Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Utilities: JSW Energy Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

By Brian Freitas

  • With 3 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 18% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 55bn (US$660m). 9 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
  • All the deletes are F&O members while most adds are not. NSE Indices may have to revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, Lonking Holdings, Sanil Electric, United Parcel Service Cl B, Lockheed Martin, Paccar Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement
  • Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability
  • Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year
  • United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers
  • Lockheed Martin Corporation: Can Its Expansion of Missile and Fire Control (MFC) Capabilities Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • PACCAR Inc.: How Has Its Market Share and Pricing Strategy Evolved? – Major Drivers


ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement

By Travis Lundy

  • Several weeks ago, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) launched its long-delayed Tender Offer for Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) with no bump despite the time value of money. 
  • It said the price reflected Tatsuta’s value sufficiently. A week ago on the 19th, ENEOS extended the Tender Offer, likely because they didn’t have the shares. Price was still “sufficient.”
  • I suggested it might not be; I didn’t expect a big bump, but caveated earnings. Friday produced great Q1 earnings, and a bump from ¥720/share to ¥780/share. 

Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)‘s positive profit alert for 33-50% YoY increase in 1H24 earnings suggests that market consensus of just 10% full-year growth is way too conservative.  
  • Industry sales momentum for excavators and wheel loaders has accelerated in the last three months. A low base in 2H24 will mean an even stronger recovery.
  • Government supportive measures for equipment renewal and faster special purpose bond issuance will fuel demand too. We estimate net cash equals 90% of the share price. 

Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year

By Ethan Aw

  • Sanil Electric (062040 KS) raised around US$193m in its Korea IPO, after pricing the deal above the top end of the range at KRW35,000/share.
  • Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
  • In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.

United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) returned to volume growth in the U.S. market in the second quarter of 2024, marking a significant shift following nine quarters of decline.
  • This achievement was largely a result of the company’s strategic efforts, including its emphasis on small and medium sized business (SMB) sectors and strategic acquisitions like Estafeta, which bolstered its position in Mexico.
  • This move is expected to enhance UPS’s logistics orchestration capabilities, particularly as regional manufacturing shifts closer to the United States.

Lockheed Martin Corporation: Can Its Expansion of Missile and Fire Control (MFC) Capabilities Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lockheed Martin’s performance in the second quarter of 2024 showcases a confident trajectory marked by significant operational and financial strides.
  • The company reported a robust backlog valued at approximately $160 billion, more than twice its annual revenue, indicating sustained demand and potential future earnings stability.
  • Revenue growth saw a 9% year-over-year increase across all four business segments, driven by enhanced operational performances and an improving supply chain.

PACCAR Inc.: How Has Its Market Share and Pricing Strategy Evolved? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PACCAR Inc. reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, demonstrating strong performance across its various segments, despite mixed market conditions.
  • The company recorded revenues of $8.8 billion and net income of $1.12 billion, driven by commendable performance in both truck and parts operations worldwide.
  • PACCAR Parts notable revenue increase to $1.7 billion and pretax profits of $414 million highlight its resilience and operational efficiency, achieving a 30.3% gross margin.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, Lonking Holdings, Sanil Electric, United Parcel Service Cl B, Lockheed Martin, Paccar Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement
  • Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability
  • Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year
  • United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers
  • Lockheed Martin Corporation: Can Its Expansion of Missile and Fire Control (MFC) Capabilities Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • PACCAR Inc.: How Has Its Market Share and Pricing Strategy Evolved? – Major Drivers


ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement

By Travis Lundy

  • Several weeks ago, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) launched its long-delayed Tender Offer for Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) with no bump despite the time value of money. 
  • It said the price reflected Tatsuta’s value sufficiently. A week ago on the 19th, ENEOS extended the Tender Offer, likely because they didn’t have the shares. Price was still “sufficient.”
  • I suggested it might not be; I didn’t expect a big bump, but caveated earnings. Friday produced great Q1 earnings, and a bump from ¥720/share to ¥780/share. 

Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)‘s positive profit alert for 33-50% YoY increase in 1H24 earnings suggests that market consensus of just 10% full-year growth is way too conservative.  
  • Industry sales momentum for excavators and wheel loaders has accelerated in the last three months. A low base in 2H24 will mean an even stronger recovery.
  • Government supportive measures for equipment renewal and faster special purpose bond issuance will fuel demand too. We estimate net cash equals 90% of the share price. 

Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year

By Ethan Aw

  • Sanil Electric (062040 KS) raised around US$193m in its Korea IPO, after pricing the deal above the top end of the range at KRW35,000/share.
  • Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
  • In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.

United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) returned to volume growth in the U.S. market in the second quarter of 2024, marking a significant shift following nine quarters of decline.
  • This achievement was largely a result of the company’s strategic efforts, including its emphasis on small and medium sized business (SMB) sectors and strategic acquisitions like Estafeta, which bolstered its position in Mexico.
  • This move is expected to enhance UPS’s logistics orchestration capabilities, particularly as regional manufacturing shifts closer to the United States.

Lockheed Martin Corporation: Can Its Expansion of Missile and Fire Control (MFC) Capabilities Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lockheed Martin’s performance in the second quarter of 2024 showcases a confident trajectory marked by significant operational and financial strides.
  • The company reported a robust backlog valued at approximately $160 billion, more than twice its annual revenue, indicating sustained demand and potential future earnings stability.
  • Revenue growth saw a 9% year-over-year increase across all four business segments, driven by enhanced operational performances and an improving supply chain.

PACCAR Inc.: How Has Its Market Share and Pricing Strategy Evolved? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PACCAR Inc. reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, demonstrating strong performance across its various segments, despite mixed market conditions.
  • The company recorded revenues of $8.8 billion and net income of $1.12 billion, driven by commendable performance in both truck and parts operations worldwide.
  • PACCAR Parts notable revenue increase to $1.7 billion and pretax profits of $414 million highlight its resilience and operational efficiency, achieving a 30.3% gross margin.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc , Freeport Mcmoran, Nucor Corp, Sherwin Williams Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.: Will The Stelco Acquisition Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Freeport-McMoRan Inc.: Innovative Smelter Operations in Indonesia & Other Major Drivers
  • Nucor Corporation: A Tale Of Increasing Capacity and Metallics Control! – Major Drivers
  • The Sherwin-Williams Company: Is It Capitalizing Well On The Residential Repaint Market Share Opportunities? – Major Drivers


Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.: Will The Stelco Acquisition Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. reported solid second-quarter 2024 financial results, crediting its encouraging performance mainly to robust cash flow generation that has been bolstered by increased shipments, sustained cost-reduction initiatives, and successful inventory level management.
  • The company’s substantial reduction of its net debt balance to $3.4 billion, achieved by applying 65% of the quarter’s $362 million in free cash flow towards debt reduction, was a highlight of the period.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Freeport-McMoRan Inc.: Innovative Smelter Operations in Indonesia & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Freeport-McMoRan’s second quarter results underscore both strengths and areas for further improvement within its operations and strategic initiatives.
  • As a dominant player in the copper industry, the company continues to benefit from strong global demand for copper, essential for various sectors like electrification and renewable energies.
  • Freeport-McMoRan highlights robust EBITDA of $2.7 billion and an impressive $2 billion in operating cash flow, driven by steady production volumes and recovering commodity prices.

Nucor Corporation: A Tale Of Increasing Capacity and Metallics Control! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Nucor Corporation, a leading manufacturer of high-performance steel products, reported its second quarter results.
  • The company’s earnings decreased quarter-on-quarter to $2.68 per diluted share while year-to-date earnings stood at $6.14 per diluted share.
  • A key determinant of the declining earnings was lower average selling prices in both the steel mills and steel product segments.

The Sherwin-Williams Company: Is It Capitalizing Well On The Residential Repaint Market Share Opportunities? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sherwin-Williams Company has reported robust results for the second quarter of 2024, showcasing growth in sales and margins across its segments.
  • The company emphasized strong execution amid a complex macroeconomic climate, reflecting a persistent trend throughout their financial performance.
  • Notably, Sherwin Williams has proactively managed the ongoing shifts in market demands while strategically positioning itself to capitalize on future growth opportunities.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Ansarada Group Ltd, A8 New Media, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Texas Instruments, Cambricon Technologies Lt, Marvell Technology , Pureprofile Ltd, Sms Co Ltd, Spotify, Alphabet and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Ansarada (AND AU)’s Scheme Is Back On Track
  • A8 Media (800 HK): 23rd August Shareholder Vote
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hit Hard By AI/Tech Pullback; Watch UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, MSFT Earnings
  • Texas Instruments: Is Its China Revival Here To Stay? – Major Drivers
  • Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week
  • S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Exclusion by Earnings
  • Pureprofile Ltd – Maiden positive NPAT FY24 EBITDA in line with guidance
  • Sms Co Ltd (2175 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update
  • Spotify Technologies: Will Its Focus On Podcasting and Content Diversification Give A Much Needed Boost To Profitability? – Major Drivers
  • Alphabet Inc.: Is There A Silver Lining In Its AI Innovations? – Major Drivers


Ansarada (AND AU)’s Scheme Is Back On Track

By David Blennerhassett

  • Datasite’s A$2.50/share, in cash, lifetime-high Offer for virtual room provider Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU), announced on the 13th Feb, appeared a total slam dunk. 
  • And for the most part it was, with the Explanatory Doc lodged on the 12th April, and Scheme Meeting initially scheduled for the 14th June. Then the ACCC waded in. 
  • The ACCC has now signed off. FIRB will follow shortly.  The revised Scheme Meeting will be held on the 19 August, with expected implementation on the 6 September.  

A8 Media (800 HK): 23rd August Shareholder Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 12th June, PRC property rental play A8 New Media (800 HK)  announced an Offer by way of a Scheme from chairman/founder/major shareholder Liu Xiaosong.
  • The Cancellation price was $0.36/share, a punchy 162.77% to last close. The price was declared  final.
  • The Scheme Doc is now out, with an independent shareholder vote on the 23 August and payment on or around the 2nd October. This is a done deal.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hit Hard By AI/Tech Pullback; Watch UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, MSFT Earnings

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Top Gainers/Loser: Taiwan Tech Stocks Hit Hard Last Week By Global AI/Tech Pullback
  • Key Events This Week: Major Earnings Week Including UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, Microsoft
  • TechChain Insights: Call with Silicon Motion; QLC NAND Emerging as Key Enabler for AI Devices 

Texas Instruments: Is Its China Revival Here To Stay? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Texas Instruments had a mixed Q2, reporting revenue of $3.8 billion, a 4% sequential increase but 16% YoY decline.
  • This contrasted with their optimistic revenue predictions for Q3, forecasting in the range of $3.94 billion to $4.26 billion.
  • This could have been due to the decline in Analog revenue by 11% YoY, Embedded Processing by 31%, and its Other segment by 22% from YoY quarter.

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

By Travis Lundy

  • The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
  • Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 11.4bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Seemed somewhat cap-weighted. Not a pretty flow picture. 
  • A-Shares sharply underperformed HK indices, but AH spreads didn’t recover the prior week’s disaster. That said, there WAS dip-buying this week on the worst hit, which is unusual recently.

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Exclusion by Earnings

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Pureprofile Ltd – Maiden positive NPAT FY24 EBITDA in line with guidance

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published an update report on data analytics company Pureprofile (ASX:PPL) following the release of its unaudited FY24 results which included a maiden NPAT of $0.1m, a $2.0m turnaround on FY23, and EBITDA of $4.4m, down 4% on the pcp but within the guidance range of $4.1m to $4.4m.
  • FY24 EBITDA was ahead of our forecast for $4.3m.
  • Revenue for the year was $48.1m, again within the company’s guidance range of $48m to $49.1m, although a little below our forecast for $49.0m.

Sms Co Ltd (2175 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by JPY2.2bn YoY, driven by higher sales in Career and Elderly Care and Disability Welfare Operators segments.
  • Operating profit declined by JPY729mn YoY due to higher advertising and other expenses exceeding sales increase.
  • Kaipoke member locations increased to 29,900 (+10.5% YoY) and elderly care facilities to 51,950 (+12.2% YoY) as of July 1, 2024.

Spotify Technologies: Will Its Focus On Podcasting and Content Diversification Give A Much Needed Boost To Profitability? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Spotify has reported a solid performance for the second quarter of 2024, characterized by notable strides in subscriber growth, profitability, and revenue enhancements.
  • The company’s delivery on key metrics evidenced a substantiation of their dual commitment to offering a robust product while proving their business sustainability.
  • Their execution of strategic initiatives such as diversified subscription plans and regional price adjustments contributed positively to the financial results.

Alphabet Inc.: Is There A Silver Lining In Its AI Innovations? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Alphabet Inc. witnessed a notable second quarter, proving its strong stance in the market with increased momentum in Search and substantial progress in Cloud, largely centered around its use of artificial intelligence (AI).
  • The company’s quarter was highlighted by tremendous results in Search with the platform having another booming quarter.
  • The AI initiatives seem to be driving new growth contributing positively to these results.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Health Care: China Traditional Chinese Medicine, APT Medical , Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co, GRAIL, Cipla Ltd, Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding, Iqvia Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Merger Arb Mondays (29 Jul) – China TCM, Canvest, CPMC, GA Pack, Tohokushinsha, Furukawa, Tatsuta
  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioning Indicates Further Gains for a Long/Short Trade
  • China Healthcare Weekly (July.28)- Ascentage Gets “A Big Gift”, CR Boya Acquires Green Cross, Weigao
  • GRAIL: Detecting Early-Stage Cancers With Galleri Test, A Significant Market Opportunity
  • Cipla (CIPLA IN): Starts FY25 On Firm Note; EBITDA Margin Ahead of Guidance Range
  • Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607.HK/601607.CH) – Profit Will Resume High Growth in 2024
  • IQVIA Holdings: Increased confidence in Technology & Analytical Services (TAS) & Other Major Drivers



STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioning Indicates Further Gains for a Long/Short Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are only 3 trading days left in the review period for the September rebalance of the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)
  • We see two potential changes that could result in a one-way turnover of 3.6% and in a one-way trade of CNY 4.7bn (US$644m).
  • Cumulative excess volume has started to pick up in the stocks over the last few weeks and that could be an indicator of further gains for a long/short trade.

China Healthcare Weekly (July.28)- Ascentage Gets “A Big Gift”, CR Boya Acquires Green Cross, Weigao

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • We noticed some positive updates about Ascentage as competitors’ products have encountered varying degrees of challenges. However, the top priority for Ascentage is to get the approval of APG-2575 first.
  • China Resources Boya has agreed to buy Green Cross for RMB1.82 billion, with premium of 160%.We think this is the right strategy considering the high barriers in blood products industry. 
  • Weigao’s performance was negatively affected by VBP and anti-corruption campaign. The unsatisfactory share price performance is closely related to its business model. 2x P/S is reasonable for Weigao.

GRAIL: Detecting Early-Stage Cancers With Galleri Test, A Significant Market Opportunity

By Andrei Zakharov

  • In June of 2024, GRAIL, a market leader in early cancer detection, spun off from Illumina into an independent publicly traded company.
  • Following the spin-off, Illumina retains up to ~15% ownership interest in GRAIL and continues to fund GRAIL’s operations and R&D with disposal funding of ~$974M.
  • I view GRAIL as a market leader in the MCED testing market and uniquely positioned to be very effective in detecting some of the most aggressive early-stage cancers.

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Starts FY25 On Firm Note; EBITDA Margin Ahead of Guidance Range

By Tina Banerjee

  • In Q1FY25, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) posted 7% YoY revenue growth to INR66.9B. Despite surging R&D expenditure, EBITDA increased 26% YoY to INR17.2B, leading to 154bps margin expansion to 25.6%.
  • Record high quarterly revenue in the U.S. market, double-digit revenue growth in India branded prescription business, and continued strong momentum in South Africa drove overall performance.
  • Cipla is well-positioned for mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth through FY27. Sitting on a robust cash balance of INR90B, Cipla is eyeing on M&A. Valuation still looks reasonable.

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607.HK/601607.CH) – Profit Will Resume High Growth in 2024

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Due to the low base in 2023, net profit in 2024 would show restorative growth, with net profit attributable to owners of the company reaching RMB5+ billion, up 33% YoY.
  • Different from Sinopharm/CRP whose assets are scattered in different listed companies, pharmaceutical assets/resources of SH Pharma are integrated within the Company, so the intrinsic value of this model is greater.
  • SH Pharma is undervalued. Interim dividend will be added in 2024.Future dividend ratio would remain 30+%.SH Pharma as a SOE takes the lead in responding to policies to increase dividends.

IQVIA Holdings: Increased confidence in Technology & Analytical Services (TAS) & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • IQVIA’s business fundamentals remain strong, achieving a 5% revenue growth rate and 8.6% growth in adjusted diluted earnings per share in the second quarter of 2024.
  • The company’s revenue and earnings growth were driven by robust performances across their business segments, such as Technology & Analytics Solutions (TAS) and the Clinical segment.
  • In the TAS segment, IQVIA reported growth of about 3% in the first quarter and 4% in the second quarter, excluding COVID-19 and foreign exchange impacts.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Ola Electric, ASICS Corp, Alibaba Group Holding , Prosus NV, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Five Below, Kimberly Clark, General Motors, Comcast Corp Class A, Coca Cola Co and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Ola Electric IPO: The Investment Case
  • ECM Weekly (29th July 2024) – ASICS, Kokusai, Amer, Hyundai, Timee, Sanil, Akum, Bloks, Ola Electric
  • China Consumption Weekly (29Jul2024): Xiaomi, Apple, Alibaba, Amazon, JD.com, East Buy
  • Prosus (PRX.AS) – Sunday, Apr 28, 2024
  • To Expand Value and Improve Capital Profitability, the Promotion of Human Resources Is Necessary
  • Finding a bargain in Five Below (FIVE)
  • Kimberly-Clark Corporation: Is Its Intensification of Marketing and Brand Investments Expected To Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • General Motors Company: What Is Their China Market Strategy & Why Are We Optimistic? – Major Drivers
  • Comcast Corporation: Continuing Expansion in Customer Base & NBA Contract Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers
  • The Coca-Cola Company: Increasing Inflation and Input Costs Adversely Impacting The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers


Ola Electric IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Ola Electric (1700674D IN), the largest Indian player in electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W), will launch a US$660 million IPO at a lower US$4.5 billion valuation (vs. the previous US$7-8bn target). 
  • We previously discussed the IPO in Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case and Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case. In this note, we examine the latest updates in the RHP. 
  • The investment case rests on rising market share in a growing market, rapid growth aided by product diversification, path to profitability supported by lower losses and declining cash burn.

ECM Weekly (29th July 2024) – ASICS, Kokusai, Amer, Hyundai, Timee, Sanil, Akum, Bloks, Ola Electric

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, the coming week will see Sanil Electric (062040 KS) list, while Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals books will open and Ola Electric too might be launched.
  • On the placement front, the past week was relatively quiet after a few hectic weeks.

China Consumption Weekly (29Jul2024): Xiaomi, Apple, Alibaba, Amazon, JD.com, East Buy

By Ming Lu

  • Xiaomi’s shipments increased by double digits, but Apple’s shipments decreased in China in 2Q24.
  • Alibaba’s Taobao and Tmall platforms have waived the AliPay fee for retailers.
  • Amazon will open a store on JD.com next Black Friday.

Prosus (PRX.AS) – Sunday, Apr 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Prosus has become more shareholder-friendly and responsive, driven by management remuneration incentives
  • The drop in discount from 2022 to 2023 was influenced by these incentives, but the lack of their extension for 2024 has led to an increase in the discount to over 40%
  • Investors have an asymmetrical opportunity to benefit from Prosus’ discounted value, especially with its valuable stake in Tencent

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


To Expand Value and Improve Capital Profitability, the Promotion of Human Resources Is Necessary

By Aki Matsumoto

  • It is very difficult to ensure the independence and transparency of a committee when the board of directors is staffed with people who are aligned with the president’s wishes.
  • Companies with high ROE have superior corporate governance, due to effective overseas investor’s engagement, while companies with low ROE show unclear policies for improving ROE, despite having formalized board practice.
  • To improve the effectiveness of the board, companies should appoint people to the board who will help expand the value of the company, and use engagement with overseas investors etc.

Finding a bargain in Five Below (FIVE)

By Acid Investments

  • Introduction (If you hate my story-telling, please scroll to the Background section) A lady once asked me a thought provoking question, “why have children?”
  • Redirecting my gentle gaze to the ceiling and stressfully clasping a chunk of hair on the back of my head, I pondered and dug deep, with the intent of conjuring an impressive answer.
  • The testosterone in me blurted, “to pass down the huge wealth I would amass some day, my children are my legacy!” and my traditional Eastern roots interrupted, “so someone would take care of me when I’m old and decrepit!”

Kimberly-Clark Corporation: Is Its Intensification of Marketing and Brand Investments Expected To Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The updated business analysis of Kimberly-Clark reveals a mixed financial landscape rooted in strategic endeavors and market-specific challenges, which calls for a calculated evaluation for potential investors.
  • During the second quarter of 2024, Kimberly-Clark underscored a strategic focus on driving volume and mix-driven gains, particularly evident in significant geographies such as the U.S., China, and the U.K. This initiative aligns with their innovation-led growth strategy aiming at revitalizing their “Powerhouse” categories, which is indicative of their proactive response to market demands and consumer preferences.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

General Motors Company: What Is Their China Market Strategy & Why Are We Optimistic? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • General Motors Company (GM) delivered a robust financial performance in the second quarter of 2024, demonstrating strong operational execution across its varied segments, enhancing confidence in its updated forecasts for the year.
  • The overall sentiment from the review reflected both substantial achievements and some risks to be navigated in the future growth strategy.
  • A significant positive was GM’s record revenue generation during this quarter, bolstered by a high-performing lineup of internal combustion engine (ICE) trucks and SUVs, and a growing portfolio of electric vehicles (EVs) outpacing the broader market growth.

Comcast Corporation: Continuing Expansion in Customer Base & NBA Contract Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Comcast’s second quarter earnings call highlighted various areas of performance in the company’s operations.
  • On the broadband front, despite the competitive market conditions prevalent in recent quarters, Comcast’s strategy has been consistent, focusing on generating considerable broadband revenue growth through a balance between rate and volume.
  • With an established customer base of 32 million subscribers, the company is implementing market segmentation.

The Coca-Cola Company: Increasing Inflation and Input Costs Adversely Impacting The Bottom-Line? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Coca-Cola Company continued its strong momentum in the second quarter.
  • The company’s resilient strategy as well as its consistent focus on leveraging its scale and growth mindset have contributed to solid year-to-date results.
  • As a result, Coca-Cola has raised both its top and bottom-line guidance.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Financials: Canara Bank, Mr Cooper Group Inc, Shimao Property Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Canara Bank – Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25
  • Mr Cooper Group Inc (COOP) – Sunday, Apr 28, 2024
  • Morning Views Asia: SK Hynix


Canara Bank – Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Credit metrics continue to improve, with NPLs down to INR404bn in 1Q25 from INR458bn YoY and from INR407bn QoQ
  • Net loan growth continues to rise by about INR1tr each quarter, with net loans at INR9,465bn in 1Q25 up from INR8,554bn YoY and INR9,318bn QoQ
  • There are pressures on costs and margins, so the story is not all perfect, with NIM pressure potentially to reverse as LDR expands

Mr Cooper Group Inc (COOP) – Sunday, Apr 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Mr. Cooper has seen impressive growth in the past 5 years, with shares up around 392%
  • The market often misunderstands Mr. Cooper as cyclical, volatile, and rate-sensitive, but the company’s business model is “naturally hedged”
  • The current low-rate environment and undersupply of housing in the US present growth opportunities for Mr. Cooper, making it a recommended investment according to the author’s detailed analysis.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Morning Views Asia: SK Hynix

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ESG: What Investors and Companies Should Do to Make Engagement More Effective …. and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • What Investors and Companies Should Do to Make Engagement More Effective ….


What Investors and Companies Should Do to Make Engagement More Effective ….

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The high percentage of foreign ownership is a characteristic of companies that have improved capital profitability and increased valuations, which is effective for overseas investor engagement.
  • If the system is revised to help collaborative engagement and the identification of substantial shareholders, some of the challenges will be eliminated for both investors and the company.
  • To make the engagement more effective, investors should increase active funds and companies should decrease cross-shareholdings.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Event-Driven: Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP): Potential Scenarios as 3D Lobs a Privatisation Proposal and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP): Potential Scenarios as 3D Lobs a Privatisation Proposal
  • Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ): Offer Now Open
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jul 2024); ETFs Get Bought, Banks Have Gone Missing
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Furukawa Battery, Arvida, Warehouse Group, Pacific Smiles, Canvest, Jeisys
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Sun Corp, Amorepacific, Canon Marketing, Jeisys Medical
  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Final Expectations; Trades Perform Positively; New Ideas
  • Weekly Deals Digest (28 Jul) – Fancl, Furukawa Battery, Sun Corp, TFC, Canvest, CPMC, GAPack, Arvida
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jul 2024): SB Bought, NB Sold, HK/China Markets Weak, Spreads Volatile


Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP): Potential Scenarios as 3D Lobs a Privatisation Proposal

By Arun George

  • On 24 July, 3D Investment Partners proposed to privatise Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP) through a tender offer at JPY600-650 per share. A special committee will evaluate the proposal. 
  • 3D’s privatisation plan, in its current terms, is a non-starter as the price is low, and its activism campaign has so far been met with the Board’s scepticism.
  • The possible scenarios are that a white knight emerges to buy 3D’s stake/launch a counteroffer, 3D bumps the offer price, or the Board introduces a more ambitious MTM plan.

Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ): Offer Now Open

By David Blennerhassett

  • Waaay back in June 2023, MUFG (8306 JP) and 92.7%-held Adira Dinamika (ADMF IJ) entered into SPAs with key shareholders to acquire an 80.6% stake in Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ).
  • MFIN’s shareholders overwhelmingly approved the change of control at the 13th Feb EGM. OJK signing off was the next hurdle.
  • The Tender Offer is now open, at the (expected) price of  IDR 3,297/share. The close of the Offer is the 21st August, with payment on the 28th August. 

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jul 2024); ETFs Get Bought, Banks Have Gone Missing

By Travis Lundy

  • SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$7.8bn this week (now 25wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes. 
  • I’ve thought national team was buying banks for months. This week, 1 bank showed up in the top 20 net buys after only 1 in the top ten last week.
  • There were three ETFs in the top six SOUTHBOUND buys this past week. That was unusual. Some high div SOEs got sold. 

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Furukawa Battery, Arvida, Warehouse Group, Pacific Smiles, Canvest, Jeisys

By David Blennerhassett


Last Week in Event SPACE: Sun Corp, Amorepacific, Canon Marketing, Jeisys Medical

By David Blennerhassett


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Final Expectations; Trades Perform Positively; New Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • With three more trading days left in the reference period, we are presenting our final  expectations for ADDs and DELs for the September 2024 index rebal event.
  • We see five changes for the NIFTY 100 index which will also affect the NIFTY Next 50 index. There could also be multiple changes for the NIFTY 50 index.

Weekly Deals Digest (28 Jul) – Fancl, Furukawa Battery, Sun Corp, TFC, Canvest, CPMC, GAPack, Arvida

By Arun George


A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jul 2024): SB Bought, NB Sold, HK/China Markets Weak, Spreads Volatile

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND inflow strong but SOEs not leading. Hang Seng down again, A-shares down more. Bank buying minimal. 
  • AH Premia fell 30bp on average. 1% for Liquid names. HK vs A-shares saw an even wider spread (the opposite of last week). SUPER-tight AH premia saw best H outperformance.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars