now bumping up against overhead resistance.  Supportive of a bottoming global market, cyclical Sectors are emerging as leadership. We examine the technical state of major developed and EM markets and highlight in today’s report and highlight attractive and actionable stocks within the Materials, Manufacturing, and Technology sectors.

4. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance

Untitled

We believe the market is at short-term overbought extremes and is contending with resistance. Resistance levels we are monitoring include 2,810-2,817 on the S&P 500 and the 200-day moving average on the S&P 600 Small Cap index… see charts below. We would welcome some consolidation or a mild pullback which would be a healthy correction of the current extended market conditions.

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Manufacturing and Technology: Construction Equipment, Industrial Rental Equipment, Data Storage Solutions & Devices, Small-Cap, and Software, Financial Mgmt. Solutions.

5. LG Electronics Resistance Rejection

Lg%20elect%20for%20sk

Lg Electronics (066570 KS) is seeing a rejection from 74.5k resistance that acts as an important intermediate if not macro inflection level. Weakness below 74k implies a test on lower pattern support.

Daily MACD rising wedge accompanied by a flat or triangle corrective range, typically is a bear set-up for a break lower. Making the 74k level pivotal and a short level with a stop above 75k. Very often indicators gyrating higher to relieve oversold conditions with a  failure for price to make headway labels the sideways range as corrective in a stair case sequence.

Shorts need to focus on the 75k pivot as the stop and risk level. Longer term investors will need to remeasure lower entry points barring a break above pivot resistance which would initiate upside bull targets.

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Brief Technical Analysis: EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging and more

By | Technical Analysis

In this briefing:

  1. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging
  2. Global Bottoming Process Continues; Remain Overweight China
  3. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance
  4. LG Electronics Resistance Rejection
  5. Gold Topside Pivot Barrier Short Set Up

1. EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

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Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective.  In today’s report we offer a technical appraisal of major EM markets, and offer a host of technically attractivec bottoms-up stock ideas across the EM universe.

2. Global Bottoming Process Continues; Remain Overweight China

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The MSCI ACWI and ACWI ex-US have managed to break above their respective 200-day moving averages, and are now bumping up against overhead resistance.  Supportive of a bottoming global market, cyclical Sectors are emerging as leadership. We examine the technical state of major developed and EM markets and highlight in today’s report and highlight attractive and actionable stocks within the Materials, Manufacturing, and Technology sectors.

3. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance

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We believe the market is at short-term overbought extremes and is contending with resistance. Resistance levels we are monitoring include 2,810-2,817 on the S&P 500 and the 200-day moving average on the S&P 600 Small Cap index… see charts below. We would welcome some consolidation or a mild pullback which would be a healthy correction of the current extended market conditions.

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Manufacturing and Technology: Construction Equipment, Industrial Rental Equipment, Data Storage Solutions & Devices, Small-Cap, and Software, Financial Mgmt. Solutions.

4. LG Electronics Resistance Rejection

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Lg Electronics (066570 KS) is seeing a rejection from 74.5k resistance that acts as an important intermediate if not macro inflection level. Weakness below 74k implies a test on lower pattern support.

Daily MACD rising wedge accompanied by a flat or triangle corrective range, typically is a bear set-up for a break lower. Making the 74k level pivotal and a short level with a stop above 75k. Very often indicators gyrating higher to relieve oversold conditions with a  failure for price to make headway labels the sideways range as corrective in a stair case sequence.

Shorts need to focus on the 75k pivot as the stop and risk level. Longer term investors will need to remeasure lower entry points barring a break above pivot resistance which would initiate upside bull targets.

5. Gold Topside Pivot Barrier Short Set Up

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Our bullish gold view from 1,200 just kissed the formidable topside resistance near 1,350 with increasing signs of the current up leg exhausting.

The standout chart feature stems from the most recent highs have not been confirmed by the daily RSI and MACD for a case of bear divergence amid a rising wedge. This divergence along with the physical barrier at 1,350-60 sets up a compelling short trade.

Well defined MACD triangulation denotes clean breakout points. RSI will give us good lead signals on a break below trend/pattern support.

A peak in gold may tie in with a firming USD bias and exhaustive moves in base metals.

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Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.