Daily Briefs

• Q424 revenue forecast of $26.5 billion, up 13% QoQ and the highest Q3 to Q4 revenue jump since Q4 2017
• Demand for AI acceleration is real and just beginning. According to a key customer of theirs, “demand right now is just insane”
• Overseas fabs progressing well with Arizona yielding well and on track for high volume production in early 2025

• TSMC Delivers Strong 3Q24 Revenue and Margin Growth; Margin Guidance Climbs
• Management Says Believes AI Demand is Not Hyped… Companies Extracting ROIs
• TSMC – Structural Long Rating Maintained; NT$1,515 Price Target Suggests 46% Upside

• Main positive surprise in 3Q24 is a sharp margins expansion, reflecting Utilization increase. OP 9% above Consensus.
• Main positive surprise in 4Q24 guidance: high QoQ revenue growth at 13%, which suggests further Utilization increase and TSMC could beat its margins guidance again.  
• Net Income growth is accelerating in 2H24 to ~55% YoY. The stock is not that expensive, we estimate trading at 17.2x 2025 and 13.8x 2026 EPS.

• 4Q24 Guidance: Sales will be US$26.1-26.9bn, up 13%; GM outlook will be 57-59%; and OPM outlook is 46.5-48.5%
• AI revenue contribution will triple and reach mid-teens sales contribution this year. Almost every AI innovator cooperates with TSMC.
• APT will grow above the corporate average in the next five years.GM is approaching the corporate average, but it’s not the same currently.

• Pilbara Minerals announced the establishment of a $1 billion debt facility with a banking syndicate.
• The company plans to use the facility to repay existing concessional debt and potentially make acquisitions.
• The new facility offers more flexibility in terms of leverage ratios compared to existing debt agreements.

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• CoWoS packaging meets global demand for advanced technology, with efficient design for integration.
• Taiwan reveals breakthrough in tiny quantum computer technology, impacting the tech industry.
• LGES secures multi-billion deal with Mercedes-Benz for EV batteries, boosting electric vehicle industry.

• In FY02/24, revenue was JPY48.8bn (+27.8% YoY), operating profit was JPY4.6bn (+653.2% YoY), recurring profit was JPY4.8bn (+92.5% YoY), and net income was JPY3.2bn (+112.8% YoY).
• The company attributed YoY revenue growth to the following factors.
• First, customer count continued to grow after the March 2023 price hike.

• Shell expects Q3 refining margins to drop 28.6% QoQ to USD 5.5/bbl, driven by a sharp decline in oil prices. However, improved chemical margins are anticipated to offer some relief.
• Between 2023 and 2025, Shell plans to invest USD 10 billion to USD 15 billion in low-carbon solutions globally, with a strategic emphasis on LNG.
• Shell projects LNG to account for 26% of energy sales by 2030, up from 22% in 2023, while oil products will decrease from 48% to 39%.

• The company required a $180 billion bailout from the US government during the financial crisis, but has since fully repaid it with interest.
• Under Peter Zafino’s leadership, AIG has refocused its underwriting efforts, returning to profitability and divesting non-core businesses.
• AIG has undergone a remarkable turnaround post-financial crisis, focusing on specialty insurance for top quartile industry returns

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

• TotalEnergies’ revenue is expected to fall 9.1% QoQ and 17.8% YoY in Q3, while its EPS is expected to rise 6.6% QoQ but fall 19.8% YoY. 
• TotalEnergies anticipates a decline in downstream profitability due to a 65.7% QoQ drop in European refining margins, though increased gas prices are expected to partially offset lower oil prices.
• TotalEnergies raised its annual oil and gas output growth forecast to 3% through 2030. Targets natural gas to comprise 50% of its total sales mix by 2030.