Singapore

• AEM had a bizarre announcement on Sunday evening the 14th of January 2024: inventory was “lost” on the way to Penang from its Singapore factory.
• Given AEM’s stellar corporate governance reputation up until now, this raises more than a few eyebrows: how is this even possible? 
• 4Q23 results, due in a month, will feature a large restatement of FY23 results and lead to a major earnings loss. Any recovery is delayed into FY25.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Yanlord Land

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

• The WTO has forecasted a rise in global trade volume in 2024, especially for business cycle related goods.
• In Singapore, the 10 most traded stocks of the Sector have averaged 5.8% gains while booking S$25 million of combined net institutional inflow.
• Among Singapore’s 10 most traded Transportation stocks, the three strongest performing stocks over the past fortnight included COSCO Shipping Singapore, Chasen and Samudera Shipping, averaging 16.6% gains, with all three notching up higher trading turnover levels compared to 2023 levels.

• REIT Watch – Logistics real estate remains top segment despite slowdown in S-Reit acquisitions Global real estate investment trusts (Reits) faced challenges in 2023 led by the impact of higher interest rates.
• In 2023, 11 S-Reits announced asset acquisitions valued at more than S$6 billion and exceeding S$3 billion in total purchase consideration.

• Accrelist chairman Terence Tea increases stake in firm CapitaLand Investment led the consideration tally, buying back 1,072,100 shares at an average price of S$3.00 per share on Jan 10.
• Between Jan 4 and 9, Accrelist executive chairman and managing director Terence Tea acquired 2,365,900 shares at S$0.039 per share.

• Parent Genting  Berhad Malaysia flagship properties doing well but many  of its global holdings spur questions about asset allocation strategy.
• Genting Singapore, its integrated resort property Sentosa presents a strong buy story not only because it is  undervalued here but because its prospects post covid  are strong.
• GB’s US footprint by  contrast poses questions  about the  hurdle rate of those huge investments to date given the intense competitive pressures in  mature gaming  markets.

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

1. Sunny Optical Technology Group
2. Yuexiu Property
3. Vedanta Resources
4. Tata Motors Ltd
5. Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone

and more…

XP Power closed FY23 with higher-than-expected revenue, benefiting from the delay to relocation of its California facility, which pulled shipments worth c £5m into Q423 and pushed c £12m capex into Q124. Q423 order intake was higher than we forecast, with upside from semiconductor equipment customers partially offset by weaker demand from healthcare and industrial customers. Timing issues and currency resulted in lower-than-expected gearing at end-FY23, although it is expected to rise in H124 before reducing again in H224. Management expects market conditions to improve through 2024, with results weighted to H2. We maintain our forecasts pending FY23 results in March.

• Wilmar International (WIL SP)‘s current implied stub and simple ratio (Wilmar/Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings C (300999 CH)) are both at all-time highs. 
• Preceding my comments on Wilmar are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
• These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

• The share price has increased by around 20% since mid-last year.
• A new revenue stream from the booking fee through the Zig app and calls that, albeit small, it was never possible to share upside with cabbies before. 
• Extension from 15 days to 30 days visa-free for Chinese tourists to come to Singapore on early 2024. 

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• China Jinmao Holdings
• Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust
• Yanlord Land

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Indika Energy
• Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust
• SK Hynix
• Vedanta Resources