Singapore

• Ever wondered what is currently driving the local and regional markets? Pranay Yadav is a Senior Research Analyst at Mint Finance, a Singapore based research and consulting firm offering nuanced and deep insights on global macro and its impact on Singapore stocks, REITs, and ETFs.
• From Pranay Yadav, Senior Research Analyst, Mint Finance: Among Singapore REITs with exposure to data centre properties, only Digital Core REIT (DCRU) and Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) have models focused entirely on data centres.

• The STI rallied 5.0% in the first half of July, with the broader Singapore stock market booking over S$400 million in net institutional inflow.
• Among the STI constituents, DBS led the net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, with inflow of S$118 million, reversing S$28 million of net institutional outflow in 1H24.
• For the contingent of STI constituents that ranked among the 30 stocks with highest net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, DBS Group Holdings booked the highest net institutional inflow of S$118 million.

• Centurion CEO Kong Chee Min adds to interest at S$0.59 per share CapitaLand Investment led the buyback consideration tally, acquiring 8,312,600 shares at an average price of S$2.64 per share.
• On Jul 4, Centurion Corp CEO Kong Chee Min acquired 115,000 shares, at an average price of S$0.59 cents per share.

• This is the final installment in our series on the APAC Luxury Industry, where we highlighted that luxury travel might offer more appealing opportunities than traditional luxury goods.
• While travel has surpassed pre-pandemic levels, traditional luxury goods have shown very low demand in recent months.
• Below, we analyze recent trends in luxury travel for Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP), Minor International (MINT TB), and Shiseido Company (4911 JP).

• Demand boosts hospitality S-Reits’ hotel RevPAR Among the seven S-Reit sub-sectors, hospitality S-Reits are the fourth largest in terms of combined market capitalisation.
• The five, in terms of market capitalisation, are: CapitaLand Ascott Trust, Far East Hospitality Trust, CDL Hospitality Trusts, Frasers Hospitality Trust, and ARA US Hospitality Trust.

• Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) majority-owned SABECO, a leading beer company in Vietnam, may face volume declines if the proposed beer tax hike is implemented.
• The tougher market outlook makes the earlier proposed BeerCo listing unlikely anytime soon.  
• With no meaningful stock catalyst, weak sector outlook and a stretched balance sheet, the stock could slip down after index inclusion related passive stock buying ends.

• Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP) is Asia’s largest confectioner, with circa 50% market share of chocolate in its largest market Indonesia, despite competition from global confectionary players over many years. 
• The company produces products that are engrained in local tastes but it also produces products in different categories that compete directly with foreign competitors with a local twist. 
• The negative headwinds from higher cocoa prices have started to stabilise and Delfi has deployed various strategies to offset the impact on packaging and ingredients. 

• Founder/CEO Mohamed Salleh Maricar (MSM) and his family have made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 14.94% in gold/jewellery retailer Second Chance Properties (SCE SP) (“SCP”) not held.
• The S$0.30/share cash Offer is a 39.5% premium to last close. The Offer price is final.
• The Offer is unconditional in all respects. This will trade tight. A delisting Offer is next on the cards.

• Second Chance Properties (SCE SP) has disclosed a voluntary unconditional offer from Mohamed Salleh’s family at S$0.30 per share, a 39.5% premium to the undisturbed price (10 July).
• The offer document will be despatched by 31 July. The offeree circular will be despatched by 7 August at the earliest, implying the earliest close of 28 August.
• The offer price has been declared final and is attractive as it represents an all-time high. The offeror will likely achieve the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold.

• Singapore’s manufacturing sector saw a reduced contraction of 0.7% in the first five months of 2024, improving from a 4.3% contraction the previous year.
• The iEdge SG Adv Manufacturing Index has also booked more than S$90 million of net institutional inflow in 2024 (up to 8 July) led by net inflows to YZJ Shipbldg, ST Engineering, Venture, SATS and ThaiBev, while Beng Kuang Marine, Dyna-Mac, Frencken, Global Invacom and Marco Polo Marine saw highest net inflow relative to market cap.
• Leading the net institutional inflow for the 2024 year (up to 8 July) within the iEdge SG Advanced Manufacturing Index, were five STI stocks Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Singapore Technologies Engineering, Venture Corporation, SATS and Thai Beverage: https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=BS6 maintains an ROE of 21% and P/B of 4x, compared its 5-year average P/B of 0.9x.

• OMH expects 1H24 revenue increased >110% y/y.
• OMH views its technology & data as competitive advantages & cites recently launched HomerAI & Property Mgmt.
• unit as key factors behind expected growth.

• In 1H24, nearly half the stocks that saw their average daily turnover (ADT) more than triple CY23 levels represented the Industrials and Consumer Cyclical Sectors.
• Soilbuild Construction has seen its ADT grow 10-fold in 1H24, from CY23 levels, while the stock generated a 210% price gain.
• The 20 stocks with both the highest 1H24 ADT and 1H24 ADT that at least tripled CY23 levels, are tabled below.

• Shares of integrated private healthcare provider Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP) are currently languishing around a three low. RMG does look attractive compared to regional healthcare plays. 
• FY23 numbers did no favours – top/bottom line y-o-y contraction of 14.1% and 37.1% respectively.  Yet its emerging China ops show promise. 
• Of interest is Loo Choon Yong, RMG’s founder and major shareholder, who continues adding to his stake, and now holds 54.944%, up from 53.033% at the beginning of the year.

• The rally in Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP) over the last month should result in the stock being added to global passive portfolios late next month.
• Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP) trades cheaper than peers on forward PE but there has been a big rally in the stock over the last month.
• There has been an increase in cumulative excess volume since mid-May and there will be positioning for the event, but there could be further gains in the stock.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• China Vanke
• Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

• The STI generated a 2.9% gain to 3,332.8, with dividends boosting the total return to 5.7% in 1H24.
• The trio of STI Banks, YZJ Shipbuilding & Singtel led the STI gains in 1H24.
• The net institutional flow (NIF) of the stock Sectors in 1H24 are illustrated below, with the Energy Sector seeing S$29 million of net institutional inflow, representing 1.0% of the combined S$2.9 billion Sector market capitalisation as of 30 June, to the S-REIT Sector net institutional outflow representing 1.2% of its Sector market capitalisation as of 30 June.