Category

Quantitative Analysis

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 5th): BHP and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 5th): BHP, Treasury Wine, Northern Star Re, Flight Centre, Macquarie
  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 12th): Tencent, Meituan, CK Asset


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 5th): BHP, Treasury Wine, Northern Star Re, Flight Centre, Macquarie

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 5th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.1bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Treasury Wine, Northern Star Re, Flight Centre, Macquarie, Woodside Energy, Netwealth.

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 12th): Tencent, Meituan, CK Asset

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 12th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 5th): Eo Technics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 5th): Eo Technics


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 5th): Eo Technics

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Apr 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.9bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We estimate the week on week changes of short interest to be -6.9% and highlight short interest changes in Eo Technics.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong: Q1 Short Interest Recap and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong: Q1 Short Interest Recap


Hong Kong: Q1 Short Interest Recap

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 5th): TSMC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 5th): TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On
  • Northbound Flows (Apr 3rd): CATL, Moutai
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron
  • A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 5th): 21 Stocks at 1Y High
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 3rd): Tencent, Bank Of China, Xiaomi


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 5th): TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,983.2bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD232mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On Tech, Alchip Tech, Hon Hai, Asia Vital, Quanta Computer.

Northbound Flows (Apr 3rd): CATL, Moutai

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.
  • We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$448.8 million, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, consumer staples, and offset by industrials, utilities, communication services.
  • We highlight flows for CATL, Moutai. Note that the connect was closed for three days last week due to exchange holidays.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD76.9bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron Tech, Hon Hai, Global Unichip, Asia Vital.

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 5th): 21 Stocks at 1Y High

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 132.9% as of Apr 5th.
  • The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, real estate.
  • We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Fosun Pharma, Air China, Joinn Lab.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 3rd): Tencent, Bank Of China, Xiaomi

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight flows for Tencent Holdings, Bank Of China, Xiaomi.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2024
  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 5th): Tencent, CK Asset, Xiaomi


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2024

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • During 1Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +8.7%y/y, down slightly from the +10.1% reported during 4Q2023.
  • Only 47% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and only 44% delivered positive Sales surprises, a sharp correction from the positive trend witnessed during 2023.
  • Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 5th): Tencent, CK Asset, Xiaomi

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 5th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Northbound Flows (Mar): $3.7bn of Inflows and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Northbound Flows (Mar): $3.7bn of Inflows
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar): 12 Month High of $9.8bn Inflows
  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Brambles, Bellevue Gold, Domino’s Pizza


Northbound Flows (Mar): $3.7bn of Inflows

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
  • Industrials, Consumer Staples, Financials led the inflows while Health Care led the outflows.
  • We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Zijin Mining, Will Semi, Wuxi Apptec, Foxconn, Mindray.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar): 12 Month High of $9.8bn Inflows

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
  • We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
  • We highlight inflows for Bank of China, Tencent, China Mobile, CNOOC, ZTO, Anta.

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Brambles, Bellevue Gold, Domino’s Pizza

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 29th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.6bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Brambles, Bellevue Gold, Domino’s Pizza.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Posco and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Posco


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Posco

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.4bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We estimate short interest decreased by 2.5% WoW and highlight short interest changes in Posco.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Screening for GEMs: April 2024 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Screening for GEMs: April 2024


Screening for GEMs: April 2024

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
  • The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
  • Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Australia Short Interest (Q1 2024): A Recap and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Australia Short Interest (Q1 2024): A Recap
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 29th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Lg Display, Ecopro, Hanmi
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 28th): Tencent, Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC
  • A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 29th): Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Tigermed, Cansino Biologics
  • Northbound Flows (Mar 28th): Wuliangye, CMB
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 29th): Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek Semi, Lite-On


Australia Short Interest (Q1 2024): A Recap

By Brian Freitas


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD76.9bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron Tech, Hon Hai, Global Unichip, Asia Vital.

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 29th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Lg Display, Ecopro, Hanmi

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD550.4bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,332mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Lg Display, Ecopro, Hanmi Semicon.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 28th): Tencent, Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight flows for Tencent, Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC.

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 29th): Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Tigermed, Cansino Biologics

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 127.6% as of Mar 29th.
  • The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, materials and offset by real estate, information technology, health care.
  • We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Tigermed, Cansino Biologics.

Northbound Flows (Mar 28th): Wuliangye, CMB

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.
  • We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$835.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, information technology sectors, and offset by health care, communication services, materials.
  • We highlight flows for stocks including Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 29th): Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek Semi, Lite-On

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,994.1bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,801mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek Semi, Lite-On Tech, Mediatek, Umc, Chicony Elec, Inventec.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 29th): Tencent and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 29th): Tencent, Aia, CK Asset
  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 22nd): Rio Tinto, Webjet, Xero, CSL, Westpac, Macquarie


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 29th): Tencent, Aia, CK Asset

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 29th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Dongyue (189 HK), AIA (1299 HK).

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 22nd): Rio Tinto, Webjet, Xero, CSL, Westpac, Macquarie

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 22nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.6bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Rio Tinto, Webjet, Xero, CSL, Westpac, Macquarie, Flight Centre.

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