Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Young Poong Precision, Keppel Corp, Baimtec Material , Beijing United Information Tec, China Everbright Environment, Vikran Engineering Limited, NOW Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Let’s Get Real About the Odds of MBK Launching a New Tender for YPP
  • Keppel: Study on Disclosure (Report 1)
  • CSI 500 Index Rebalance Preview: 50 Changes; 11% Turnover; US$5bn Round-Trip Trade
  • CSI 1000 Index Rebalance Preview: 100 Changes; 10% Turnover; US$4bn Round-Trip Trade
  • China Everbright Env (257 HK): An Underappreciated Beneficiary
  • Vikran Engineering Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • DNOW, Inc. – Positioned for an Evolving Energy Market


Let’s Get Real About the Odds of MBK Launching a New Tender for YPP

By Sanghyun Park

  • Since MBK’s tender started, institutional trading has been light, leaving local retail investors in control. Choi’s 35% ceiling poses real proration risk for traders eyeing the action.
  • MBK might not have wanted YPP; they could just be using it as bait to not only drain Choi’s cash but also to put them in a tight financial spot.
  • MBK is set to focus on snapping up Korea Zinc shares in the open market to increase their stake and thwart any buyback tender offers.

Keppel: Study on Disclosure (Report 1)

By Tan Yee Peng

  • Keppel Ltd, once renowned for its offshore marine and real estate businesses, is undertaking a fundamental transformation to become a global asset manager with S$200bn in funds under management (FUM) by 2030.
  • It is unprecedented for an industrial operator to successfully transform into an asset manager of such scale.
  • As such, close attention ought to be given to the progress and prospects of Keppel’s transformation. 

CSI 500 Index Rebalance Preview: 50 Changes; 11% Turnover; US$5bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • With 95% of the review period now complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index at the close on 13 December.
  • We estimate a one-way turnover of 11% at the rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY17.56bn (US$2.48bn). The Information Technology and HealthCare sectors gain at the expense of Industrials.
  • After drifting lower over the last couple of months, the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last couple of weeks. There should be more to go here.

CSI 1000 Index Rebalance Preview: 100 Changes; 10% Turnover; US$4bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • With 95% of the review period now complete, we forecast 100 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI 1000 Index at the close on 13 December
  • We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.9% at the rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY14.4bn (US$2.04bn). The Industrials sector could gain the most index spots.
  • The forecast adds have drifted lower versus the forecast deletes over the last few months. Part of that can be attributed to the inflows to ETFs tracking the CSI1000 Index.

China Everbright Env (257 HK): An Underappreciated Beneficiary

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Everbright Environment (257 HK) will benefit immensely from the lower debt burden of local governments as the central government rolls out more fiscal support measures.
  • We anticipate an acceleration in receivable collection to improve its cash flow while the new projects pipeline may speed up. Its FCF has positively turned around in 1H24.
  • Despite recent outperformance, it remains a laggard since 2022. Still, it trades on an undemanding 5.5x PER and an appealing 6.3% yield on a higher dividend payout. 

Vikran Engineering Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Vikran Engineering Limited (1635154D IN) is planning to raise about US$119m through its upcoming IPO in India. The lead bookrunners for the deal are Pantomath Limited, Systematix Group.
  • Vikran Engineering Limited (VEL) based in Mumbai, operates as an Engineering, Procurement & Construction (EPC) firm, focusing on power, water, and railway infrastructure projects. 
  • VEL plans to allocate its funds towards financing the company’s working capital needs and general corporate purposes.

DNOW, Inc. – Positioned for an Evolving Energy Market

By Water Tower Research

  • DNOW’s existing fulfillment model is contributing to increased earnings and free cash flow capacity through industry cycles.
  • 1H24 revenue totaled $1,196 million compared with $1,178 million in 1H23, despite a 5% decline in the average global rig count. US revenue totaled $947 million in 1H24 compared with $883 million in 1H23 despite a 24% decline in the average US rig count.
  • US gains reflect increased market share and a partial contribution from the $185 million Whitco acquisition, which closed March 12, 2024. Free cash flow totaled $98 million in 1H24. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Young Poong Precision, Keppel Corp, Baimtec Material , Beijing United Information Tec, China Everbright Environment, Vikran Engineering Limited, NOW Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Let’s Get Real About the Odds of MBK Launching a New Tender for YPP
  • Keppel: Study on Disclosure (Report 1)
  • CSI 500 Index Rebalance Preview: 50 Changes; 11% Turnover; US$5bn Round-Trip Trade
  • CSI 1000 Index Rebalance Preview: 100 Changes; 10% Turnover; US$4bn Round-Trip Trade
  • China Everbright Env (257 HK): An Underappreciated Beneficiary
  • Vikran Engineering Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • DNOW, Inc. – Positioned for an Evolving Energy Market


Let’s Get Real About the Odds of MBK Launching a New Tender for YPP

By Sanghyun Park

  • Since MBK’s tender started, institutional trading has been light, leaving local retail investors in control. Choi’s 35% ceiling poses real proration risk for traders eyeing the action.
  • MBK might not have wanted YPP; they could just be using it as bait to not only drain Choi’s cash but also to put them in a tight financial spot.
  • MBK is set to focus on snapping up Korea Zinc shares in the open market to increase their stake and thwart any buyback tender offers.

Keppel: Study on Disclosure (Report 1)

By Tan Yee Peng

  • Keppel Ltd, once renowned for its offshore marine and real estate businesses, is undertaking a fundamental transformation to become a global asset manager with S$200bn in funds under management (FUM) by 2030.
  • It is unprecedented for an industrial operator to successfully transform into an asset manager of such scale.
  • As such, close attention ought to be given to the progress and prospects of Keppel’s transformation. 

CSI 500 Index Rebalance Preview: 50 Changes; 11% Turnover; US$5bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • With 95% of the review period now complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index at the close on 13 December.
  • We estimate a one-way turnover of 11% at the rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY17.56bn (US$2.48bn). The Information Technology and HealthCare sectors gain at the expense of Industrials.
  • After drifting lower over the last couple of months, the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last couple of weeks. There should be more to go here.

CSI 1000 Index Rebalance Preview: 100 Changes; 10% Turnover; US$4bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • With 95% of the review period now complete, we forecast 100 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI 1000 Index at the close on 13 December
  • We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.9% at the rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY14.4bn (US$2.04bn). The Industrials sector could gain the most index spots.
  • The forecast adds have drifted lower versus the forecast deletes over the last few months. Part of that can be attributed to the inflows to ETFs tracking the CSI1000 Index.

China Everbright Env (257 HK): An Underappreciated Beneficiary

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Everbright Environment (257 HK) will benefit immensely from the lower debt burden of local governments as the central government rolls out more fiscal support measures.
  • We anticipate an acceleration in receivable collection to improve its cash flow while the new projects pipeline may speed up. Its FCF has positively turned around in 1H24.
  • Despite recent outperformance, it remains a laggard since 2022. Still, it trades on an undemanding 5.5x PER and an appealing 6.3% yield on a higher dividend payout. 

Vikran Engineering Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Vikran Engineering Limited (1635154D IN) is planning to raise about US$119m through its upcoming IPO in India. The lead bookrunners for the deal are Pantomath Limited, Systematix Group.
  • Vikran Engineering Limited (VEL) based in Mumbai, operates as an Engineering, Procurement & Construction (EPC) firm, focusing on power, water, and railway infrastructure projects. 
  • VEL plans to allocate its funds towards financing the company’s working capital needs and general corporate purposes.

DNOW, Inc. – Positioned for an Evolving Energy Market

By Water Tower Research

  • DNOW’s existing fulfillment model is contributing to increased earnings and free cash flow capacity through industry cycles.
  • 1H24 revenue totaled $1,196 million compared with $1,178 million in 1H23, despite a 5% decline in the average global rig count. US revenue totaled $947 million in 1H24 compared with $883 million in 1H23 despite a 24% decline in the average US rig count.
  • US gains reflect increased market share and a partial contribution from the $185 million Whitco acquisition, which closed March 12, 2024. Free cash flow totaled $98 million in 1H24. 

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Jiangsu Hoperun Software, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Mediatek Inc, Horizon Robotics, Money Forward , Delta Electronics and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext Dec 24: US$400mn Expected Inflow for Jiangsu Hoperun
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Holding Up; ASE & CHT See Sharp Drops
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Some Changes to Exp ADDs/DELs; Large Flow Expectations
  • Smartphone Growth Is Slowing Down to +4% YoY in 3Q. Mediatek Had a Good Rally, Time to Take a Break
  • Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines
  • Money Forward (3994) | Q3 Priced In; Look for Pull-Back
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (16-Oct-2024): Taiwan seeks US defense contracts with efficiency.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext Dec 24: US$400mn Expected Inflow for Jiangsu Hoperun

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we have presented our updated rankings for Potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in December 2024.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Holding Up; ASE & CHT See Sharp Drops

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +15.6% Premium; Relatively Aggressive Trade is to Long Premium
  • ASE: -3.0% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the Premium
  • CHT: -2.8% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the Premium

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Some Changes to Exp ADDs/DELs; Large Flow Expectations

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.
  • We currently expect 16 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500. Some of these names are different from what we had in our September 2024 insight.

Smartphone Growth Is Slowing Down to +4% YoY in 3Q. Mediatek Had a Good Rally, Time to Take a Break

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Smartphones units sold in 3Q24 increased by +4% YoY. That’s a slowdown from +7% YoY in 1H24.
  • Growth comes from low-price Emerging Markets demand. But the Premium segment sees increasing ASP with AI-enabled phones.  
  • Hence for Mediatek and Qualcomm, the investment thesis rests on increasing ASP as AI is propagating – not volume growth. MTK had a nice rally, time to take a breather. 

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines

By Brian Freitas

  • Horizon Robotics (1395186D CH) is offering 1.355bn shares in its IPO at a price range of HK$3.73-3.99/share. With the overallotment option, the IPO could raise up to HK$6.2bn (US$801m).
  • Cornerstone investors will take up a third of the offer. Those shares will be locked up for 6 months and will significantly reduce the free float of the stock.
  • Index inclusions will commence with the HSCI in March 2025 – however, as a stock with Weighted Voting Rights, inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will only take place in May.

Money Forward (3994) | Q3 Priced In; Look for Pull-Back

By Mark Chadwick

  • In Q3, Money Forward demonstrated continued strong performance, with consolidated net sales posting 31% growth year-on-year to ¥9.81 billion
  • EBITDA for the cumulative nine months stands at ¥1.48 billion, comfortably within the company’s full year guidance range of ¥1-3 billion.
  • We now see a very modest 2% upside to our target price of ¥6,440, based on an 8x forward revenue multiple. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (16-Oct-2024): Taiwan seeks US defense contracts with efficiency.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Taiwan’s defense sector offers competitive advantage with better, faster, and cheaper solutions for securing US contracts.
  • Growing tech sector demands secure, local storage solutions due to high energy usage.
  • Google boosts investments in Asia-Pacific countries to expand its presence and tap into growing markets in the region.

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Daily Brief Financials: MS&AD Insurance, China Vanke , Bitcoin, Bitcoin Pro, S&U PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan CorpGovReport Details: TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price” Details (Oct24)
  • Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Reliance Industries, West China Cement
  • Crypto Crisp: Seller. Coinbase Seller
  • Sweet Sweet Liquidity
  • S&U – The time to look ahead


Japan CorpGovReport Details: TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price” Details (Oct24)

By Travis Lundy

  • TSE-Listed companies are asked to file “Management Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price” awareness reports/policies. Many have. Some are still working on it. And policies change, and CGR reports are updated.
  • Our tools show every report, links to every document, and now a new diff file tool. input a name, see the difference between the Old/New Reports. We hope it helps.
  • This tool is designed to be a shelf reference. We update it once a month, and every CorpGovReport and new “Management Conscious” report updated since a CGR update is here.

Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Reliance Industries, West China Cement

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Crypto Crisp: Seller. Coinbase Seller

By Mads Eberhardt

  • The crypto market showed some encouraging signs over the weekend, despite Coinbase showing a significant discount on its Bitcoin and Ethereum prices.
  • This suggests that Coinbase users are net sellers, possibly due to concerns about the 69,330 bitcoins seized by the U.S. government in connection with the Silk Road case.
  • However, we believe it is very unlikely that the government will liquidate these bitcoins anytime soon.

Sweet Sweet Liquidity

By Etherbridge

  • September showed positive returns, bucking the seasonal negative returns we have seen in previous years.
  • BTCUSD (6.79%), ETHUSD (2.99%), SOLUSD (10.51%) and OTHERS index (15.86%) were green across the board.
  • The odds of an explosive expansionary phase significantly increased in September.

S&U – The time to look ahead

By Edison Investment Research

In line with earlier guidance, S&U reported H125 PBT of £12.8m, a significant decline versus H124 but an improvement versus H224. Customer repayment collections and earnings in the motor finance business were materially affected by the temporary restrictions agreed with the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). These have since been lifted, and while regulatory discussions are ongoing, this is an important step towards the strong recovery in motor finance earnings that we forecast. Meanwhile, as previously reported, the property lending division continues to perform strongly, with a positive outlook for continuing growth.


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Daily Brief Health Care: Sinopep-Allsino Bio Pharmaceutical, Top Glove Corp, Shanghai Henlius Biotech , Rigaku Holdings, Rubicon Research Limited, Actinogen Medical, Dogwood Therapeutics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Service Dec 24: US$271mn One-Way; 1x-4x ADV to Trade for Most Names
  • Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK): Volumes Rise as Demand Revival Cycle On; US to Be the Key Market
  • Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696.HK) Privatization Update- Looks Like “An Agreement” Has Been Reached?
  • Rigaku IPO: Forecasts and Valuation
  • Rubicon Research Pre-IPO – Robust Product Development Pipeline Driving Revenue Growth
  • Actinogen Medical – A$11.1m capital raise completed
  • Dogwood Therapeutics, Inc. – DWTX: Virios Therapeutics Becomes Dogwood Therapeutics


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Service Dec 24: US$271mn One-Way; 1x-4x ADV to Trade for Most Names

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.
  • We expect up to five ADDs and five DELs for the CSI Medical Service index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data.

Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK): Volumes Rise as Demand Revival Cycle On; US to Be the Key Market

By Tina Banerjee

  • Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK) achieved 75% YoY and 31% QoQ revenue growth in 4QFY24, driven by higher volume and relatively stable selling price, with net loss narrowing down further.
  • Considering the current demand and supply condition, Top Glove expects the ASP to further increase. The company aims to recover its EBITDA margin to pre-pandemic levels of 15% by FY26.
  • Import alert and expected tariff increase on Chinese manufacturers, may help shift the focus from China to Malaysia, as the preferred sourcing destination, thereby helping Top Glove.

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696.HK) Privatization Update- Looks Like “An Agreement” Has Been Reached?

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Fosun has a clear plan for Henlius’ future development. This seems to hint at “an internal consensus” – Fosun seems to have persuaded major shareholders to vote for the privatization.
  • The privatization of Henlius will make positive contributions to Fosun Pharma’s revenue/profit, but this impact is limited.  What Fosun really wants is to obtain huge investment income from another spin-off/re-listed.
  • For investors who are interested in the Share Alternative, they’re advised to figure out whether the Rollover Entities/Securities is relevant to the new entity.If not, the Share Alternative is worthless.

Rigaku IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) has opened its books for the IPO, and the IPO will raise $753m purely through the sale of shares by the existing shareholders.
  • Unlike its competitors, Rigaku has a very specialized product portfolio that is entirely focused on X-ray technology which makes the company unique among its competitors. 
  • Our analysis reveals that Rigaku’s IPO is attractively priced compared to its competitors and there is more than 15-20% upside to the indicative IPO price range.

Rubicon Research Pre-IPO – Robust Product Development Pipeline Driving Revenue Growth

By Akshat Shah

  • Rubicon Research Limited (1453591D IN) is looking to raise about US$130m in its India IPO.
  • It is a pharmaceutical formulations company with an increasing portfolio of specialty products and drug-device combination products targeting regulated markets, particularly, the United States.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Actinogen Medical – A$11.1m capital raise completed

By Edison Investment Research

Actinogen Medical announced the successful completion of its A$3.0m share purchase plan (SPP), which closed 1.3x oversubscribed. With its previously disclosed A$8.1m share placement, total funds from the combined capital raising reached the targeted A$11.1m in gross proceeds. The company expects that the total proceeds will enable its operating runway to reach the release of top-line results for its XanaMIA Phase IIb/III trial in patients with mild-to-moderate Alzheimer’s disease (AD), expected in mid-CY26. The next major catalyst for Actinogen is the interim results on the first c 100 patients of this study, expected in mid-CY25, which could lead to licensing and/or value realisation opportunities. Our risk-adjusted net present value is A$619.8m (vs A$616.8m previously).


Dogwood Therapeutics, Inc. – DWTX: Virios Therapeutics Becomes Dogwood Therapeutics

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On October 7, 2024, Virios Therapeutics, Inc. (VIRI) announced a business combination with privately-held Wex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to form Dogwood Therapeutics, Inc. (DWTX).
  • The name and ticker change, along with a 1:25 reverse split, took effect October 9, 2024.
  • The new company will be focused on the advancement of three assets: Halneuron , which is currently in a Phase 2b trial for the treatment of chemotherapy-induced neuropathic pain (CINP) IMC-1, which is a Phase 3-ready asset for the treatment of fibromyalgia and IMC-2, which is currently in development to treat Long COVID.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Bossini International Holdings, China Resources Beverage, Takashimaya, Seven & I Holdings, Arvind Fashions, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Bassett Furniture Inds and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Bossini (592 HK): Viva Goods Offer?
  • China Resources Beverage IPO – Volatility Makes Pricing a Bit Tricky
  • CR Beverage (2460 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Takashimaya (8233 JP) Decent Earnings, BIG Buyback (Odd Register Dynamics)
  • How Seven Eleven and Other Conbinis Are Sitting on a Retail Media Goldmine
  • Namaste India 🙏 | Catching up with Fashion
  • CR Beverage IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Strong Profitability Growth, IPO Valuation Is Cheap
  • EQD | KOSPI 200 May Pullback Soon…
  • Bassett Furniture Industries, Inc. – New Revenue and EPS Estimates


Bossini (592 HK): Viva Goods Offer?

By David Blennerhassett


China Resources Beverage IPO – Volatility Makes Pricing a Bit Tricky

By Sumeet Singh

  • China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)  is looking to raise up to US$650m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
  • China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.

CR Beverage (2460 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Takashimaya (8233 JP) Decent Earnings, BIG Buyback (Odd Register Dynamics)

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, Takashimaya (8233 JP) reported Q2 earnings, a dividend hike, upward revisions to the FY26 MTMP, and a decent-sized buyback to raise leverage levels and ROE.
  • The company is yen-sensitive both in overseas retail and domestic department stores on inbound traffic. One could imagine future issues. 
  • The register looks like it is quite open. It is not. That is worth considering now and in future.

How Seven Eleven and Other Conbinis Are Sitting on a Retail Media Goldmine

By Michael Causton

  • Just as they did before, Japanese convenience stores are taking a US idea and making it Japanese, in this case retail media, which looks set to be huge in Japan.
  • Seven & I believes it will be a ¥3 trillion business and Familymart, which is leading in this new profit machine, expects ¥5 billion in media income in 3 years.
  • The options for highly personalised targeting and behavioural analysis will transform brand advertising and marketing – but even more the bottom line of convenience stores.

Namaste India 🙏 | Catching up with Fashion

By Pranav Bhavsar


CR Beverage IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Strong Profitability Growth, IPO Valuation Is Cheap

By Andrei Zakharov

  • CR Beverage, a pioneer in China’s packaged drinking water industry with a forty years history, sets terms for upcoming IPO in Hong Kong.
  • The IPO is expected to be between HK$13.50 and HK$14.50. At the midpoint of the range, CR Beverage would command a market value of ~HK$33B or ~$4.2B.
  • I view IPO valuation as attractive vs. domestic peers as profitability and gross profit margins improved. UBS, BOCI, CITIC Securities and Bank of America are leading the offering.

EQD | KOSPI 200 May Pullback Soon…

By Nico Rosti

  • While the short-selling ban for the KOSPI 200 INDEX will remain in place until the first months of 2025, that does not prevent the index from pulling back.
  • Pullbacks, in this context, are an opportunity to buy, in the hope the index will rise higher from its current position.
  • Our models right now are showing a short-term WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT scenario coming in the next 2 weeks. Keep reading for more details.

Bassett Furniture Industries, Inc. – New Revenue and EPS Estimates

By Water Tower Research

  • We are updating our 4QFY24 and revenue and adjusted EPS estimates for BSET following the company’s earnings release and investor call (see 1 for our summary of the quarter).
  • As noted, industry conditions for residential furniture remain challenging, with the housing market (still) stuck and consumer spending on furniture and furnishings subdued after the COVID pull-through, when many people renovated their homes.
  • Near term, we expect demand to remain subdued, even as easier comps and some return to normal demand dynamics gain traction over the next several quarters.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Quantamental LLM Primer 2: Convert Sellside/Buyside Ideas into a Long/Short Alpha Capture Portfolio and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Quantamental LLM Primer 2: Convert Sellside/Buyside Ideas into a Long/Short Alpha Capture Portfolio


Quantamental LLM Primer 2: Convert Sellside/Buyside Ideas into a Long/Short Alpha Capture Portfolio

By William Mann

  • Ask the AI to convert the Trading Strategy Recommendations from Part 1 into a L/S Alpha Capture portfolio of ETFs. Iterate several times to ensure the portfolio recommendations are sound. 
  • Sanity Checkand provide feedback to AI to iterate on portfolio. Generate report with final recommendations. Run same process with another AI to compare its interpretation of the Trading Strategy.
  • Using Prompt Engineer, compare these two separate AI-driven reports, in both AIs to highlight similarities and differences between the models. Resolve to a final portfolio with this Sanity-Check comparison

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Daily Brief ESG: Itelyum Group – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Itelyum Group – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Itelyum Group – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Itelyum Group’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its Environmental, Social and Governance pillars. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.


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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Japan Morning Connection: US Semis and Tech Set a Bullish Tone for Japan’s SPE Majors and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Morning Connection: US Semis and Tech Set a Bullish Tone for Japan’s SPE Majors
  • Ohayo Japan | Fresh Highs
  • Biopharma Week in Review – October 14, 2024
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – October 14, 2024


Japan Morning Connection: US Semis and Tech Set a Bullish Tone for Japan’s SPE Majors

By Andrew Jackson

  • US semis and tech related setting a bullish tone for JP SPE with NVDA closing at record highs.
  • Steep drop for oil to hit Japex, Index and refiners while US P&C strength should also be reflected in JP peers.
  • Possible downside for Fujitsu with NTT Docomo announcing a pivot away from their base station equipment.

Ohayo Japan | Fresh Highs

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stock markets reached new heights on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average setting fresh records.
  • Tech stocks led the day’s gains, with chip giant Nvidia rising nearly 3% to close at a new high above $138 per share
  • Shin-Etsu Chemical, the leading silicon wafer producer, plans to enter semiconductor manufacturing equipment business.

Biopharma Week in Review – October 14, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A.
  • Last week, SRRK gained from muscle-building data in SMA, with positive read-through for obesity and BHVN.
  • WW joined HIMS in selling NVO GLP-1 copies, while the FDA backed off on LLY copiers after a lawsuit.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – October 14, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • Furniture and furnishing stocks underperformed the broader market this week.
  • The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-0.5%), Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index (-2.4%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (-1.1%) trailed the DJ30 and S&P 500 (both +2.1%) and the R2K (+1.7%).
  • The Water Tower Research Mass Retailers Index was up (+3.2%).

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Daily Brief ECM: FCP Capital Sends a Proposal to KT&G to Buy Korea Ginseng Corp for 1.9 Trillion Won and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • FCP Capital Sends a Proposal to KT&G to Buy Korea Ginseng Corp for 1.9 Trillion Won
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Good, The Bad and The Valuation. Not for Quick Gain Seekers
  • Horizon Robotics Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – More of the Same, Lots to Watch Out For


FCP Capital Sends a Proposal to KT&G to Buy Korea Ginseng Corp for 1.9 Trillion Won

By Douglas Kim

  • On 14 October, FCP Capital sent a proposal to KT&G to purchase Korea Ginseng Corp for 1.9 trillion won. 
  • Although KT&G stated that it has no intentions to sell Korea Ginseng Corp, this proposal highlights the ongoing pressure by FCP Capital to improve further value in KT&G.
  • The 1.9 trillion won in proposed purchase price is higher than the 1.2 trillion won to 1.3 trillion won that KT&G revealed as the intrinsic value of Korea Ginseng Corp.

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Good, The Bad and The Valuation. Not for Quick Gain Seekers

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) ‘s USD 3 billion+ IPO opens today, 15th October, at 10:00 am IST. The bidding will remain open until 4:30 pm IST on 17th October.
  • Near-Term Outlook: Limited Short-Term Gain Potential. While Hyundai is likely to outperform Maruti Suzuki given the valuation discount, it may underperform the broader sector in the near term.
  • Long-Term Opportunity: For investors with a longer-term horizon, Hyundai presents a relatively low-risk opportunity. Its established brand and world-class manufacturing facilities offer the potential for steady, long-term growth.

Horizon Robotics Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – More of the Same, Lots to Watch Out For

By Sumeet Singh

  • Horizon Robotics is looking to raise US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
  • Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
  • In this note, we talk about the recent updates from its filings.

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