Category

Singapore

Singapore: Smartkarma and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Result Update:Dalmia Bharat

Result Update:Dalmia Bharat

By Axis Direct

  • We roll over our estimate to FY24E and value the company at 11x FY24E EV/EBITDA, to arrive at a target price of Rs1945/share. This implies an upside of 9% from the CMP and hence we change our rating from BUY to HOLD.
  • Dalmia Bharat Limited (DBL) reported flat revenue for Q3fY22 (based on restated financials) YoY. The company registered a volume of 5.7 million tonnes per annum (mntpa) against 5.8 mntpa YoY, implying a volume de-growth of 2%, primarily owing to subdued demand.
  • Its EBITDA degrew by 40% on account of higher power/fuel cost and lower realization. Power/fuel cost on a per tonne basis was up 36% while realization contracted by 3%YoY. APAT declined by 48% owing to lower realization and higher costs.
  • Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Singapore: Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust, AIMS APAC REIT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • (Mostly) Asia M&A: January 2022 Roundup
  • AIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP) – On a Solid Organic Growth Path

(Mostly) Asia M&A: January 2022 Roundup

By David Blennerhassett

  • For the month of January, 6 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.
  • The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in January was ~18%.
  • This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.

AIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP) – On a Solid Organic Growth Path

By SCCM Asia Research

  • Solid set of results-  3Q22 revenue grew by 14.5% YoY to S$36.8m and 3Q22 NPI jumped 14.8% YoY to S$27.1m.
  • Rising occupancy rate and +ve rent reversions-  6.1% of portfolio NLA had secured new leases and renewal leases with overall rent reversion at +0.2% in 3Q22 (+2.1% in 2Q22) and higher occupancy rate at 97.6% in 3Q22 (2Q22: 97.3%).
  • Lower share of fixed-rate debts- The share of fixed-rate debts has declined to 57% and ~90% of total debts will mature during FY24-27E.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Singapore: Wilmar International and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: Wilmar Gains Ahead Of Adani Wilmar IPO

StubWorld: Wilmar Gains Ahead Of Adani Wilmar IPO

By David Blennerhassett

  • Wilmar International (WIL SP) is coming up “expensive” on my stub monitor, yet still trades at a material 65% discount to NAV. 
  • Preceding my comments on Wilmar are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold of at least 20%.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Singapore: ARA LOGOS and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • ARA Logos (ALLT SP): ESR Bumps. Scheme Meeting Delayed

ARA Logos (ALLT SP): ESR Bumps. Scheme Meeting Delayed

By David Blennerhassett

  • With a little under a week to the Scheme Meeting, ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) revised terms to S$0.097 cash plus 1.7729 new EREIT Units for each ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP) unit.
  • The revised terms provide an indicative Offer price of S$0.933, a 5.3% increase over the original Scheme consideration. 
  • The Scheme Meeting for ARA Logos  – and ESR’s EGM – have been deferred. No definite timetable was provided for its rescheduling although late February is probably a reasonable estimate. 

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Singapore: ARA LOGOS, Jardine Matheson Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • ESR-REIT’s Improved Offer for ARA LOGOS: Two Cents More
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP, Jardine Matheson, Cathay Pacific, HK&S Hotels, Large CCASS Moves

ESR-REIT’s Improved Offer for ARA LOGOS: Two Cents More

By Brian Freitas

  • ESR-REIT has announced a bump in the scheme consideration for ARA LOGOS unitholders. Cash increases from S$0.095 to S$0.097 per unit, plus 1.7729 ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) units (from 1.6765 earlier).
  • This follows Glass Lewis and ISS recommending that ARA LOGOS unitholders vote against the Scheme. Plus there is a conflict of interest following ESR Cayman‘s acquisition of ARA Asset Management.
  • While the situation is far from a great outcome for ARA LOGOS unitholders, it is better than the earlier proposal and could pass muster this time around.

Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP, Jardine Matheson, Cathay Pacific, HK&S Hotels, Large CCASS Moves

By David Blennerhassett


Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Singapore: Rex International Holding, Roxy Pacific Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Preview Rex International FY21 Results: Prime Beneficiary Of Rising Oil Price
  • Roxy-Pacific (ROXY SP): Circular Out. IFA Says Not Fair But Reasonable

Preview Rex International FY21 Results: Prime Beneficiary Of Rising Oil Price

By Nicolas Van Broekhoven

  • Rex International Holding (REXI SP) will report results around 25/2/2022; we expect a major 2H21 performance inflection as the Norwegian Brage field cash flow is included from 01/01/2021.
  • According to a press release on 13/1/22 the company is actively applying to uplist from Catalist to the mainboard. We see no reason why SGX should not grant this application.
  • Rex’s Oman production has disappointed in 4Q21 but cash flow-wise shortfall should be made up by higher oil prices and Brage. Maiden dividend announcement should be forthcoming.

Roxy-Pacific (ROXY SP): Circular Out. IFA Says Not Fair But Reasonable

By David Blennerhassett

  • An Offeror consortium, led by Teo Hong Lim, founder of Roxy Pacific (ROXY SP), is offering S$0.485/share, a 19.8% premium to last close. The Offer Price will NOT be increased. 
  • The Circular was dispatched yesterday (the Offer Doc was issued on the 5 January), in which the IFA considered the terms not fair but reasonable). 
  • Trading to terms. The first close is the 3 February. 

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Singapore: DBS, EC World Reit and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • DBS Group Holdings – And Baby Makes Three
  • EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP) – Navigating Its Impending $700m Debt Wall

DBS Group Holdings – And Baby Makes Three

By Thomas J. Monaco

  • Another Troubled Bank Deal In Asia Adds Another Managerial Distraction;  
  • DBS Agreed to Acquire Citigroup’s Taiwan Consumer Franchise for SGD 2.9 bn After Three Taiwan Banks Couldn’t Make This Deal Work; and
  • In Addition, DBS’ Fundamentals Continue to Weaken, With Lower Fees, Compressed Margins, and Modestly Weaker Credit.

EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP) – Navigating Its Impending $700m Debt Wall

By Jason Yap, CFA

  • EC World Reit faces a debt wall of SGD700m+ maturing debts in 2022 
  • EC World REIT is unlikely able to depend on cashflow from operations and existing cash balances to repay maturing debts. Instead, they need to complete a major refinancing
  • We draw from the lessons of EC World Reit’s previous major refinancing exercise in 2019 and highlight key metrics to track closely

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Singapore: Sabana Industrial REIT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • One Year After Failed Merger, A Pyrrhic Victory for Sabana’s Unitholders?

One Year After Failed Merger, A Pyrrhic Victory for Sabana’s Unitholders?

By Jason Yap, CFA

  • In December 2020, Sabana’s unitholders voted down a proposed merger with ESR-REIT
  • While Sabana’s unitholders were ostensibly holding out for more favourable transaction terms, this was not forthcoming and transaction ultimately fell through
  • In this Insight, we look into Sabana a year on and discuss whether its unitholders have been left to rue the failed transaction and this was but a pyrrhic victory

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Singapore: Olam International and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • STI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): Olam Could Replace ComfortDelGro

STI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): Olam Could Replace ComfortDelGro

By Brian Freitas


Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Singapore: Mapletree Commercial Trust, ESR-REIT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Mapletree Merger, China Mobile, LG Chem, China Logistics
  • Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: ARA LOGOS, Katakura Industries, China Logistics, Yorkey Optical

Last Week in Event SPACE: Mapletree Merger, China Mobile, LG Chem, China Logistics

By David Blennerhassett


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: ARA LOGOS, Katakura Industries, China Logistics, Yorkey Optical

By David Blennerhassett


Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma