Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief South Korea: Sanil Electric, Shimao Property Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year
  • Morning Views Asia: SK Hynix


Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year

By Ethan Aw

  • Sanil Electric (062040 KS) raised around US$193m in its Korea IPO, after pricing the deal above the top end of the range at KRW35,000/share.
  • Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
  • In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.

Morning Views Asia: SK Hynix

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief United States: GRAIL, Texas Instruments, Marvell Technology , Kimberly Clark, Five Below, United Parcel Service Cl B, Mr Cooper Group Inc, Freeport Mcmoran, Iqvia Holdings, Comcast Corp Class A and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • GRAIL: Detecting Early-Stage Cancers With Galleri Test, A Significant Market Opportunity
  • Texas Instruments: Is Its China Revival Here To Stay? – Major Drivers
  • S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Exclusion by Earnings
  • Kimberly-Clark Corporation: Is Its Intensification of Marketing and Brand Investments Expected To Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • Finding a bargain in Five Below (FIVE)
  • United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers
  • Mr Cooper Group Inc (COOP) – Sunday, Apr 28, 2024
  • Freeport-McMoRan Inc.: Innovative Smelter Operations in Indonesia & Other Major Drivers
  • IQVIA Holdings: Increased confidence in Technology & Analytical Services (TAS) & Other Major Drivers
  • Comcast Corporation: Continuing Expansion in Customer Base & NBA Contract Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers


GRAIL: Detecting Early-Stage Cancers With Galleri Test, A Significant Market Opportunity

By Andrei Zakharov

  • In June of 2024, GRAIL, a market leader in early cancer detection, spun off from Illumina into an independent publicly traded company.
  • Following the spin-off, Illumina retains up to ~15% ownership interest in GRAIL and continues to fund GRAIL’s operations and R&D with disposal funding of ~$974M.
  • I view GRAIL as a market leader in the MCED testing market and uniquely positioned to be very effective in detecting some of the most aggressive early-stage cancers.

Texas Instruments: Is Its China Revival Here To Stay? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Texas Instruments had a mixed Q2, reporting revenue of $3.8 billion, a 4% sequential increase but 16% YoY decline.
  • This contrasted with their optimistic revenue predictions for Q3, forecasting in the range of $3.94 billion to $4.26 billion.
  • This could have been due to the decline in Analog revenue by 11% YoY, Embedded Processing by 31%, and its Other segment by 22% from YoY quarter.

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Exclusion by Earnings

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Kimberly-Clark Corporation: Is Its Intensification of Marketing and Brand Investments Expected To Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The updated business analysis of Kimberly-Clark reveals a mixed financial landscape rooted in strategic endeavors and market-specific challenges, which calls for a calculated evaluation for potential investors.
  • During the second quarter of 2024, Kimberly-Clark underscored a strategic focus on driving volume and mix-driven gains, particularly evident in significant geographies such as the U.S., China, and the U.K. This initiative aligns with their innovation-led growth strategy aiming at revitalizing their “Powerhouse” categories, which is indicative of their proactive response to market demands and consumer preferences.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Finding a bargain in Five Below (FIVE)

By Acid Investments

  • Introduction (If you hate my story-telling, please scroll to the Background section) A lady once asked me a thought provoking question, “why have children?”
  • Redirecting my gentle gaze to the ceiling and stressfully clasping a chunk of hair on the back of my head, I pondered and dug deep, with the intent of conjuring an impressive answer.
  • The testosterone in me blurted, “to pass down the huge wealth I would amass some day, my children are my legacy!” and my traditional Eastern roots interrupted, “so someone would take care of me when I’m old and decrepit!”

United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) returned to volume growth in the U.S. market in the second quarter of 2024, marking a significant shift following nine quarters of decline.
  • This achievement was largely a result of the company’s strategic efforts, including its emphasis on small and medium sized business (SMB) sectors and strategic acquisitions like Estafeta, which bolstered its position in Mexico.
  • This move is expected to enhance UPS’s logistics orchestration capabilities, particularly as regional manufacturing shifts closer to the United States.

