Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Health Care: Elan Corp, BioAge Labs and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • M3 (2413 JP) Launches Partial Offer To Take Control of Elan (6099 JP)
  • Elan Corporation (6099 JP): M3 (2413 JP)’s Partial Tender Offer
  • BioAge Labs Launches IPO Roadshow, Seeks To Raise Up To $150M on the Nasdaq Exchange


M3 (2413 JP) Launches Partial Offer To Take Control of Elan (6099 JP)

By Travis Lundy

  • M3 Inc (2413 JP) will buy 50.1-55.0% of Elan Corp (6099 JP). Three principals+family have agreed to tender 50.1%. The premium is not huge. This is not an ATH. 
  • There will be synergies. I am a little surprised by the deal+price (CEO is young, why sell so cheaply so early?) but it should be good for the TargetCo.
  • There are possible post-tender complications on a high participation rate. I expect those can be cured relatively easily. 

Elan Corporation (6099 JP): M3 (2413 JP)’s Partial Tender Offer

By Arun George

  • Elan Corp (6099 JP) announced a partial tender offer and capital and business agreement with M3 Inc (2413 JP). M3 aims to make Elan a consolidated subsidiary.  
  • The offer is for a minimum of 30.4 million (50.10% ownership ratio) and a maximum of 33.3 million shares (55.00% ownership ratio) at JPY1,040, 24.0% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • Irrevocable from tendering shareholders will satisfy the minimum acceptance condition. The offer is unremarkable, suggesting a final proration materially above the minimum of 56.07%.

BioAge Labs Launches IPO Roadshow, Seeks To Raise Up To $150M on the Nasdaq Exchange

By Andrei Zakharov

  • BioAge Labs launches roadshow and sets terms for an IPO: a company offers 7.5M shares at the price range of $17.00-$19.00, implying a market cap of ~$580M at the midpoint.
  • Sofinnova Venture Partners plans to purchase ~$15M worth of BioAge Labs shares in this offering. The shares are expected to begin trading on Nasdaq on September 26, 2024.
  • I view IPO valuation (post-offering EV ~$280M and runway into 2028) as attractive and expect BioAge Labs shares will outperform during first trading day next week.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Intuitive Machines , Shanghai Electric Group Company, China CSSC Holdings Ltd A, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Boeing Co, SPIE SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Intuitive Machines (LUNR): Poised for Lunar Leadership with Major NASA Contract!
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Massive Increase in AUMs Causes Flow Expectations to Soar
  • China’s Two Largest Shipbuilders Set Stock Swap Terms For $38 Billion Merger
  • CATL CEO & Founder Robin Zeng:  The Journey to Market Dominance
  • Boeing’s Uncertain Future: Navigating Challenges Amid Strikes & Mounting Debt!
  • SPIE – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Intuitive Machines (LUNR): Poised for Lunar Leadership with Major NASA Contract!

By Baptista Research

  • Intuitive Machines is at the forefront of space exploration, specializing in lunar services and infrastructure, with a strong reliance on governmental contracts such as NASA.
  • The company’s recent $4.82 billion Near Space Network contract with NASA solidifies its standing as a critical player in the burgeoning space economy.
  • Intuitive Machines is uniquely positioned in the market with its lunar lander capabilities, data transmission services, and autonomous lunar operations.

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Massive Increase in AUMs Causes Flow Expectations to Soar

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.
  • Since our last insight in August, there has been a sharp increase in reported AUMs tracking CSI 300 and CSI 500. This has caused our flow expectations to rise sharply.

China’s Two Largest Shipbuilders Set Stock Swap Terms For $38 Billion Merger

By Caixin Global

  • China State Shipbuilding Corp. Ltd. (CSSC) and China Shipbuilding Industry Corp. (CSIC) on Wednesday announced a stock exchange proposal in their merger deal.
  • Analysts said the proposed exchange terms are not favorable for shareholders of China Shipbuilding Industry.
  • The two largest state-owned shipbuilding conglomerates determined the exchange ratio at 0.1335 shares of CSSC for each share of CSIC.

CATL CEO & Founder Robin Zeng:  The Journey to Market Dominance

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • Company specializes in battery products for electric vehicles and energy storage
  • Competes with itself to continuously innovate and invent new chemistries
  • Relies on state support in China to quickly meet consumer needs and roll out products efficiently

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Boeing’s Uncertain Future: Navigating Challenges Amid Strikes & Mounting Debt!

By Baptista Research

  • Boeing, a giant in the aerospace and defense industry, continues to find itself at the center of financial and operational turmoil.
  • Recent updates on its second-quarter 2024 earnings call revealed deep-rooted challenges exacerbated by a striking workforce and continued production slowdowns.
  • Yet, despite these hurdles, Boeing remains a critical player in the global aerospace market, buoyed by its extensive order backlog and future growth prospects.

SPIE – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We view SPIE’s ESG as “Strong”, in line with its Social and Governance scores. The company has an “Adequate” score for the Environmental pillar. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”. 

SPIE was awarded a Gold rating by EcoVadis for the ninth consecutive year in 2023.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Financials: Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance, Swire Pacific (A), NIFTY Index, IP Group PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Why Samsung Fire Is Shaping Up to Be the Hottest Dividend Play Ahead of the Value-Up Disclosure
  • StubWorld: Swire Trading “Cheap” As Cathay Squares Government Debt
  • EQD / NSE Vol Update / As Suspected … Risk-Premia Unable to Hold Its Bid
  • IP Group – Management sees positive portfolio momentum


Why Samsung Fire Is Shaping Up to Be the Hottest Dividend Play Ahead of the Value-Up Disclosure

By Sanghyun Park

  • With the 15% ownership cap complicating buybacks, Samsung Fire’s more likely to roll out a dividend-focused value-up play instead.
  • They’ve flagged a mix of shareholder returns and investments, but the big question is how much will be funneled into returns this year.
  • If Samsung Fire hits a 50% shareholder return this year, DPS could jump to ₩23,000–₩25,000 with a 6.5% yield, potentially boosting the stock price by 20–30%.

StubWorld: Swire Trading “Cheap” As Cathay Squares Government Debt

By David Blennerhassett

  • Swire Pacific (19 HK) is coming up “cheap” on my monitor vs. Swire Properties (1972 HK) and Cathay Pacific (293 HK), after Cathay settles its Hong Kong government tab.
  • Preceding my comments on Swire and Cathay are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

EQD / NSE Vol Update / As Suspected … Risk-Premia Unable to Hold Its Bid

By Sankalp Singh

  • IVs traded lower as risk sentiment received a boost. Markdown in risk-premia confirms earlier premise that the early-September Vol-spike was a seasonality driven event
  • Vol-Curve Term-structure going into the Fed meeting – Slightly inverted for Nifty50 options & exhibiting V-shape kinked curve for BankNifty options
  • Volatility Regime Model for BankNifty has switched to “Low & Down”, while Nifty50 options retain their “High & Down” vol-state. 

IP Group – Management sees positive portfolio momentum

By Edison Investment Research

IP Group reported broadly stable private portfolio values in H124, assisted by the positive revaluation of Featurespace, an AI-powered fraud and financial crime detection business, which delivered strong top-line growth of 46.5% in 2023 to £50.4m. This helped offset a further carrying value reduction of First Light Fusion and a partial write-down of Ultraleap Holdings, a human-machine interface business. The de-rating of listed Oxford Nanopore (ONT) was therefore the major driver behind IP Group’s 9% NAV fall in total return (TR) terms in H124. Roughly half of ONT’s share price decline has reversed post reporting date, supported by its half-year trading update and the Novo Holdings investment. Across other life sciences holdings, there were four positive clinical trial results and only one failure. Importantly, IP Group has seen an uptick in exits in the year to date, with cash proceeds of £44.6m (c 4% of opening portfolio value, with £30m from the sale of Garrison Technology). This encouraged the company to increase the current buyback programme by £10m to £30m.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC
  • Hezbollah’s Pager Explosions and South Korea’s Security Breach – Implications for Tech Supply Chains
  • Episode 85: OpenAI leaves AI Silicon in the Dust
  • The “What’s Left In India” Screen: 80 Stocks with High ROEs and Relatively Lower PEs
  • Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP): Amid China Fear There Are Reasons to Still Stay Bullish
  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia(GOTO IJ) – Lifting Clouds
  • Timee: Market Overreacts to Potential Competition and Drop in Margins
  • kopi-C with GuocoLand’s Group CEO: ‘We have twin engines for growth’
  • Edwards Lifesciences is in the Spotlight as a Takeover Target: What Value Can It Attract?
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Sep-2024): Gold Apollo denies Lebanon pager explosions; MOEA confirms Taiwan assembly.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC’s U.S. Production Strategy Achieves Major Milestone – Begins Production of Apple A16 Chips in Arizona
  • Reports of Apple’s Disappointing Initial iPhone 16 Sales Data; Key Taiwan Suppliers Top Losers Recently
  • Samsung Falling Behind TSMC – New Report of Low Yields Continuing to Plague Samsung’s 3nm AI Processors

Hezbollah’s Pager Explosions and South Korea’s Security Breach – Implications for Tech Supply Chains

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Explosive pagers linked to Hezbollah attacks spark controversy for a Taiwanese brand.
  • Not just Lebanon – today it was reported that the South Korean military removed Chinese-made CCTV cameras after secret backdoors were detected.
  • A counter-intuitive conclusion: Despite recent news, is the trend ultimately positive for Taiwanese tech hardware makers?

Episode 85: OpenAI leaves AI Silicon in the Dust

By The Circuit

  • The new transformer model requires significant amount of inference and multilevel reasoning
  • The demand for inference compute is skyrocketing, surpassing current silicon architecture capabilities
  • OpenAI’s new model showcases the future potential of AI, but also highlights the gap in semiconductor architectures and computing infrastructure

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


The “What’s Left In India” Screen: 80 Stocks with High ROEs and Relatively Lower PEs

By Sameer Taneja

  • India has become one of the most expensive markets globally, trading at a PE of close to 28. Quality stocks now trade consistently around 50-90x PEs. 
  • We have screened 80 names (market cap agnostic) that trade at PEs between 5 and 45, with an average PE of 20 and an average ROEs of 26%. 
  • We treat this only as a filter and aim to do due diligence on all these stocks over the next few months. 

Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP): Amid China Fear There Are Reasons to Still Stay Bullish

By Tina Banerjee

  • Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP) reported 30% YoY revenue growth in H1FY25. Profit margins also remained high, with operating profit margin exceeding 33% and operating profit reaching ¥2.7B, 1.5x YoY.
  • The company has left FY25 guidance unchanged. The company’s cautious stance, yen appreciation, and darkening outlook of China amid weak economic data are the major downside risks.
  • We think reactions are overdone. Limited downside is expected from here. Encouraging SSS growth through continuous increases in unit price and accelerated store expansion will remain the key growth drivers.

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia(GOTO IJ) – Lifting Clouds

By Angus Mackintosh

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia together with Alibaba Group Holding announced a strategic partnership that locks the latter in for the next 5-years, with GOTO committing to utilising Alibaba Cloud.
  • This move lifts a significant share price overhang and should provide GOTO with both cost benefits and AI capabilities cementing and aligning the interests of the two companies. 
  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) continues to move the needle on its progress towards adjusted EBITDA breakeven by 4Q2024 led by product-led initiatives. 

Timee: Market Overreacts to Potential Competition and Drop in Margins

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) ’s share price has declined 26% over the last five days with the company reporting 3QFY10/2024 earnings on 12th September 2024.
  • As we expected, top line growth has further slowed down while OPM for the quarter has dropped both QoQ and YoY concerning investors over Timee’s ability to generate sustainable margins.
  • Timee’s proven business model has attracted Mercari and Sharefull to offer similar services, nevertheless, we would not be too concerned as Timee has the first mover advantage.

kopi-C with GuocoLand’s Group CEO: ‘We have twin engines for growth’

By Geoff Howie

  • kopi-C with GuocoLand’s Group CEO: ‘We have twin engines for growth’ Real estate company GuocoLand’s Group Chief Executive Officer Cheng Hsing Yao shares how focusing on development and investment has driven its growth and prepared it for the future.
  • GuocoLand Limited (“GuocoLand”) and its subsidiaries (“the Group”) is a leading real estate group that is focused on its twin engines of growth in Property Investment and Property Development.

Edwards Lifesciences is in the Spotlight as a Takeover Target: What Value Can It Attract?

By Baptista Research

  • In reviewing the latest results from Edwards Lifesciences, notable elements of growth and development paired with challenges shed light on the company’s financial and operational trajectory during the second quarter of 2024.
  • With total company sales reaching $1.6 billion, this marked an 8% increase on a constant currency basis compared to the same period last year.
  • While Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) growth was not as robust as expected, increasing by 6% globally, the Transcatheter Mitral and Tricuspid Therapies (TMTT) segment demonstrated impressive growth, with a 75% increase in sales.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Sep-2024): Gold Apollo denies Lebanon pager explosions; MOEA confirms Taiwan assembly.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Gold Apollo denies involvement in Lebanon pager explosions, while Taiwan’s MOEA confirms pager assembly happening in Taiwan.
  • Taiwan’s wafer foundry industry set to grow in 3Q 2024; can new orders and cost reductions drive Intel’s recovery?
  • E Ink Prism technology revolutionizing automotive and consumer electronics;CATL looking to expand in solar-storage market.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Systematic Quantitative Equity Strategies Outlook: 9/15/24 – Year-End and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Systematic Quantitative Equity Strategies Outlook: 9/15/24 – Year-End


Systematic Quantitative Equity Strategies Outlook: 9/15/24 – Year-End

By William Mann

  • Strong YTD performance with volatility: Systematic quantitative equity strategies have strong but volatile performance in 2024, with momentum and reversal factors driving returns, particularly in U.S. technology (AI sectors).
  • Key macroeconomic drivers: Interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, geopolitical tensions (especially involving China), and the upcoming U.S. Presidential election will be major catalysts influencing equity markets through year-end.
  • Sector-Specific opportunities: AI-driven tech and consumer discretionary stocks benefit from rate cuts, but overvaluation risks persist. Value and quality sectors in Europe and defensive strategies (e.g. reversal) hedge market corrections.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Technical Analysis: SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track


SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track

By Joe Jasper

  • The S&P 500 (SPX) is back to test YTD highs and important resistance in the 5670-5783 range. This is an important target/resistance area we have discussed for weeks.
  • Using the 2007 SPX topping analog suggests a 2% or less move above the prior all-time high set in July at 5670 before topping, which gives the 5783 number.
  • As long as SPX does not have a weekly close above 5783 we continue to recommend reducing risk and shifting to defensives,and this is the ideal time to do so.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal


Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ECM: K Bank IPO: The Bull Case and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • K Bank IPO: The Bull Case
  • Belstar Microfinance Pre-IPO – Accelerating Profitability Growth With A Diversified Network
  • Mr. D.I.Y Holding (Thailand) Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Pre-IPO Carote Ltd (PHIP Updates) – High Performance Growth May Not Be Sustainable
  • Hive Box – Pre-IPO: To Understand Who Pays and Why They Pay
  • K Bank IPO – The Negatives – Ample Issues Along with Crypto Exposure & Lockup


K Bank IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • K Bank (279570 KS) is a Korean internet bank. It has launched an IPO to raise up to US$734 million. 
  • K Bank began operations in April 2017 as the first internet-only bank in Korea. KT Corp (030200 KS) and Woori Bank (000030 KS) are the two largest shareholders.
  • The bull case rests on rising market share, solid deposit growth, robust loan book growth, stable NIM, rising margins and a low NPL ratio.

Belstar Microfinance Pre-IPO – Accelerating Profitability Growth With A Diversified Network

By Akshat Shah

  • Belstar Microfinance Ltd (3624918Z IN) is looking to raise around US$156m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Belstar Microfinance is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) in India with a focus on furnishing micro-enterprise loans. 
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Mr. D.I.Y Holding (Thailand) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Mr. DIY Holding (Thailand) (2472516D TB) (MRDIYT) is looking to raise as much as US$300m in its upcoming Thai IPO. The deal will be run by CIMB Thai Bank.
  • MRDIYT is the largest and fastest growing home improvement and general lifestyle retailer in Thailand, holding approximately 7.4% market share in 2023.
  • MRDIYT’s proposition is to offer competitive value for over 15,000 products across a variety of departments – hardware/tools, household appliances, electrical appliances, stationery, sporting goods, toys etc.

Pre-IPO Carote Ltd (PHIP Updates) – High Performance Growth May Not Be Sustainable

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Relying mainly on online channels and successful internationalization strategy, CAROTE’s performance growth showed strong momentum in recent years. However, after the short-term demand outbreak, future performance growth could slow down.
  • CAROTE adopts a product strategy similar to ZARA, launching a massive product matrix, constantly attracting consumers’ interest, but the innovation capability and core competitiveness of products are not high.
  • Valuation of CAROTE could be higher than Vesync (2148 HK).If Trump is elected, the friction/trade war between China and US may escalate, which is detrimental to CAROTE’s future valuation performance.

Hive Box – Pre-IPO: To Understand Who Pays and Why They Pay

By Ming Lu

  • Delivery workers would like to pay to save their time.
  • Retailers would also like to pay for return delivery to raise their service quality.
  • However, product buyers have to pay, but would not like to pay the delay fee.

K Bank IPO – The Negatives – Ample Issues Along with Crypto Exposure & Lockup

By Sumeet Singh

  • K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
  • K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Fed Signals Two More Rate Cuts in 2024 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Fed Signals Two More Rate Cuts in 2024
  • These 8 Gold Juniors are on our M&A Watchlists
  • Fed Rate Cut – Real Lending Rates at 5.97% Near Where Peaking In August 2007
  • Japan Morning Connection: Market Expected to Recover After Fed Announcement
  • # 60 India Insight: Hindalco INR 2,450 Cr Investment, JK Cement & Hindustan Zinc Capacity Expansion


Ohayo Japan | Fed Signals Two More Rate Cuts in 2024

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks closed with modest losses on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points
  • The Fed’s projections suggest a fed funds rate of 4.4% by 2024, with further easing into 2025
  • Japan’s exports grew 5.6% in August, marking the ninth consecutive month of increase. Semiconductor-related goods drove growth

These 8 Gold Juniors are on our M&A Watchlists

By Money of Mine

  • Paladin fission deal facing opposition from CGN Mining, a subsidiary of China General Nuclear Power Corp
  • CGN previously invested $82 million for a 19.9% stake in fission in late 2015
  • Detailed background to the agreement between Paladin and fission revealed in 444-page information circular, showing fission’s eagerness for the deal and competitive process involved.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Fed Rate Cut – Real Lending Rates at 5.97% Near Where Peaking In August 2007

By Daniel Tabbush

  • While maybe deflation may not be a concern right now, we believe that high real rates will be a consideration of the Fed
  • With average lending rates at 8.5% in August and the All Urban CPI Index recording 2.5% inflation in the August, real lending rates are high at 5.97%
  • When figures were similar, it was July/August 2007 – rarely has there been a time in recent years, where real loan rates have been so high, without Fed reaction

Japan Morning Connection: Market Expected to Recover After Fed Announcement

By Andrew Jackson

  • Don’t expect initial ‘sell the fact’ reaction to Fed’s best-case 50 bps cut to weigh on Japan, with a lot of money on the sidelines in Asia to be deployed.
  • Shin-Etsu via its PVC sub Shintech and the Japanese home builders with high US exposure continue to look attractive as rate cut plays.
  • Further US export controls for allies on chip making equipment are imminent and names with lower China sales ratios remain the safer SPE plays.

# 60 India Insight: Hindalco INR 2,450 Cr Investment, JK Cement & Hindustan Zinc Capacity Expansion

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Hindalco to Invest INR 2,450 Crore in Gujarat Copper and E-Waste Projects
  • JK Cement Plans INR 30 Billion Capacity Expansion by FY26
  • Hindustan Zinc Unveils $2.5 Billion Expansion Plan to Double Output

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Event-Driven: Trading Insights from Today’s Dramatic Developments in the Korea Zinc Event and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Trading Insights from Today’s Dramatic Developments in the Korea Zinc Event
  • Competition to Take Over Shin Kong (2888 TT) – CTBC in a Bit of a A Sticky Wicket, Wot?
  • MyState (MYS AU)/Auswide (ABA AU): Consolidation Warranted
  • Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible
  • Beijing Fourth Paradigm US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Needs Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity
  • JSE Sep24 Rebal: Foreign Inward Listings Amongst Top Sells, PPH to Enter Top 40, AMS to Be Deleted


Trading Insights from Today’s Dramatic Developments in the Korea Zinc Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • As of today, it’s clear Choi is struggling to secure white knights, pushing him to double down on political lobbying to stay in the game.
  • Choi’s aiming for the National Pension Service’s 7.57% voting rights, but with its legal neutrality, the chances of it caving to political pressure are slim.
  • MBK’s statement today shows confidence that Choi won’t get Fair Trade Commission approval, and that, like Hanwha and LG, Hyundai Motor won’t back him either.

Competition to Take Over Shin Kong (2888 TT) – CTBC in a Bit of a A Sticky Wicket, Wot?

By Travis Lundy


MyState (MYS AU)/Auswide (ABA AU): Consolidation Warranted

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 19th August, MyState Ltd (MYS AU), Tasmania’s biggest bank, entered into a merger agreement by way of a Scheme with Queensland-based Auswide Bank (ABA AU).
  • Under the terms, MyState will issue 1.112 new shares for every share held by Auswide shareholders, with MyState/Auswide investors holding 65.9%/34.1% ownership in the combined group.
  • This is done and is expected to be wrapped up in December. Today is the last day of trading for Auswide cum-FY24 final dividend. 

Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the upcoming semiannual review in December 2024.
  • We expect up to four ADDs and five DELs for the KOSPI 200 index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data. And we have a trade.

Beijing Fourth Paradigm US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Needs Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity

By Clarence Chu

  • Beijing Fourth Paradigm Technology (6682 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 28th Sept 2023 after raising US$130m. Its one-year lockup will expire on 27th Sept 2024.
  • Beijing Fourth Paradigm is a platform-centric AI enterprise solutions provider. It was the largest player by revenue in the platform-centric decision-making AI market in China in 2022, as per CIC.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

JSE Sep24 Rebal: Foreign Inward Listings Amongst Top Sells, PPH to Enter Top 40, AMS to Be Deleted

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • On Friday in the closing auction, JSE indices will be rebalanced. PPH will enter the Top 40, with AMS falling out.
  • There are also a number of changes to the ALSI index – PHP & PMR will be added, with THA & TCP falling out.
  • Hedgers and passives tracking uncapped indices will be sellers of Naspers and Prosus whereas those tracking the capped variants will be buyers.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars