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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Nvidia’s China Dominance in AI Accelerator Has Serious Deficiencies and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Nvidia’s China Dominance in AI Accelerator Has Serious Deficiencies
  • Japanese Big-Cap Banks – Rates Story Takes Centre Stage, Along with Banks’ JGB Exposure
  • Rome Capital’s Alex Feng and Jason Quan making the case for Samsonite $1910.HK
  • AMD. Playing The Long Game
  • TMON and WeMakePrice File for Court Receivership – Impact on the Korean E-Commerce and PG Sectors
  • Portfolio Update: July 2024
  • Mediatek: AI Features Can Shorten Smartphone Replacement Cycle; New Verticals to Kick In 2H25E
  • [Earnings Preview] Bleeding Refining Margins & Lower Gas Prices to Eat into Shell’s Earnings
  • Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) – Growth Momentum Maintained with Lower Credit Costs
  • China Comm Const (1800 HK): Robust Growth Prospects Accelerating


Nvidia’s China Dominance in AI Accelerator Has Serious Deficiencies

By Robert McKay

  • Nvidia’s H20 and upcoming B20 were launched to comply with China export controls, and have remained successful due to deficiencies and supply issues for Huawei’s Ascend AI accelerators.
  • However, Nvidia’s China success will be short-lived due to increasing LLM compute requirements and no method for it to offer a more performance dense offering due to export controls.
  • Not only will Huawei’s upcoming Ascend AI accelerator mitigate this issue, but it will likely also aim to address some of the other deficiencies of the Ascend platform too.

Japanese Big-Cap Banks – Rates Story Takes Centre Stage, Along with Banks’ JGB Exposure

By Victor Galliano

  • The Bank of Japan has raised its short-term interest rate to 0.25% from 0.1% ahead of the core of consensus expectations, and BoJ plans to pare back purchases of JGBs
  • We focus on those big-cap Japanese banks that are well geared into higher domestic rates through loan books and BoJ deposits, that also have lesser exposure to rising JGB yields
  • We stay broadly positive on Japanese bank shares, despite their performance; we add Chiba to the buy list of Resona, Mizuho, SMFG and Concordia, whilst keeping Kyoto as a sell

Rome Capital’s Alex Feng and Jason Quan making the case for Samsonite $1910.HK

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Samsonite is a global luggage leader with three major brands: Samsonite, Tumi, and American Tourister
  • Despite challenges during COVID, Samsonite has successfully executed a turnaround by closing stores and improving sales and margins
  • The stock is undervalued in Hong Kong, with plans for a secondary US or European listing in the near future, potentially offering a 100% upside opportunity.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


AMD. Playing The Long Game

By William Keating

  • Q224 revenues of $5.8 billion, +5.5% QoQ, +9% YoY and $100 million above the guided midpoint
  • AMD forecasted current quarter revenues of $6.7 billion at the midpoint, up 15% QoQ and about the same YoY.
  • AMD shares are up 9% in premarket trading, hardly the response one expected from a good but not amazing report. But why?

TMON and WeMakePrice File for Court Receivership – Impact on the Korean E-Commerce and PG Sectors

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the biggest stories in the Korean e-commerce sector this week has been TMON and WeMakePrice filing for court receivership due to liquidity crisis. 
  • Singapore’s Qoo10 is the controlling shareholder of TMON and WeMakePrice. Young-Bae Ku is the largest shareholder of Qoo10 with a 42.77% stake, followed by KKR with a 25.65% stake. 
  • Competitors such as E-Mart and Coupang are most to benefit. PG companies such as KG Inicis and NHP KCP are negatively impacted. 

Portfolio Update: July 2024

By Contrarian Cashflows

  • Welcome back to the portfolio updates series!
  • This month, I am a few days early with the update. The reason is that my wife and I are celebrating our wedding next weekend, followed by an extended vacation, during which I will be disconnected for a couple of weeks.
  • As a result, the next stock deep dive will not be released until the last week of August.

Mediatek: AI Features Can Shorten Smartphone Replacement Cycle; New Verticals to Kick In 2H25E

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Mediatek 2Q24 Earnings Beat Expectations; Strong Mid-Term Revenue Guidance Maintained
  • 2Q24 Global Smartphone Market Witnessed Best Growth in Three Years
  • Repeats Strong Mid-Term Guidance; Continues to Signal Revenue Strength for 2025E & 2026E. Maintain Structural Long Rating.

[Earnings Preview] Bleeding Refining Margins & Lower Gas Prices to Eat into Shell’s Earnings

By Suhas Reddy

  • Shell forecasts a decline in upstream production, gas price realisations, and refining margins. Its QoQ Revenue & EPS are expected to drop 4.3% and 21.7%, respectively.
  • Shell anticipates Q2 post-tax impairments of USD 1.5 to USD 2 billion due to halting a biofuels plant in Rotterdam and divesting its Singapore refinery.
  • On a brighter note, Shell anticipates higher chemical margins, increased marketing sales volume, and improved refinery utilisation rates in Q2.

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) – Growth Momentum Maintained with Lower Credit Costs

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) booked another set of impressive results in 2Q2024, with continuing momentum behind loan growth driven by corporate and consumer loans, with credit quality under control.
  • The bank continued to grow its deposits with CASA growth outpacing overall deposits, which helped underpin an increase in net interest margin to 5.8%, with credit costs at 0.2%
  • BCA remains a top pick amongst Indonesian banks, with a long-term track record of producing sector returns, with a strong risk management but dynamic management culture. 

China Comm Const (1800 HK): Robust Growth Prospects Accelerating

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Communications Construction (1800 HK)‘s overseas contracts surged sharply in 2Q24 as market share gained. Slow domestic contracts are transient as bond issues will accelerate.
  • Its backlog continued to grow to 4.7x 12-month forward revenue, which is higher than the 5-year average of 4.1x. Improving margin trend in 1Q24 will sustain into 2H24.
  • With a projected ROE of 8.4% for the next two years, its 0.2x P/B is inexpensive. It is also attractive based on dividend yields of 7.7% and 8.4%, respectively.

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Daily Brief Crypto: Crypto Portfolio: Trading U.S. Ethereum ETFs and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Portfolio: Trading U.S. Ethereum ETFs


Crypto Portfolio: Trading U.S. Ethereum ETFs

By Mads Eberhardt

  • We are trading the newly launched U.S. Ethereum spot ETFs.We have decided to allocate ten percentage points of our Crypto Portfolio from our Bitcoin holdings to purchase more Ether for a short-term trade.
  • We are buying Ethereum (ETH) at $3,315.18 and selling part of our Bitcoin (BTC) position at $66,203.95.
  • This trade will be reflected on the Crypto Portfolio page later today.

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Daily Brief Macro: The Tipping Point for China’s Debt and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • The Tipping Point for China’s Debt
  • Positioning Watch – Metals bets are finally being squared, but retail is piling in
  • Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)
  • [IO Weekly 2024/30] China’s Manufacturing Slowdown & Strong Supply Continue to Pressure Iron Ore
  • Great Game – How to assess risks in Lebanon and Venezuela
  • Unsurprising FOMC July Statement
  • Japan Policy Rate 0.25% (consensus 0.1%) in Jul-24
  • US Policy Rate 5.5% in Jul-24
  • A Reversal of Conventional Wisdom: Growth Stocks Outperform Value Stocks
  • CX Daily: Why and How China’s Overhauling Monetary Policy (Part 1)


The Tipping Point for China’s Debt

By Alex Ng

  • Concentration of debt, asset prices, and fiscal deficit will determine the tipping point of China’s debt. 
  • If China does not continue to work on debt de-concentration, prop up its asset prices, or rein in fiscal deficit, China may as well face a debt crisis.
  • To examine the conditions for China’s debt situation, it is vital to look at three key indicators of debt sustainability: concentration of debt, currency stability, and fiscal budget.

Positioning Watch – Metals bets are finally being squared, but retail is piling in

By Andreas Steno

  • Markets remain focused on 2-3 rate cuts from the Fed, growth not rolling over fully, and inflation continuing its downward trajectory.
  • There seems to be no way to change this narrative among market participants.
  • The slightly hawkish PCE in the US and today’s relatively high German inflation print (in harmonized terms) had a hard time moving rates markets, which are currently pricing more than 2.5 cuts from the Fed and more than 2 cuts from the ECB by year-end, with Fed September pricing even showing a tiny lean towards 50 bps.

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

By David Mudd

  • The energy, materials and tech sectors have lost momentum, while telecoms and utilities sectors lead the market.  Consumer sectors are lagging.  HSCI has dipped below its 200 day moving average.
  • Hong Kong & China Gas (3 HK) breaks to the upside as investors seek safety and yield.  
  • PetroChina (857 HK) has broken down relative to the MSCI China index and Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) breaks down from a triangle formation  but downside is limited.

[IO Weekly 2024/30] China’s Manufacturing Slowdown & Strong Supply Continue to Pressure Iron Ore

By Pranay Yadav

  • Weakness Persists: Iron ore prices hovered at critical support level of $100/ton on consistent ample supply & weak demand driven by China’s slowing manufacturing sector.
  • Options Market Shift: Despite overall bearish sentiment, the options market showed increased call activity, particularly for front-month expiries, indicating potential short-term bullish speculation.
  • Production & Supply Outlook: Major producers like Vale & Rio Tinto are expected to increase iron ore output, contributing to a bearish outlook due to ample supply in global markets.

Great Game – How to assess risks in Lebanon and Venezuela

By Mikkel Rosenvold

  • Welcome to this week’s Great Game, where we try to assess the market risks of current geopolitical events.
  • This week – Israel-Hezbollah and Venezuela!
  • Once again, we’re discussing a potential widening of the Israel-Gaza conflict as missiles and drones are exchanged between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Unsurprising FOMC July Statement

By Alex Ng

  • The FOMC statement made fairly subtle changes to the language on inflation, with more significant dovish shifts made in the language on employment.
  • Fed is not willing to signal that a September easing is a done deal. However the tone of Jerome Powell’s press conference was generally optimistic, suggesting a likely September move.
  • Our house believe that there will be an one-off rate cut in September but unlikely a series of rate cuts in coming months, as inflation and employment are easily aroused.

Japan Policy Rate 0.25% (consensus 0.1%) in Jul-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • The BOJ raised its policy rate by 15 basis points to 0.25%, contrary to consensus expectations, signalling a proactive stance in addressing inflationary pressures while supporting economic recovery.
  • Future interest rate decisions will be influenced by global economic developments, domestic economic indicators, inflation trends, financial market stability, and the impact of government economic measures.
  • The BOJ’s strategy focuses on gradual policy normalization, with a cautious approach to reducing JGB purchases and raising interest rates, ensuring sustained economic growth and stable inflation.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

US Policy Rate 5.5% in Jul-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • The FOMC has maintained the federal funds rate at 5.25-5.5% in response to moderated economic growth and a stable yet adjusting labour market, indicating a cautious approach to policy normalization while acknowledging ongoing economic resilience.
  • Despite easing from previous highs, inflation remains above the desired 2% threshold, prompting continued vigilance from the FOMC. The Committee’s policy stance is designed to ensure inflation progresses sustainably towards the target, supported by well-anchored long-term expectations.
  • The FOMC emphasizes a flexible, data-driven approach to future rate decisions, prepared to adapt monetary policy as required based on comprehensive assessments of inflation dynamics, labour market conditions, and overall economic performance.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

A Reversal of Conventional Wisdom: Growth Stocks Outperform Value Stocks

By Alex Ng

  • What implications does the recent trend of growth stocks significantly outperforming value stocks have for investors?
  • The famous economist Eugene Fama’s Three-Factor Model mentions that small-cap stocks will outperform large-cap stocks and value stocks will outperform growth stocks in the long run.
  • However, looking at the performance of the U.S. stock market, in recent years, not only large-cap stocks have significantly outperformed small-cap stocks, but growth stocks have also  outperformed value stocks.

CX Daily: Why and How China’s Overhauling Monetary Policy (Part 1)

By Caixin Global

  • Monetary / Caixin Explains: Why and how China’s overhauling monetary policy (Part 1)
  • Flights /: Olympics Games boost air travel between China and France
  • Property /: China must resolve real estate crisis and not rely on exports alone, expert warns

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Daily Brief Thailand: KCE Electronics PCL, Energy Absolute and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: 3 Changes Likely; INTUCH-GULF Merger Should Be Monitored
  • Energy Absolute: Absolutely Negative Energy


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: 3 Changes Likely; INTUCH-GULF Merger Should Be Monitored

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in December 2024.
  • At present, we see 3 ADDs and 3 DELs but since the reference period is yet to start, the rankings can fluctuate significantly before the base date.

Energy Absolute: Absolutely Negative Energy

By Warut Promboon

  • Energy Absolute Public Company Limited (EA)’s negative headlines have gradually emerged since the beginning of the year.
  • The most negative news came on 12-July when Thailand’s Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) accused Mr. Ahunai together with his deputy CEO and his business partner of committing fraud during 2013-2015.
  • Our liquidity analysis of EA’s latest financial statements ending in March tells us EA does not necessarily have to resort to bankruptcy.

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Daily Brief Australia: Rio Tinto Ltd, Iron Ore, Gajah Tunggal, Pointerra Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Rio Tinto (RIO AU/LN): Thinking About The “Unification”
  • [IO Weekly 2024/30] China’s Manufacturing Slowdown & Strong Supply Continue to Pressure Iron Ore
  • Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Nickel Industries
  • Pointerra Ltd – All eyes on FY25


Rio Tinto (RIO AU/LN): Thinking About The “Unification”

By David Blennerhassett

  • Just shy of three years ago, BHP (BHP AU) announced the unification of its dual-headed corporate structure to make BHP “simpler and more agile”.
  • Collapsing DLCs/share-classes was all the rage back then. The prior year, Unilever (UNA NA) collapsed its DLC; and Royal Dutch Shell  unified its A and B lines in 2021. 
  • Rio (RIO AU/LN) is one of only a handful of remaining DLCs. Renewed investor calls to unwind the DLC and the recent UK’s listing regime reform necessitate a rethink.

[IO Weekly 2024/30] China’s Manufacturing Slowdown & Strong Supply Continue to Pressure Iron Ore

By Pranay Yadav

  • Weakness Persists: Iron ore prices hovered at critical support level of $100/ton on consistent ample supply & weak demand driven by China’s slowing manufacturing sector.
  • Options Market Shift: Despite overall bearish sentiment, the options market showed increased call activity, particularly for front-month expiries, indicating potential short-term bullish speculation.
  • Production & Supply Outlook: Major producers like Vale & Rio Tinto are expected to increase iron ore output, contributing to a bearish outlook due to ample supply in global markets.

Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Nickel Industries

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Pointerra Ltd – All eyes on FY25

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published an update report on 3D spatial data solutions group Pointerra (ASX:3DP) after the release of the Q4 cash flow and activity statements which saw a 241% increase in Q4 cash receipts to $2.67m, the best result in five quarters.
  • Cash receipts were the largest reported of any quarter in FY24 and the highest reported since Q3 FY23.
  • Cash burn for the quarter was contained to $0.18m, the best result in five quarters, with administration and other costs essentially flat year-on-year and employee costs declining 7% for the period.

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Daily Brief South Korea: SK Biopharmaceuticals , APR, Hankook Tire & Technology, E Mart Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX’s September Major Rebalancing Events: Why We Should Focus on KRX BBIG
  • End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 41 Companies in Korea in August 2024
  • Latest Update on Hanon Systems Stake Sale: Consider Long Short Setup on Hankook Tire & Hanon
  • TMON and WeMakePrice File for Court Receivership – Impact on the Korean E-Commerce and PG Sectors


KRX’s September Major Rebalancing Events: Why We Should Focus on KRX BBIG

By Sanghyun Park

  • The KRX BBIG’s concentrated weight and top three replacements still attract significant flow trading interest despite a decline in AUM.
  • In the Battery Sector, Posco Future M will replace Ecopro BM, while in the Bio Sector, Alteogen will replace SK Biopharmaceuticals.
  • A significant single-day passive flow is expected, especially for SK Biopharm. Additionally, a day trading setup with Posco Future M and Ecopro BM will likely attract substantial interest.

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 41 Companies in Korea in August 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 41 stocks in Korea in August 2024, among which 2 are in KOSPI and 39 are in KOSDAQ.
  • These 41 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in August and could underperform relative to the market.
  • The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in August include APR, Fadu, and Kuk Il Paper.

Latest Update on Hanon Systems Stake Sale: Consider Long Short Setup on Hankook Tire & Hanon

By Sanghyun Park

  • Today’s news indicates Hankook Tire found contingent liabilities in Hanon Systems’ finances, meeting conditions to break the May agreement and putting the deal on indefinite hold.
  • Hankook Tire plans to adjust the new share price first, then the existing share price, while Hahn & Co, unable to delay its exit, will likely accept it.
  • With Hahn & Co likely to accept Hankook Tire’s price adjustment request, consider a long-short setup: Hankook Tire may benefit from positive momentum, while Hanon Systems faces negative dilution.

TMON and WeMakePrice File for Court Receivership – Impact on the Korean E-Commerce and PG Sectors

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the biggest stories in the Korean e-commerce sector this week has been TMON and WeMakePrice filing for court receivership due to liquidity crisis. 
  • Singapore’s Qoo10 is the controlling shareholder of TMON and WeMakePrice. Young-Bae Ku is the largest shareholder of Qoo10 with a 42.77% stake, followed by KKR with a 25.65% stake. 
  • Competitors such as E-Mart and Coupang are most to benefit. PG companies such as KG Inicis and NHP KCP are negatively impacted. 

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Daily Brief Singapore: Thoresen Thai Agencies and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • kopi-C with Mermaid Maritime’s Chief Operating Officer: ‘The oil and gas industry remains vital’


kopi-C with Mermaid Maritime’s Chief Operating Officer: ‘The oil and gas industry remains vital’

By Geoff Howie

  • Paul Whiley, COO and Executive Director of oil and gas offshore and subsea services firm Mermaid Maritime, shares how it is moving into decommissioning and other sunrise specialities to thrive in the long term.
  • Even as the world shifts towards renewable energy, there will be many opportunities in the oil and gas industry in the coming decades, says Mermaid Maritime’s Chief Operating Officer and Executive Director Paul Whiley.
  • Mermaid is a leading international subsea and offshore drilling services company for major oil and gas companies or their contractors, with its corporate headquarters based in Thailand.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Bank Central Asia, Gajah Tunggal and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) – Growth Momentum Maintained with Lower Credit Costs
  • Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Nickel Industries


Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) – Growth Momentum Maintained with Lower Credit Costs

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) booked another set of impressive results in 2Q2024, with continuing momentum behind loan growth driven by corporate and consumer loans, with credit quality under control.
  • The bank continued to grow its deposits with CASA growth outpacing overall deposits, which helped underpin an increase in net interest margin to 5.8%, with credit costs at 0.2%
  • BCA remains a top pick amongst Indonesian banks, with a long-term track record of producing sector returns, with a strong risk management but dynamic management culture. 

Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Nickel Industries

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief India: Ola Electric, CMS Info Systems Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Ola Electric IPO – RHD Updates: Strong Improvement in Financials
  • Slower E2Wheeler Sales with Lower Incentives: Ola Makes Lemonade when Market Throws Lemons
  • CMS Info Systems- Forensic Analysis


Ola Electric IPO – RHD Updates: Strong Improvement in Financials

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Ola Electric is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with both technology and manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components (including battery packs, motors and vehicle frames).
  • The company’s much awaited IPO is opening for subscription on Friday, and this insight focuses on new data points from the company’s latest Red Herring document (RHD).
  • Our analysis shows that the company’s top line has continued to expand driven by volume while there has been significant reduction in operating losses in FY03/2024.

Slower E2Wheeler Sales with Lower Incentives: Ola Makes Lemonade when Market Throws Lemons

By Devi Subhakesan

  • India’s electric 2-wheeler sales nosedived after March 2024 as the government reduced incentives.
  • The price gap between electric 2-wheelers and their ICE counterparts has widened significantly with lower incentives.
  • Despite the overall slowdown, Ola Electric (1700674D IN) ‘s steep market share rise highlights its product prowess, competitive pricing capabilities, and strong brand.

CMS Info Systems- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • CMS Info Systems Ltd (CMSINFO IN) is the market leader in the Indian cash management and managed services industry. 
  • The company has shown good growth in recent years, and this has mostly come from the managed services and card market.
  • Among major forensic takeaways, the company has been taking continuous hit on its debtors which undermines the growth quality. Cautious must also be given to payables, depreciation rate and ESOPs.

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Daily Brief United States: NVIDIA Corp, Samsonite, Advanced Micro Devices, Shell PLC, A10 Networks, Ethereum, Liberty Latin America , Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A, Talen Energy , Trimas Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Nvidia’s China Dominance in AI Accelerator Has Serious Deficiencies
  • Rome Capital’s Alex Feng and Jason Quan making the case for Samsonite $1910.HK
  • AMD. Playing The Long Game
  • [Earnings Preview] Bleeding Refining Margins & Lower Gas Prices to Eat into Shell’s Earnings
  • ATEN: Volatility of the Spending Pattern
  • Crypto Portfolio: Trading U.S. Ethereum ETFs
  • Liberty Costa Rica – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • AKA: 2Q Preview: Getting Ready for the Main Course; Reiterate Buy, $25 PT
  • TLN: PJM Results Affirm Attractive Value
  • TRS: Lack of Trifecta a Drag


Nvidia’s China Dominance in AI Accelerator Has Serious Deficiencies

By Robert McKay

  • Nvidia’s H20 and upcoming B20 were launched to comply with China export controls, and have remained successful due to deficiencies and supply issues for Huawei’s Ascend AI accelerators.
  • However, Nvidia’s China success will be short-lived due to increasing LLM compute requirements and no method for it to offer a more performance dense offering due to export controls.
  • Not only will Huawei’s upcoming Ascend AI accelerator mitigate this issue, but it will likely also aim to address some of the other deficiencies of the Ascend platform too.

Rome Capital’s Alex Feng and Jason Quan making the case for Samsonite $1910.HK

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Samsonite is a global luggage leader with three major brands: Samsonite, Tumi, and American Tourister
  • Despite challenges during COVID, Samsonite has successfully executed a turnaround by closing stores and improving sales and margins
  • The stock is undervalued in Hong Kong, with plans for a secondary US or European listing in the near future, potentially offering a 100% upside opportunity.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


AMD. Playing The Long Game

By William Keating

  • Q224 revenues of $5.8 billion, +5.5% QoQ, +9% YoY and $100 million above the guided midpoint
  • AMD forecasted current quarter revenues of $6.7 billion at the midpoint, up 15% QoQ and about the same YoY.
  • AMD shares are up 9% in premarket trading, hardly the response one expected from a good but not amazing report. But why?

[Earnings Preview] Bleeding Refining Margins & Lower Gas Prices to Eat into Shell’s Earnings

By Suhas Reddy

  • Shell forecasts a decline in upstream production, gas price realisations, and refining margins. Its QoQ Revenue & EPS are expected to drop 4.3% and 21.7%, respectively.
  • Shell anticipates Q2 post-tax impairments of USD 1.5 to USD 2 billion due to halting a biofuels plant in Rotterdam and divesting its Singapore refinery.
  • On a brighter note, Shell anticipates higher chemical margins, increased marketing sales volume, and improved refinery utilisation rates in Q2.

ATEN: Volatility of the Spending Pattern

By Hamed Khorsand

  • ATEN reported Q2 results with greater success in winning enterprise orders while North American service providers limited their spending. 
  • Over the past year, ATEN has shifted more of its sales and marketing effort to winning enterprise customers, which should have more of a meaningful benefit to recurring revenue. 
  • ATEN reported revenue of $60.1 million compared to our forecast of $62.7 million. The second quarter results were lower than first quarter numbers, which is rare to see for ATEN.

Crypto Portfolio: Trading U.S. Ethereum ETFs

By Mads Eberhardt

  • We are trading the newly launched U.S. Ethereum spot ETFs.We have decided to allocate ten percentage points of our Crypto Portfolio from our Bitcoin holdings to purchase more Ether for a short-term trade.
  • We are buying Ethereum (ETH) at $3,315.18 and selling part of our Bitcoin (BTC) position at $66,203.95.
  • This trade will be reflected on the Crypto Portfolio page later today.

Liberty Costa Rica – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We view Liberty Costa Rica’s ESG as “Adequate”. The score mirrors our assessment of parent Liberty Latin America (LLA), which discloses ESG-related information on a consolidated basis, without meaningful details on the bond-issuing credit pools that we cover (C&W Communications and Liberty Puerto Rico). 

We assess LLA’s Social and Governance pillars as “Strong” and “Adequate”, respectively, offsetting the “Weak” Environmental score. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”. 


AKA: 2Q Preview: Getting Ready for the Main Course; Reiterate Buy, $25 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $25 price target and projections for a.k.a. Brands with the company announcing 2Q24 (June) results after the close on Wednesday.
  • While 2Q is not a highly crucial period for the company, we believe management will be able to point to material progress on multiple fronts, from continued solid top line growth at Princess Polly, Culture Kings setting up for the shift to the “test and repeat” model and adding more exclusives to the mix, and Petal & Pup leveraging strong demand for dresses and new digital marketplace relationships.
  • Further, we believe a.k.a. Brands is on track to open three new Princess Polly stores in 3Q24, with more on track for 2025.

TLN: PJM Results Affirm Attractive Value

By Hamed Khorsand

  • PJM published the Base Residual Auction results for the 2025-26 planning year that were the highest on record. PJM is the primary region TLN serves.
  • TLN announced participation in the auction and cleared 6,820 megawatts of electricity at the auction price of $269.92 per megawatt. 
  • TLN anticipates generating approximately $670 million in capacity revenue during the auction year. This compares to approximately $160 million run rate TLN had been reporting capacity revenue in recent quarters.

TRS: Lack of Trifecta a Drag

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TRS experienced a continuation of sales growing within its packaging and aerospace segments. TRS’s specialty products segment remains a laggard to the rest of the business with demand eroding. 
  • The recovery within the packaging business should have been the main highlight of TRS’s Q2. However, the weakness within specialty products resulted in TRS missing our estimates for the quarter.
  • We are updating our full year estimates after TRS lowered its adjusted EPS and sales guidance. 

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