Mr Cooper Group Inc (COOP) – Sunday, Apr 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Mr. Cooper has seen impressive growth in the past 5 years, with shares up around 392%
  • The market often misunderstands Mr. Cooper as cyclical, volatile, and rate-sensitive, but the company’s business model is “naturally hedged”
  • The current low-rate environment and undersupply of housing in the US present growth opportunities for Mr. Cooper, making it a recommended investment according to the author’s detailed analysis.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Freeport-McMoRan Inc.: Innovative Smelter Operations in Indonesia & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Freeport-McMoRan’s second quarter results underscore both strengths and areas for further improvement within its operations and strategic initiatives.
  • As a dominant player in the copper industry, the company continues to benefit from strong global demand for copper, essential for various sectors like electrification and renewable energies.
  • Freeport-McMoRan highlights robust EBITDA of $2.7 billion and an impressive $2 billion in operating cash flow, driven by steady production volumes and recovering commodity prices.

IQVIA Holdings: Increased confidence in Technology & Analytical Services (TAS) & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • IQVIA’s business fundamentals remain strong, achieving a 5% revenue growth rate and 8.6% growth in adjusted diluted earnings per share in the second quarter of 2024.
  • The company’s revenue and earnings growth were driven by robust performances across their business segments, such as Technology & Analytics Solutions (TAS) and the Clinical segment.
  • In the TAS segment, IQVIA reported growth of about 3% in the first quarter and 4% in the second quarter, excluding COVID-19 and foreign exchange impacts.

Comcast Corporation: Continuing Expansion in Customer Base & NBA Contract Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Comcast’s second quarter earnings call highlighted various areas of performance in the company’s operations.
  • On the broadband front, despite the competitive market conditions prevalent in recent quarters, Comcast’s strategy has been consistent, focusing on generating considerable broadband revenue growth through a balance between rate and volume.
  • With an established customer base of 32 million subscribers, the company is implementing market segmentation.

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Daily Brief India: JSW Energy Ltd, Ola Electric, Cipla Ltd, Canara Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members
  • Ola Electric IPO: The Investment Case
  • Cipla (CIPLA IN): Starts FY25 On Firm Note; EBITDA Margin Ahead of Guidance Range
  • Canara Bank – Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

By Brian Freitas

  • With 3 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 18% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 55bn (US$660m). 9 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
  • All the deletes are F&O members while most adds are not. NSE Indices may have to revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.

Ola Electric IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Ola Electric (1700674D IN), the largest Indian player in electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W), will launch a US$660 million IPO at a lower US$4.5 billion valuation (vs. the previous US$7-8bn target). 
  • We previously discussed the IPO in Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case and Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case. In this note, we examine the latest updates in the RHP. 
  • The investment case rests on rising market share in a growing market, rapid growth aided by product diversification, path to profitability supported by lower losses and declining cash burn.

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Starts FY25 On Firm Note; EBITDA Margin Ahead of Guidance Range

By Tina Banerjee

  • In Q1FY25, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) posted 7% YoY revenue growth to INR66.9B. Despite surging R&D expenditure, EBITDA increased 26% YoY to INR17.2B, leading to 154bps margin expansion to 25.6%.
  • Record high quarterly revenue in the U.S. market, double-digit revenue growth in India branded prescription business, and continued strong momentum in South Africa drove overall performance.
  • Cipla is well-positioned for mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth through FY27. Sitting on a robust cash balance of INR90B, Cipla is eyeing on M&A. Valuation still looks reasonable.

Canara Bank – Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Credit metrics continue to improve, with NPLs down to INR404bn in 1Q25 from INR458bn YoY and from INR407bn QoQ
  • Net loan growth continues to rise by about INR1tr each quarter, with net loans at INR9,465bn in 1Q25 up from INR8,554bn YoY and INR9,318bn QoQ
  • There are pressures on costs and margins, so the story is not all perfect, with NIM pressure potentially to reverse as LDR expands

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Daily Brief China: China Traditional Chinese Medicine, APT Medical , A8 New Media, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co, Cambricon Technologies Lt, Lonking Holdings, Alibaba Group Holding , Prosus NV, Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding, Shimao Property Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Merger Arb Mondays (29 Jul) – China TCM, Canvest, CPMC, GA Pack, Tohokushinsha, Furukawa, Tatsuta
  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioning Indicates Further Gains for a Long/Short Trade
  • A8 Media (800 HK): 23rd August Shareholder Vote
  • China Healthcare Weekly (July.28)- Ascentage Gets “A Big Gift”, CR Boya Acquires Green Cross, Weigao
  • Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week
  • Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability
  • China Consumption Weekly (29Jul2024): Xiaomi, Apple, Alibaba, Amazon, JD.com, East Buy
  • Prosus (PRX.AS) – Sunday, Apr 28, 2024
  • Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607.HK/601607.CH) – Profit Will Resume High Growth in 2024
  • Morning Views Asia: SK Hynix



STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioning Indicates Further Gains for a Long/Short Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are only 3 trading days left in the review period for the September rebalance of the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)
  • We see two potential changes that could result in a one-way turnover of 3.6% and in a one-way trade of CNY 4.7bn (US$644m).
  • Cumulative excess volume has started to pick up in the stocks over the last few weeks and that could be an indicator of further gains for a long/short trade.

A8 Media (800 HK): 23rd August Shareholder Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 12th June, PRC property rental play A8 New Media (800 HK)  announced an Offer by way of a Scheme from chairman/founder/major shareholder Liu Xiaosong.
  • The Cancellation price was $0.36/share, a punchy 162.77% to last close. The price was declared  final.
  • The Scheme Doc is now out, with an independent shareholder vote on the 23 August and payment on or around the 2nd October. This is a done deal.

China Healthcare Weekly (July.28)- Ascentage Gets “A Big Gift”, CR Boya Acquires Green Cross, Weigao

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • We noticed some positive updates about Ascentage as competitors’ products have encountered varying degrees of challenges. However, the top priority for Ascentage is to get the approval of APG-2575 first.
  • China Resources Boya has agreed to buy Green Cross for RMB1.82 billion, with premium of 160%.We think this is the right strategy considering the high barriers in blood products industry. 
  • Weigao’s performance was negatively affected by VBP and anti-corruption campaign. The unsatisfactory share price performance is closely related to its business model. 2x P/S is reasonable for Weigao.

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

By Travis Lundy

  • The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
  • Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 11.4bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Seemed somewhat cap-weighted. Not a pretty flow picture. 
  • A-Shares sharply underperformed HK indices, but AH spreads didn’t recover the prior week’s disaster. That said, there WAS dip-buying this week on the worst hit, which is unusual recently.

Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)‘s positive profit alert for 33-50% YoY increase in 1H24 earnings suggests that market consensus of just 10% full-year growth is way too conservative.  
  • Industry sales momentum for excavators and wheel loaders has accelerated in the last three months. A low base in 2H24 will mean an even stronger recovery.
  • Government supportive measures for equipment renewal and faster special purpose bond issuance will fuel demand too. We estimate net cash equals 90% of the share price. 

China Consumption Weekly (29Jul2024): Xiaomi, Apple, Alibaba, Amazon, JD.com, East Buy

By Ming Lu

  • Xiaomi’s shipments increased by double digits, but Apple’s shipments decreased in China in 2Q24.
  • Alibaba’s Taobao and Tmall platforms have waived the AliPay fee for retailers.
  • Amazon will open a store on JD.com next Black Friday.

Prosus (PRX.AS) – Sunday, Apr 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Prosus has become more shareholder-friendly and responsive, driven by management remuneration incentives
  • The drop in discount from 2022 to 2023 was influenced by these incentives, but the lack of their extension for 2024 has led to an increase in the discount to over 40%
  • Investors have an asymmetrical opportunity to benefit from Prosus’ discounted value, especially with its valuable stake in Tencent

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607.HK/601607.CH) – Profit Will Resume High Growth in 2024

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Due to the low base in 2023, net profit in 2024 would show restorative growth, with net profit attributable to owners of the company reaching RMB5+ billion, up 33% YoY.
  • Different from Sinopharm/CRP whose assets are scattered in different listed companies, pharmaceutical assets/resources of SH Pharma are integrated within the Company, so the intrinsic value of this model is greater.
  • SH Pharma is undervalued. Interim dividend will be added in 2024.Future dividend ratio would remain 30+%.SH Pharma as a SOE takes the lead in responding to policies to increase dividends.

Morning Views Asia: SK Hynix

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Japan: Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, ASICS Corp, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Sms Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement
  • ECM Weekly (29th July 2024) – ASICS, Kokusai, Amer, Hyundai, Timee, Sanil, Akum, Bloks, Ola Electric
  • To Expand Value and Improve Capital Profitability, the Promotion of Human Resources Is Necessary
  • Sms Co Ltd (2175 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update


ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement

By Travis Lundy

  • Several weeks ago, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) launched its long-delayed Tender Offer for Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) with no bump despite the time value of money. 
  • It said the price reflected Tatsuta’s value sufficiently. A week ago on the 19th, ENEOS extended the Tender Offer, likely because they didn’t have the shares. Price was still “sufficient.”
  • I suggested it might not be; I didn’t expect a big bump, but caveated earnings. Friday produced great Q1 earnings, and a bump from ¥720/share to ¥780/share. 

ECM Weekly (29th July 2024) – ASICS, Kokusai, Amer, Hyundai, Timee, Sanil, Akum, Bloks, Ola Electric

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, the coming week will see Sanil Electric (062040 KS) list, while Akums Drugs and Pharmaceuticals books will open and Ola Electric too might be launched.
  • On the placement front, the past week was relatively quiet after a few hectic weeks.

To Expand Value and Improve Capital Profitability, the Promotion of Human Resources Is Necessary

By Aki Matsumoto

  • It is very difficult to ensure the independence and transparency of a committee when the board of directors is staffed with people who are aligned with the president’s wishes.
  • Companies with high ROE have superior corporate governance, due to effective overseas investor’s engagement, while companies with low ROE show unclear policies for improving ROE, despite having formalized board practice.
  • To improve the effectiveness of the board, companies should appoint people to the board who will help expand the value of the company, and use engagement with overseas investors etc.

Sms Co Ltd (2175 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by JPY2.2bn YoY, driven by higher sales in Career and Elderly Care and Disability Welfare Operators segments.
  • Operating profit declined by JPY729mn YoY due to higher advertising and other expenses exceeding sales increase.
  • Kaipoke member locations increased to 29,900 (+10.5% YoY) and elderly care facilities to 51,950 (+12.2% YoY) as of July 1, 2024.

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Most Read: Tohokushinsha Film, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Mandala Multifinance, China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, APT Medical , Ansarada Group Ltd, JSW Energy Ltd, A8 New Media and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP): Potential Scenarios as 3D Lobs a Privatisation Proposal
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premium Trading Range Blow-Outs During Recent Sell-Off
  • Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ): Offer Now Open
  • Merger Arb Mondays (29 Jul) – China TCM, Canvest, CPMC, GA Pack, Tohokushinsha, Furukawa, Tatsuta
  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Final Expectations; Trades Perform Positively; New Ideas
  • ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement
  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioning Indicates Further Gains for a Long/Short Trade
  • Ansarada (AND AU)’s Scheme Is Back On Track
  • NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members
  • A8 Media (800 HK): 23rd August Shareholder Vote


Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP): Potential Scenarios as 3D Lobs a Privatisation Proposal

By Arun George

  • On 24 July, 3D Investment Partners proposed to privatise Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP) through a tender offer at JPY600-650 per share. A special committee will evaluate the proposal. 
  • 3D’s privatisation plan, in its current terms, is a non-starter as the price is low, and its activism campaign has so far been met with the Board’s scepticism.
  • The possible scenarios are that a white knight emerges to buy 3D’s stake/launch a counteroffer, 3D bumps the offer price, or the Board introduces a more ambitious MTM plan.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC and ASE Premium Trading Range Blow-Outs During Recent Sell-Off

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: Crashed Then Rebounded to +15.1% Premium; Likely to Break Down Again
  • UMC: -0.2% Discount; Earnings Imminent; Notable Decrease in ADR Headroom
  • ASE: Rebounded to +9.2 Premium After Major Breakdown; Likely to Drop Again

Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ): Offer Now Open

By David Blennerhassett

  • Waaay back in June 2023, MUFG (8306 JP) and 92.7%-held Adira Dinamika (ADMF IJ) entered into SPAs with key shareholders to acquire an 80.6% stake in Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ).
  • MFIN’s shareholders overwhelmingly approved the change of control at the 13th Feb EGM. OJK signing off was the next hurdle.
  • The Tender Offer is now open, at the (expected) price of  IDR 3,297/share. The close of the Offer is the 21st August, with payment on the 28th August. 


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Final Expectations; Trades Perform Positively; New Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • With three more trading days left in the reference period, we are presenting our final  expectations for ADDs and DELs for the September 2024 index rebal event.
  • We see five changes for the NIFTY 100 index which will also affect the NIFTY Next 50 index. There could also be multiple changes for the NIFTY 50 index.

ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement

By Travis Lundy

  • Several weeks ago, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) launched its long-delayed Tender Offer for Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) with no bump despite the time value of money. 
  • It said the price reflected Tatsuta’s value sufficiently. A week ago on the 19th, ENEOS extended the Tender Offer, likely because they didn’t have the shares. Price was still “sufficient.”
  • I suggested it might not be; I didn’t expect a big bump, but caveated earnings. Friday produced great Q1 earnings, and a bump from ¥720/share to ¥780/share. 

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioning Indicates Further Gains for a Long/Short Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are only 3 trading days left in the review period for the September rebalance of the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)
  • We see two potential changes that could result in a one-way turnover of 3.6% and in a one-way trade of CNY 4.7bn (US$644m).
  • Cumulative excess volume has started to pick up in the stocks over the last few weeks and that could be an indicator of further gains for a long/short trade.

Ansarada (AND AU)’s Scheme Is Back On Track

By David Blennerhassett

  • Datasite’s A$2.50/share, in cash, lifetime-high Offer for virtual room provider Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU), announced on the 13th Feb, appeared a total slam dunk. 
  • And for the most part it was, with the Explanatory Doc lodged on the 12th April, and Scheme Meeting initially scheduled for the 14th June. Then the ACCC waded in. 
  • The ACCC has now signed off. FIRB will follow shortly.  The revised Scheme Meeting will be held on the 19 August, with expected implementation on the 6 September.  

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

By Brian Freitas

  • With 3 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 18% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 55bn (US$660m). 9 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
  • All the deletes are F&O members while most adds are not. NSE Indices may have to revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.

A8 Media (800 HK): 23rd August Shareholder Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 12th June, PRC property rental play A8 New Media (800 HK)  announced an Offer by way of a Scheme from chairman/founder/major shareholder Liu Xiaosong.
  • The Cancellation price was $0.36/share, a punchy 162.77% to last close. The price was declared  final.
  • The Scheme Doc is now out, with an independent shareholder vote on the 23 August and payment on or around the 2nd October. This is a done deal.

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Daily Brief Utilities: JSW Energy Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

By Brian Freitas

  • With 3 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 18% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 55bn (US$660m). 9 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
  • All the deletes are F&O members while most adds are not. NSE Indices may have to revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, Lonking Holdings, Sanil Electric, United Parcel Service Cl B, Lockheed Martin, Paccar Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement
  • Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability
  • Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year
  • United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers
  • Lockheed Martin Corporation: Can Its Expansion of Missile and Fire Control (MFC) Capabilities Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • PACCAR Inc.: How Has Its Market Share and Pricing Strategy Evolved? – Major Drivers


ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement

By Travis Lundy

  • Several weeks ago, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) launched its long-delayed Tender Offer for Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) with no bump despite the time value of money. 
  • It said the price reflected Tatsuta’s value sufficiently. A week ago on the 19th, ENEOS extended the Tender Offer, likely because they didn’t have the shares. Price was still “sufficient.”
  • I suggested it might not be; I didn’t expect a big bump, but caveated earnings. Friday produced great Q1 earnings, and a bump from ¥720/share to ¥780/share. 

Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)‘s positive profit alert for 33-50% YoY increase in 1H24 earnings suggests that market consensus of just 10% full-year growth is way too conservative.  
  • Industry sales momentum for excavators and wheel loaders has accelerated in the last three months. A low base in 2H24 will mean an even stronger recovery.
  • Government supportive measures for equipment renewal and faster special purpose bond issuance will fuel demand too. We estimate net cash equals 90% of the share price. 

Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year

By Ethan Aw

  • Sanil Electric (062040 KS) raised around US$193m in its Korea IPO, after pricing the deal above the top end of the range at KRW35,000/share.
  • Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
  • In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.

United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) returned to volume growth in the U.S. market in the second quarter of 2024, marking a significant shift following nine quarters of decline.
  • This achievement was largely a result of the company’s strategic efforts, including its emphasis on small and medium sized business (SMB) sectors and strategic acquisitions like Estafeta, which bolstered its position in Mexico.
  • This move is expected to enhance UPS’s logistics orchestration capabilities, particularly as regional manufacturing shifts closer to the United States.

Lockheed Martin Corporation: Can Its Expansion of Missile and Fire Control (MFC) Capabilities Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lockheed Martin’s performance in the second quarter of 2024 showcases a confident trajectory marked by significant operational and financial strides.
  • The company reported a robust backlog valued at approximately $160 billion, more than twice its annual revenue, indicating sustained demand and potential future earnings stability.
  • Revenue growth saw a 9% year-over-year increase across all four business segments, driven by enhanced operational performances and an improving supply chain.

PACCAR Inc.: How Has Its Market Share and Pricing Strategy Evolved? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PACCAR Inc. reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, demonstrating strong performance across its various segments, despite mixed market conditions.
  • The company recorded revenues of $8.8 billion and net income of $1.12 billion, driven by commendable performance in both truck and parts operations worldwide.
  • PACCAR Parts notable revenue increase to $1.7 billion and pretax profits of $414 million highlight its resilience and operational efficiency, achieving a 30.3% gross margin.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, Lonking Holdings, Sanil Electric, United Parcel Service Cl B, Lockheed Martin, Paccar Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement
  • Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability
  • Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year
  • United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers
  • Lockheed Martin Corporation: Can Its Expansion of Missile and Fire Control (MFC) Capabilities Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • PACCAR Inc.: How Has Its Market Share and Pricing Strategy Evolved? – Major Drivers


ENEOS Bumps Tatsuta Elec (5809) Bid – 8.3% Bump Matches 8.7% Rise in BVPS Since Announcement

By Travis Lundy

  • Several weeks ago, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) launched its long-delayed Tender Offer for Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) with no bump despite the time value of money. 
  • It said the price reflected Tatsuta’s value sufficiently. A week ago on the 19th, ENEOS extended the Tender Offer, likely because they didn’t have the shares. Price was still “sufficient.”
  • I suggested it might not be; I didn’t expect a big bump, but caveated earnings. Friday produced great Q1 earnings, and a bump from ¥720/share to ¥780/share. 

Lonking (3339 HK): Setting the Stage for Better Profitability

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)‘s positive profit alert for 33-50% YoY increase in 1H24 earnings suggests that market consensus of just 10% full-year growth is way too conservative.  
  • Industry sales momentum for excavators and wheel loaders has accelerated in the last three months. A low base in 2H24 will mean an even stronger recovery.
  • Government supportive measures for equipment renewal and faster special purpose bond issuance will fuel demand too. We estimate net cash equals 90% of the share price. 

Sanil Electric IPO Trading – Strong Institutional Demand, Highest Subscription Rate This Year

By Ethan Aw

  • Sanil Electric (062040 KS) raised around US$193m in its Korea IPO, after pricing the deal above the top end of the range at KRW35,000/share.
  • Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
  • In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.

United Parcel Service (UPS): Strategic Pricing Revisions & Dynamic Revenue Management As Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) returned to volume growth in the U.S. market in the second quarter of 2024, marking a significant shift following nine quarters of decline.
  • This achievement was largely a result of the company’s strategic efforts, including its emphasis on small and medium sized business (SMB) sectors and strategic acquisitions like Estafeta, which bolstered its position in Mexico.
  • This move is expected to enhance UPS’s logistics orchestration capabilities, particularly as regional manufacturing shifts closer to the United States.

Lockheed Martin Corporation: Can Its Expansion of Missile and Fire Control (MFC) Capabilities Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lockheed Martin’s performance in the second quarter of 2024 showcases a confident trajectory marked by significant operational and financial strides.
  • The company reported a robust backlog valued at approximately $160 billion, more than twice its annual revenue, indicating sustained demand and potential future earnings stability.
  • Revenue growth saw a 9% year-over-year increase across all four business segments, driven by enhanced operational performances and an improving supply chain.

PACCAR Inc.: How Has Its Market Share and Pricing Strategy Evolved? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PACCAR Inc. reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, demonstrating strong performance across its various segments, despite mixed market conditions.
  • The company recorded revenues of $8.8 billion and net income of $1.12 billion, driven by commendable performance in both truck and parts operations worldwide.
  • PACCAR Parts notable revenue increase to $1.7 billion and pretax profits of $414 million highlight its resilience and operational efficiency, achieving a 30.3% gross margin.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc , Freeport Mcmoran, Nucor Corp, Sherwin Williams Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.: Will The Stelco Acquisition Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Freeport-McMoRan Inc.: Innovative Smelter Operations in Indonesia & Other Major Drivers
  • Nucor Corporation: A Tale Of Increasing Capacity and Metallics Control! – Major Drivers
  • The Sherwin-Williams Company: Is It Capitalizing Well On The Residential Repaint Market Share Opportunities? – Major Drivers


Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.: Will The Stelco Acquisition Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. reported solid second-quarter 2024 financial results, crediting its encouraging performance mainly to robust cash flow generation that has been bolstered by increased shipments, sustained cost-reduction initiatives, and successful inventory level management.
  • The company’s substantial reduction of its net debt balance to $3.4 billion, achieved by applying 65% of the quarter’s $362 million in free cash flow towards debt reduction, was a highlight of the period.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Freeport-McMoRan Inc.: Innovative Smelter Operations in Indonesia & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Freeport-McMoRan’s second quarter results underscore both strengths and areas for further improvement within its operations and strategic initiatives.
  • As a dominant player in the copper industry, the company continues to benefit from strong global demand for copper, essential for various sectors like electrification and renewable energies.
  • Freeport-McMoRan highlights robust EBITDA of $2.7 billion and an impressive $2 billion in operating cash flow, driven by steady production volumes and recovering commodity prices.

Nucor Corporation: A Tale Of Increasing Capacity and Metallics Control! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Nucor Corporation, a leading manufacturer of high-performance steel products, reported its second quarter results.
  • The company’s earnings decreased quarter-on-quarter to $2.68 per diluted share while year-to-date earnings stood at $6.14 per diluted share.
  • A key determinant of the declining earnings was lower average selling prices in both the steel mills and steel product segments.

The Sherwin-Williams Company: Is It Capitalizing Well On The Residential Repaint Market Share Opportunities? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sherwin-Williams Company has reported robust results for the second quarter of 2024, showcasing growth in sales and margins across its segments.
  • The company emphasized strong execution amid a complex macroeconomic climate, reflecting a persistent trend throughout their financial performance.
  • Notably, Sherwin Williams has proactively managed the ongoing shifts in market demands while strategically positioning itself to capitalize on future growth opportunities.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars